Paddy Says
2 January 2017 983 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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It’s time once again to take a seat in Paddy’s horse-drawn carriage and be whisked away on a magical tour to marvel at Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets odds.

We stop, as ever, to first gaze upon the wonder of the enhanced offers available for new customers.

Football’s not exactly packed full of sure things – it’s why we love it so – but some things are definitely more sure than others, and one of those is Manchester City beating Burnley at the Etihad.

Paddy is offering new customers 3-1 on Pep Guardiola’s boys managing to see off a team with just the one away point to their name this season.

Or you can get 5-1 on Liverpool to beat Sunderland. The Black Cats have won three of their last four home matches, but they haven’t been anyone from the top half of the table, home or away, all season.

If you fancy your odds that little bit longer, there’s 6-1 on Manchester United to beat West Ham and the same price available on Arsenal to win at Bournemouth.

Slightly further out , we’ve got Leicester to beat Middlesbrough at 8-1. The Foxes looked much more like their old, title-winning, selves last time out, but they’ve not won on the road all season.

And if it’s an Acca you fancy, you can get 16-1 on Everton, Man City, Man United and Liverpool all to win. The Toffees are at home to a Southampton side who will have to make do without their previously ever-present defensive rock, Virgil van Dijk, for the first time in the campaign.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. And if you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 20

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.33
SturridgeLIV1.80
IbrahimovicMUN1.83
BentekeCRY1.83
WalcottARS2.00
SanchezARS2.00
GiroudARS2.00
CostaCHE2.10
NolitoMCI2.10
De BruyneMCI2.10
FirminoLIV2.10
OrigiLIV2.10
ManeLIV2.10
LukakuEVE2.20
KaneTOT2.29
ToureMCI2.29
RondonWBA2.40

Sergio Aguero is back at the top of the Anytime Goalscorer pile and will be a major captaincy draw for many Fantasy Premier League managers.

But he’s still not proving to be box office gold, with two players well ahead of him in the race to be the most popular transfer target of the Gameweek. The price tag, the form of rival forwards and City’s patchy set of immediate fixtures no doubt providing the obstacles.

Burnley at home shouldn’t get much easier, hence his 1.33 price, but then there’s trips to Everton and an in-form West Ham as well as a visit from Spurs before January is done.

The Clarets are so bad on the road – one point from their one clean sheet – that it seems almost criminal not to have a punt on at least one City player finding the net. Maybe Kevin De Bruyne, who is at 2.10, will end his 14-match wait for a league goal.

Paddy again hedges his bets by offering low odds on Daniel Sturridge (1.80), but it was Roberto Firmino who played as Liverpool’s striker against Man City and his 2.10 price to score at Sunderland looks a far safer bet.

Only three teams have conceded more goals than the 15 the Black Cats have shipped at home, while Liverpool are joint-second with 20 away goals.

The Gameweek’s most signed player, Adam Lallana, is worth a look, therefore. He’s 3.40 to find the net at the Stadium of Light.

Salomon Rondon (2.4o) was benched in the win at Southampton. The smart money is on him gaining a recall when the Baggies’ teamsheet is revealed for the home match with Hull City.

Also in the West Brom camp, Matt Phillips, second only to Lallana for transfers-in this Gameweek, is at 3.75 to score in back-to-back matches.

Harry Kane (2.29) reminded us all of his prowess in the New Year’s Day lesson handed out to a woeful Watford. But Chelsea are a very, very different prospect and both he and Diego Costa (2.10) could struggle to make an impact in what promises/threatens to be a tight encounter of few chances.

The 3.50 available on Dele Alli making it six goals in four matches is probably going to be as good as it gets.

He’s certainly an increasingly popular transfer pick this Gameweek – into the top five and overhauling Costa for new managers.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 20

TeamOdds
Manchester City1.72
Liverpool1.90
Manchester United2.20
Stoke City2.25
West Bromwich Albion2.29
Crystal Palace2.40
Everton2.62
Middlesbrough2.62
Arsenal2.75
Leicester City2.87

The combined lowest odds on a clean sheet this Gameweek can be found in the Middlesbrough v Leicester fixture.

It’s a match-up unlikely to send many tingles down the spine – Boro are mixing it with the big boys when it comes to their defensive record at home while the Foxes, with just eight goals, have toiled on the road.

