Each week we will be reviewing the aggregated predictions on Superbru’s Premier League Predictor game, using the collective Wisdom of the Crowd predictions to guide our fantasy football thinking.

Please join the FFS league here and add your own predictions to the data – the more there are, the more accurate the crowd should be (in theory).  And don’t forget there is £50,000 in prize money on offer every week.

THE CONCEPT

We must all make predictions about how each match will go when deciding on our fantasy team selection, predicting where the goals will be scored, which teams are most likely to keep a clean sheet and so on.  If we aggregate the predictions of thousands of football fans playing the Premier League Predictor game on Superbru, any bias should be ironed out, and the collective knowledge will produce more accurate predictions that we can make on our own.

We tested this last season by taking the average community predictions, and entering them into the game as a user called Mr Crowd Wisdom.  That user finished in 20th place out of 481 people in the Fantasy Football Scout league – a highly knowledgeable group – and also beat 98% of other people on the global leaderboard.

We’ll follow the average picks again this season and hopefully it will provide another reference point for your fantasy team selections.

GAMEWEEK 10 REVIEW

It was a great week for the crowd predictions, with 7 correct picks out of 10 beating the community average of 5.86 correct picks, demonstrating that the collective wisdom of the crowd performed better than most individuals.

GAMEWEEK 11 PREVIEW

Here is the Expected Goals chart for each fixture in GW11:

And here is the ranking of teams in order of Expected Goals Scored and Conceded:

With Man City back at the Etihad, all eyes are on their fantasy assets, with the crowd predicting at least three goals for the home side, and a clean sheet as well. Sergio Aguero is standout captaincy pick, but it may also be worth considering an attacking defender such as Benjamin Mendy.

Chelsea also look worth backing at home to Crystal Palace, with many managers awaiting news on Eden Hazard’s fitness.  Otherwise, there aren’t too many high-scoring games predicted this weekend.

With that in mind, it could be a week to stock up in defence.  Beyond City and Chelsea, it’s Leicester, West Ham, Everton and Watford that are worth considering in the lower price brackets, whilst Huddersfield v Fulham could easily be 0-0.

Here are the aggregated predictions that we’ll enter for Mr Crowd Wisdom this week.

Please join the FFS league here and add your own predictions to the data.