Dugout Discussion
28 December 2017 4341 comments
Paul Paul
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The curtain comes down on the second of four quick-fire festive Gameweeks this evening as Crystal Palace welcome Arsenal to Selhurst Park.

Up against the only side yet to keep a clean sheet in front of their own fans, the Gunners’ Alexandre Lacazette is the tenth top captain pick for Gameweek 20, handed the armband by 2.1% of Fantasy Premier League managers.

Having found the net in each of the last two, Mesut Ozil is the visitors’ form player, though Alexis Sanchez was back on the scoresheet against Liverpool last time out.

Both are owned by just 2% and could prove big differentials this evening.

Tonight’s teamsheet brings good news for the 11% still holding Sead Kolasinac, as he returns to the starting XI for the first time in four Gameweeks as the visitors revert to a wing-back set-up

The hosts, meanwhile, welcome back Christian Benteke from suspension. He bagged a goal and assist in his previous league appearance away to Swansea to hint at a return to form, though it’s Wilfried Zaha who has been the Eagles’ most impressive attacker of late.

Stationed up top in a front two, he has scored or assisted in five of his six home matches since returning from injury.

That output has been key to a run that’s seen Palace score two goals in each of the last six at Selhurst Park and could prove pivotal against an Arsenal rearguard with just two clean sheets in six on the road.

Paul Is certain he won't make the same mistakes next season. Follow them on Twitter

  1. The Polymath
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 18 days ago

    The rest of my ML have Salah and no Hazard, but I have both. If they all captain Salah and I captain Hazard is there over a 70% chance I will score more points?

    Any mathematicians out there with the actual probability?

    1. skully
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 18 days ago

      first u must tell CONTE to make sure HAZARD play the whole game..

      1. Chris_White
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 18 days ago

        He won't. Arsenal next. But the same probably goes for Salah.

      2. The Polymath
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 18 days ago

        Ok let's say I captain Morata instead, Again none of them have Morata.

        1. _Make
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          Morata is a safer pick for minutes, definitely.

    2. OldBenKenobi
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 18 days ago

      Don’t over think it. Both are “expected” to score well. If your leading MLs then imo I play it safe and go for the highest ownership captain (Salah) if chasing a lead then Hazard is a good option. Neither are bad choices this week

    3. MTPockets
        8 years, 18 days ago

        Anytime scorer odds:
        Morata 8/15
        Hazard 8/11
        Salah 4/6

        1. JustPark
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          I'm 12. Help me to decode these numbers please.

          1. SADIO SANÉ
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            Morata has the 'best' chance of scoring, but that doesn't take into account probablilty of a brace, hat-trick, assist, clean sheet point, bonus points

          2. ChelseaGuy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            Just do the division
            It tells you how much you'll get extra for each pound

            So the lower the money, it means the higher chances that bookies think he'll score
            Here, 1.Morata 2.Salah 3.Hazard

          3. tisza
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            likely to score at least 1 goal.

          4. MTPockets
              8 years, 18 days ago

              e.g. Morata 8/15 = 15/(8+15) = 0.65 = 65% bookie's implied probability of a goal.

              As above though, doesn't account for other factors (nor likelihood of starts or minutes).

        2. XabiAlonso
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          Safer to go salah

        3. Yellin' in my Ear
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          No. It's simple maths, will Hazard score more than the average of Salah and your opponent's haz replacement (Coutinho etc)

        4. Jeremy Corbyn
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          How did you come up with that number? It shows you have no clue of what probability means LOL

          1. Jeremy Corbyn
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            I reveal you one simple fact. The probability of Salah or Hazard scoring is independent of how many of your friends have them in your mini-league. I can't even believe I have to write this LMAO

            1. The Polymath
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 18 days ago

              You have missed the point but if it makes you LYAO carry on.

              1. Jeremy Corbyn
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 8 Years
                8 years, 18 days ago

                I'm considering using your post in my next lecture on probabilities. No joke.

        5. Get up ya bum
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          😆

      • Butcher
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 18 days ago

        Who is still in the cup??

        1. Yellin' in my Ear
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          o/

          1. Yellin' in my Ear
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            Though my next opponent is Kaneless so I may be in trouble this week

        2. XabiAlonso
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          o/
          Beat a dead team by 2points that had Sanchez Alonso and son

        3. _Make
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          Went out to an Aguero captainer last week. I would have thumped him if I had played him in any other round. So it goes.

