634x258 Scout Notes
24 February 2012 765 comments
Anorak Anorak
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Here at The Scout we’re always looking for an edge, something that will give both us and our readers a little extra when the action unfolds at the weekend. With that in mind (and a nod to the readership) we bring you a new angle on the Fantasy fare; a statistical look at the middle men….

We spend hours, days, even whole weeks considering the players to entrust with our Fantasy fortunes but despite their fine skills and vast wages, even they are rendered impotent when it comes to the shrill blasts and flashes of cardboard that punctuate our beautiful game. With red and yellow cards, and perhaps most notably the awarding of penalties, these men in yellow, blue, orange and occasionally black have the power to make or break a gameweek with a single decision – and, as we’ll find, some are significantly more likely to than others.

Michael Oliver

Having celebrated his 27th birthday this week, Mr Oliver is easily the youngest referee on the roster, and perhaps this goes some way to explain the general good feeling towards him (his very low yellow card average – 2.43 per match, is another good indication, though). Scratch the surface of his stats so far this season, however, and we find a potential gem staring us in the face.

The fresh faced official tops the ‘penalties per match’ stat ahead of the weekend with, on average, a spot-kick awarded for every 2 Premier League games officiated (7 in 14). With his last two games failing to deliver anything more than a few yellow cards, his fingers must be twitching in anticipation.

The powers that be have assigned him to Stamford Bridge this weekend, as Chelsea take on Bolton and, with stats like those, the designated penalty takers will have pricked their ears at that news, potentially giving Monday’s Watchlist candidate Juan Mata a chance to really stake his claim to the duties he has supposedly been afforded by Villas-Boas.

Bolton have conceded just 2 spot-kicks all season, though, whereas Chelsea have doubled that tally, with 4. All three of the Trotters’ designated takers, Ivan Klasnic, Kevin Davies and Martin Petrov, have fallen out of favour of late, making it difficult to ascertain just who would step up, in the event of an award for the away side on Saturday.

Mike Dean

The other appointment of note ahead of the Gameweek 26 fixtures was that of penalty-giver extraordinaire Mike Dean to the north London Derby fixture between Arsenal and Spurs. If this had been last season, we could almost guarantee a penalty (or two) from this appointment and, if it weren’t for Michael Oliver, then Dean would once again be topping those stats, having awarded eight league penalties at a ratio of 0.4 per game.

A nod, then, to a couple of Dutch masters, Robin van Persie and fit again Rafa van der Vaart ahead of Sunday’s clash. It’s also worth noting, though, that the rivals have conceded just 3 penalties between them all season, with Spurs’ 1 the joint-lowest in the league, alongside Fulham.

A further point of interest on Mike Dean is that he also sits second only to Phil Dowd in the yellow card tables with 65 handed out in his 20 league games compared to Dowd’s 72 at 4 per game. In a fixture that’s likely to be spicy before it’s even started, and both van Persie and van der Vaart no stranger to over exuberant censure (most recently in European competition – Barcelona and Twente respectively spring to mind from last season), then don’t be surprised to see the odd point missing from their final gameweek score. The Gunners, in particular, will need to be aware of Dean’s penchant for flashing the cards- they’ve picked up 14 more bookings than Spurs already this term.

Mike Jones

Finally on our refereeing round up, we turn to the third name in our hit list, Mike Jones. Not so well known, but into his fourth season as a top flight referee, it’s this unassuming figure that tops the red card stat for the season so far.

With reds shown for two yellows included in our numbers, Mr Jones has now dismissed five players in his 15 games (most recently Gareth Barry in Gameweek 20), and with 63 yellow cards to his name (including a massive eight in the gameweek 7 match up between Swansea and Stoke) at an average of 4.20 per game – his officiating may be key if Blackburn and Man City are to maintain a full complement of players for the 90 minutes.

Of the two teams, Rovers have been far more inclined to pick up a booking- 48 yellows is the third worst disciplinary record, whereas City, with 32 bookings, have the fourth best. For Steve Kean and the visitors’ sake, it’s maybe a good job that Jason Lowe is also suspended, then.


