Spot the Differential
24 November 2017 1004 comments
James H James H
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Backing Paul Pogba early paid off handsomely last weekend, and, this time around, we’re looking to one of his Man United team-mates to take advantage of another favourable home fixture

Elsewhere, a Watford defender who has gone under the radar for much of this season gets our seal of approval, while West Ham’s star man takes our fancy for David Moyes’ first home match in charge this evening.

Juan Mata

Handed the No 10 role at the expense of Henrikh Mkhitaryan for Manchester United’s 4-1 win over Newcastle United, Juan Mata now looks a different prospect ahead of tomorrow’s home meeting with Brighton & Hove Albion.

The Spain international registered two key passes, including one big chance that was converted by Romelu Lukaku in Gameweek 12.

Crucially, the playmaker, who is priced at just 6.9 in FPL, has started five of Man United’s six home matches and has returned a goal and an assist in his last two outings at Old Trafford.

Even with a peripheral role so far, often starting down the right flank, Mata has created a chance every 41 minutes. That’s a better rate than the likes of Brighton’s Pascal Gross (42) and Manchester City’s Leroy Sane (43).

With the return of Paul Pogba reigniting the United attack, Mata could now flourish.

Brighton arrive at Old Trafford on a five-match unbeaten run, but have lost 2-0 in each of their two previous encounters against top-six sides, at Arsenal and at home to Manchester City.

Man United’s schedule over the medium term, particularly between Gameweeks 17 and 23, is very favourable, further adding to the appeal of the 2.1%-owned Spaniard.

Providing we continue to see the goals flow with Pogba in the starting line up – United have averaged 3.2 goals per match with the France international in the side, compared to 1.6 without – Mata can be a factor.

For FPL managers who are unable or unwilling to stretch their budget to Pogba and Lukaku, the Man United schemer looks to be one to consider.

Kiko Femenia

Watford defender Kiko Femenia was forced off with a leg injury during last Sunday’s 2-0 over West Ham United.

But having been declared fit by Marco Silva, he gets our vote ahead of tomorrow’s trip to Newcastle United.

The Spaniard has enjoyed an impressive debut campaign so far and really caught the eye playing at right wing-back in Gameweek 12.

Silva could stick with the 3-4-2-1 formation against the Magpies, changing the profile of the 4.6%-owned defender.

Throughout the season, Femenia has offered a real threat down the right flank – he is second to only Richarlison for passes received (149 to 187) in the final third among Hornets players.

In terms of touches per minute, only Abdoulaye Doucoure is busier among Watford’s regular starters, while only Jose Holebas – who was dropped against the Hammers – has put in more crosses than Femenia, whose 35 attempts have all come from open play.

He is also strong in the Bonus Points System (BPS), and has impressively registered seven bonus points in the four matches where Silva’s side have produced a clean sheet.

Although the shut-out last weekend was Watford’s first since Gameweek 4, the match-up with Newcastle looks favourable from a defensive perspective.

Rafa Benitez’s side have only scored twice over the last four Gameweeks, creating just two big chances.

In both categories, they rank last among all 20 clubs.

Watford’s schedule is also kind in the medium term, so Femenia, who sets us back just 4.5 in FPL, can be an effective differential for some time to come.

Manuel Lanzini

Back from injury, and having completed 90 minutes in each of the last four Gameweeks, West Ham United’s Manuel Lanzini can get Gameweek 13 off to a flyer.

The Hammers host Leicester City tonight and the Argentine scored in the corresponding fixture last season.

Lanzini’s performances since returning from injury have been encouraging.

No West Ham player has had more shots (nine) or efforts on target (five), while his six key passes can be matched only by Pablo Zabaleta.

And his penchant for a long-range effort could be set to profit against a Foxes defence that have allowed 92 efforts outside the box – only Burnley (102) have allowed more.

With eight goals, three assists and an impressive 20 bonus points to his name last season, Lanzini has proven FPL pedigree.

If David Moyes’ side are to turn things around, the 6.8-valued midfielder will surely be the driving force.

Given that Leicester have earned just a single clean sheet on their travels, and only three teams have allowed more than their 35 shots on target, there’s optimism that the Hammers can enjoy success this evening.

After netting his first goal of this campaign in his last home fixture against Liverpool, Lanzini, who is sitting in just 0.6% of FPL squads, can be a key differential in Gameweek 13.

  1. Evasivo
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Anything worthy of a FT... or save?

    Elliott
    Ottamendi Daniels Fernández
    Hazard Sterling(vc) Silva RLC
    Kane(C) Vardy Morata

    Ryan Carroll Simpson Ward
    .
    £0.6ITB 1FT

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Very nice

    2. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Save.

    3. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Save and get Salah soon.

      1. Evasivo
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Been wanting him for weeks! Just no real way happened. Sterling Vardy out maybe a way in next gw

    4. Gazj11
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Save

    5. Evasivo
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks all!

  2. JJO
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Jones to

    A) Kompany
    B) Walker
    C) Verthongen
    D) none of them are worth the money

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Vert possibly

    2. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      D

    3. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Mustafi?

    4. COLLIN QUANER
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B or C

    5. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Walker

    6. Mulla
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I just did to mustafi fwiw

    7. KenyaDigIt
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B

    8. JJO
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks guys

  3. The Polymath
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Quick, only 90 minutes to go!

  4. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Long term:

    Azpi Gomez/Dann
    or
    Ota Mustafi

    ?

