Paddy Says
2 January 2017 983 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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It’s time once again to take a seat in Paddy’s horse-drawn carriage and be whisked away on a magical tour to marvel at Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets odds.

We stop, as ever, to first gaze upon the wonder of the enhanced offers available for new customers.

Football’s not exactly packed full of sure things – it’s why we love it so – but some things are definitely more sure than others, and one of those is Manchester City beating Burnley at the Etihad.

Paddy is offering new customers 3-1 on Pep Guardiola’s boys managing to see off a team with just the one away point to their name this season.

Or you can get 5-1 on Liverpool to beat Sunderland. The Black Cats have won three of their last four home matches, but they haven’t been anyone from the top half of the table, home or away, all season.

If you fancy your odds that little bit longer, there’s 6-1 on Manchester United to beat West Ham and the same price available on Arsenal to win at Bournemouth.

Slightly further out , we’ve got Leicester to beat Middlesbrough at 8-1. The Foxes looked much more like their old, title-winning, selves last time out, but they’ve not won on the road all season.

And if it’s an Acca you fancy, you can get 16-1 on Everton, Man City, Man United and Liverpool all to win. The Toffees are at home to a Southampton side who will have to make do without their previously ever-present defensive rock, Virgil van Dijk, for the first time in the campaign.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. And if you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 20

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.33
SturridgeLIV1.80
IbrahimovicMUN1.83
BentekeCRY1.83
WalcottARS2.00
SanchezARS2.00
GiroudARS2.00
CostaCHE2.10
NolitoMCI2.10
De BruyneMCI2.10
FirminoLIV2.10
OrigiLIV2.10
ManeLIV2.10
LukakuEVE2.20
KaneTOT2.29
ToureMCI2.29
RondonWBA2.40

Sergio Aguero is back at the top of the Anytime Goalscorer pile and will be a major captaincy draw for many Fantasy Premier League managers.

But he’s still not proving to be box office gold, with two players well ahead of him in the race to be the most popular transfer target of the Gameweek. The price tag, the form of rival forwards and City’s patchy set of immediate fixtures no doubt providing the obstacles.

Burnley at home shouldn’t get much easier, hence his 1.33 price, but then there’s trips to Everton and an in-form West Ham as well as a visit from Spurs before January is done.

The Clarets are so bad on the road – one point from their one clean sheet – that it seems almost criminal not to have a punt on at least one City player finding the net. Maybe Kevin De Bruyne, who is at 2.10, will end his 14-match wait for a league goal.

Paddy again hedges his bets by offering low odds on Daniel Sturridge (1.80), but it was Roberto Firmino who played as Liverpool’s striker against Man City and his 2.10 price to score at Sunderland looks a far safer bet.

Only three teams have conceded more goals than the 15 the Black Cats have shipped at home, while Liverpool are joint-second with 20 away goals.

The Gameweek’s most signed player, Adam Lallana, is worth a look, therefore. He’s 3.40 to find the net at the Stadium of Light.

Salomon Rondon (2.4o) was benched in the win at Southampton. The smart money is on him gaining a recall when the Baggies’ teamsheet is revealed for the home match with Hull City.

Also in the West Brom camp, Matt Phillips, second only to Lallana for transfers-in this Gameweek, is at 3.75 to score in back-to-back matches.

Harry Kane (2.29) reminded us all of his prowess in the New Year’s Day lesson handed out to a woeful Watford. But Chelsea are a very, very different prospect and both he and Diego Costa (2.10) could struggle to make an impact in what promises/threatens to be a tight encounter of few chances.

The 3.50 available on Dele Alli making it six goals in four matches is probably going to be as good as it gets.

He’s certainly an increasingly popular transfer pick this Gameweek – into the top five and overhauling Costa for new managers.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 20

TeamOdds
Manchester City1.72
Liverpool1.90
Manchester United2.20
Stoke City2.25
West Bromwich Albion2.29
Crystal Palace2.40
Everton2.62
Middlesbrough2.62
Arsenal2.75
Leicester City2.87

The combined lowest odds on a clean sheet this Gameweek can be found in the Middlesbrough v Leicester fixture.

