The Pre-Match Preamble - Gameweek 38 Opinion
28 April 2018 1877 comments
Mark Mark
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I’ve been shocked by the impact of the last few Gameweeks.

This period of the season, notable for the Double Gameweeks and blanks, has always troubled me. While I acknowledge that they bring the Fantasy Football season and communities to life, I’m also wary of the advantage that they present to myself and other managers who study and plan around them.

When the Triple Captain and Bench Boost chips were added to our armoury, those concerns were magnified further. Now it appears that the Free Hit has sharpened those weapons.

Quite frankly, I don’t feel that I deserve to be ranked just outside the top five thousand managers. It feels far too kind.

I set myself high standards and this season has felt like a disappointment. Memorable Gameweeks have been rare and, in the main, it feels like I’ve been treading water.

Looking back, while I avoided the pitfalls of #Kaneixt and benefited from that rather cruel twist, the Spurs striker has still done for me.

My unshakable faith in Kane’s ability to explode points and outscore Salah as a captain – particularly over a run of three double-digit scores for the Egyptian from Gameweek 26 – should have inflicted irreparable damage.

I felt it had. It seemed that a rank of around 30k was now the only realistic target, with any hope of edging into the top 10k abandoned.

But I’d played down how this period of the season can transform matters.

Three of my top four weekly scores have this season have arrived in the last four Gameweeks. The Double Gameweeks, blanks and chips have changed everything.

I’ll take some credit; there were some decent transfers and my solid preparation for Gameweek 31, allowing me to reserve the Free Hit for last weekend, was perhaps a turning point.

But may gains over these last few weeks are still surprising, with my current position feeling almost unjust as a summary of my season.

Before the chips were introduced, we would surely define a top 10k finish as an outstanding campaign. But with them, I’m wondering if we should be aiming higher.

In some of my mini-leagues, it’s a different story. Up against managers with great experience and pedigree, my rank shrinks back to mediocrity.

There are many proven FPL managers placed above me – Jay Eggersdorf, Jack Wain, Mark McGettigan (aka FPL General) – to name just three – who have, once again, experienced fantastic campaigns, pushing up into the top 1000 and beyond.

This is no accident. There is now a structure and formula used to build a strong FPL season and these guys have it cracked.

An early Wildcard and a consistent selection of the optimum captain can hopefully achieve a 10k rank by Gameweek 30. After that, the fixtures and chips can take over and help push on towards a three-digit finish.

Of course, it’s not that simple, and the achievement should still be applauded. However, I wonder if, like me, experienced FPL managers are now redefining their view of a “good” and “bad” season.

I’d be more shocked if any of that aforementioned trio of managers ever slipped to a finish outside the 100k, than if any of them won the FPL crown. Was that the case a few seasons back?

It feels like something has changed.

It seems that there is now a proven strategy for the final set of Gameweeks; it works and works well for those willing to invest time and effort.

I can’t deny that it’s been fun, but now we almost need a new ingredient to shake things up.

A Premier League winter break might do that. Early season chips would certainly change the landscape.

Something needs to disrupt the pattern of a Fantasy Premier League season before we all start getting a little too comfortable.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

  1. Sánchez
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    My rival 40 ahead with Salah and Kane. Knew I only had Kane. I assumed he'd nulify Kane by captaining him and still have Salah as differential. He didn't. He's gone Salah. Feel a bit daft for not going Kane now. I went maverick on Sterling.

    1. Clintymints
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Don't fret just yet

    2. The Royal Robin
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Could pay off.

  2. Flinchy
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Mark, that rank increase is awesome. I remember one of these back posted from you back around Christmas (I think?!) and you were having a mare and you kept your nerve and pushed on.

    1. Fantastisk
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Steady on son.

    2. Fuchs Mane Kante
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      That you Mark.

      1. Flinchy
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Come on! Credit where credit is due.

  3. The Royal Robin
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    A) VVD > Smalling
    B) Salah > KDB
    C) Salah > Hazard

    1. Tekkerslovakiaftw
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      B

  4. Patch
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Just for the record I am the only person betting against Man City doing well.

    #Casual #Differential.

    Go Salah make these muggles pay!!!!

    1. Ragabolly
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I am with you

      1. Patch
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        #1 has triple City

        Figured with 70 point gap, it's make or break

        I am banking on Kaku and Salah Cap to bring me up!

    2. Udo
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Well, don't think the wife approved that bet, did she;-)

      1. Patch
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Haha true she is quite often right, but I need to go maverick for ML purposes!