Boro are at 2.62, and Leicester 2.87, to keep goals out of the equation. Aitor Karanka’s men look the more likely of the two to actually do it, as the odds suggest.

Man City are the Gameweek’s runaway favourites to record a shut-out, even with their frankly awful defensive record this season.

The reason? Burnley’s truly appalling two goals scored in eight away matches. Swansea City have had more managers than that and we’re halfway through the season now.

Time for the 16.8% of managers still on John Stones to cash in, you suspect. Their loyalty deserves reward, but will Pep even pick him? Either way, it’s little wonder that a defence with only one more clean sheet than multi-managed Swansea are priced so low to add to their ‘haul’ against Burnley.

Liverpool, meanwhile, have now kept three clean sheets in their last four fixtures and a trip to Sunderland could garner another.

Two Reds defenders (Nathanial Clyne and Dejan Lovren) are among the top 30 players targeted this Gameweek, and Sunderland’s second-worst total of 17 goals scored this season tends to back up the wisdom of buying into the Liverpool back four.

A price of 1.90 is available for the Scousers to keep Sunderland’s attack all gums and no teeth.

983 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. The Hindu Monkey
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 25 days ago

    Guy in my mini league has a value of 108.4!!??

    Can anyone beat that. Not even doing that well. Mainly because he's taken about 100 points in hits...

    https://fantasy.premierleague.com/a/team/700785/event/19

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 25 days ago

      I think he is doing alright - with that TV can have Aguero, Sanchez, Ibra, Costa, Alli, Coutinho, Phillips and a good defence.

    2. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 25 days ago

      not wort it but very impressed

  2. hillbillypete
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 25 days ago

    Aguero ruins teams!

    A)Heaton
    Hen
    Brunt
    Alonso
    Bellerin
    Snodgrass
    Costa
    Carrol

    or

    B)Court
    Jak
    Jones
    Friend
    Robertson
    Fabregas
    Aguero
    Gray

    ???

    1. MTPockets
        9 years, 25 days ago

        So different that very hard to compare.

      • VS10_
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 25 days ago

        Or you could just downgrade one player instead of 10 players and it wouldn't look that bad.

    2. Rinseboy
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 25 days ago

      Quick question who would you bench from

      Kelly Nyom Barragan Jones?

      Thanks all!

      1. hillbillypete
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 25 days ago

        Nyom

      2. The Hindu Monkey
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 25 days ago

        Kelly

      3. Thomas Magnum
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 25 days ago

        Barragan

      4. MTPockets
          9 years, 25 days ago

          Kelly

        • Lone Wolf FPL
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 25 days ago

          check CS odds

      5. micsway
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 25 days ago

        Haz to Sanchez for a hit?

        1. The Hindu Monkey
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 25 days ago

          Nope. Loves playing spurs

          1. Kiwivillan
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 25 days ago

            3 goals last 6?

        2. Thomas Magnum
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 25 days ago

          If you have Costa maybe yes

      6. Thomas Magnum
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 25 days ago

        What do I do with this?
        Heaton Pickford
        Nyom Alonso McAuley VVD Lenihan
        Hazard Sanchez Firmino Snoddy De Roon
        Kane Defoe Benteke
        0.1ITB 2FT

        1. The Hindu Monkey
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 25 days ago

          Nyom for chambers?

          Or Defoe for Rondon.

          1. Thomas Magnum
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 25 days ago

            Is this wek the right week to sell Nyom though?

            1. Doar1986
              • 12 Years
              9 years, 25 days ago

              Why are People selling

              1. Ferris Bueller
                • 14 Years
                9 years, 25 days ago

                Still not confirmed whether he's off to AFCON

            2. Ibracadabra9
              • 9 Years
              9 years, 25 days ago

              Crazy to sell Nyom with his fixtures IMO

            3. Jam0sh
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              9 years, 25 days ago

              You know it isn't

        2. Lone Wolf FPL
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 25 days ago

          Defoe -> Rondon
          or
          if you're Kun man than make a route to get him

          1. Thomas Magnum
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 25 days ago

            ?

            1. Lone Wolf FPL
              • 10 Years
              9 years, 25 days ago

              get Kun

      7. FCSB
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 25 days ago

        Who to bench...

