Scout Picks
22 November 2019 0 comments
DavidMunday815 DavidMunday815
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An Everton triple-up forms the back-bone of our Scout Picks selection for Gameweek 13.

The Toffees host a Norwich side that has struggled to sustain some early momentum back in the Premier League.

We’ve still got our fair share of premium midfielders in our 4-4-2 formation.

The starting XI has come in at £82.6m, £0.4m inside our budget of £83.0m.

Goalkeeper

Ben Foster and Watford have been keeping more clean sheets recently

Now that Quique Sanchez Flores has firmed up Watford’s defence, Ben Foster (£4.8m) is welcomed back into the Scout Picks. Over the last five matches, the Hornets have kept three clean sheets and could have arguably secured a fourth against Spurs if they weren’t so unlucky. In Gameweek 13, Watford host a Burnley side with just 16 shots on target away from home this season, the third-worst in the division.

Defenders

Palace’s susceptibility to headed attempts could benefit the crossing expert Alexander-Arnold

The inclusion of Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.2m) was as easy as it will ever get. The Liverpool right-back stands a real chance of a double-figure haul at Crystal Palace on Saturday afternoon. The Eagles are the joint-lowest scorers at home this season which increases Liverpool’s clean sheet chances. Furthermore, no team has conceded more headed efforts than Palace in the last four matches, which is great news for crossing expert Alexander-Arnold, who is joint-top of the league for chances created during the same period.

Everton’s defence has shown some promise in recent weeks which is why Lucas Digne (£5.9m) has made it back into the Scout Picks after a long absence. Over the last four Gameweeks, no team has conceded fewer big chances. That bodes well for a home meeting with Norwich who have not scored on the road since Gameweek 1. 

John Lundstram (£4.9m) was incredibly unlucky not to find the net against Spurs last time out and among defenders, nobody has had more shots inside the box than him since Gameweek 9. Manchester United come to Bramall Lane without a clean sheet on the road this season so there’s every chance the Lundstram bandwagon could continue once again in Gameweek 13.

Mason Holgate (£4.4m) is our cheap route into an Everton defensive double-up. There was plenty of requests for goalkeeper Jordan Pickford but we think for one week only, Holgate can do the trick. He has started each of the last three Premier League matches for Everton, keeping Michael Keane on the bench, and has two assists to his name in that time too.

Midfielders

Mané’s aerial presence could be the breakthrough for Liverpool this weekend

No Liverpool player has more attacking returns away from home than Sadio Mané (£12.1m) this season and we think he’s the most likely to make a breakthrough for them at Crystal Palace. Over the last four Gameweeks, the Eagles have the second-worst expected goals conceded (xGC) score and have allowed more headed attempts than any other club. During that time, Mané is top for headed attempts on goal among all midfielders.

We are backing Raheem Sterling (£12.0m) to get back to scoring ways in Gameweek 13. He may have just one attacking return in his last four league starts at the Etihad Stadium but Chelsea come there still without a clean sheet on the road this season. Meanwhile, Sterling himself has had more shots inside the box than any of his colleague since Gameweek 9, only three players in the whole division outperforming him in this department.

Just three teams have conceded more goals away from home than Norwich (12) this season and their defence has still not shown much sign of improving. That’s why Richarlison (£7.9m) makes it into the Scout Picks having recorded attacking returns in three of the last four matches.

Choosing which Manchester United attacker we would select for the Gameweek 13 Scout Picks proved rather difficult with Marcus Rashford showing great form recently. However, for budgetary reasons, we’ve gone with Anthony Martial (£7.8m). He has three goal involvements in as many starts since returning from injury and has kept his hands on that centre-forward position. That could see him become the chief beneficiary of Sheffield United’s defensive absences in goalkeeper Dean Henderson and defensive lynchpin John Egan, who remains doubtful.

Forwards

Vardy gets into the Scout Picks once again

Gameweek 13 sees another routine inclusion for Jamie Vardy (£9.6m) in the Scout Picks. The Leicester City forward has six goals in his last four Premier League outings and travels to a Brighton side short of their first-choice centre-back in Lewis Dunk, who misses this weekend due to suspension. Adam Webster is also touch and go to play the game so with Graham Potter potentially having to patch up his back-four, it could open the door for more Vardy attacking returns.

The Scout Picks are backing Wesley (£6.0m) to exploit some of Newcastle’s defensive problems in Gameweek 13. The Magpies have conceded more goal on the road than any other side this season (14) and across the whole campaign they have allowed the most headed attempts too (42). That could play into the hands of Wesley as he spearheads an Aston Villa attack with such creativity in wide areas.

Substitutes

Paulo Gazzaniga (£4.4m) is our budget goalkeeper on the bench, somewhat inspired by Jose Mourinho’s arrival at Spurs. We expect his new side to improve defensively with him at the helm and with West Ham blanking in two of their last four, we think there could be a clean sheet on the cards on Saturday lunch-time.