    3. Fred54
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Heh, doing the total opposite. No Salah, triple Citeh.

      That's why we keep coming back to this game!

      1. Patch
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        May the best man win 🙂 I'm guessing we both have Hurrikane

        1. Fred54
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Yep.

          1. Patch
            • 8 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            Let's circle back tomorrow afternoon

    4. Old Schoolᴼˢ “disa…
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      No Salah, no Citeh....

      I’m fooked

      1. Patch
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Wow I'm guessing Chelsea are your differentials!

        1. Old Schoolᴼˢ “disa…
          • 14 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Triple spurs, still double Leicester.. still trying to be different... Citeh coming in next week though

  5. Clintymints
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Closed a 70 point gap on first place over the last few weeks to 8.

    He wild carded this week matching a few of my players. 5 out of the main 11 Notably there is NO Sterling or Jesus but Dave Silva in, Vardy, Eriksen and Kante?. Also Kane IN and captain, same captain as myself.

    Here's my lads

    DdG Ryan
    Smalling Robertson Cedric Morgan Lowton
    Sterling Mahrez Son Willian Gudmundsson
    Kane Jesus Barnes.

    vs

    McCarthy Fabianski
    Smalling Creswell Maguire Cedric Mawson
    Salah D.Silva Eriksen Kante JwP
    Kane Vardy Perez

    Should be grand right?

  6. Fuchs Mane Kante
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Only 50 to 70 points from 100k to 10k even less than from 100k to 300k.

    Mark talks nonsense half the time and anyone who has been around for more than eight years knows this anyway.

    Still not adressing multiple teams or new teams every week to squew the algorithm.

  7. Ragabolly
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Top 1k captains:

    48.2% Kane
    44.7% Salah

    That’s gonna be interesting

    1. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      C'mon Mo!!!

    2. Clintymints
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Wow Some pushing some playing safe. Salah haul might be slightly less detrimental to Kane cappers

      1. Sánchez
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Which is which.
        Any of these is playing safe I'd say

    3. Richd
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Yeah I thought Kane would be ahead. Thanks for posting.

      Come on arry

    4. Norman Conquest
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      i went eriksen it's going to be a long weekend

    5. Ragabolly
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      It’s interesting how much trust is put in Kane based only on reputation

      1. Clintymints
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        On absolutely no form whatsoever

        He needs to grab the game by the balls and bang some goals in. FA and the goal claim are doing him no favours

      2. The Royal Robin
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Interesting view you pose. True too.

      3. Richd
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Only on reputation?

        So not Watford away performances?

      4. Begbie.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        It isn't based "only" on reputation, though. He has 25 goals this season.

        1. The Royal Robin
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          But he's hardly in the form Salah is. That's all.

          1. Begbie.
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            True but I think the Roma game midweek has played a part in more going with Kane. If Liverpool are, say, 2-0 up around 60ish he's surely coming off? Kane's probably getting 90 (and is due returns)

            1. The Royal Robin
              • 10 Years
              7 years, 7 months ago

              But if Salah scores 2 (probably will have something to do with them) then who cares when he comes off?

        2. Ragabolly
          • 15 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Yeah, you know what I meant

      5. G-Whizz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Form > reputation for me and Mo is showing some form...

    6. Fred54
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      What's the cross over ownership.

      BEFORE the deadline it was:

      Salah & Kane ownership
      Overall (live) teams - 17.1%
      Top 1000 - 19.1%

    7. Ghost Gooner
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Pretty close, I think a lot of the Kane cappers are due to no Salah

  8. @FPL_liverbird (liverpoolfa…
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Eyeing up this for next week, Worth it?

    Mahrez,L Cook,Dunk > Sterling,Smalling,King -8

  9. Bruno Bruno!!
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Where are my fellow D.Silva (C)

    1. Viper
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Who's your VC?

    2. Maddamotha
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Really?

    3. Elvy
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Looking to see who they vice captained.

    4. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Looking at their vice captains...

    5. Clintymints
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Reports suggest he out :~/

    6. Swanremainsthesame
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Cracking open a bottle of sorrow drowner I should think.

  10. Maddamotha
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Now Im paranoid Verth will be benched for Sanchez and Alderweireld.

    1. Viper
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Don't overthink it.

      Worrying over something you can't control is like paying interest on a loan you haven't taken out yet 😉

      1. Respect My Authoritah
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        mind=blown

      2. Richd
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        If he’s worried about the interest before taking the loan he shouldn’t get the loan right ?

