Spot the Differential
24 November 2017 1004 comments
James H James H
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Backing Paul Pogba early paid off handsomely last weekend, and, this time around, we’re looking to one of his Man United team-mates to take advantage of another favourable home fixture

Elsewhere, a Watford defender who has gone under the radar for much of this season gets our seal of approval, while West Ham’s star man takes our fancy for David Moyes’ first home match in charge this evening.

Juan Mata

Handed the No 10 role at the expense of Henrikh Mkhitaryan for Manchester United’s 4-1 win over Newcastle United, Juan Mata now looks a different prospect ahead of tomorrow’s home meeting with Brighton & Hove Albion.

The Spain international registered two key passes, including one big chance that was converted by Romelu Lukaku in Gameweek 12.

Crucially, the playmaker, who is priced at just 6.9 in FPL, has started five of Man United’s six home matches and has returned a goal and an assist in his last two outings at Old Trafford.

Even with a peripheral role so far, often starting down the right flank, Mata has created a chance every 41 minutes. That’s a better rate than the likes of Brighton’s Pascal Gross (42) and Manchester City’s Leroy Sane (43).

With the return of Paul Pogba reigniting the United attack, Mata could now flourish.

Brighton arrive at Old Trafford on a five-match unbeaten run, but have lost 2-0 in each of their two previous encounters against top-six sides, at Arsenal and at home to Manchester City.

Man United’s schedule over the medium term, particularly between Gameweeks 17 and 23, is very favourable, further adding to the appeal of the 2.1%-owned Spaniard.

Providing we continue to see the goals flow with Pogba in the starting line up – United have averaged 3.2 goals per match with the France international in the side, compared to 1.6 without – Mata can be a factor.

For FPL managers who are unable or unwilling to stretch their budget to Pogba and Lukaku, the Man United schemer looks to be one to consider.

Kiko Femenia

Watford defender Kiko Femenia was forced off with a leg injury during last Sunday’s 2-0 over West Ham United.

But having been declared fit by Marco Silva, he gets our vote ahead of tomorrow’s trip to Newcastle United.

The Spaniard has enjoyed an impressive debut campaign so far and really caught the eye playing at right wing-back in Gameweek 12.

Silva could stick with the 3-4-2-1 formation against the Magpies, changing the profile of the 4.6%-owned defender.

Throughout the season, Femenia has offered a real threat down the right flank – he is second to only Richarlison for passes received (149 to 187) in the final third among Hornets players.

In terms of touches per minute, only Abdoulaye Doucoure is busier among Watford’s regular starters, while only Jose Holebas – who was dropped against the Hammers – has put in more crosses than Femenia, whose 35 attempts have all come from open play.

He is also strong in the Bonus Points System (BPS), and has impressively registered seven bonus points in the four matches where Silva’s side have produced a clean sheet.

Although the shut-out last weekend was Watford’s first since Gameweek 4, the match-up with Newcastle looks favourable from a defensive perspective.

Rafa Benitez’s side have only scored twice over the last four Gameweeks, creating just two big chances.

In both categories, they rank last among all 20 clubs.

Watford’s schedule is also kind in the medium term, so Femenia, who sets us back just 4.5 in FPL, can be an effective differential for some time to come.

Manuel Lanzini

Back from injury, and having completed 90 minutes in each of the last four Gameweeks, West Ham United’s Manuel Lanzini can get Gameweek 13 off to a flyer.

The Hammers host Leicester City tonight and the Argentine scored in the corresponding fixture last season.

Lanzini’s performances since returning from injury have been encouraging.

No West Ham player has had more shots (nine) or efforts on target (five), while his six key passes can be matched only by Pablo Zabaleta.

And his penchant for a long-range effort could be set to profit against a Foxes defence that have allowed 92 efforts outside the box – only Burnley (102) have allowed more.

With eight goals, three assists and an impressive 20 bonus points to his name last season, Lanzini has proven FPL pedigree.

If David Moyes’ side are to turn things around, the 6.8-valued midfielder will surely be the driving force.

Given that Leicester have earned just a single clean sheet on their travels, and only three teams have allowed more than their 35 shots on target, there’s optimism that the Hammers can enjoy success this evening.

After netting his first goal of this campaign in his last home fixture against Liverpool, Lanzini, who is sitting in just 0.6% of FPL squads, can be a key differential in Gameweek 13.