        1. de Roon (LEI)
        2. Jones (whu)
        3. Cedric (eve)
        4. Alonso (tot)

        Thanks

        1. The Hindu Monkey
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 25 days ago

          De Roon

        2. Thomas Magnum
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 25 days ago

          2

        3. MTPockets
            9 years, 25 days ago

            cedric

        4. UnitednationsXI
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 25 days ago

          decisions decisions decisions...0FT and 1.7m itb

          Grant
          Valencia • McAuley • Holebas ---- Smith (dropped) naylor (shyte)
          Sanchez • Hazard • Philips • Pogba --- Fletcher
          Kane • Ibra • Carroll

          A) Gtg
          B) Carroll ➡ Benteke (-4)
          C) Carroll ➡ Giroud (-4)
          D) Smith/Naylor ➡ Baines (-4)....would like a playing/stronger bench with potential rotations...effectively a 2 point hit if one of my players gets rested

          1. Thomas Magnum
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 25 days ago

            Save G2G

            1. UnitednationsXI
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 14 Years
              9 years, 25 days ago

              hmmm really?

              really dont like carroll (mun, CPL, mid, MCI) ..perhaps its coz i am utd fan :-/

              benteke has (SWA, whm, EVE, bou)

        5. NachoMan
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 25 days ago

          Am I good to go guys?

          Grant (Foster)

          Brunt, Alonso, Morgan (Amat, VVD)

          Sanchez, Lallana, Phillips, Eriksen (Capoue)

          Ibra, Carroll, Kun

          Anything worth a hit? Already taken one. 0.2ITB.

          1. diesel001
            • 9 Years
            9 years, 25 days ago

            Stick for now. Consider Morgan and Carroll transfers soon though.

          2. Thomas Magnum
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 25 days ago

            No

        6. Scotty B
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 25 days ago

          Heaton
          Clyne Evans Baines Pieters
          Lallana Sanchez Hazard
          Defoe Kane Ibrahimovic

          Pickford Fletcher Capoue Amat

          0.4 ITB & 1 FT

          Which option is better?
          A Pickford > Valdes
          B Defoe > Benteke
          C Hazard/Defoe > Phillips/Aguero for a -4
          D Save FT

          1. Thomas Magnum
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 25 days ago

            D

            1. Scotty B
              • 13 Years
              9 years, 25 days ago

              Cheers. Can I ask why?

          2. Lone Wolf FPL
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 25 days ago

            C, no doubt

        7. Eden Hazardous
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 25 days ago

          Aguero 1.33 to score 😮

          1. diesel001
            • 9 Years
            9 years, 25 days ago

            Nothing certain - although I expect him to get at least a brace today (non-owner)

          2. Kevin Twine
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            9 years, 25 days ago

            Disgraceful price. 1.71 with the exchange.

        8. What am I doing?
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 25 days ago

          Quick question, is Friend nailed?? Thanks

          1. Thomas Magnum
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 25 days ago

            Don't think so

          2. Ferris Bueller
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 25 days ago

            Will be after today...

        9. Miguel Sanchez
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 25 days ago

          Morning:

          Carroll (MAN) to Benteke (SWA) worth a -4?

          1. Jimbo-Jones
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            9 years, 25 days ago

            Palace fixtures are good long term.
            Only worth the -4 if you're planning on keeping him for a few weeks at least. (I have him).

        10. Pack The Ripper
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 25 days ago

          Foster
          Alonso, Clyne, Pieters
          Sanchez, Hazard, Phillips, De Roon
          Ibra, Costa, Kane

          Good to go or changes needed?

          1. MTPockets
              9 years, 25 days ago

              gtg

          2. Get up ya bum
            • 16 Years
            9 years, 25 days ago

            Rotation should be heavy for these next games, and completely unpredictable. My advice is definitely don't take hits, maybe even don't use your ft. Anything could happen this round.

            p.s. no pressers?

            1. A.T
              • 15 Years
              9 years, 25 days ago

              No pressers.

              1. Get up ya bum
                • 16 Years
                9 years, 25 days ago

                Thanks mate. Good luck. Bracing for chaos.

          3. royals forever
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            9 years, 25 days ago

            Who to give the armband to out of

            Ibrahimovic or Sanchez

            Any ideas would be welcomed

            1. Miguel Sanchez
              • 9 Years
              9 years, 25 days ago

              Sanchez purely based on his away form and that West Ham seem tighter lately

              1. ★Kuntheman★
                • 10 Years
                9 years, 25 days ago

                Agree on that West Ham point

            2. Jimbo-Jones
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              9 years, 25 days ago

              Zlatan.
              West Ham defence is pretty shambolic.

