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FPL Gameweek 38 – an analysis of the key underlying stats

The 2018/19 season comes to a conclusion this Sunday, with all 20 Premier League clubs kicking off simultaneously at 15:00 BST.

Gameweek 38 represents the final chance to claw back a mini-league deficit or improve an overall rank for those Fantasy managers who are struggling.

For the front-runners amongst us, there may be more ‘defensive’ strategies employed as impressive ranks and mini-league leads are consolidated.

Ahead of this weekend’s later-than-usual deadline, we take a look at the data available to subscribers in our Members’ area and present the eye-catching statistics that could influence Fantasy managers’ decisions and transfers whatever the approach.

We’ve run down the stand-out stats in every position, as well as looking at the strengths and weaknesses of various teams to assess which Fantasy Premier League assets could have a profitable Gameweek 38.

Members can read on for our analysis below.

997 Comments Post a Comment
  1. PortoGuy
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    2.4 itb 0ft
    Foster
    TAA Laporte Robbo Valery
    Mane Pogba Bilva
    Rashford Jimenez Aguero

    Ryan Jota Camarasa Bednarek

    A.Jimenez to Wilson/Zaha/Rondon/Long
    B.Camarasa to Redmond/Fraser/Moura
    C.No hit

    Thanks.

    1. Atwood
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Wouldn't do anything, Jiminez can definitely score at Anfield.

    2. ItOnlyTook9Years
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      C

    3. Don Kloppeone
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      No hit mate

    4. PortoGuy
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Thanks guys

    5. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      no hit

  2. Atwood
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Defending a 15 point lead.
    Should I do a covering transfer here? Thinking maybe Son > Pogba.

    **My squad**

    Foster
    Bednarek - Shaw - TAA
    Sterling - Son - Salah - Eriksen - Hjojberg
    Aguero - Jiminez

    Ryan - Llorente - Duffy - Dunk

    **My rival's differentials**

    Gunn
    Trippier - Laporte
    Pogba - Mane
    Vardy - Zaha

    1. ItOnlyTook9Years
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Vardy or Mane probably the ones to worry most about, but I assume you'd need a hit for them? Which isn't worth it

      1. Atwood
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Nah, got 2.5 in the bank so can afford pretty much anyone.

        1. ItOnlyTook9Years
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 10 months ago

          Can you afford Jimi to Vardy?

          1. Atwood
            • 13 Years
            4 years, 10 months ago

            Urgh, 0.1 short...

    2. PortoGuy
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      I'd do it if ft

  3. Henryyy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    #1 OR has done two transfers

    Anyone wanna guess?

    1. Atwood
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Did he have 2FT's?

    2. Sterling Malory
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Son and Jota out

      Pogba and Mili in maybe?

      1. Oscar Slater
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Babel essential this weekend so I'd be surprised if he wasn't one of them.

    3. tucaoneo
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Don't make early transfers. He is not listening to the experts.

      1. Bggz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        i did warn him

    4. Batchain
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      I could ask him if you like as I play in a masters football team with him on Sat (this is going to do nothing to scotch the belief that every New Zealander knows every other New Zealander.)

  4. ItOnlyTook9Years
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Bench 1 (2 if Robbo is fit):

    A) Jimi
    B) Deulefeu
    C) Mili
    D) Shaw
    E) JWP

    1. Don Kloppeone
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      D (and B)

    2. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      shaw, always shaw

  5. Don Kloppeone
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Lost on last page. Appreciate the advice.

    Plan is to use FT to do:
    Jota > Babel
    To give me:

    0.6itb
    Lloris
    Robbo*, Laporte, Valery
    Salah (C), Sterling, JWP, Babel, Mili
    Aguero, Wilson
    (Foster) (Jimi, Doherty, Yoshida*)

    Hopefully we get something definitive on Robbo tomorrow but if he’s out would you just leave it with Doherty coming in or bring in TAA or VVD for -4?

    Also would you start Jimi (liv) or Mili (BOU)?

    Cheers!

  6. FPL price manipulators are …
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    God save the queen

    1. Oscar Slater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      ...The fascist regime

      1. SAY MY NAME
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        that made you a moron, potential H-bomb 🙂

    2. Ask Yourself
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      She’s not a human being

    3. FPL Forward Thinker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Ban

  7. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Leading one ML (£700) by 30 points. Trailing another ML (£450) by 20 points...dilemma! 1FT and 0m itb

    Foster -- Patricio
    Laporte • Shaw • Valery -- Kolasinac Doherty
    Pogba • Sterling • Mane • JWP • Son
    Kun • Jimenez -- Gray

    A: Son >> Redmond/Babel/Ozil/Fraser
    B: Jimenez >> Mitro/King and then start Kola (bench Son)
    C: Son + Jimenez >> Redmond + Rashford/Firmino/Vardy (-4)

    1. Don Kloppeone
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      How much do you have to buy into these MLs for??

