Spot the Differential
24 November 2017 1004 comments
James H James H
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Backing Paul Pogba early paid off handsomely last weekend, and, this time around, we’re looking to one of his Man United team-mates to take advantage of another favourable home fixture

Elsewhere, a Watford defender who has gone under the radar for much of this season gets our seal of approval, while West Ham’s star man takes our fancy for David Moyes’ first home match in charge this evening.

Juan Mata

Handed the No 10 role at the expense of Henrikh Mkhitaryan for Manchester United’s 4-1 win over Newcastle United, Juan Mata now looks a different prospect ahead of tomorrow’s home meeting with Brighton & Hove Albion.

The Spain international registered two key passes, including one big chance that was converted by Romelu Lukaku in Gameweek 12.

Crucially, the playmaker, who is priced at just 6.9 in FPL, has started five of Man United’s six home matches and has returned a goal and an assist in his last two outings at Old Trafford.

Even with a peripheral role so far, often starting down the right flank, Mata has created a chance every 41 minutes. That’s a better rate than the likes of Brighton’s Pascal Gross (42) and Manchester City’s Leroy Sane (43).

With the return of Paul Pogba reigniting the United attack, Mata could now flourish.

Brighton arrive at Old Trafford on a five-match unbeaten run, but have lost 2-0 in each of their two previous encounters against top-six sides, at Arsenal and at home to Manchester City.

Man United’s schedule over the medium term, particularly between Gameweeks 17 and 23, is very favourable, further adding to the appeal of the 2.1%-owned Spaniard.

Providing we continue to see the goals flow with Pogba in the starting line up – United have averaged 3.2 goals per match with the France international in the side, compared to 1.6 without – Mata can be a factor.

For FPL managers who are unable or unwilling to stretch their budget to Pogba and Lukaku, the Man United schemer looks to be one to consider.

Kiko Femenia

Watford defender Kiko Femenia was forced off with a leg injury during last Sunday’s 2-0 over West Ham United.

But having been declared fit by Marco Silva, he gets our vote ahead of tomorrow’s trip to Newcastle United.

The Spaniard has enjoyed an impressive debut campaign so far and really caught the eye playing at right wing-back in Gameweek 12.

Silva could stick with the 3-4-2-1 formation against the Magpies, changing the profile of the 4.6%-owned defender.

Throughout the season, Femenia has offered a real threat down the right flank – he is second to only Richarlison for passes received (149 to 187) in the final third among Hornets players.

In terms of touches per minute, only Abdoulaye Doucoure is busier among Watford’s regular starters, while only Jose Holebas – who was dropped against the Hammers – has put in more crosses than Femenia, whose 35 attempts have all come from open play.

He is also strong in the Bonus Points System (BPS), and has impressively registered seven bonus points in the four matches where Silva’s side have produced a clean sheet.

Although the shut-out last weekend was Watford’s first since Gameweek 4, the match-up with Newcastle looks favourable from a defensive perspective.

Rafa Benitez’s side have only scored twice over the last four Gameweeks, creating just two big chances.

In both categories, they rank last among all 20 clubs.

Watford’s schedule is also kind in the medium term, so Femenia, who sets us back just 4.5 in FPL, can be an effective differential for some time to come.

Manuel Lanzini

Back from injury, and having completed 90 minutes in each of the last four Gameweeks, West Ham United’s Manuel Lanzini can get Gameweek 13 off to a flyer.

The Hammers host Leicester City tonight and the Argentine scored in the corresponding fixture last season.

Lanzini’s performances since returning from injury have been encouraging.

No West Ham player has had more shots (nine) or efforts on target (five), while his six key passes can be matched only by Pablo Zabaleta.

And his penchant for a long-range effort could be set to profit against a Foxes defence that have allowed 92 efforts outside the box – only Burnley (102) have allowed more.

With eight goals, three assists and an impressive 20 bonus points to his name last season, Lanzini has proven FPL pedigree.

If David Moyes’ side are to turn things around, the 6.8-valued midfielder will surely be the driving force.

Given that Leicester have earned just a single clean sheet on their travels, and only three teams have allowed more than their 35 shots on target, there’s optimism that the Hammers can enjoy success this evening.

After netting his first goal of this campaign in his last home fixture against Liverpool, Lanzini, who is sitting in just 0.6% of FPL squads, can be a key differential in Gameweek 13.

  1. Sterling is £11Mill..…
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Tonight’s the night non mahrez owners get seriously punished

    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      So basically everyone.