It’s a match-up unlikely to send many tingles down the spine – Boro are mixing it with the big boys when it comes to their defensive record at home while the Foxes, with just eight goals, have toiled on the road.

Boro are at 2.62, and Leicester 2.87, to keep goals out of the equation. Aitor Karanka’s men look the more likely of the two to actually do it, as the odds suggest.

Man City are the Gameweek’s runaway favourites to record a shut-out, even with their frankly awful defensive record this season.

The reason? Burnley’s truly appalling two goals scored in eight away matches. Swansea City have had more managers than that and we’re halfway through the season now.

Time for the 16.8% of managers still on John Stones to cash in, you suspect. Their loyalty deserves reward, but will Pep even pick him? Either way, it’s little wonder that a defence with only one more clean sheet than multi-managed Swansea are priced so low to add to their ‘haul’ against Burnley.

Liverpool, meanwhile, have now kept three clean sheets in their last four fixtures and a trip to Sunderland could garner another.

Two Reds defenders (Nathanial Clyne and Dejan Lovren) are among the top 30 players targeted this Gameweek, and Sunderland’s second-worst total of 17 goals scored this season tends to back up the wisdom of buying into the Liverpool back four.

A price of 1.90 is available for the Scousers to keep Sunderland’s attack all gums and no teeth.

983 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. flippetyflop
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Should I wildcard my shambles of a team guys?

    De Gea Pickford (long term injury)

    Holebas Jones (rotation risk) Cedric (Rotation risk) Ake McCauley

    Sanchez Firmino Rodriguez (not nailed) Siggy

    Costa Origi (not nailed) Ibra

    1. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Not this GW.

      Just take a -4 and sort out Rodriguez and Jones for now.

      Cedric and Origi may well start. Siggy has to go next week.

  2. Arteta
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Lukaku could actually be a good captain choice after all. Playing against Dijkless Southampton, unlucky not to score against Hull, one extra day of rest, probably motivated to do some damage and start 2017 with a goal or two.

    1. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      I wouldn't. His January record is shocking. Think he has like 2 goals in his last 12 Jan games

      1. SPECIALMOU
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Record are made to be broken 🙂

      2. Arteta
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        I didn't even look at his January record. Good to know tho!

    2. Ange Ball
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      I thought I was the only one thinking this way. Do you think worth minus 12 to have lukaku Iba Aguero

      1. SPECIALMOU
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        I think this way too.

        Currently on Ibra, with Sanchez VC but tempted to give Lukaku the armband against a poor Soton defence without VVD.

        1. Arteta
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          I have Sanchez (c) and I'll probably stick with him. Lukaku is out of the box choice for the bravest ones.

      2. Arteta
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Brilliant attack. I have Kane-Costa-Lukaku at the moment and I kinda like it. Who else would be part of the -12?

        1. Ange Ball
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Mane ozil philips Mirallas

  3. Az
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Foster
    Alonso Jones Pieters
    Sanchez Hazard Lallana Phillips
    Costa Ibrahimovic Origi

    Subs: Pickford Van Dijk* Amat* De Roon
    1 FT
    1.0 ITB

    Bit confused this week. Was considering Origi to Benteke but was not impressed with him in the last 2 games.
    Could switch Van Dijk out for Bellerin...
    Or just save the FT?

    1. Totti
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      get tekkers and captin him

    2. Sanchit
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Save
      VVD has great set of fixtures

    3. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      I bought Brunt but I already had Bellerin. I think Hector can still catch Chelsea defenders in next 19 gameweeks.

  4. Totti
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    GTG
    Boruc
    walker coleman evans
    sanchez sterling lallana allen
    aguero(C) costa ibra (V)

    pickford coquelin holebas amat

  5. Sanchit
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Start one :

    1. Friend
    2. Jones

    Captain :

    A. Ibra
    B. Sanchez
    C. Zaha
    D. Phillips

    1. Fernando Torres
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Captain Sanchez
      Start Friend

    2. Totti
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      friend

      1. Totti
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        ibra or sanchez
        leaning towards ibra

  6. Hank Scorpio
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Will Aguero definitely start vs Burnley?

    Could easily start from the bench after 90 vs Liverpool....will Pep want to risk injuring him?