          4. Jimbo-Jones
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            9 years, 25 days ago

            8 red arrows in a row has taken me from 17k to 264k. Total nightmare. Any help appreciated.

            1FT, 2.3ITB

            Heaton
            Walker, Alonso, Cedric
            Haz Sanchez(c) Siggy Eriksen Phillips
            Costa Benteke

            Pick, Anichebe, Amat, 3.9

            1. Save
            2. Cedric -> Brunt
            3. Siggy & Benteke -> Cabaye & Ibra (-4)
            4. Other?

            1. MTPockets
                9 years, 25 days ago

                2 (or a cheaper wba defender if could use the £ elsewhere).

            2. FCSB
              • 9 Years
              9 years, 25 days ago

              Eriksen & Anichebe >> Phillips & Benteke (-4)

              Yes or No???

              Thanks

            3. drughi
              • 16 Years
              9 years, 25 days ago

              Heaton
              Alonso/ Rose/ Pieters
              Hazard/ Payet/ Lallana(C)/ Siggy
              Ibra/ Kane/ Origi

              Am I gtg ? Saving my transfer this week. Anything you would change ?

              1. drughi
                • 16 Years
                9 years, 25 days ago

                yes

            4. theroadrunner
              • 9 Years
              9 years, 25 days ago

              how likely is it that aguero will blank????? repllyyyyyy

              1. Get up ya bum
                • 16 Years
                9 years, 25 days ago

                😆 😆

              2. diesel001
                • 9 Years
                9 years, 25 days ago

                less than 20% IMO.

                1. theroadrunner
                  • 9 Years
                  9 years, 25 days ago

                  top of my mini league by 70 points but team slowly starting to perform worse than the others. I really need Aguero to be the differential

              3. Aubaaaaa
                • 9 Years
                9 years, 25 days ago

                According to paddy, his odds of scoring is 1.33.

            5. SPECIALMOU
              • 16 Years
              9 years, 25 days ago

              Sorry for the question guys, but why Lallana and Phillips didn't rise last night?

              1. william prunier
                • 10 Years
                9 years, 25 days ago

                Not enough buyers as a guess

              2. drughi
                • 16 Years
                9 years, 25 days ago

                Sometimes you are not in the mood

                1. ★Kuntheman★
                  • 10 Years
                  9 years, 25 days ago

                  Excuses 🙂

              3. Kiwivillan
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                9 years, 25 days ago

                They will tomo. Not exact science

                1. SPECIALMOU
                  • 16 Years
                  9 years, 25 days ago

                  Yeah thanks 🙂

                  I probably trust too much in fplstatistics.

              4. Lone Wolf FPL
                • 10 Years
                9 years, 25 days ago

                strange as I was sure that will happen

              5. Guru Mediation
                • 10 Years
                9 years, 25 days ago

                Wildcard transfers don't count towards rises. My guess would be that many of the transfers in were wc therefore

              6. Reuser
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 12 Years
                9 years, 25 days ago

                Wildcards don't count towards price changes - therefore at this time of year (lots of wildcards) it is harder to predict rises/falls.

                Would still anticipate them rising tonight once all the pre-deadline transfers are made.

            6. twoplustwo
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              9 years, 25 days ago

              Bentekkers is frustrating to watch. Worth it for the next few? Looked so sluggish last GW.

              1. Ferris Bueller
                • 14 Years
                9 years, 25 days ago

                Not for me based on current form - confidence player with none

              2. Whats the Huth
                • 10 Years
                9 years, 25 days ago

                He may score two today. Then confident would be high

                1. fedolefan
                  • 11 Years
                  9 years, 25 days ago

                  He's shot confidence wise. Needs a brace to return to normal levels. Wouldn't be buying him yet but Swansea is a great match to restore confidence.

            7. KP02
              • 10 Years
              9 years, 25 days ago

              Did Siggy to Phillips! Have one free transfer left - Eriksen to lallana?