      1. Sterling is £11Mill..…
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Don’t know why he is so ignored I guess there isn’t many mid spots up for grabs but he has been returning good. Is cheap and a great differential tbh. And his performances have been awesome this season. I only put him in orgnally as a whim and he is still there like eight weeks later

        1. DA Minnion (Former great)
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Hope it works out for ya. He's a great player.

        2. Seanigula
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          He's overpriced when you can get the same returns from Richarlison, Gros and maybe now Pogba

      2. mosmof
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        If everyone gets punished, does anyone get punished if we all get punished equally?

        FPL tree falls in a forest.

    2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Finally, it's taken over a year

    3. Delph & Safety
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      What about non Vardy owners?

    4. Seanigula
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      The weekly returns I get from Gros in his place will more than make up for it

      1. Sterling is £11Mill..…
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        well I had Gross & Mahrez :P, ditched Gross now

  2. Delph & Safety
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Would captaining hazard over Kane/Lukaku be stupid?

    1. Red Dagger ✪
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Not stupid but I wouldn't do that.

      1. Delph & Safety
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah GW14 Swansea at home looks certain though.

    2. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      No. He's a great player in good form.Let's face it, Liverpool are poor at the back.

  3. HD7
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Do you think Mustafi will play all 3 matches in one week?

    1. The Wise Owl
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I think so

  4. Snoop
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    A. Davies + sterling to zaha + Daniels
    B. Jones + sterling to Dann or 4.7 def + zaha

    I’m planing to change Morata in next week so need funds.
    I’ve got two ft so no hit

  5. SBCFIFA
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Captain?

    A) Sane
    B) Salah
    C) Wilson
    D) Aguero

    1. Rik Waller
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Sane

    2. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Sane

  6. Ravager
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Elliot or Fabianski?

  7. The Count of Monte Cristo
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Probably a silly question, but start 2 please:

    A) Abraham
    B) Maguire
    C) Mee

    1. SBCFIFA
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      A+B

  8. Rik Waller
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Definitely bottled the Sane (c). I'm such a wimp.
    C'mon 'Arrrryyyyy!

  9. FC Hakkebøf
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Hey lads.

    For a different (danish) fantasy game with basically the same point system except bps. Which option would you prefer for the next couple of weeks?

    A) Morata, Sane, Lennon
    B) Sane, Hazard, DCL
    C) Morata, Hazard, Lennon

    NB: Transfer cost are based on player value. For instance Lennon and DCL will only cost me 1 point to transfer out compared to the other mentioned options that will cost 4 points.. so nailedness for the everton players is not a big issue

  10. The Red Devil
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    start mee or duffy?
    Captain who?
    Pogba
    Sane
    Lukaku
    Kane

    1. SuperHam
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Start mee captain sane

  11. kennethrhcp
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Which gets more points this week:

    A. RLC
    B. Pogba (-4)

    1. Rik Waller
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      RLC

      1. kennethrhcp
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Leaning this way. Thanks

    2. nkhoughton
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B

    3. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B

    4. kennethrhcp
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Cheers for replies

  12. nkhoughton
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Genuinely surprised Kane is top of the poll, I don't even trust him VC let alone captaincy

    1. kennethrhcp
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I'm going with the minster gamble of aguero over kane

      1. nkhoughton
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        If Aguero starts he could go mental

        1. mir
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          I've taken Aguero as can't stand the agony of the teamsheet. I do actually think he'll start this week but I've had enough of the constant worry of will he, won't he..

          1. kennethrhcp
            • 15 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            I'm getting rid next week id say

      2. Delph & Safety
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        VC Kane comes in with 20 points!

    2. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Have you got him?

      1. nkhoughton
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah

        1. Epic Fail
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Aint he a bit expensive for someone you don't think is capable enough for at least vice captain?

          1. b✪mber
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            This

  13. Franfe98
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Hi, keep aguero or buy morata? Thanks

    1. Rik Waller
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Keep for at least 2 gws

    2. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Keep Aguero. You just never know . He might start.

    3. SBCFIFA
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Keep and maybe Morata next gw

    4. Galza
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Get Morata and save your sanity...

  14. SuperHam
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Sterling and jones > sane and ogbonna for -4?

    1. Alonso The Great Midfielder
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      does ogbona play? just remove jones first

      1. SuperHam
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Seems to be while Fonte is out

        I just need a 4.3 def for the sane move

    2. nkhoughton
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      No but I'd sell Jones

      1. SuperHam
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Could just go jones to daniels

  15. Alonso The Great Midfielder
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    will wellbeck be first choice if fit?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Not sure. He hasn't been fit for 5 years.