    1. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Azpi and Mustafi

      1. Atimis
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Not enough funds...

        1. The Polymath
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Azpi for sure

          1. Atimis
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Just can't decide if Chelsea def is more important than City

            1. The Polymath
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              Azpi assists Morata on many occasions

              1. Atimis
                • 9 Years
                8 years, 1 month ago

                Yah that's true

          2. Nomar
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            This

  5. Hotdogs for Tea
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Luka(c)u

    1. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Imdeed

    2. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Nope, going with Kane

  6. Stoic
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Will Wilson rise tonight ?

    1. L'Aeroplanino
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      maybe

    2. KenyaDigIt
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Use this site - http://www.fplstatistics.co.uk/

      Super handy

  7. F4L
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Vardy party tonight. No missus in the house, get the lads round after his hattie

  8. Dr. DOOM
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Elliot
    Daniels-Naughton-Ward
    RLC-Sterling-Eriksen-Salah
    Morata-Vardy-Kane

    Save now and do Jones to Alonso after gw starts.

    Yay or nay?

    1. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I would do it now.

      Alonso or Azpi are great picks now.

      1. Dr. DOOM
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah but against Liverpool this GW

  9. Captain Blanks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    https://i.gyazo.com/76c5b1cde04e82ef6ec6d1bd08964d88.png
    Pope
    Mee, Azpi, Daniels
    Salah, Sane(vc), Silva, Richarlison
    Kane(c), Morata, Abraham
    --------------------------------------------------
    Elliot; RLC, Jones, Duffy

    1ft 0.0itb
    A) Save FT
    B) Jones > Dann (to start in place of Mee)

    1. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Save

  10. Davido989
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Just sold Aguero for Calvert-Lewin.

    In case you haven't heard of him, Aguero is Man City's backup striker.

    1. Pierce34
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      As a Jesus owner I don't think it's that definite that Jesus starts this GW.

    2. Marcos Alonso is god
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      You reckon he's warming the bench again?

    3. The Mandalorian
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I've just sold Aguero for Niasse. In case you haven't heard Niasse has just been banned for two games, salavia.

  11. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    A) Jones to Yedlin
    B) Abraham to Niasse - play Ward and Dunk this week

  12. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Eriksen & Kun to Sane and Morata (-4)?

    1. columbo
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Be tempted to hold Eriksen for WBA and their fixtures to come, not for a hit anyway

      1. La Roja
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Not for -4

      2. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Fed up with 3 spurs, Davies and Eriksen need to go

  13. kuppadaddy
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Midfield:
    Hazard, Choupo, Carroll, Sterling, Richarlison

    3.1 M itb

    A. Carroll -> Ramsey
    B. Sterling -> Sane
    C. other?

    B feels weird, swapping city mid for city mid ...

  14. Whats the Mata?
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Kane or Sane cap?

    1. L'Aeroplanino
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Kane

    2. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Got to be Harold.

    3. TOBY1
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Sane - Risk / Reward

  15. La Roja
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    No Wilson 😮

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Scout bench

  16. Dr. DOOM
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    And who are you picking from Chelsea defence?
    A. Alonso
    B. Azpi

    I'm going Alonso, can't go very wrong, right?

    1. jdp219
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I did Alonso > Azpi weeks ago. Haven't looked back since.

      Until, of course, Alonso gets another brace.

  17. Rainer
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Gylfi Sigurdsson - 2.1%

  18. Puzzle
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Vardy, Jones, Carroll -> Wilson, Sane and Daniels for a -8? Cant get Sane/Wilson with a -4.

  19. pjanns
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Elliot
    Mariappa - Daniels - Naughton
    Zaha - Gross - Sane - Hazars
    Kane - Morata - Jesus
    (Foster - Jones - Carrol - Hunemeier)

    0 ITB
    2 Free transfers.

    GTG?

    1. L9
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      u have 2 ft do jones to mustafi to be sure that u ll play with 11 players as mariappa is not 100% nailed

  20. F4L
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Firmino to be rotated over Xmas?

    1. Unbowed Unbent N'Golo
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I'd imagine probably not much. Maybe 1 game.

      I'm looking at him as a Kun replacement in the near future.

  21. Ha.
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    I think I accidentally bought Dann

    1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Ha.

    2. Dr. DOOM
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Damn

    3. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Haha

  22. Forza Papac
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Is Clark (newcastle) nailed?

    1. Mishon
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      For now yes.

  23. bobinjo
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Will Sterling play lads, or is it time to swap for Sane?

    1. kuppadaddy
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      wondering same. swapping the same team's mid for mid just seems off.

      1. bobinjo
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        this!

    2. Sweetboi
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I think he'll start this weekend but will be rested either midweek or next weekend...Sane due to start all 3.

    3. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      If you get Sané in, I would

      1. bobinjo
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        tnx all

  24. Firmino
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Keep or sell Jones and Abraham?

    1. jdp219
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I kept Jones, but sold Abraham.

  25. Unbowed Unbent N'Golo
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Correct order of play?

    1. DCL (sou)
    2. Moreno (CHE)
    3, Groß (mun)
    4, Ward (ARS)

    Need a defender in 1 or 2.

  26. Sweetboi
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    a) Aguero > Lukaku/Morata

    b) Sterling > Sane

    c) Save

  27. Lisboa 1967
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Jones -> who ? (-4)
    Thinking mustafi
    5.4m

  28. gruffyboy
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Still got my WC, my teams not in too bad a shape, definitely a few defensive tweaks - should I leave it to next GW?

  29. Emiliano Sala
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    G2g ?
    Elliot
    Walker vertonghen daniels
    Salah sane silva RLC
    KaneC morata wilson
    Krul moreno daniels a.king
    1.3 itb
    -4

  30. KenyaDigIt
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Kane vs Sane as captain?

    I've just changed to Sane as I'd hate to have another 2/4 point week!

    What everyone else doing?