Daryl Janmaat (£4.4m) represents a cheaper alternative into the Watford defence for Gameweek 13. With the same clean sheet potential as Foster, the right-back is joint-top among Hornets for key passes since Gameweek 8.

Harvey Barnes (£5.9m) can offer a cut-price route into the Leicester attack for those short of funds. In the last four Gameweeks he has registered more shots in the box and more efforts on target than Youri Tielemans and James Maddison.

Diogo Jota (£6.1m) continues to offer some potential as an alternative to Raúl Jiménez. In the last four Gameweeks, despite playing fewer minutes than his Mexican colleague, Jota has recorded more touches in the box and more big chances.

The Captain

The Scout Picks now has a captain for the 2019/20 campaign.

This skipper is chosen using the conclusions of the latest Captain Sensible article and a four-way vote between David, Neale, Paul and Geoff.

Because the use of Fantasy Football Scout data is used so heavily in this process, the captain we choose each Gameweek will be known only to those who have signed up to Membership for the 2019/20 season.

It will be revealed to the public only when the deadline for the Gameweek has passed.

Community Champion

Representing the community against the Scout Picks in Gameweek 13 is Dr. Mantis Toboggan.

They have gone for a 3-4-3 of Gazzaniga; Alexander-Arnold, Digne, Chilwell; Serling, Richarlison, Maddison, Grealish; Kane (c), Lacazette, Ings.

The community member who beats our picks by the biggest margin over the campaign will win a £100 Amazon Voucher and a place in our Contributors and Moderators League for the following season.

Kadhai Paneer FC was defeated by a 96-80 score-line in Gameweek 12.

The current winning margin of 17 points recorded by irfansheikh in Gameweek 7 and AK in Gameweek 10 remains the score to beat.

Nominated for ‘Best in Fantasy Football – Editorial’ at the Football Content Awards 2020

Which FPL assets are on set-piece duties at their clubs? 1

VOTE FOR FANTASY FOOTBALL SCOUT BY
CLICKING HERE.

0 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Gizzachance
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    thoughts?
    salah to mane
    then kdb to salah following gw ?

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    1. Burger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Seems totally pointless. Just salah to mane and keep

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      1. Gizzachance
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        cheers

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    2. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Looks good.

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      1. Gizzachance
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        thanks

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    3. Champ
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Brave. Could work out but wouldnt have both at the expense of losing kevin. You can only captain one of them. Better to use the funds elsewhere imo

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      1. Gizzachance
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        just thinking of the good pool fixtures, see your point about kdb
        think mane safer of the two this week, still uncertainty over salah,will he start, game time etc
        cheers

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    4. FDMS All Starz
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Why don’t you do nothing this week and then consider Kdb to Mane next week? You save a FT this way

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      1. Gizzachance
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        one thought, and hope salah starts
        thanks

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  2. Blue Gaffer
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Captain Aubameyang or Vardy?

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    1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Come on man

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      1. Blue Gaffer
        • 16 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        What?

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        1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
          • 14 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          Auba has let owners down over easy fixtures so many times already. Vardy on fire, Brighton definitely without Dunk and maybe Webster (who isn't great anyway).

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          1. Qaiss
            • 10 Years
            6 years, 2 months ago

            There's also something called having fun, it's a game... If he can't captain Auba at home to Southampton, there's no point owning..,

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    2. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Auba! If he’s gonna come good...

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    3. Bumbaclot
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I’m going aubs

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    4. BOATIES FC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Im Auba (c)

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  3. Ziyech on the Bench
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Is Salah not starting tomorrow?

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    1. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      50/50

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    2. FPL Bielsa
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Nobody knows but Klopp said he was a doubt

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    3. Champ
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I dont know

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    4. jason_ni
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I think he starts... has the same issue hes had all season, and hes not been rested yet, not even in champs league games when he could have been and mane was rested instead.
      Just had 2 weeks off as well.

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  4. Lestat
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Current selection:

    Ryan,Button
    TAA, Lundstram, Lowton, Tomori, Hanley
    KDB, Sterling, Hayden, Cantwell, Mount
    Aguero, Vardy, Abraham

    2 Free transfers

    Any suggestions?

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  5. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Aguero > Auba (-4)

    Yes or No?

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    1. FPL Bielsa
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      No Aguero could get a hatty against that Chelsea defence

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      1. George Sillett
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        He could also not start.

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    2. Champ
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      No way

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    3. Big Al Stankovic
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      No way, I’d even consider the reverse transfer for this gw.

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  6. Bumbaclot
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    How am I looking then guys?