      I need to find some better leagues for next season!

    2. SAY MY NAME
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      A with fraser or Redmond, I like vardy for this week but probably not worth the hit

    3. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      son > fraser

  8. billydesmond
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Transfer Son + Jimenez

    A) Mane + Long or Origi
    B) Vardy + Fraser or Milivojevic
    C) Pogba + Arnautovic or Zaha

    1. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      b fraser

  9. Adriano
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    How would you rather have this he?

    A) Bernardo
    B) Fraser
    C) Babel

    I'm thinking to get Bernardo just to hedge against Aguero despite Fraser/Babel looking more enticing

    1. Adriano
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      *Who... Damn auto-correct

    2. Top Lad Dakes.
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      I hehe'd at that first sentence.

      Bernardo and Aguero scoring is more or less mutually exclusive though. However id probably still go for him

  10. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    What would you do here chaps? 1FT 1.8ITB. Willing to take a hit.

    Foster
    Robertson* Laporte Valery
    Hazard Mane Jota Deulofeu
    Aguero Rashford Jiménez

    Patricio Son* Yoshida* Duffy

  11. semiconductor
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    With 16 points behind in mini league and with a FH in hand. Who should I punt on to gain those points. I'm going Salah who he doesn't have and trying to look for others. What do you think about Auba?

    1. FFSbet.com
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Wait for press,maybe Utd kids and Origi could be good picks with Salah(C) and few differentials.

      Auba good pick if he plays,think that will be high scoring game.

      1. semiconductor
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        We wouldn't know who to pick from utd kids. I'll have Robertson/TAA+Mane+salah so won't have a spot for origi

  12. BBC_TF
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Son to who?

    1/ Bilva (bri)
    2/ Moura (EVE)
    3/ Pogba (CAR)

    1. FFSbet.com
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      All good options,go with gut

  13. HD7
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Mates, when should there be a decision concerning Spurs appeal on Son Sed card?

    1. FPL Forward Thinker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      On Monday

      1. FPL Forward Thinker
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        I’d better explain that I am joking and don’t know.

        1. FPL price manipulators are …
          • 10 Years
          4 years, 10 months ago

          *ban

          1. FPL Forward Thinker
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            4 years, 10 months ago

            Whatever

      2. HD7
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        what? so no chance for 38
        Spurs doing it only for next season start?

    2. Klein
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Should be before deadline. So sometime today imo

  14. Taegugk Warrior
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Vardy or Zaha...?

    1. FPL Forward Thinker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Who u selling

      1. Taegugk Warrior
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Jimenez

        1. FPL Forward Thinker
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 10 months ago

          What’s your prediction on what Vardy and Zaha can achieve

          Personally think Zaha will score more points this week.

          But make the decision yours. Own it and go with your own prediction and judgement.

          Can’t see anything to try to talk u out of either option

    2. 007 [RoboKlopp]
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Vardy

    3. pingissimus
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      After tonight definitely Vardy. Better choice in any event

      1. Taegugk Warrior
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Even against chelsea..?

  15. nims076
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Who to transfer in for Jiminez:

    A. Vardy
    B. Arnie
    C. Rashford
    D. Wilson

    1. Klein
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Vardy
      Or mitrovic

  16. yer old da
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Should I start Bednarek or Llorente?

    Already have Valery in my starting XI so the question is double down on the Saints defence at home to Huddersfield or play Llorente who’s likely to start.

    1. yer old da
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      10 guaranteed starters are:

      Foster
      Laporte, TAA, Valery
      Sterling, Hazard, Mane, Pogba
      Aguero, Jimenez

      11th starter a choice between Bednarek and Llorente.

      On bench will be Ryan, Hojberg and Doherty.

      1. pingissimus
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        I’d go Llorente - just.

        Southampton defence is ho hum anyway and Huddersfield have punctured a few cs recently,

  17. 007 [RoboKlopp]
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Anyone doing Son --> Fraser?

    1. waldo666
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Considering it

    2. Henryyy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      That or Redmond

    3. FPL Forward Thinker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      You?.

      1. 007 [RoboKlopp]
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Between Fraser or Pogba for me

  18. Smurf
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Not looking great for Hazard owners. Only a few days rest after playing 120 minutes.

    1. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      why? what's he got to rest for last game of the season?

      1. Klein
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Thing called stamina?

    2. FPL Forward Thinker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      These guys are fit and won’t train hard at all on Friday or Saturday to manage their bodies. At least he is match fit and raring to play potentially last premier league game. Hope he stays at Chelsea.

      As much surprise to see a Pogba or a Fraser being left out starting XI as a Hazard.

