Pro Pundits

Why the stats are becoming hard to ignore in the Pulisic v Mount debate

Let’s Talk FPL’s Andy looks ahead to Gameweek 15 in his latest Pro Pundits piece


I don’t like making late changes to my team – at that point, it all feels a bit rushed. Despite this I still found myself on Saturday morning chopping and changing between Jamie Vardy (£9.9m) and Sadio Mané (£12.2m) for captaincy, only to pick the wrong one.

It turned out to be a fairly average week, scoring 51 and seeing a 4,321 red arrow, down to 510,594.

Looking ahead to Gameweek 15 and I’m in that weird situation where I could transfer out one of three players or just make no transfer at all.

Nick Pope (£4.7m) has a bit of a fixture swing from this Gameweek, and not in a good way. Looking at the Season Ticker in the Members Area right up until Gameweek 30 (which is when I’ll start looking at using the second Wildcard), Burnley are second bottom in terms of fixture difficulty for defence.

I’m still reluctant to use a transfer on a goalkeeper however. The ceiling for points is fairly low and at just £4.7m he’s scored 55 points total, only five points behind current leaders Mathew Ryan (£4.8m) and Kasper Schmeichel (£5.3m). With the fixtures getting more difficult I would hope for an increase in save points to combat the likelihood of less clean sheets as well.

Mason Mount (£6.6m) is another player I’m looking at giving the boot to. He has just one assist to his name in the last six Gameweeks. There is a part of me that wants to give him the Aston Villa game, but that would definitely be the last-chance saloon.

If you compare Mount to Christian Pulisic (£7.5m) over the last six Gameweeks, there really is no competition: Pulisic has created more chances, registered more big chances and recorded more shots inside the box over the same period.

Despite all of this, it’s John Lundstram (£5.0m) that I’m looking to bring in (yes that’s correct, I still don’t own him).

It will be Harry Maguire (£5.3m) leaving my team to accommodate Lundstram. I have thought about keeping him, given that he’s nailed and has good goal threat, and instead transfer out Issa Diop (£4.5m), but that leaves a lot of money spread out over my defence, and would mean I don’t have enough flexibility for future transfers.

It’s been difficult to ignore Lundstram, and that is made even worse by their upcoming fixture run that includes Newcastle United, Norwich, Aston Villa, Brighton and Watford. Couple that with his 45.5% ownership and it’s hard to go any longer without him given the potential for clean sheets and attacking returns: he’s 12th for expected goals (xG) from open play in the last six Gameweeks for example.

As much as the fixtures look good for my team this week, I want to be more aggressive with my transfers in an attempt to get ahead of the curve. Lundstram doesn’t do that but he does provide a comfort blanket. That being said, after writing this article and looking at the stats for Pulisic, it’s difficult to ignore him with Villa up next. Maybe I’ll take my fourth hit in as many Gameweeks and just get it over with…

As for captaincy, that’s easy. I can’t look past Vardy at the moment and even though I bought Mané in under the guise of handing him the armband between Gameweeks 14-17, I think it’ll be the Englishman who becomes permanent captain now, at least for the next three weeks.


Andy is the face of Let’s Talk FPL, one of the leading Fantasy YouTube channels and has been a big part of the Scoutcast over a number of years. He has two top 10k finishes and an additional three inside the top 20k over nine years.

1,294 Comments Post a Comment
  1. fantasyfog
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    front line of Vardy Kane and Jiminez

    whose a keeper and who's hone, and for who?

    1. fantasyfog
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      *gone

    2. iL PiStOlErO
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Vardy Jimenez keepers. Kane out for Tammy when fit or even Rash.

    3. antis0cial
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Kane to Mousset/Ings and upgrade Midfield with Son/Ali?

  2. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    Bench 1.

    A)mount
    B)grealish
    C)tammy

    1. fantasyfog
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      tammy obvs

      1. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        In training tho and assessed

        1. fantasyfog
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 4 months ago

          worried losing Kane but I agree, could explode though

          1. fantasyfog
            • 8 Years
            4 years, 4 months ago

            oops reply fail

      2. Winston.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        Tammy very close to being fit? Could he start?

    2. Rhodes your boat
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      B

  3. I Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    Pope
    Alexander-Arnold, Lundstram, Soyuncu
    Mane, De Bruyne, Maddison, Mount
    Vardy, Firmino, Ings

    Button; Dendoncker, Rico, Maguire.

