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FPL Gameweek 3 – Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

23 August 2018 2868 comments
Skonto Rigga Skonto Rigga
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Out latest article analyses the Opta-driven expected goals (xG) data that is available to subscribers in the Members’ area.

As well as taking a look at the expected goals scored and conceded for all 20 Premier League teams after two Gameweeks of the season, we assess the highest-performing forwards, midfielders and defenders in terms of their own personal expected goal involvement (xGI).

Become a Member and access our data

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2,868 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. el polako
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Good Evening !

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    1. Michelle Davin
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Hola!

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    2. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Evening 🙂

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  2. Michelle Davin
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Fraser or Ings to bench?

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    1. Tcheco
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Fraser

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    2. Salahlulijah
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Ings

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    3. KujaliaFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      I have Fraser, Ings, and Richarlison. I'm on Richarlison on the bench currently. Am I wrong?

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      1. Michelle Davin
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        I have him too,and didnt even consider him.Il check Mearsons predictions and probably base my decision on what he says.

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      2. CaTriEm
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        You're a lunatic.

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        1. KujaliaFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 4 months ago

          He's been earning me points every week. He's due a blank, milord.

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          1. DantheManinaPan
            • 12 Years
            7 years, 4 months ago

            Perfect logic, that.

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        2. The Finnisher
          • 14 Years
          7 years, 4 months ago

          He's scored from 3 out of his 4 shots so far this season - last season he scored from 5 of nearly 100. It's not that mental to think maybe he has over-achieved so far

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          1. darth_valdes
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            7 years, 4 months ago

            ^ agree so much although I hope he doesn't blank cause I got him.

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    4. Sideways Backwards
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Fraser has good recent history v Everton, 2 goals which is on more reason swaying me to get him in.

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      1. Michelle Davin
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Also true,but a striker still has more chance

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        1. Sideways Backwards
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 4 months ago

          But less points for a goal and no cleanie point

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  3. Tcheco
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Got it. Salah(C)

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  4. Scotty B
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Coleman > Bellerin for a -4 yay or nay?

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    1. Tcheco
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Both have great fixtures, coin flip

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    2. George Sillett
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Here we go again.

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    3. Salahlulijah
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Not for a - 4

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    4. Chazz69
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Arsenal are terrible .....

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      1. Nascimento
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2018/08/21/mane-outscores-salah-again-as-liverpool-penalty-plot-thickens/?hc_page=11&hc_sort_by=comment_date#hc_comment_18689589

        Did a Gooner steal your boyfriend or something?

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        1. Scotty B
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 4 months ago

          What do you mean?

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    5. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Nope

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    6. Big Ping
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Not sure if troll...

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      1. Scotty B
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        What does that mean?

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  5. KujaliaFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Should I bench Ings or Richarlison?

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    1. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      No

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    2. Salahlulijah
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      on here 6 years and still asking questions like that...geeez!

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      1. 32chickens
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Always learning

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        1. KujaliaFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 4 months ago

          This. I'm quite bad at this game. I benched Wan Bissaka and Mikhitaryan in GW1 and GW2 respectively. I've left about 30 points on the bench to far.

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          1. DantheManinaPan
            • 12 Years
            7 years, 4 months ago

            Wan-Bissaka wasn't a mistake - it was pretty sensible. Mkhi though....

            Either way, with so much money on the bench it's no wonder!

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    3. Botman and Robben
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Richarlison

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    4. 32chickens
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Bench ricky

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    5. KujaliaFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      That's my thinking. I suspect that Ings might profit in GW3.

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    6. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      How have you got yourself into this situation?

      What’s the rest of your mid/fwd?

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    7. Kered
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Bench the forward, simply because he gets less points per goal and Everton with the better fixture.

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      1. Kered
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        I can only assume this is an issue because you just brought in ings and feel obliged to play him? Or are you really that unsure?

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  6. DanLynch
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Who’s the best 4.5 mid to get?

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    1. KujaliaFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      I'm tempted to get Guendouzi. He seems nailed. If he makes many forward runs against the lesser teams, he might be worth a punt.

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    2. Salahlulijah
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      One with low ownership so won’t fall in value as I assume you’ll never start him

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      1. KujaliaFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        If he gets further forward against the lesser teams, I may play him against the lesser teams.

        I probably won't get him though. Drafting in Ings has freed up a lot of budget, so I will probably plump for a more attacking player like a winger or playmaker.

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      2. doublyG
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        This makes no sense! Surely you want someone who plays every game and gets you 2 if he comes on. If he will rot on your bench anyway who cares if his value goes down

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      3. Critical Observer
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Those with low ownership still lose value due to what we call gravity.

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      4. badgerboy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        That's a fallacy. Price changes happen on a % basis. If you own a low ownership player it takes less folk to sell him for a drop. Hypothetically if your player is owned by 9 other people and two of them sell you would get a price drop.

