Spot the Differential
24 November 2017 1004 comments
James H James H
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Backing Paul Pogba early paid off handsomely last weekend, and, this time around, we’re looking to one of his Man United team-mates to take advantage of another favourable home fixture

Elsewhere, a Watford defender who has gone under the radar for much of this season gets our seal of approval, while West Ham’s star man takes our fancy for David Moyes’ first home match in charge this evening.

Juan Mata

Handed the No 10 role at the expense of Henrikh Mkhitaryan for Manchester United’s 4-1 win over Newcastle United, Juan Mata now looks a different prospect ahead of tomorrow’s home meeting with Brighton & Hove Albion.

The Spain international registered two key passes, including one big chance that was converted by Romelu Lukaku in Gameweek 12.

Crucially, the playmaker, who is priced at just 6.9 in FPL, has started five of Man United’s six home matches and has returned a goal and an assist in his last two outings at Old Trafford.

Even with a peripheral role so far, often starting down the right flank, Mata has created a chance every 41 minutes. That’s a better rate than the likes of Brighton’s Pascal Gross (42) and Manchester City’s Leroy Sane (43).

With the return of Paul Pogba reigniting the United attack, Mata could now flourish.

Brighton arrive at Old Trafford on a five-match unbeaten run, but have lost 2-0 in each of their two previous encounters against top-six sides, at Arsenal and at home to Manchester City.

Man United’s schedule over the medium term, particularly between Gameweeks 17 and 23, is very favourable, further adding to the appeal of the 2.1%-owned Spaniard.

Providing we continue to see the goals flow with Pogba in the starting line up – United have averaged 3.2 goals per match with the France international in the side, compared to 1.6 without – Mata can be a factor.

For FPL managers who are unable or unwilling to stretch their budget to Pogba and Lukaku, the Man United schemer looks to be one to consider.

Kiko Femenia

Watford defender Kiko Femenia was forced off with a leg injury during last Sunday’s 2-0 over West Ham United.

But having been declared fit by Marco Silva, he gets our vote ahead of tomorrow’s trip to Newcastle United.

The Spaniard has enjoyed an impressive debut campaign so far and really caught the eye playing at right wing-back in Gameweek 12.

Silva could stick with the 3-4-2-1 formation against the Magpies, changing the profile of the 4.6%-owned defender.

Throughout the season, Femenia has offered a real threat down the right flank – he is second to only Richarlison for passes received (149 to 187) in the final third among Hornets players.

In terms of touches per minute, only Abdoulaye Doucoure is busier among Watford’s regular starters, while only Jose Holebas – who was dropped against the Hammers – has put in more crosses than Femenia, whose 35 attempts have all come from open play.

He is also strong in the Bonus Points System (BPS), and has impressively registered seven bonus points in the four matches where Silva’s side have produced a clean sheet.

Although the shut-out last weekend was Watford’s first since Gameweek 4, the match-up with Newcastle looks favourable from a defensive perspective.

Rafa Benitez’s side have only scored twice over the last four Gameweeks, creating just two big chances.

In both categories, they rank last among all 20 clubs.

Watford’s schedule is also kind in the medium term, so Femenia, who sets us back just 4.5 in FPL, can be an effective differential for some time to come.

Manuel Lanzini

Back from injury, and having completed 90 minutes in each of the last four Gameweeks, West Ham United’s Manuel Lanzini can get Gameweek 13 off to a flyer.

The Hammers host Leicester City tonight and the Argentine scored in the corresponding fixture last season.

Lanzini’s performances since returning from injury have been encouraging.

No West Ham player has had more shots (nine) or efforts on target (five), while his six key passes can be matched only by Pablo Zabaleta.

And his penchant for a long-range effort could be set to profit against a Foxes defence that have allowed 92 efforts outside the box – only Burnley (102) have allowed more.

With eight goals, three assists and an impressive 20 bonus points to his name last season, Lanzini has proven FPL pedigree.

If David Moyes’ side are to turn things around, the 6.8-valued midfielder will surely be the driving force.

Given that Leicester have earned just a single clean sheet on their travels, and only three teams have allowed more than their 35 shots on target, there’s optimism that the Hammers can enjoy success this evening.