    1 FT 1.6 ITB

    A) Pope -> Henderson
    B) Mount -> Pulisic
    C) Mount -> Zaha

    1. Rhodes your boat
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Pope to Guaita?

  4. Captain_Shirokov
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    Which would you prioritise?

    A) Sterling to Son
    or
    B) Mount to Zaha

    1. Arthur Shelby
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      A

    2. iL PiStOlErO
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      B

    3. Rhodes your boat
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Would rather bring in son

    4. Party time
        4 years, 4 months ago

        B

      • IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        B

      • 404_FC
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        a

    5. The Colonel
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Keen to get Son in.Have 2 FTs

      Martial + Tammy > Son and Ings?

      1. iL PiStOlErO
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        Wouldn't do it like that

    6. rozzo
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Okay to save the transfer?

      Pope
      TAA Lundstram O'Connell
      Mane KDB Son Maddison Pulisic
      Vardy Jimenez

      Button Rico Connolly Elmo

      0.2 itb

      Double Sheff United defence hasnt been great lately but the fixtures swing for them now.

      Cheers

      1. iL PiStOlErO
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        Gtg

    7. marco_atk85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Here you go! pick one to bench:

      TAA (EVE)
      Soy (WAT)
      LUND (NEW)
      Tomori (AVL)
      Pulisic (AVL)
      KDB (bur)
      Mane (EVE)
      Madison (WAT)
      Vardy (WAT)
      Jesus (bur)
      Jimenez (WHU)

      1. fantasyfog
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        jesus

      2. 404_FC
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        Tomori

      3. antis0cial
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        Tomori

      4. JBG
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        Tomori

    8. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      What about Pukki?

      I know many will scoff and scorn, but he's actually returned in the last few weeks and since they've got Cantwell and Zimmerman starting, they've scored 4 goals in the last 2 games.

      Norwich's good form is extremely tied to having good centre backs who can pass out from the back.

      We know Pukki still has it because he keeps scoring for Finland. Next few fixtures are: sou SHU lei WOL

      That seems decent. His price has rocketed all the way back to starting now as well.

      1. Arthur Shelby
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        I like him as an option in that range. Especially as he's almost guaranteed to play every game, even over Xmas. Ings will need a rest or perhaps pick up a niggle at some point.

      2. the Penman
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        That set of fixtures looks like:
        It’s only Southampton (sure, go for it)
        Difficult
        Difficult
        Maybe 1 goal at most.

        He’ll have better fixture runs elsewhere in the season.

      3. goriuanx
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        If you think I'm going to be interested in Pukki after finally scoring after 8 games,

        you're absolutely right.

      4. Pacer.
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        Horrible fixtures though. Would rather have Cantwell of my bench/rotating

      5. Konstaapeli
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        Not a bad option at all. He looks confident, makes great runs and works really hard in every game.

        1. Bobby Digital
          • 6 Years
          4 years, 4 months ago

          I'd like to see him in a mid table team

      6. internal error
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        There is an elite fpl player on here who kept him all this time and is now at approx 18k. He is a liverpool supporter.

        1. internal error
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          4 years, 4 months ago

          He has "Livepool" in his username

    9. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Who to bench? Soyuncu plays 90 min for sure...
      A. Mount (AVL)
      B. Soyuncu (WAT)

      1. 404_FC
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        a

    10. Pacer.
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Started reading this article then realised I was taking advice from a man who doesn't own Lordstram.

      1. goriuanx
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        I'd love to know why he owns Maguire still. 😆

        1. andy85wsm
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 13 Years
          4 years, 4 months ago

          Was a 4 gameweek test. He failed miserably. Didn't seem worth getting rid for Villa (h) and Lundstram hasn't done much last 2 games anyway

          1. goriuanx
            • 13 Years
            4 years, 4 months ago

            Time to finally get rid! 🙂

          2. Pacer.
            • 9 Years
            4 years, 4 months ago

            He's an oddity. He's made it into everyone's first X1 occupies a weird position of being essential some weeks and bench fodder in others. I've managed to call every single return and bench many of the blanks. That's not a brag, it's not hard to predict. Bench him against good and excellent teams away, bench him against excellent teams at home. Maybe a touch of luck involved with hitting a post and forcing a great save recently, but otherwise that rule is holding firm.