    1. Rhys85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      He's just had a long rest, but you never know with 2 games so close together.

    2. Our Tiny Windows
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      He'll start.

    3. 404_FC
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      i think this too maybe go san(C)hez would be safe ?

  7. Rhys85
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Morning guys

    Struggling with my choice of defenders this week.

    Play 3 of:
    A) Alonso
    B) Walker
    C) Williams
    D) Holebas

    Cheers

    1. Hank Scorpio
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      ABC

      1. mattzkn
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        same

      2. Rhys85
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers, that's what I was thinking.

    2. Totti
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      A B C

  8. Ed
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Fellow non Kun owners are you going Sanchez (C)?

    1. Rhys85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Yep

    2. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Yes

    3. Cilly Bonnolly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      I am. Either Ibrahimovic or Benteke vice captain.

    4. OLB
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Yip, and Ibra VC

  9. Cilly Bonnolly
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Can NOT pick a defence this week. Who d'you reckon gets the nod? Three of these or two plus Capoue: Alonso, Ake, Smith, Friend and Holebas.

    1. mattzkn
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Yep that is tricky.

      Capoue, Friend & Alonso with Holebas first bench if Alonso doesn't start

    2. Rhys85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Just play Alonso, Friend & Holebas

      1. Cilly Bonnolly
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        That's where I'm at at the moment.

  10. mattzkn
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Best midfielder for less that £6m? (already have Phillips & Allen)

    1. Cilly Bonnolly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Stanislas.

    2. Fat Frank
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Snodgrass

  11. Ange Ball
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    A) Aguero Iwobi

    B) Aguero De Roon

    C) Stick with Kane & Siggy

    Team

    Foster
    Bellerin Pieters Clyne
    Mane Mirallas Siggy* Philips Ozil
    Ibra Kane*

    Pickford Carroll Alonso Holebas

    1. FPLtfs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Aguero and de Roon for me.

    2. OLB
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Why are you doing 2 transfers and keeping Mane? Afcon.

      1. Ange Ball
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Mane next week for Alli

  12. Heintorg
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Hey all , happy new year!

    Need some help, i want to get kun back in, but need to remove haz or sanchez to do it. What is your take on it?

  13. Fernando Torres
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Heaton Pickford
    Amat Chambers Holebas McCauley Pieters
    Lallana Eriksen Hazard Sanchez Phillips
    Kane Ibra Barnes

    0FT 2.5M ITB... would you take a hit for any defenders considering rotation? Was thinking Amat > Bellerin.

    1. Our Tiny Windows
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Arsenal have great fixtures. But can you upgrade Barnes with that money?

  14. Jafoole_88
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Do West Bromwich fans, or for that matter, anyone else reckon Rondon will be reinstated for the Hull game today? Pulis hinting he could keep Robson-Kanu

  15. Weilong7
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    1) siggy to lallana or sterling better choice?
    2) deeney to rondon?
    3) both for -4?

    will be doing zaha to philips for GW21 or should i bring philips in against Hull?

    cech
    alonso cedric mcauley (amat,3.9)
    sanchez firmino siggy zaha (fletcher)
    ibra costa deeney

    thanks!

  16. Kaneyonero
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Why would Kun be rested or benched doesnt make sense

    1. squintykid
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Agree, so long as he's been in training should be fresh for at least 60 mins today. tbh, Citys other options up front aren't great.

  17. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Anything worth changing or gtg? 1.8 m itb Have 1 free transfer and could do Ozil to Sanchez and Alonso to Valencia if try are at risk of not playing..... not a lot to come off bench

    Heaton Alonso Nyom
    Hazard Ozil Eriksen Phillips
    Kane (vc)Ibra (c) Origi

    Pickford De Roon Ake VVD

  18. FPLtfs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Loris, Heaton
    Alonso, Holebas, Cedric, Friend, Amat
    Sanchez (c), Hazard, Phillips, Antonio, de Roon
    Ibra, Kane, Defoe

    1 ft, 1.8 itb.

    0.1 short of doing Kane -> Aguero.
    Just save, or take a -4 to do Lloris --> Robinson to fund the Kane / Aguero trade?