After netting his first goal of this campaign in his last home fixture against Liverpool, Lanzini, who is sitting in just 0.6% of FPL squads, can be a key differential in Gameweek 13.

  1. Snoop
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    A. Davies + sterling to zaha + Daniels
    B. Jones + sterling to Dann or 4.7 def + zaha

    1. Totti
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      no one

      1. Snoop
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        I’ve got two transfers and need to use one as I’m planning to change morata in next gw

  2. Scout
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Is Abraham likely to play

    1. Totti
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      no
      bony will

      1. Scout
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        What do you reckon? Abraham for Wilson -4pts?

    2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      He's 50-50 so a chance

    3. Seanigula
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      It sounds like a minor problem that could be treated with an injection to me, so I think he could play

  3. My Name Is Pepu
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Don't know why but I somehow convinced myself to get rid of Aguero for a hit and transferred in Hurricane (c).

    Thought I would have wanted Kane for the easier 'away' games anyway, so I'll take this even if it doesn't pay off this weekend.

  4. Totti
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    captin:
    A) sane
    B) kane

    1. Unbowed Unbent N'Golo
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I'm going A

    2. Lisboa 1967
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B

    3. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      On B, on paper everything is there for him to destroy WBA including the history, let's just hope he doesn't go all TrolliKane

    4. QuintonFortune25
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      A

    5. Seanigula
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B, but i think they'll each get about 10 points before (C)

  5. Lisboa 1967
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    play
    Virgil Van Dijk eve
    Mee arse

    1. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      VVD

    2. Dr. DOOM
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Arse...

    3. Alonso The Great Midfielder
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      got to be the big man

    4. Totti
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      VVD

  6. fish66
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Jones to Maguire
 & GTG?

    Elliot
    Daniels, Maguire, Moreno
    RLC, Richarlison, Sane(vc) Salah
    Morata, Lukaku(C) Kane

    Pope, Surman, Mee, Duffy

  7. Unbowed Unbent N'Golo
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Who to bench?
    a) Moreno (CHE)
    b) Ward (ARS)

    1. Dr. DOOM
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Moreno

  8. DeadStarComing
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    I'm not captaining Lukaku because I'm worried he may not start. Am I stupid?

    1. Unbowed Unbent N'Golo
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      He'll start, but not captaining him isn't stupid

    2. Forza Papac
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Not stupid, maybe a bit over-cautious.

    3. b✪mber
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      no worries - I guarantee at least a brace! (probably hatty and an assist)

  9. ☈☾
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Firmino + Gross ==> Wilson + Pogba (-8)

    Worth it long term?

    1. Footballfriend
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      nope, hard to justify a -8, even though I feel your frustration with Firmino. Took me a long time to get rid of him due to more pressing concerns.

  10. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Any rotation risk for DSilva this gw or is he expected to start?

    1. Galza
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      He’ll play...

    2. Delph & Safety
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Should play.

    3. Ode
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Rested in CL

  11. Emp
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    know this question might seem irrelevant now but i believe its directly related to kun minutes in upcoming games... which striker will pep start vs in derbt at OT. Will he favour his preferred away striker of Jesus or the pedigree of kun in a big game?

    1. Pumpkinhead
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I think he'll go for pure speed. United are slow af. Jesus to start imo

      1. Emp
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        ta

  12. turd ferguson
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    There has never been a greater differential than Pogba this week. 13pts minimum.

    1. Pumpkinhead
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Pogba still have 15% ownership - Not sure Will Hughes with his 0.4% ownership would agree

      1. turd ferguson
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        ahh Will Hughes how could I forget

    2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Ok

  13. Ballistics
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Aguero & Brady to Vardy & Pogba? -4

  14. 1justlookin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    repost 🙂 -

    chances of Sane starting on Sunday & Wednesday?

    My only option of bringing him in is to get rid of Eriksen. I just can't decide.

    1. L9
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      bring him in. i believe he ll start both.

    2. Delph & Safety
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Should start both games.

    3. My Name Is Pepu
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Sane is our only real option on the left flank, he'll start 9 out of 10 games (maybe 10 out of 10) and should enjoy a big haul on Sunday.