  1. KenyaDigIt
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Otamendi or Kolasinac?

    1. Sotamendi84
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Ota

    2. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      A

    3. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Otamendi. Kolasinac hasn't looked as good of late, Ota is BP magnet and will pick up more CS for the moment

    4. KenyaDigIt
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Nice one. Cheers!

  2. Sotamendi84
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Play:
    Elliot or pope
    Moreno or mee

    Thanks

    1. KenyaDigIt
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Elliot & Mee

    2. Sahil Yadav
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Pope and Moreno

  3. marcus2704
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Sane or Kane (C)?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B

    2. The Non Flying Dutchman
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Kane....just.

    3. KenyaDigIt
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I'm super tempted by Sane - but Kane pips it!

    4. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Stick with Kane IMO

    5. Delph & Safety
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      If I had sane I’d captain him but otherwise I think it might have to be Kane. The Harry Kane who has destroyed my overall rank this season.

    6. el polako
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Own both and going with Sane.
      The lesson learned from Spurs home encounters this season trumps the fear of Kane finally hauling.

      1. Cheltnamshire LaLaLa
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        same here Sane points per min played is way better and think Sane will get 90 after resting mid week. Kane will be tired after big game away in the champions league

        I have captained Kane 4 times for 18 points TOTAL. Not going down that hole again.

  4. The Non Flying Dutchman
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Do people think Spurs will score more than 2 past West brom?

    My thinking is if Spurs win 1-0 or 2-0 Davies pics up 2/3 bonus points so 8/9 points which is a decent return and makes him captain material while Kane is floundering up front.

    Thoughts???

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

      1. The Non Flying Dutchman
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        hmmm for better or worse looks like Kane (c) then.

        1. Epic Fail
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          I'm only 1 person though. Surely you're not gonna base your captain on my sole opinion?

  5. Champione
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Any news on Abraham today?

  6. Weeb Kakashi
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Who scores more

    A Salah(CHE,stk,bha)
    B Eriksen (WBA,lei,wat)

    1. korbendallas82
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Salah

    2. KenyaDigIt
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Salah - his form shows he can score against anyone!

    3. Totti
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      salah

  7. Totti
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    captin:

    A) kane
    B) sane

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Kane

    2. KenyaDigIt
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Sane - going on his form, not 'potential' stats!

  8. NachoMan
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Worth swapping Salah out for Sane this week (for free) - and then bringing him back in next week?

    1. Dr. DOOM
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      What.. no lol

    2. Sahil Yadav
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      No

    3. Totti
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      no no no

    4. Pumpkinhead
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Da fuuuuuq?

    5. KenyaDigIt
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Noooo

  9. F4L
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Firmino or Vardy in this GW? Currently on Firmino

    1. Delph & Safety
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah I’d agree, think there might be goals in the Liverpool Chelsea game.

    2. Totti
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      firmino

    3. Klopptomist Scott Jelly
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Vardy I think, but it's a bit of a wasted transfer for one week?

    4. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      This week Vardy, but i'd want to swap them straight back over next gameweek.

  10. Greko82
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    GTG?
    Fab
    Ward/Mee/Daniels
    Pogba/Salah/Richarlison/Gross
    Morata/(K)ane/Kaku

    Elliot- Dunk- Carroll- Jones

  11. Rainer
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    A or B?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      C

    2. Totti
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      D

    3. KenyaDigIt
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Always B

  12. Dr. DOOM
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Jones to Alonso toni after kickoff, Do it?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Dafuq?

      1. Dr. DOOM
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        *tonight lol

  13. willl
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Fabianksi
    Otamendi Davies Yedlin

    Bench: Elliot / Mee Moreno

    Am I benching the right players?

  14. HD7
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    G2G?

    Elliot
    Walker Mustafi Daniels
    Sterling Richarlison Salah RLC
    Kaku Kane (C) Jesus

    Subs: Fabianski, Mee, Tarroll, Mbemba

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Looking good. G2G. Best of luck.

      1. HD7
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks, same to you mate 🙂

  15. Mo Mané No Problems
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Sell Jones for a hit if I've got only 2 defenders playing this GW?
    Luiz unsure and Francis suspended. Bought Jones for 5M.
    Jones --> Mustafi for -4?