    Thanks!

  19. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    You have less than 2 hours until the GW20 deadline.

  20. Scotty B
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Heaton
    Clyne Evans Baines Pieters
    Lallana Sanchez Hazard
    Defoe Kane Ibrahimovic

    Pickford Fletcher Capoue Amat

    0.4 ITB & 1 FT

    Please help me out here guys!which option should I go with?

    A Pickford > Valdes
    B Defoe > Benteke
    C Hazard/Defoe > Phillips/Aguero for a -4
    D Save FT
    E Hazard > KDB

    1. Denis Tueart on the wing
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Go for it - C

    2. Our Tiny Windows
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      C for me

      1. Scotty B
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Sounds good for this week but won't that leave my midfield too light?

        1. Our Tiny Windows
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          You'd play 4-3-3. But that's what you have to do sometimes to play those three up top.

  21. arturmel
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Is Holebas to Brunt (-4), worth it? I know, I know, don't take hits for the defenders, but Brunt may score double figures vs Hull, he's a differential and has nice games, while Holebas can get you 5 yellows for every assist he makes.

    1. Pompel
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Probably not, but I'm also tempted to do that move. But then Holebas got Middlesbrough(h) next GW, while Brunt got Spurs(a)

      1. Denis Tueart on the wing
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Holebas only needs to get booked and he will be out for 2 weeks

        1. Pompel
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Good point , that. And he probably will.

    2. squintykid
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      I think so, over the next 5-6 GW.

  22. adp1113
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    4.2m defender anyone?

    1. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Don't think there are any... Other than maybe Amat... It's worth paying the extra .3m, lots of good 4.5 options

    2. Fat Frank
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Neil Taylor

  23. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Any early team news? City team to be announced in T-Minus 4 hours 30 mins... Will Kun start or won't he?!

  24. Kane Train
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Any ideas. I have 2.0 to spend

    Heaton
    Koscielny / Brunt / Luiz
    Hazard / Philips / Sanchez / Lallana
    Ibra / Anichebe / Kane

    Bench: Jaku, Barry, Amat, Love.

    1. Butters_lfc9
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Anichebe to Negredo?

    2. v12w12
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Anichebe - Rondon

  25. Butters_lfc9
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Have 2FT, any ideas as to how I should use them?
    Foster
    Alonso-Lovren- Holebas
    Sanchez--Walcott-Hazard-Allen
    Costa-Ibra-Carroll

    Pickford-Capoue-Amat-Pieters
    0.1ITB

    1. Kane Train
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Walcott > Phillips & Caroll to Lukaku

      1. Kane Train
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Can u take a look at mine above

  26. wikidwhite
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Cech - (Jaku)

    Brunt - Friend - Jones - Pieters - Azpil

    Sanchez - Phillips - Stanislas - Lallana - Alli

    Ibra - Costa - Giroud

    0.9 ITB, thanks..

  27. ZeBestee
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Should i keep faith in Lukaku or take out for Benteke for a hit

    1. v12w12
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      I'd keep lukaku. I'm interested in Benteke but someone was saying that was getting no service really.

  28. v12w12
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Which option would you go for?
    A: Walcott to Alli
    And Llorente to Rondon -4
    B: Walcott to Lallana
    And Llorente to rondon -4
    C: Walcott to Alli, Llorente to benteke, Prodl to Ake -8
    D: Keep Walcott and do Llorente to benteke for free
    E: Anything else
    Cheers

  29. FPL ElasticO
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Current team

    Heaton
    McAuley/Alonso/Gibson
    Sanchez/Eriksen/Hazard/Siggy
    Carroll/Ibra/Negredo

    Will I bring in Kun for -8???
    Or
    Will I bring in Phillips for Free???

    Need some quick suggession.... Guys

    1. Kane Train
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Phillips for free. Can u help with my post

  30. wikidwhite
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    On a wildcard, my current team, ideas and thoughts please :):

    Cech - (Jaku)

    Brunt - Friend - Jones - Pieters - Azpil

    Sanchez - Phillips - Stanislas - Lallana - Alli

    Ibra - Costa - Giroud

    0.9 ITB, thanks