Each week we will be reviewing the aggregated predictions on Superbru’s Premier League Predictor game, using the collective Wisdom of the Crowd predictions to guide our fantasy football thinking.
Please join the FFS league here and add your own predictions to the data – the more there are, the more accurate the crowd should be (in theory). And don’t forget there is £50,000 in prize money on offer every week.
THE CONCEPT
We must all make predictions about how each match will go when deciding on our fantasy team selection, predicting where the goals will be scored, which teams are most likely to keep a clean sheet and so on. If we aggregate the predictions of thousands of football fans playing the Premier League Predictor game on Superbru, any bias should be ironed out, and the collective knowledge will produce more accurate predictions that we can make on our own.
We tested this last season by taking the average community predictions, and entering them into the game as a user called Mr Crowd Wisdom. That user finished in 20th place out of 481 people in the Fantasy Football Scout league – a highly knowledgeable group – and also beat 98% of other people on the global leaderboard.
We’ll follow the average picks again this season and hopefully it will provide another reference point for your fantasy team selections.
GAMEWEEK 7 REVIEW
The average crowd predictions last weekend were average again, with 5 correct picks out of 10 and just one Exact Score, but overall, our Crowd Wisdom user is still beating the majority of people on Superbru.
GAMEWEEK 8 PREVIEW
Here is the Expected Goals chart for each fixture in GW8:
And here is the ranking of teams in order of Expected Goals Scored and Conceded:
With Liverpool playing Man City on Sunday, it’s Tottenham gracing the top of the Predicted Goals chart, and in fact it’s Spurs predicted to keep it the tightest at the back with their kind home fixture against Cardiff. Harry Kane is the obvious captaincy pick for those that own him, with Kieran Trippier also worth considering for returns at both ends of the field.
Arsenal and Chelsea also look like good sources of goals in their away matches on Sunday against Fulham and Southampton respectively.
In defence, Burnley, Watford and West Ham offer the budget-friendly options, although it’s Tottenham that’s the clear winner here too.
Here are the aggregated predictions that we’ll enter for Mr Crowd Wisdom this week.
Brighton 1 – 2 West Ham
Burnley 2 – 0 Huddersfield
Crystal Palace 1 – 1 Wolves
Leicester 2 – 1 Everton
Tottenham 3 – 0 Cardiff
Watford 2 – 1 Bournemouth
Man United 2 – 1 Newcastle
Fulham 1 – 2 Arsenal
Southampton 1 – 2 Chelsea
Liverpool 2 – 2 Man City
Good luck for Round 8!