  19. Sz21
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    1. Kola + Son -> Kompany + Bilva (0.6m).
    2. Kola + Son -> Laporte + (7.3m) Fraser, Babel, Antonio, Deulofeu maybe?
    3. Other moves.

    Lloris.
    Bednarek, Kola, TAA.
    Salah (c), Mane, Son, JWP.
    Vardy, Aguero, Jimenez.
    Foster, Romeo, Duffy, Dunk.
    2ft, 0.0m. 120k. Hoping to make the Top 100k.

    1. FPL Forward Thinker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Shaw and Babel in. Trust me.

  20. Erlanger
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Play conservative or take the hit? Leaning towards A. Ahead in ML, just trying to finish as high as possible OR wise.

    A. Son to Pogba
    B. Son and Sterling > Salah and Lucas

    1. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      no chance i'd get rid of sterling, just do A

      1. Erlanger
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Appreciate your input!

  21. Taegugk Warrior
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Keep or ditch eriksen..?

    1. FPL Forward Thinker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Keep.

    2. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      ditch for sure

  22. SPFC
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    I'm playing a league with a new team to play only GW38

    Which chip would be better? TC or BB?

    1. FPL Forward Thinker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      BB if you choose a strong 15 and are lucky for all to play. But risk some will miss out on last day.

      Extra 4 players versus another layer of your captain points.

      I say TC and spent well in starting XI with Southampton cheap defenders on bench.

      1. SPFC
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks!

  23. GW38
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Time to make history, need some input from you chaps to enhance my chance to WIN. I’m currently only a few pts behind the leader in a 32 lads league with a lot of prestige and proper prizes on the table.

    0.0 ITB 1FT - The squad:

    Ryan
    TAA / Laporte / Valery
    Mane / Salah / Moura / Redmond / Sterling
    Long / Aguero

    Patricio Jimenez Duffy Dönk

    1) Transfer Patricio to Rico(Ful)?
    2) Or Döffy to Obi-Wan-Bissaka and bench Long?
    3) Do you have an idea? - I’d love to hear it.

    Thanks and best of luck fellows,

    1. SPFC
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Your team looks good.

      Ryan will have a lot of saves. I expect a tight score too.

      I would consider Moura >>> Tielemans or even Aguero >>>>> Vardy

      Tottenham will be exhausted after UCL and Leicester will play at home against a Chelsea that comes from 120 minutes.

      1. GW38
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks, what is your rank?

  24. MikeLowrey
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    A) Jota > Moura
    B) Lllorente > Wilson
    C) Doherty & Llorente > VVD & Long (-4)

    1. GW38
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      A

  25. FPL Alaska
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    A) Hazard & Wilson
    B) Salah & Long

    1. GW38
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      B

    2. Chandler Bing
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Depends who your other Liverpool players are. Probably A either way though.

    3. 007 [RoboKlopp]
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      B

  26. FootyFan
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    First game week that I've felt clueless as to what to do. Any Ideas?

    Gunn (Ryan)

    TAA Laporte Shaw Valery (Masina)

    Mane Sterling Ward-Prowse (Jota, Son)

    Jimenez Aguero Vardy

    1FT 1.5m ITB

  27. AlpoShearer
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    A. Fraser
    B. Redmond (own JWP)

    1. Klein
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      B

  28. Niho992
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Are you considering Llorente?

  29. rainy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    Price Changes - 10th May 2019

    🔺  Alexander-Arnold (5.8), Mané (10.3), Agüero (12.0), Pogba (8.6), Lucas Moura (6.9)

    🔻  Brooks (5.0), N.Mendy (4.3)

    1. jia you
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Wohoo, my first 5 nil of the season!

    2. waldo666
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Cheers, Rainy.

    3. fclackless [Brazil Nuts]
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      cheers ... one more to go!

      1. Mo Mané Mo Problems
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        I got called a pedant the other day, but hey.

        2 to go.

        It’s like being right, is being pedantic nowadays. When you could argue posts like this mislead people. 2019 I guess.

      2. rainy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 10 months ago

        Haha, cheers both of you. Had actually wondered if anyone would care by Saturday night 😉

    4. rojojojo
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Got 0 in the bank so if son drops now I'll be priced out of son to pogba... On the other hand it might just make my decision for me if I don't want to rush a transfer tonight and I'll go redmond

    5. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      Thanks for doing this all season. First thing I check in the mornings...just your prices and not the garbage after ragging about now many risers and how big someones TV is. All that matters is the points at the end.

  30. Niho992
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 10 months ago

    What to do with Ings? Would you start him or Doucoure? I already have JWP.

    1. Klein
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 10 months ago

      I would go for ings. If he doesnt play doubt he will make a cameo