Each week we will be reviewing the aggregated predictions on Superbru’s Premier League Predictor game, using the collective Wisdom of the Crowd predictions to guide our fantasy football thinking.

Please join the FFS league here and add your own predictions to the data – the more there are, the more accurate the crowd should be (in theory).  And don’t forget there is £50,000 in prize money on offer every week.

THE CONCEPT

We must all make predictions about how each match will go when deciding on our fantasy team selection, predicting where the goals will be scored, which teams are most likely to keep a clean sheet and so on.  If we aggregate the predictions of thousands of football fans playing the Premier League Predictor game on Superbru, any bias should be ironed out, and the collective knowledge will produce more accurate predictions that we can make on our own.

We tested this last season by taking the average community predictions, and entering them into the game as a user called Mr Crowd Wisdom.  That user finished in 20th place out of 481 people in the Fantasy Football Scout league – a highly knowledgeable group – and also beat 98% of other people on the global leaderboard.

We’ll follow the average picks again this season and hopefully it will provide another reference point for your fantasy team selections.

GAMEWEEK 18 REVIEW

Round 18 was hugely unpredictable, with Chelsea losing to Leicester at Stamford Bridge and Man City succumbing to Crystal Palace at the Etihad – both predicted by just 1% on Superbru.  Not many people had United winning 5-1 or Spurs winning 6-2 either.

The Crowd’s picks were about average with 4 correct predictions out of 10, and there wasn’t much movement on the overall standings.

GAMEWEEK 19 PREVIEW

Here is the Expected Goals chart for each fixture in GW19:

And here is the ranking of teams in order of Expected Goals Scored and Conceded:

Liverpool appear to be the team to back this weekend, with the highest predicted goals (2.71) and with a clean sheet expected too.

However, the crowd has also responded to Man United’s improved showing in Cardiff, and they are predicted to score well at home to Huddersfield, and to keep it the tightest in defence.

Here are the aggregated predictions that we’ll enter for Mr Crowd Wisdom this week.

Fulham 1 – 2 Wolves
Burnley 1 – 2 Everton
Crystal Palace 2 – 1 Cardiff
Leicester 1 – 3 Man City
Liverpool 3 – 0 Newcastle
Man United 3 – 0 Huddersfield
Tottenham 3 – 1 Bournemouth
Brighton 1 – 2 Arsenal
Watford 1 – 2 Chelsea
Southampton 1 – 1 West Ham

Good luck, Happy Christmas and thanks for reading!