MatchesYC TotalYC/MatchRC TotalPen TotalPen/MatchGW26 Fixture
Michael Oliver14342.43470.50Chelsea vs Bolton
Mike Dean20653.25180.40Arsenal vs Tottenham
Mike Jones15634.20560.40Man City vs Blackburn

Anorak Time flies like an arrow; fruit flies like a banana. Follow them on Twitter

765 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Scroobius Mac
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    Love the title. Also great new feature. Nice one Anorak.

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  2. Back on the horse
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    transfer in Raylor or Cahill?

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    1. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      That's what I'm trying to decide too.

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      1. The Japanager: Roberto Newm…
        • 15 Years
        13 years, 9 months ago

        Lets see, one plays for a team that keeps clean sheets, and the other doesn't. Not really that hard.

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      2. jimski
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 9 months ago

        There finally seems to be a Raylor bandwagon forming on FFS. Argh. I shall resist. He hasn't been near my team yet and I'm stubborn.

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        1. A.
          • 14 Years
          13 years, 9 months ago

          Same, I had Simpson over him from the start, and at every point it's been 'he can't keep this up, he'll get dropped' but he's still in the team scoring more points than ever 😉

          I don't like the risk though, I'm happy enough without him, a bit too expensive, and an anti-differential

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  3. SwindonSteve
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    Can we have an article about the type of studs we are expecting players to use this weekend?

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  4. Pabster
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    Simple question: Who will have more points this week, Shawcross or Cisse?

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  5. Back on the horse
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    Nice shout out to RBJ's sister, RoysCallerAnne

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  6. Mull
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    Great article Anorak. I just noticed a lot of refs are called Michael.

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    1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      😛

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      1. Mull
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 9 months ago

        Are you a ref as well?

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        1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          13 years, 9 months ago

          Well ... I try yo keep you lot in line ... 😉

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          1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            13 years, 9 months ago

            *to

            Blame it on the boogie!

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  7. JoeySamSam
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    A) What midfielder should i get for up to 7.1m? (Oxlade, Silva, McClean, Giggs)

    B) Should I play Vorm or Sorensen this week?

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    1. adziom
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      A) Silva for 7.1M? Good luck with that. McClean.

      B) Flip a coin, Vorm, narrowly..

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    2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      Sorenson, imo.

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    3. A.
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      I'm playing Sorensen out of those two, the scout picks convinced me 😉

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  8. Kagawa-san-mia
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    Christopher Samba has this evening completed his move from Blackburn Rovers to Russian side Anzhi Makhachkala for an undisclosed fee.

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    1. Dawson
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      thats a shame - good player in BPL

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    2. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      He'll be on mega bucks there.

      Barclays bank will be happy too, they can get paid now.

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  9. Slumdog Mignolet
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    Transfers made. Am I good to go? Cheers!

    Al-Habsi
    Taylor R / Evans J / Simpson
    Bale / Sess / Silva / Yaya
    Ba / Aguero (C) / RVP

    (Vorm / McClean / Taiwo / Caulker)

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    1. super zlatan
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      Yep. Looks good.

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  10. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    Another cracker, Anorak! 🙂

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  11. Screaming Midget
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    Am I crackers playing Beausejour over Dempsey?

    The reason why I’m doing it is partly due to Beausejour’s impressive current form and also because Fulham have only managed to score 7 goals in 12 games on the road.. plus Dempsey is so-so away, when he’s bigger points have been at home.

    And won’t Dempsey be back in midfield if Pogrebnyak is up top?

    The rest of the midfield is Silva, Bale and McClean.

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    1. The Japanager: Roberto Newm…
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      Play Dempsey for sure.

      Dempsey scores MORE when he is in midfield. Pog being there helps him.

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      1. Screaming Midget
        • 15 Years
        13 years, 9 months ago

        And what about Beausejour playing very well and at home to Fulham? He too could grab an assist or 2 as he's playing left wing.

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        1. Screaming Midget
          • 15 Years
          13 years, 9 months ago

          *Wigan

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        2. Screaming Midget
          • 15 Years
          13 years, 9 months ago

          Try again.... VIlla.

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        3. The Japanager: Roberto Newm…
          • 15 Years
          13 years, 9 months ago

          Its still Wigan though. You can't exactly count on it.

          I mean, come on....he had two assists. You really want to bench one of the top midfielders in FPL this year when he is playing a terrible defense just because a Wigan player has gotten a couple assists?

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    2. Barnsley FC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      I'm benching Dempsey for Zamora/McClean as well. Hoping for a QPR win.