        4. 404_FC
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          o/

        5. Arteta
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          I am and it's my only chance of winning a trophy this season

        6. Tshelby
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          o/

        7. Srv210
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          o/

      • Gaffa914
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 18 days ago

        Hazard and Depoitre —> Lingard and Morata ??

        1. Butcher
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          Waste of transfers I reckon

        2. QuintonFortune25
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          Yeah go for it if for free

        3. OldBenKenobi
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          Side ways and bad use of transfers before a DGW

        4. Arteta
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          It's a no from me

        5. built_this_city
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          Hazard out before stoke ?
          Crazy

        6. ILOVEBAPS
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          Nope.

      • QuintonFortune25
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 18 days ago

        Niasse to Quaner best use of FT here?

        DDG
        Alonso - Otamendi - Jones - Mee
        Salah (vc) - Sterling - Silva - Richarlison - RLC
        Morata (c)

        Speroni - Marriapa - Niasse - Kane

        1FT, 0.0ITB

        1. skully
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          nope..

        2. Tshelby
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          Safe for next week

          1. QuintonFortune25
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            Just bit concerned that I have no bench.. At least I could start Quaner and have RLC first sub. But then again 2 FT for the DGW is nice

        3. George James
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          Swap Niasse and RLC

          1. QuintonFortune25
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            You think Niasse will play??

            1. Tshelby
              • 11 Years
              8 years, 18 days ago

              I think he will. DCL might be rested

              1. QuintonFortune25
                • 9 Years
                8 years, 18 days ago

                Ah fairs I’ll give him another week then, cheers

        4. tisza
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          wait for confirmation to see if Silva is back. Was reported earlier this week he was back in Spain again.

      • Kuzser
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 18 days ago

        Need some hekp on who to play in GW 21 boys:
        1)Pope
        2)Elliott

        a)Mee
        b)Daniels

        1. Don Rogers FC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          2b

        2. skully
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          2 and A

        3. Chris_White
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          2A

        4. MTPockets
            8 years, 18 days ago

            1,a

          • barracuda
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            2A

          • Sune
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            2

            Get rid of Daniels.

        5. Dacra
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          Worth any hit, or hope I don't need a bench this week?

          Elliott (Foster)
          Alonso - Jones - Zanka (Ogbonna, Hunemeir)
          Salah - Sterling - Kdb - Pogba - RLC
          DCL - Morata (Kane)

          0ft
          0.1 itb

          1. skully
            • 16 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            GTG

          2. barracuda
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            You will need your bench this GW

            1. Dacra
              • 11 Years
              8 years, 18 days ago

              Worth a hit? All 3 are non playing.

              1. barracuda
                • 8 Years
                8 years, 18 days ago

                Not for a hit. no

        6. Chris_White
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          Jones or Robertson?

          1. Astronautovic
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            Robertson

          2. skully
            • 16 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            jones

          3. Kuzser
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            Jones

          4. 404_FC
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            jones for now

          5. Sune
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            Robertson

        7. Astronautovic
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          Do you think coutinho will be rested?

          1. OldBenKenobi
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            Possibility due to him playing 90 mins a lot recently

          2. Arteta
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            Yes. Either tomorrow or on Monday

            1. Yellin' in my Ear
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 18 days ago

              Hopefully Monday given my lack of weekend bench. Please Klopp...

          3. skully
            • 16 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            nope.. play until the end..

          4. 404_FC
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            should rest this gw

        8. The Polymath
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          Captain

          A) Hazard
          B) Morata?

          1. skully
            • 16 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            MOR

          2. Butcher
            • 12 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            Hazard. On pens

          3. OldBenKenobi
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            If you have both probably Hazard

          4. ILOVEBAPS
            • 13 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            Haz

          5. Arteta
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            I'm going Haz

          6. Gommy
            • 15 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            I have both and I'm going Morata. Plenty of rest lately and enjoyed himself to a Hat-trick against this lot earlier in the season.

        9. barracuda
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          Is Kiko back troops? Could be a nice option for this GW only.

        10. dunas_dog
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          With free transfer DCL to

          A Lapoitre
          B C Wilson
          C Anyone else at max 5.7 m
          D Save transfer and risk DCL rest

          DCL will need to be transferred out sometime soon anyway if Everton sign new striker

          1. Midlands Saint73
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            Your last statement is true and with that in mind I don't think he'll be getting a rest until then so may as well keep.

        11. rnrd
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          2 days between the two spurs game next game week.
          Are D Sanchez and vertongen 100% nailed? Or could one be rested for one game?
          Danchez maybe a safer bet as he had 2gw rest on gw16 and 17?