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      What's your budget? Not a fan of the Mustafi pick.

    2. Sahil Yadav
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Jones to Mustafi is a good move

    3. KenyaDigIt
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I got jones at 5 and I've changed him. Mustafi looking decent and nailed (let's just hope he stays fit!)

  16. My Name Is Prince
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    A) Keep Kun
    B) Kun —> Wilson (ang get Hazard and bench RLC)
    C) Kun —> Lukaku (and play RLC and bench Andy King)

  17. dhamphiir
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    DDG
    Azpi, Otamendi, Jones*
    Salah, Sane, Richarlison, Surman
    Kane, Morata, Abraham
    Sub: Elliot, Groß, Mee, Duffy
    Have 1 FT and 0.0 ITB

    What should I do with team ?
    A. Jones + Abraham —> Daniels + Wilson -4 hit
    B. Jones —> Daniels
    C. Jones —> Maguire
    D. Jones —> Moreno / Gomez

  18. The Count of Monte Cristo
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Abraham -> Wilson or Sterling -> Pogba seems the obvious moves for this week?
    However, my squad is unbalanced as I have too much in DEF. Need to ditch Maguire and invest in the middle I feel.

    Elliot
    Maguire - Mee - Otamendi - Daniels
    Sterling - Silva - Salah - Richarlison
    Kane - Lukaku

    Foster - Abraham - Carroll - Long [1FT + 0.6m ITB]

    1. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Um, you have just about enough in defence, I'd do Sterling to Pogba this gw and them do Lukaku to Morata for gw14/15

      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers. I'm finding it hard to convince myself that Abraham -> Wilson (-4) will pay off, even if it means playing a 4-at-the-back this week.

  19. We Will Klopp you
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Have Azpi atm but can get Alonso for gw14, nothing else pressing, worth it?

    1. Emp
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      yes

    2. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Alonso14?

      No.

      1. Pumpkinhead
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Too young

    3. Rik Waller
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      For a hit?

  20. vtautr
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    GTG? Currently on WC.

    Pope Elliot
    Smalling Otamendi Dunk Mee Yedlin
    Pogba Salah Sane RLC Richarlison
    Kane Morata Wilson

  21. Lionac
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Is there a point getting Smalling for Jones for -4 ?

    Have Mee on bench

    1. Emp
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      no smalling not nailed

    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      No, just play Mee this week

    3. Numb
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Smalling will probably play, Jones won't.

    4. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Smalling should start but you need a cleanie to make it worth while, unless it’s a long term move

    5. Lionac
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      No changes than. 🙂

  22. Emp
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    i know this question might seem irrelevant now but i believe its directly related to kun minutes in upcoming games... which striker will pep start vs in derbt at OT. Will he favour his preferred away striker of Jesus or the pedigree of kun in a big game?

  23. Aladdin Sané
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Sterling to Sané for -4? Only other City player I have is Jesus.

    1. KenyaDigIt
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      yes

    2. Sweetboi
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Nah

  24. SBCFIFA
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Any ideas what to do?

    GK - Gomes, Elliott
    DEF - Walker, Mee, Alonso, Azpi, Joe Gomez
    MID - Sane, Salah, Richarlison, Surman, Gross
    FOR - Morata, Niasse, Aguero

  25. Pumpkinhead
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Differential this week Andre Gray

    1. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Good shout

      1. Pumpkinhead
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        If I didn't have Rich - I would be signing Gray up as my budget FWD

    2. Alonso The Great Midfielder
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      i go for benteke,gabbiadani or wellbeck if all play

  26. Alonso The Great Midfielder
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    will welbeck play this week?

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Off the bench perhaps. expecting an unchanged side from Spurs match.

  27. KenyaDigIt
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Daniels or Azpilicueta?

    1. Alonso The Great Midfielder
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      azpi

      1. KenyaDigIt
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers

  28. Rik Waller
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Play:
    A) Mee
    B) Moreno

    1. Totti
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      mee

    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Huge risk playing a L'Pool def against Chelsea IMO. I'd play Mee.

  29. Toonzie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    get Dann or Moreno

  30. THFC4LIFE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Quick g2g lads?

    Elliot
    Naughton Bavies Daniels
    Sterling RLC Silva Hazard
    Lukaku Kane(c) Vardy

    Foster Mee TC Mbemba

    Cheers