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  7. Salahlulijah
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Salah to Mkhi for a -4?
    With Vardy being suspnded thinking Mkhi could be on pens

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    1. Chazz69
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Lunacy ! Arsenal are awful

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      1. KujaliaFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        They were decent against Chelsea. They were only awful against City, and they have decent fixtures coming up.

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    2. Robin Cook
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Mkhi on pens because Vardy suspended? I don't get it.

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      1. Botman and Robben
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Same.

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    3. Salahlulijah
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Was taking the piss. Well done for spotting

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      1. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        How did that go straight over everyone’s head....

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  8. Legomané
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Evening all.
    Thoughts on Mané in for Eriksen or Mahrez for a (-4) hit this week would be greatly appreciated.
    I'm lumbered with both of these early season flops, and despite Eriksen's 'Goals imminent table' appeal, I'm considering moving one or the other on - slightly leaning toward Riyad out, partially due to imminent price fall 😮
    So, who would you move, and why?
    Or, is there any chance that both these premium options could be the players that everyone else is shuffling their squads around next week to try and fit in?!!
    Other options I'm considering are a double switch of Erik/Mahrez + Peltier > Mkhi/Rich/Pedro + Alonso (-8)...but -8 seems a touch 'rage' at this stage!
    Cheers 🙂

    Foster
    Mendy Robertson Pereira Peltier
    Salah Eriksen Mahrez
    Aguero Arnautovic Ings

    (Patricio H.Costa AWB** Kenedy**)
    < 0.9 ITB >

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    1. Salahlulijah
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      I’d ship out eriksen with spurs tough fixtures and Trippier taking some of his set pieces away

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      1. Legomané
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Guaranteed starter at least, nervy about Mahrez participating this w/e

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    2. The Mighty Hippo
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Mahrez to Mane looks like the best option. I'd keep Eriksen, he's consistently good and can return points whatever the opposition.

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    3. Botman and Robben
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      No hit

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    4. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      I think Eriksen to Mané will pay off both short term and long term.

      Think mane will probably pay your -4 back immediately vs Brighton at home.

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  9. Mackans
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Draft: Monreal or Mustafi?

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    1. Chazz69
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Monreal

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      1. Fantastisk
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Monreal not awful in your eyes?

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        1. doublyG
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 4 months ago

          As an Arsenal fan he's by far our best left back. He's been really good over the years

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          1. Fantastisk
            • 7 Years
            7 years, 4 months ago

            Check his post history.

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    2. 32chickens
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Monreal upside higher

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    3. KujaliaFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      I brought in Socrates.

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    4. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Monreal

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    5. doublyG
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Monreal. More attacking potential

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    6. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Monreal, don’t think Arsenal defence is currently worth 5.5 a piece though.

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  10. Assist me a river
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Need some advise guys!

    Lowton to Pereira?

    Yes / No?

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    1. Salahlulijah
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Yes if not a hit

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    2. 32chickens
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Yes
      Even with vardy out

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    3. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      I'd rather save a FT, but enjoying owning Pereira 🙂

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    4. Michelle Davin
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Be quick.Pereira to increase in price

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  11. barracuda
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Play

    A- Ings

    B- Fraser

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    1. 32chickens
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Ings

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    2. Sideways Backwards
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      B, decent recent history v Everton

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    3. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Ings

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    4. barracuda
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Thank you

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  12. Jafooli
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Why doesn’t the Scout Cast have the dart board feature anymore. Where the guests chucked ‘arras at a black & red zones board to win prizes. Really enjoyed that.

    Mark also looks younger these days.

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  13. oi no professionals
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Lucas > Richarlison for a -4 hit?

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    1. Ligdon
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Not sure its aorth a -4 but tbh id probably go for it

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    2. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Not the worst hit. Moura not really a long term hold.

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  14. Mackans
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Draft:

    A. Ings (LEI)
    B. Wood (ful)
    C. Deeney (CRY)

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    1. 32chickens
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      A

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    2. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Ings . Wood perhaps if he hadn't had Europa this week.

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  15. Over Midwicket
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Captain Kun or Salah?

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    1. Salahlulijah
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      The poll will tell you the consensus

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    2. Crystal Ball
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      salah

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    3. Ligdon
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Gotta be mo this week imo

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  16. Pia06rc
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Mane or Hazard on a WC? Have Salah, Robertson and Alonso already

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    1. 32chickens
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Haz as you have salah

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    2. Crystal Ball
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      hazard as differential with liverpool's fixtures

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    3. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      I'm anxious about Hazard. Madrid lurking?

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      1. vova
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        He said that he isn't leaving this year and Chelsea wouldn't sell after the transfer window has closed and they won't be able to get a replacement until January.

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        1. Legomané
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 4 months ago

          Fair enough. Madrid have a history of being persistent though 🙂

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    4. vova
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      I went Mane but left enough ITB to do Mane to Hazard next gameweek.

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      1. TurboTastic!
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        This

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  17. Crystal Ball
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Richarlison or Pedro? Why?

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    1. Salahlulijah
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Why not?