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  12. Parm
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    Great article Anorak.Mata could be due a pen this week then 😉

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    1. The Japanager: Roberto Newm…
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      Which he will probably miss.

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      1. The Japanager: Roberto Newm…
        • 15 Years
        13 years, 9 months ago

        Also..........are we just ignoring Frank Lampard all of a sudden?

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        1. Parm
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          13 years, 9 months ago

          No we aren't.

          (Look down)

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      2. Parm
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        13 years, 9 months ago

        Or Lampard will. He's hungry for goals.

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        1. shakermaker
          • 13 Years
          13 years, 9 months ago

          nice grammar.

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          1. Captain Shirokov
            • 14 Years
            13 years, 9 months ago

            *Nice

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        2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          13 years, 9 months ago

          I'm pretty hungry for goals too ... 😉

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          1. super zlatan
            • 14 Years
            13 years, 9 months ago

            I'm just hungry. Tempted to order a Chinese. 🙂

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            1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 16 Years
              13 years, 9 months ago

              You will enjoy it. But you will still be hungry.

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              1. Nomar
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 16 Years
                13 years, 9 months ago

                Going out to a Chinese buffet restaurant tomorrow night. Looking forward to it.

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  13. Abominable Snowy84
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    ok if drogba is on the pitch he would take a pen before mata

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    1. Abominable Snowy84
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      right?

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      1. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        13 years, 9 months ago

        Apparently Mata is the the official penalty taker. So in order, Lampard, Drogba, Mata...

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  14. The Bandit
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    So Samba heads off to Russia Hope the money is worth it.......

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    1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      Cold enough to freeze the balls off ... 😉

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      1. Parm
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        13 years, 9 months ago

        Lucky it's Samba and not Scott Dann.

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        1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          13 years, 9 months ago

          Well ...

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    2. Dave Bauer
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      100k a week or so, it probably will be!

      🙂

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    3. Gargamel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      The Russian league is still good, it's not as bad a move as some make it out to be. In a couple of years they might be a force in Europe.

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  15. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    So ... farewell, Chris Samba ...

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    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      He'll be back in the summer.

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      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 9 months ago

        He may be in the Gulag by then ... 🙂

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    2. Spike ⚽️
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      Bet Kompany and Co are glad that he's not playing tomorrow then !!

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  16. In Like Flynn.
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    And many thanks to the BBC for the team news.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/17093495

    Silly me for thinking Givet was banned.

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  17. Parm
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    NOT SO MUCH BREAKING NEWS

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/17152566

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  18. LarryMurphy
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    I’m currently starting Santon and Krul..should I be playing Sorensen instead?

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    1. Dave Bauer
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      Depends... but that would certainly be the sensible move.

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    2. TheSteady ¤ Wines th…
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      Nope

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  19. disparate dan - a reasonabl…
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    nice work anorak!

    straight out of left field with this one

    much overlooked part of the game, and will help me gamble and succeed in FPL

    now back to new girl...

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    1. The Japanager: Roberto Newm…
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      My best friend is basically a carbon copy of Schmidt from that show. Then he watches the show and doesn't get any of the Schmidt jokes.

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      1. disparate dan - a reasonabl…
        • 15 Years
        13 years, 9 months ago

        hahaha amazing

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  20. Hated, Adored but never Ign…
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    Really glad you went with this idea Anorak. Solid work.

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    1. Anorak
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      Thanks everyone. It's an idea that Mark's been looking at for over a year, just never had enough time, so a nudge from RCA and a willing scribe made it happen.

      Glad you like it. Certainly promoting Mata in my thinking this week. Depends if he gets bullied off any penalty duties again I suppose (and if indeed there is a pen - Maybe Mr Oliver is reading...)

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      1. Hated, Adored but never Ign…
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 9 months ago

        I am fairly sure that Drogba or Lampard would try and probably succeed in taking penalties off him if they are on the pitch. Which I think both of them will be but I also believe that Mata should get a good score this week without penalty duties.

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  21. TheSteady ¤ Wines th…
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    Who do you think will score most points of these two this GW?

    A:Silva

    B:Ba

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    1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      Well ... I have A, so B - obviously! 😉

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      1. super zlatan
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 9 months ago

        Ba

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    2. jimski
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      Ba

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  22. TheSteady ¤ Wines th…
    • 13 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    Who do you think United will play up front with, if Rooney is not fit?