    2. Pariße
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      No.

    3. Alonso The Great Midfielder
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      tq then

  16. dhamphiir
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Worth taking -4 hit to do this transfer?
    Jones (Have DDG) + Abraham —> Daniels/Moreno/Gomez + Wilson

    1. Andy'81
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I'm not keen on bringing in Wilson for a hit, with him just coming back from his lengthy lay off I can't see him starting three games in nine days especially with Defoe fully fit.

  17. Tottengus
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Morata or Hazard on WC?

    1. Delph & Safety
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Both

    2. nkhoughton
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Hazard

    3. XabiAlonso
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Morata

  18. Red Dagger ✪
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Thanks WWKY. I'm going to do it.....

    1. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Good luck pal, should get at least a clean sheet from him this gw

      1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Kane?

  19. Pariße
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Any defender worth getting for a hit to play over Mariappa (new)?

    1. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Budget?

      1. Pariße
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Up to 5.8m, but too bitter to buy back Otamendi for a hit, when I could've just sold Jones in the first place.

  20. Patch
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Come on Last-Minute-Louts what are we doing with Abraham?!?!

    A) Calvin guy who plays for Everton
    B) Wilson
    C) Niasse

    Won't be asking again, only 40 Mins to go...

    1. Delph & Safety
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I’d keep for 1 more GW

    2. turd ferguson
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      niasse next 2 gameweeks then wilson

      1. Pumpkinhead
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        :O

    3. mir
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Ibe just got Niasse as a long term enabler. It let's me get hazard and Morata next week.

      Hazard Richarlison Salah Sane Carrol

      Kane morata niasse

      I like that front. Will get RLC for Carrol at some point.

    4. Patch
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I made an Executive decision to keep Jones...

      I need death and destruction to reign on Dann in order to feel good this GW13

      If Dann does well then on Tues I use my next FT to get rid Jones for Dann

      Abraham my lad it has been fun, time to go. Wilson come on in my boi.

  21. Rones
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    On a WC:

    a)Keep silva for this week with money itb for hazard next week or

    b) just get hazard now?

    1. nkhoughton
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Either could work

  22. Klip Klopp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Chances Abraham plays?

    1. Patch
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I looked for him in training, but couldn't find anything relevant to today's session

  23. Delph & Safety
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Choupo Moting over Loftus-Cheek this week?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      No

    2. Galza
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Same decision.
      I’m going Choupo-Messi

  24. No Pirlo No Party
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Keep Cedric?

    Or Cedric > Max £5.1? (Have Daniels and Mee)

    1. Baz
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      keep this week

    2. E25
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Get him out. Kiko?

  25. jdp219
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    G2G? Or should I consider United attack for a hit?

    Fab
    Azpi, Ota, Ward
    Gros, Richo, RLC, Salah, Sane(vc)
    Jesus, Kane(c)

    1. E25
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Bench? Not keen on starting Ward

      1. jdp219
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Not thrilled with it either, tbh. Duffy and Jones are my other defs.

        I made a terrible knee-jerk transfer already, so anything else would be a hit.

  26. Dokdok666
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Has Tom Carroll lost his spot?

    1. Baz
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      yes., they did lose though so every chance he can win it back

    2. turd ferguson
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      yep. he's a dodo.

  27. E25
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    G2G and save FT this week?

    Fab
    Azpi Daniels Wimmer
    Salah Sterling Richarlison RLC
    Kane(c) Kun Vardy

    Elliot/Ward Duffy King
    1FT 2.4ITB

    1. GE
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Save

  28. Baz
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Brady to Richarlison (-4) ?

    1. Ibracadebruyne
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Dont

      1. turd ferguson
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Richarlison is top notch

        1. Ibracadebruyne
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Not worth a hit with upcoming schedule

    2. turd ferguson
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      yes.

    3. GE
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      No

    4. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

  29. Ibracadebruyne
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    A. Yedlin + Wilson

    B. Otamendi + bench fodder

    Cheers!

    1. GE
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B

    2. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B

  30. GE
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Team and bench gtg?

    (1FT, 0.3 itb)

    DeGea
    Azpi/Daniels/Mee
    Salah/Sane/Sterling/Richarlison/RLC
    Kane/Morata

    Bench: Speroni, Moreno, Duffy, Niasse