    Pope
    TAA/Lund/Rico
    Mane/kdb/maddy/mount
    Tammy/jiminez/ aubs(c)

    Button/tomori/guendouzi/diop

    Thanks everyone

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    1. Big Hands Barry
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Nice captain

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      1. Calderano FC
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        No vardy party

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  7. PMz
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    2 frees but can't see any obvious moves. 0.1 ITB.

    Pope > Gazzaniga?

    Pope

    Soyuncu Saiss TAA

    Mount KDB Mane Maddison

    Kane Rashford Abraham

    Subs: Rico Lundstram Nakamba

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    1. Mesh
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I'd look to get Vardy

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  8. Mesh
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Aguero to who?

    A. Aubameyang
    B. Kane
    C. Keep Aguero

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    1. WVA
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Vardy Abraham or Jimenez

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      1. Mesh
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        I already have Vardy and Abraham.
        Would you get Jiminez over Auba and Kane?

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    2. Big Al Stankovic
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      C)
      But if you believe in the mou effect, then go for Kane.

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  9. WVA
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Wilson to Jimenez for free?

    Wilson dropping and Jimenez rising tonight!

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    1. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Yes.

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    2. Champ
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Unless its to burn, then i wouldnt. Slight chance jimenez may not get 90.

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  10. THE SHEEP HUNTERS
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Triple Everton Scout picks, but of course, if anybody can feck up the knocking BOYS status of Norwich, Everton can.
    Hell, I can even see the corpses rising from the Pukki Party and dancing to Kurt Cobain.

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    1. George Sillett
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Quality reference.

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  11. FPL_Crisis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Any chance I can delay my salah to Mane decision past deadline today or is Mane going to rise??

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    1. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Salah will be 0.1m more even if he rises.

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  12. Orion
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Hmmm... play Mount or Lundstram ?

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    1. zeniththe1don
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Similar dilemma to me

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    2. Champ
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Lundstram for me

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  13. gooner_112233445566
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Who to captain?

    A) vardy
    B) kane
    C) sterling
    D) kdb

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    1. Big Hands Barry
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      A safe. B if chasing

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    2. Orion
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I’m on Raz C

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    3. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I'd captain Kane if I had him this week probably. Roberto is awful.

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    4. MagicMessi
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I would do B if I hd those

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  14. Big Hands Barry
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    A) Keep Salah
    B) Salah to Mane
    C) Salah&Pukki to Maddison&Kane
    D) Salah&Pukki to Son&Firmino

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    1. JoeSoap
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      B though Pukki needs to go asap.

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  15. Bob B
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Best 4.4 MID?

    A. Dendoncker
    B. Hayden

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    1. My name is an echo
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I am looking at Hayden but good question

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  16. StayoutheSpiceZone
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Salah news good then that he has travelles. Any news on Robbo doing the same?

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    1. StayoutheSpiceZone
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Travelled

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    2. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Rumour is that Robbo ran down.

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    3. J âš’ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Can you provide a link to this info?

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    4. Maddamotha
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Source?

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      1. StayoutheSpiceZone
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Source for what? The salah news?

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  17. davies
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    McGinn or Grealish for this week only??

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    1. Champ
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Mcginn surely

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    2. Rash
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I've gone grealish

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      1. Calderano FC
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Grealish is a poor man's Mcginn

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        1. George Sillett
          • 10 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          Watch more Villa .

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          1. Calderano FC
            • 15 Years
            6 years, 2 months ago

            Watch more Scotland...........

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  18. zeniththe1don
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Aurier, Lundstram, soy, Mount pick 3

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  19. Ginkapo FPL
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Tammy + KDB to Kane + Dendoncker and sufficient cash for Jaanmat to Robertson next week.

    Tammy currently my first sub.

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    1. Champ
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Bad moves imo

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    2. MagicMessi
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Tammy has nice fixtures after this week so No

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      1. Ginkapo FPL
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        I cant see West Ham or Villa turning up to Stamford Bridge with anything except a bus. Same as he got no points against the toon or seagulls at the bridgr.

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        1. MagicMessi
          • 13 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          Please don't do these moves trust me I like Kane Captained him about 3 times or 4 this season and it wasn't good

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  20. MagicMessi
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Captain please ?
    Henderson
    Guilbert Lundstram Rico
    Salah. Mane". Martial. Son". Traore
    Vardy". Ings Abraham
    O.5 itb
    Son>Madison. Next week
    Captain Son or Vardy or Mane ?
    Thanks

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    1. Big Hands Barry
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Vardy

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    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Mané for me

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    3. WVA
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Vardy

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    4. F4L
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Vardy

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    5. JoeSoap
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Vardy or Mane. Currently on Vardy myself.

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    6. MagicMessi
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Thanks people
      Vardy it is

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  21. F4L
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Get Trossard or Grealish in for the long term (need a 6.0mil and under mid)? Liked what I've seen from both this season so far.