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    1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      Welbeck, God willing ... 🙂

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    2. Parm
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      Hernandez & Welbeck. Mate, you should really slow down with the questions. Otherwise it's spam up.

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  23. viewoftheland
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    Gone and done it Enrique -> Cahill.

    What tipped the balance was seeing the raft of Enrique sales. With only 2 out of 4 fixtures in the next 4 (as it stands), I wouldnt be playing him against Arsenal or Sunderland (A). Will want him (or a Pool defender) back for GW30.

    I reckon by then he could be down to 5.6. So I'll have only have to make up .1 from what I just sold for, and in the short term Cahill's fixtures look decent.

    Yes, I'm justifying it to myself as much as anyone else!

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  24. the axolotl
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    i think a stat representing pens per match would need to cover the course of a career to have any bearing at all. appreciate the anorak-ness all the same.

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    1. Parm
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      The rules have changed over the past few years,much harsher penalties given these days.

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  25. Hitman
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    Silva + walters
    OR
    Yaya + Mata (-4)

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    1. super zlatan
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      Not a fan of point hits. So I would say a. Silva and Walters could get a nice score.

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      1. Hitman
        • 14 Years
        13 years, 9 months ago

        Cheers

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  26. Gargamel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    This is a pretty sweet concept for an article.

    We'll probably have to work together to find the best use for it though. The pen/match stat is pretty interesting but with only 0.10 difference between those three it's hard to imagine any situation where that stat would swing it.

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    1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      Any match between the noisy neighbours ...

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    2. Anorak
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      Two words: Mike Dean.

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      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 9 months ago

        😆 This ^^^! 😉

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  27. Mogs
    • 14 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    Need to ditch Wes Brown. Can't spend more than 5.1, ideally 4.8 or below.

    Rest of defence is Kompany / Evans / Simpson / Kelly (Vorm and Kenny as GK)

    I'm leaning towards Santon at 4.2m. Already got Simpson but Newcastle have OK fixtures plus he's available in GW29.

    Any better suggestions?

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    1. Belli2007
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      Rangel/Naylor - buit would bench gw 28

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  28. In Like Flynn.
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    Brilliant! posted a long thankyou, only to lose connection.

    Anywho, Excellent addition to the articles Anorak, very useful guide as to how the games might flow. I hope it becomes a regular.

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  29. Belli2007
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    Hi all, team at moment is:

    Mignolet (vorm)
    Richards, Raylor, Shawcross (Evans, Naylor)
    Silva, Bale, Walters, Sess (Valencia)
    Ade, Ba (c), RVP

    Leading two leagues and 2nd in other. Am tempted to save transfer and start planning for GW29 with 2FTs next week. Want to ship Walters but may not too much of a risk to keep one more week as is still on pens.

    Any thoughts?

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    1. super zlatan
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      I would save ur transfer. Ur team looks solid.

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    2. Spike ⚽️
      • 14 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      Another Ade owner. Good man !!

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      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        13 years, 9 months ago

        The coming force!!! 😀

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        1. Spike ⚽️
          • 14 Years
          13 years, 9 months ago

          But he has to make way soon for Rooney !!

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          1. Belli2007
            • 15 Years
            13 years, 9 months ago

            Agreed. Working on that for GW29!!

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        2. Belli2007
          • 15 Years
          13 years, 9 months ago

          Thanks all, mind made up. Am sticking with my gut feel of ShawX over Evans this week. Changed mind at last minute last GW and he scored! And was due to come off bench until Richards came on for 1 minute!!

          I think Arsenal-Spurs has goals written all over it so happy with Ade, Bale and RVP.

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  30. SMOOTH
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    13 years, 9 months ago

    is it worth it to use a FT to bring in mata for valencia.. considering i can save it and play Mcclean

    here are the arguments for mata

    1.Valencia not playing this week and spurs away next week
    2. mata has bolton at home and wba away
    3. McClean has 2 away games
    4. can sell valencia for 8.1 and he will be 8.1 tomorrow anyway.
    5.once valencia is fit.. there will be uncertainty over which 2 will start on the wings

    considering all that.. whats the consensus.

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    1. SMOOTH
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      13 years, 9 months ago

      also the referee thing mentioned here.. + for mata again

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