          1. Fernando Torres
            • 14 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            Both are nailed. They are 2 of the 3 best CBs in the league.

            1. eazy
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 18 days ago

              No way man 😀

              1. eazy
                • 9 Years
                8 years, 18 days ago

                And I meant not 2 of the best 3. Nailed yes, I think so

                1. Fernando Torres
                  • 14 Years
                  8 years, 18 days ago

                  Who's better?

                  1. eazy
                    • 9 Years
                    8 years, 18 days ago

                    I probably would rate Otamendi and Koscielny above them. Now that I think about it, it's not that bad of a shout actually 😀

            2. Arteta
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 18 days ago

              Lol

        12. Fernando Torres
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          Play Gomes or Elliot?

          1. ILOVEBAPS
            • 13 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            Elliot

        13. built_this_city
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          Ok guys really need your help, is it worth saving my free transfer for 2 spurs next week?

          Elliot,
          Smalling*, Otamendi, Robertson, Mee, Hun
          Hazard (v/c), Salah (v/c), Richarlison, Sterling, RLC
          Kane**, Morata, DCL*
          1 FT, 0.0 ITB

          1. barracuda
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            Bank FT

          2. Tshelby
            • 11 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            How will you get the spurs mid in? Imo the DGW is nice but also a short term don't think any spurs mid is worth changing Sterling, Salah,..

            I would safe your FT this week

            1. built_this_city
              • 8 Years
              8 years, 18 days ago

              cheers guys, i think ill do haz and smalling to Alli and Vert (maybe even just for a week)

            2. Yellin' in my Ear
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 18 days ago

              Exactly my thoughts

        14. Rinseboy
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          Is KDB and Hunemieser to Richarlison and Alonso for a -4 madness this week?

          Gives me a bench player in case anyone gets rested too?

          Team is 
          Pope
          Kenny Jones Otta
          KDB Sterling Salah Hazard RLC
          Firmino DCL

          Speronni Kane Ogbonna Hunemieser.

          1. Tshelby
            • 11 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            You might want to consider Lingard if you make that move? Richarlison seems to be over his top fpl wise

            1. Yellin' in my Ear
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 18 days ago

              This

        15. SpaceCadet
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          Kane > morata for free? Would have to take a double hit to get in dgw players next gw. Worth it?

          1. the snazzy viking
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            nah

          2. _Make
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            Definitely not. I wouldn't do it if I could do it all for frees.

          3. 404_FC
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            and how's ur team look like ?

            1. SpaceCadet
              • 12 Years
              8 years, 18 days ago

              ddg
              christensen otamendi robertson
              hazard salah coutinho sterling richarlison
              dcl quaner

              joel mariappa kane masuaku

          4. Yellin' in my Ear
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            Nope

        16. Boydinho
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          Worth switching Azpi to Alonso?

          1. _Make
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            If you can afford it, yes. Alonso is clicking into gear and is, IMO, worth the extra (if you can get him whilst the gap is still small).

            Not urgent though - kind of sideways.

            1. Boydinho
              • 11 Years
              8 years, 18 days ago

              Have two FT and my only concern is Silva.

              1. _Make
                • 8 Years
                8 years, 18 days ago

                I would say do it, but for Silva. Nobody knows what is happening with him and he simply isn't training. What does your midfield look like?

                1. Boydinho
                  • 11 Years
                  8 years, 18 days ago

                  RLC, Sterling, Salah, Richarlison, Silva.
                  The latter two will be Arnie and Son for the DGW though.

                  1. _Make
                    • 8 Years
                    8 years, 18 days ago

                    Yeah, may as well stick, but don't expect Silva to play. Azpi to Alonso looks safe.

          2. 404_FC
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            if i hav 2 ft then yes

            if 1 i will save

          3. skully
            • 16 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            why??

        17. 404_FC
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          my def budget is limited (otamendi,alonso,3.9,....)

          which combo will u pick for 8.6m

          a) ogbona 4.4 + holgate 4.2
          b) francis 4.3 + martina 4.3
          c) yedlin 4.4 + wimmer 4.2
          d) others
          e) sell otamendi or alonso and upgrade def

          thanks

          1. Yellin' in my Ear
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            A of those. Can you raise funds elsewhere?

            1. 404_FC
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 18 days ago

              can't

              thanks

        18. Dannyb
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          Has Aguero got a good chance of minutes this weekend? I own him , Depoitre and Niasse and I've benched the DGW players. Wanna save 2ft for the double next week.