        Silly transfer in that case 😉

    2. CloudSky
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Based on what?

      1. Maddamotha
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Based on i just transferred him in

        1. Maddamotha
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          So basically nothing

  11. Salarrivederci
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    I am gonna sh*t myself every time Salah gets the ball.

    Take him off already, Klopp.

  12. diesel001
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Basically Salah(c) (125% EO) vs Kane(c) (120% EO) this GW

    1. Feloh
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      wtf

  13. mcrayeps
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    need -8 to get salah on GW 38

    Damn

    1. Richd
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Well don’t then. Unless protecting a large lead.

  14. Fuchs Mane Kante
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Good luck to the Triple captainers.

    Only 5 Gws to late.

  15. Fantastisk
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Just logged on...Salah hat trick yet?

    1. Richd
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      He’s walking strange down the tunnel

      1. Richd
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        It’s either his large Egyptian balls or an injury

  16. Brosstan
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Both Kane and Salah above 100 EO (126 and 120%)

  17. lugs
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    pray for Mo , Shawcross is sharpening his studs as we speak

  18. VanDijksToWatchOutFor
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Salah non owners,

    What would be accept from Salah today, eight, nine?

    1. Sánchez
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      5 points or less

    2. rivercityransom
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      i would take nine

    3. MTPockets
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Ostrich-rules today.
        If I don't watch it, it didn't happen right...

      • Sailboats
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Below 10

      • Fred54
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        I could live with two goals, CS...except I think chances of him actually getting bonus for once could be high.

        Thing is though its a long term move, need whom ever I replaced him with to outscore him by end of GW37.

      • Business Cat
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Time for an untimely blank 😉

      • CloudSky
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        A goal, cs and 1 bonus. So 9.

      • VanDijksToWatchOutFor
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        5 points sounds amazing! I'd take that all day.
        Even ten, yes, that'd be okay. Not season wrecking.
        Haha, mtp, I've decided the opposite. Got to watch it. Feels like if I don't watch it someone will sneak in another goal for him!

      • Tekkerslovakiaftw
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Well seeing he got 2 Gola's and 2 assists in CL I'd be happy with just a goal and assist

    4. Positive vibes
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Come on Salah!!

    5. Sánchez
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      So what was Salah's top 10k EO?

      1. Fantastisk
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        10000000%

      2. rivercityransom
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        125%

      3. Ragabolly
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        So far I only have top 5k stats

        Salah EO 123.9%
        Kane EO 122.2%

      4. CloudSky
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        125%

      5. Brosstan
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        126%

    6. WDT
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Less bricking it, more laying the Shard, Big Ben and all of B&Q's building materials combined in my trousers at having no Salah.

      1. Fantastisk
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        LOL

      2. The Royal Robin
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Hahaha.

    7. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      is doubling on swansea defense a good idea for thye last 2 gws
      i.e. mawson and naughton

      1. Begbie.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Not for me. I know they have the DGW but it just means 2 games for them to concede in rather than one. I'd only ever double up on a defence if it was a premium team in form.

      2. Swanremainsthesame
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        DGW 37 with on the beach Bournemouth plus relegated Southampton home, followed by relegated stoke home gw38
        locked & loaded here.

    8. _Greg
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I reckon salah will get one today.

      1. Bubz
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Just one hat trick?

        1. _Greg
          • 15 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Maybe I was wrong!

    9. The Royal Robin
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      7 players in next week's DGW... Not bad considering I WC'd in January.

    10. Begbie.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I've been captaining Salah a lot but I've decided to go with Kane and already bottling it. I can't even imagine how the non owners are feeling 🙂

      1. MTPockets
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Salah vs troll. I'd have picked Salah.

          1. Sailboats
            • 10 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            Kane the type of player to score a hat trick this GW. Then blank in The DGw

        • Richd
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          I’m happy with my team. One Salah goal is fine. The funds have really boosted me up the ranks. First green arrows in weeks since selling !

      2. mcrayeps
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        make us proud Butland!

      3. Old Schoolᴼˢ “disa…
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        I would be over the moon with just one goal from Salah today

        Clutching

      4. Jam0sh
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Cmon Stoke!!

        1. Business Cat
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          This

          Oatcakes engaged!

      5. Sim Simma
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Should have triple-captained Salah this week

        1. Begbie.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Imagine triple captaining him v Watford 😮

        1. Sim Simma
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Captaining Ings will end in disappointment i'm afraid

          1. Clintymints
            • 16 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            Or genius

        2. A Team Of James McCleans
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          I’ve not got much left to lose tbh