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    1. Champ
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Grealish the better option but i would wait until his fixtures turn and his fitness is back tbh

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      1. F4L
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        yeah its a shame Grealish's immediate fixtures aren't great.
        Could afford to bench him for a few of them though

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    2. JoeSoap
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Neither have great fixtures. Risky but maybe a Southampton midfielder as fixtures are good

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      1. F4L
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers; yeah did consider Redmond/Djenepo. They just looked so dire last weekend sadly.

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    3. Cholito
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Trossard. Brighton style of play is good for him. He's playing great, big chances, shots, etc

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      1. F4L
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        he does look good. like the fact he has set pieces in his locker as well

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  22. zeniththe1don
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Aurier, Lundstram, soy, Mount pick 3 Please

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  23. WVA
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Any news on Robertson people?

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  24. Bad Kompany
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Which Spurs attackers are you considering getting? Currently I'm looking at Kane, Son, and possibly Alli.

    Mou likes to have his striker play as a true number 9. This is why he made sure that they bought Lukaku instead of playing Rashford or Martial at striker. In 2014/15 under Mou, Diego Costa scored tons of goals around the 6 yard box. Harry Kane will not be dropping deep anymore but will be staying up the pitch and will be more of a finisher. He has been his most successful when he has been doing this.

    Mou generally likes to have his wingers track back and play defense, however, he sometimes gives them the freedom of staying up the pitch. He did this with Hazard on Chelsea and with Ronaldo at Real Madrid. He might do this with Son at Tottenham to allow them to transition quickly and be dangerous on the counter. Son has generally scored best when playing in this type of a role.

    Alli is an interesting one as he hasn't been playing well lately, or for that matter much at all. Mou's arrival might give him a boost though. Mou likes his number 10 to play almost like an 8 on defense and almost like a 9 when attacking. This is how Dele played for most of 2016/17, which was his best season and saw him score 18 goals. They also came in 2nd place that year.

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    1. My name is an echo
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      could only be Son or Kane at this stage. No idea or Ali or Eriksen will actually play

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    2. WVA
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Clearly a wait and see, Son is another level though

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    3. Champ
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Wont be going near any of them for 2 gws at the very least

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    4. andres
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Has to be kane

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    5. Rash
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Brought in kane and gave him the armband

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    6. THE SHEEP HUNTERS
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      There might be a disappointing bounce with the Spurs players like a space hopper being driven Anne Widecombe.

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      1. THE SHEEP HUNTERS
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        By A fat bird.

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        1. THE SHEEP HUNTERS
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          Don't ban me, I swear I only added the by word there
          The rest was auto correct.

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        2. Calderano FC
          • 15 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          Harsh

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          1. THE SHEEP HUNTERS
            • 8 Years
            6 years, 2 months ago

            Couldn't sort out the mess at Utd, his dream job, by his own admission.
            He's jumped into a similar scenario, any reason to think any different.
            Will enjoy the Pantomime though.

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    7. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I'm considering a double up on Son and Kane

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  25. JoeSoap
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    A. Robby>TAA
    B. Mount>Martial
    C. Save FT (no pressing issues next week bar injuries)

    Pope
    Robby, Lund, Soyu,
    Mane, Maddy, KDB, Mount
    Abraham, Vardy, Jimmy
    Gazza, Rico, Tomori, Dendo

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    1. My name is an echo
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      tempted by B

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    2. Rash
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      C

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    3. MagicMessi
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      B

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    4. JoeSoap
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Thanks all. Should have had Martial in WC last week.

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  26. Sandy Ravage
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    A - Sterling (new, bur, MUN)
    B - Son (BOU, mun, BUR)

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  27. andres
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Mount to Richa (c)?

    Or save and vardy (c)

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  28. Manani
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    save FT?

    Pope McGov
    TAA Rico Soyu Lund Tomori
    Mount Madison Mane KDB Sterling
    Jimenez Tammy Conoley

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    1. clempro
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Yep, looks good. Care to help me below?

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  29. clempro
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Bench one:
    A. Janmaat (BUR)
    B. Soyuncu (bha)
    C. Mount (mci)
    D. Lundstram (MUN)

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    1. JabbaWookiee
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Mount

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    2. Champ
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      A

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    3. JoeSoap
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      C tough

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    4. MagicMessi
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Mount

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  30. Cholito
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Gazzaniga - Roberto
    Rico - Soyuncu - TAA - Lundstram - Tomori
    Sterling - KDB - Martial - Mount - Yarmolenko
    Aguero - Abraham - Connoly

    2FT, 0.3 ITB

    I planned to do Roberto to 4.0 this GW, then next GW bring in Salah/Mane + Ings in for Aguero + Yarmolenko
    But now i don't know. Don't wanna lose money, but also i will be on fire if Kun starts and scores a lot against Chelsea, which i believe is the most possible scenario.

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