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    2. Ligdon
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Richarl as hes the man on form and has the fixtures

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    3. It’s gonna Ben Mee
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      I have both

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    4. rick ding whoop
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      i'm going pedro only because what they said on the scoutcast,

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  18. Jafooli
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Oh cock...Schneiderlin red flagged, when did that happen?

    Already made three transfers, none of which were Schneiderlin or AWB 😮

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    1. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Silva ruled him out in his press conference earlier 🙁

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      1. Jafooli
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Pressers today?

        Oh well, hopefully back for the following week. Tomkins a decent one man bench.

        Screwed if Liverpool & City decide to rotate 😮

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        1. badgerboy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 4 months ago

          She'll be right.

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    2. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Kenedy + AWB here 😮

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      1. badgerboy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        You knew the Kenedy red flag was coming.

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        1. Legomané
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 4 months ago

          Yep, didn't see AWB red coming 😆

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          1. badgerboy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            7 years, 4 months ago

            😀

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      2. Jafooli
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Third bencher?

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    3. Lord.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      He went with an injury in the first half last week.

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    4. Warby84
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Just 1 week for I believe

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  19. Mackans
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Draft: Bring in Shaw or Young? (Long term)

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    1. Ligdon
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Niether for long term

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    2. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Young by miles

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      1. Mackans
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Why?

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  20. evolve89
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Am I mad if I go B.silva -> maddison? Why no love for maddison around?

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    1. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      There's is Maddison love everywhere on here.

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    2. Ligdon
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Too much Maddison love on here imo

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    3. doublyG
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Underlying stats are underwhelming

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      1. Fantastisk
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Possibly as overrated as wolves assets at the start of the season...

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    4. Salahlulijah
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      I like Maddison. Prefer Bilva though as he plays for City

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    5. The Finnisher
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      He was good for the first half vs Man United but has been quiet (despite scoring - a deflection a might add) since.

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  21. grapesland
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    You know your season started okay when you cant find one single sensible move to make with two free transfers availible going into gw3

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    1. Fantastisk
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Post your team, come on buddy. We'll find it.

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      1. grapesland
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        My mother suggests Stephens to Westwood to avoid the drop

        Like she did with my father

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    2. Richd
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      There’s always a move.

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    3. Pras (FPL)
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Share your team - people here may convince you to take a hit

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      1. grapesland
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        I wont risk ending up with Maddison

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        1. Fantastisk
          • 7 Years
          7 years, 4 months ago

          Lol

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  22. Sideways Backwards
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Best midfield options up to £5.5m?
    Fraser, Neves, other?

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    1. Ligdon
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Fraser for sure

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  23. Hargo
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    DDG Hamer
    Robertson Mendy Luiz PVA Bednarek
    Salah Mane Mahrez Neves Stephens
    Aguero King Kamara

    2 FT 0 ITB

    Any suggestions?

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    1. Richd
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Neves and king have to go. Get Ings and Kante ?

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    2. Ligdon
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      King to ings and neves to fraser ?

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  24. REMILAN
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    King (Everton) or Cairney (Burley) both home games?

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    1. Salahlulijah
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      King 100%

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    2. Ligdon
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      If you still jave king you have to play him

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    3. Lord.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      King if you haven’t sold him yet.

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      1. REMILAN
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Okay thanks, wasn't sure if a tired Burnley would be worn out and worth a shout on Cairney.

        King is definitely my next sale

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  25. Maddi Son
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Can you remember a while back when the Wolves manager said he wont change his tactics in the Prem? Surely he wont play a 3-4-3 against Man City?

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    1. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Yeah and he hasn't so far.

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    2. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      I hope he does. Think teams gave City too much respect last year and didn't really have a go at beating them.

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      1. badgerboy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 4 months ago

        Apart from Huddersfield and nearly Newcastle anyone who's sat back has been beaten. Might as well go for it.

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  26. FPL SWOT
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Where do we all sit with Aubameyang?

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    1. Salahlulijah
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Fixtures turning could be lethal

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    2. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Hoping for a little niggle to keep him out for just this weekend... still have Lacazette.

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    3. Jonny JAB
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Time for him to repay the faith after starting with him over Aguero ... Salah is my captain this week with Aub vice. Aub looks good when he's played and seemed unlucky not to get in the points so far, happily hold for now!

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  27. evolve89
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Hamer
    Mendy Robertson PVA
    Salah Mane Bsilva Rich Mkhi
    Kun Arna
    Pat Kamara Peltier WB

    2 FT and 0 itb. Can I use a FT somewhere? Considering silva -> maddison

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    1. Salahlulijah
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      I’d change Pat and roll over 2 transfers for next week

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  28. HavertzHero
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Bench 1
    A Ings
    B Fraser
    C Wilson

    Open Controls
  29. Scotty B
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Start Cook or Kamara?

    Open Controls
  30. Mackans
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 4 months ago

    Hazard -> Sanchez worth a hit?

    Open Controls
    1. Mackans
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      Sanchez -> Hazard*

      Open Controls

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