          1. skully
            • 16 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            i think yes...definitely..he will play

        19. Malkmus
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          Ok then. Have 2 ft

          A - Elliot to Adrian (dgw prep). Play speroni v city this gw

          B - save and do Elliot to Adrian week after for -4, will be doing haz and richa to arny and eriksen/alli

          Ta !

          1. Kuzser
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            A just no to loose a ft

            1. Malkmus
              • 14 Years
              8 years, 18 days ago

              Cheers

          2. 404_FC
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            why not speroni to adrian ?

        20. Kuzser
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          A bit weird question, but do you know guys why does that price prediction website do it for price rises, but not for price falls?

          1. SADIO SANÉ
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            it does, click on Target and it will rearrange it

            1. Kuzser
              • 8 Years
              8 years, 18 days ago

              Cheers

          2. JustPark
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            The website does both.

        21. Bobadoba
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          Lacazette and Sane to Morata and a mid for a hit?

          Would then captain Morata.

          1. The Son Haz got Atsu on
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            laca looked good why bother

        22. JustPark
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          "MH: We are missing a few. We have a longer term injuries with Bruno Martins Indi who is two or three weeks away. Ryan Shawcross is out for 2/3 weeks. Erik Pieters may have a chance. Kurt Zouma is ineligible. Glen Johnson is unavailable."

          Morata(c) locked and sound. 😎

          1. JustPark
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            Or Hazard(c).

          2. JJO
            • 13 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            Knowing this Conte could go with Willian Pedro Bat as front3

        23. French Gooner
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          Morning Gents, thoughts on this bunch?

          Elliott / Fab*
          Masuaku / Mee / Kabasele / Wimmer / Fernandez
          Haz / Salah / Cout / Arrnie / A.King
          Kane / Morata / DCL
          2FT 0.3ITB

          Already have 3 DGW players and thinking of Haz + A.King > Alli + Lingard next week

          A) Fab>Adrian
          B) Fernandez > Dunk
          C) Wimmer > Dunk

        24. Salarrivederci
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          Should I just take it on the chin if I end up playing 9-10 man this GW? 😉

          Courtois
          Otamendi, Christensen, Jones, Klavan
          Salah, Sterling, Ha(C)ard, Richarlison, Atsu
          Firmino

          (Speroni, DCL, Kane, Masuaku)

          1 FT
          0,8 ITB

        25. Strchld
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          Have to burn FT.
          A) Gomez to Robertson (more nailed when more out?)
          B) Pope to Adrian
          C) Mee to Dunk

          1. Jeremy Corbyn
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            c

          2. Sune
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            A

            1. Strchld
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 18 days ago

              Do u you think he is more nailed now? When Moreno is coming back?

        26. carlitosaway
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          GW21 team deadline Sat 30th 2pm
          GW21 waiver deadline Fri 29th 2pm

          I can’t figure out when GW22 team and waiver deadlines

        27. Lignja
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          For dgw would you rather have Ali and Eriksen or one of them and Arnautovic?

          1. French Gooner
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            arnie + Alli imo

          2. Dannyb
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            Alli and Erik

          3. 404_FC
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            son and arnie

          4. skully
            • 16 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            Alli/Erik +Arnau

          5. Miguel Sanchez
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            Arnautovic and Son/Alli

        28. Alan_T
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          What do people make on the DCL comments?

          Still nailed until they buy someone?

          1. Jeremy Corbyn
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            Atm yes, then we ship

          2. _Make
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            'Nailed' is overused on here. For me, nailed means no question about starting, but it has come to mean 'likely to start'. I think he is still a very likely starter, but not nailed 😉

            1. Jeremy Corbyn
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              8 years, 18 days ago

              Also, nailed can be a temporary situation. LIke DCL

          3. The Son Haz got Atsu on
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            well obviously not

          4. Meinhoff
            • 13 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            They just bought Tossun from Besiktas. DCL looks okay for a couple more games tho

          5. John Nerdelbaum
            • 13 Years
            8 years, 18 days ago

            he only gets 1 or 2 points anyway - not the end of the world if he doesn't start

        29. The Mighty Whites
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 18 days ago

          1FT, 0.7 ITB

          Foster, Elliot

          Christiansen, Dunk, Simpson, Ogbonna, Kenny

          Salah, Coutinho, Sterling, Gross, Carroll

          Kane, Lacazette, Vardy