  15. Junior ⚽
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Start Ben Mee (ARS) or Moreno (CHE)

    1. Pumpkinhead
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Mee

    2. Sotamendi84
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Doing the same

  16. Lisboa 1967
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    still undecided who to start
    elliot
    courtouis

  17. ☈☾
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    bottomed

    Firmino + Gross ==> Wilson + Pogba (-8)

    Worth it long term?

  18. L9
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    start pope or elliot?

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Elliot IMO

  19. tiger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Decided...captaining Jesus, not Kane. So Kane should score well...

    1. Delph & Safety
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      So should Jesus I think.

      1. tiger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        I hope so!

  20. The Count of Monte Cristo
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Would you do A or B?

    A) Sterling /Silva -> Pogba (FT)
    B) Abraham -> Wilson (FT)

    Elliot
    Maguire - Mee - Otamendi - Daniels
    Sterling - Silva - Salah - Richarlison
    Kane - Lukaku

    Foster - Abraham - Carroll - Long [1FT + 0.6m ITB]

  21. M.A.G
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Kane vs Sane is giving me headache

    1. Red Dagger ✪
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Same here.

      1. M.A.G
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Toughest decision so far this season imo

    2. Galza
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Take some Pane killers... 🙂

      1. M.A.G
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        😆

    3. el polako
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      What are the chances of 18.59 captain change, eh ? 😉

      1. M.A.G
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Been playing around for few minutes 😆

    4. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      is making you go insane *

      1. lilmessipran
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        You mean Inkane?

        1. The Count of Monte Cristo
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          50 mins before the deadline it's probably both

      2. M.A.G
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks didn't know 😀

  22. Red Dagger ✪
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Naughton to Daniels worth a 4 point hit? I know swapping out a defender is never worth a 4 point hit. In this case tho they face each other and I think Swansea get battered.

    1. Delph & Safety
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Nah

    2. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I'd do it, better option going forward. Bourne more likely to keep a clean sheet

  23. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Best cheap def despite of Mee and Daniels?

    1. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Femenia

    2. Delph & Safety
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Dann

  24. UnitedFan
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    You guys reckon Davies will start this GW? Or just go with Vertonghen?

    1. Alonso The Great Midfielder
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      for safety go with verto.....for chance of goal/assist go for davies

    2. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I reckon he wil yeah.

    3. Red Dagger ✪
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Davies will start I think but long term I'd get rid of him to get rid of the headache.

  25. FIRMINOLOOKGOAL
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    No love for Davinson Sanchez? To replace Jones?

    1. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Vertonghen better option

      1. We Will Klopp you
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        This

        1. FIRMINOLOOKGOAL
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          I'm 0.1 shy 🙁

  26. THFC4LIFE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Bottomed
    Quick g2g lads?

    Elliot
    Naughton Bavies Daniels
    Sterling RLC Silva Hazard
    Lukaku Kane(c) Vardy

    Foster Mee TC Mbemba

    Cheers

    1. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Yes, GTG

      1. THFC4LIFE
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers

  27. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    DDG
    Azpi YedlinOtamendi
    Salah Silva Richarlison Pogba
    Kane Morata Abraham

    Elliot Ward Dunk Carroll

    How would this team look? Abraham to Niasse later.

    1. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Beautiful

      1. ooooo
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks

  28. UnitedFan
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    You guys reckon Davies will start this GW? Or just go with Vert?

  29. Wirtzle Gummidge
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Mee, Moreno or Dunk

    Bench one.

    1. b✪mber
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I'd bench all 3

      1. Pumpkinhead
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        This

      2. Wirtzle Gummidge
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Haha if only I could

        1. b✪mber
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          than bench Dunk and pray for a miracle.

    2. Seanigula
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I think Dunk will concede the most goals

  30. The Wise Owl
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Pens down?

    1. The Wise Owl
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Oh still another 55 minutes

      1. Pumpkinhead
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        That is a huge huuuuuuuuuge goof

    2. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Why?

    3. dhamphiir
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      55 minute left