            8. ★Kuntheman★
              • 10 Years
              9 years, 25 days ago

              Am I nuts if I consider dropping Eriksen and Ibrahimovic for Alli and Aguero for a -8 just for an Aguero(c) this week? Chasing in my league and no one has him

              1. A.T
                • 15 Years
                9 years, 25 days ago

                Mad

                1. ★Kuntheman★
                  • 10 Years
                  9 years, 25 days ago

                  It's almost painful to go into Aguero(H) vs Burnley as a City fan without Aguero(c)

                  1. GREENDREAMS11
                    • 16 Years
                    9 years, 25 days ago

                    I agree, taking out Ibra and Siggy today for Aguero and Phillips for a -4. Seems to make plenty sense for me,

              2. Kiwivillan
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                9 years, 25 days ago

                Yes. Eriksen Alli is sideways and Alli scored most goals away last season. Ibra can score goal and then Kun probably needs hat trick to break even

                1. Kiwivillan
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 11 Years
                  9 years, 25 days ago

                  Yes you are nuts

            9. And nothing else Mata'…
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              9 years, 25 days ago

              Best move for this GW:
              A) Haz + Caroll --> Lallana + Giroud
              B) Eriksen + Caroll --> Lallana + Benteke
              C) Eriksen + Ibra --> Lallana + Kun
              D) Something else

              Current team :

              Foster
              Lovren, Cedric, Rose
              Hazard, Sanchez, Phillips, Allen, Eriksen
              Costa, Ibrahimovic
              ======
              Heaton, Caroll, Holebas, Kone

              Thank you

            10. Doar1986
              • 12 Years
              9 years, 25 days ago

              Surely will be quite a bit of rotation i some teams today but is anyone worried about Ibra?
              Surely doesn't need to play today?
              Time for a rest ?

              1. And nothing else Mata'…
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 13 Years
                9 years, 25 days ago

                Im worrying now 🙁

              2. diesel001
                • 9 Years
                9 years, 25 days ago

                Ibra won't be rested.

              3. Speédy
                • 9 Years
                9 years, 25 days ago

                phillips,ibra,sanchez the three big names imo

                1. Doar1986
                  • 12 Years
                  9 years, 25 days ago

                  That may be rested ?

              4. Ferris Bueller
                • 14 Years
                9 years, 25 days ago

                Anyone can be rested - worry about the things you can affect

            11. Speédy
              • 9 Years
              9 years, 25 days ago

              grant
              alonso friend brunt
              sanchez hazard siggy phillips
              ibra tekkers rondon
              pick eriksen cedric ake
              gtg??? or do siggy+tekkers/rondon - stanislas +kane/costa

              1. We ain't got no histor…
                • 9 Years
                9 years, 25 days ago

                gtg, u may get lucky with siggy as he plays palace

            12. We ain't got no histor…
              • 9 Years
              9 years, 25 days ago

              Hi Peeps

              Managing a friend's team, need some suggestions

              Whom to play and captain:

              Pickford DeGea
              Reid Cedric McAuley Jones Alonso
              Lallana Mane Alli Antonio Philips
              Negredo Costa Ibra

              Thanks Already

              1. Speédy
                • 9 Years
                9 years, 25 days ago

                bench pick reid cedric antonio

                1. We ain't got no histor…
                  • 9 Years
                  9 years, 25 days ago

                  Thanks SpeedyBoyz, captain Mane?

            13. FCSB
              • 9 Years
              9 years, 25 days ago

              Bottomed...

              Eriksen & Anichebe >> Phillips & Benteke (-4)

              Yes or No???

              Thanks

            14. Burger
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              9 years, 25 days ago

              Which one to play out of:

              A. Nyom (HUL)

              OR

              B. Pieters (WAT)

              ?

            15. marcus2704
              • 15 Years
              9 years, 25 days ago

              I have changed my WC team to have 2 playing keepers, but can anyone confirm if Hennessey is likely to continue to be Palace number 1?

              Grant - Hennessey

              Pieters - Ake - Chambers - Evans - 3.9

              Sanchez - Pogba - Alli - Phillips - Allen

              Aguero - Costa - Ibra

              1. ★Kuntheman★
                • 10 Years
                9 years, 25 days ago

                That defense is not worth that frontline

              2. :
                • 10 Years
                9 years, 25 days ago

                I'd downgrade Allen to a 4.4 and invest the money elsewhere. You're never going to leave one of your front three on the bench.