            Next five weeks would be absolutely terrifying if I didn't own. Very real possibility of a double return and returns at one end or other likely in every game

    11. The Mantis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Am I set up ok for this week?

      Ryan
      TAA / Chilwell / Lund
      Mane / Son / Zaha / Tielemans
      Vardy (c) / Rash / Tammy
      (Mount/Tomori/Janmaat)

      TIA

      1. Am sorry to say again it�…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        All good I think. Tammy might not be ready but Mount coming off the bench is good

      2. marco_atk85
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        I would roll my dice for Tomori clean sheet then Tielmans attack return.

    12. 404_FC
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      who to bench?

      a) Maddison
      b) Mousset

      other fron are

      Mane KDB Alli Son
      Jimmy Vardy

      thanks

      1. Totti
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        no way to bench either

    13. La vida FPL
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Maddison > Pulisic Y/N?

      1. marco_atk85
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        Oh yeah

      2. 404_FC
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        n

    14. Totti
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      sorry for reposting
      seems like mount now isn't a preferred pick

      so

      A) mount-> alli or son (-4)
      B) play mount
      C) play cantwell
      D) play monut and cantwell and bench tomori

      1. iL PiStOlErO
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        D

      2. 404_FC
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        a

        1. Totti
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 4 months ago

          against man u
          do u think the hit will payoff?

          1. 404_FC
            • 8 Years
            4 years, 4 months ago

            aston villa sget 2 goals why tot cannot?

            1. Totti
              • 7 Years
              4 years, 4 months ago

              cuz i think that solskjaer will play 3 at the back as it's his habit when playing against top teams

      3. thepuntmaster
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        C

    15. YuvalFPL
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Best defender £4.4m or under that isn't Kelly?

      1. Wally banter
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        Guilbert/Target

    16. HurriKane
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      After whopping 22 points on the bench would you start any of them again?

      Cantwell:(sot) Kelly (bou) Dunk (ars)

      Current first xi

      Pope (MCI)
      TAA (EVE) Soy (WAT) Lundy:(NEW)
      Mane (EVE) KDB (bur) Pulisic (AVL) Tielemens (WAT)
      Auba (BHA) Vardy (WAT) Ings (NOR)

      1. HNI
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        Sadly no as first team is strong. I have to bench Cantwell as well :/ Just have Cantwell first on bench though

    17. HNI
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Which option looks best?
      1)Mount to Alli. So tempted.
      2) Pope to Henderson(RMT projection still has Pope first)
      3) Pope to Guaita(little overpriced)
      4) Mount to Zaha
      5) Save FT as Mount has AVL

      Currently on 2) then do 1 or 4 looking at midweek

      1. Camzy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        1 easily. Doing it now is good. Old Trafford hardly a fortress nowadays.

        1. HNI
          • 11 Years
          4 years, 4 months ago

          But you sure Mount may not start or struggle again?

          1. HNI
            • 11 Years
            4 years, 4 months ago

            And what about Son. Sadly cant afford and fear Alli was just flash in pan as he isnt as fast to get on Alderwerield end balls like Son can and he steals Alli points. Plus you think Alli will be nailed?

            1. HNI
              • 11 Years
              4 years, 4 months ago

              Example Eriksen taking Alli place

              1. The Ejiptian King
                • 5 Years
                4 years, 4 months ago

                Eriksen doesn't wanna be there, there's reports that he's already agreed a move to Real and will sign a pre-contract in Jan, Jose won't wanna play him if that's true.

          2. Camzy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            4 years, 4 months ago

            Sure. The longer you wait the further behind you fall.

            1. HNI
              • 11 Years
              4 years, 4 months ago

              What about Pulisic over Alli or he isnt as nailed?

        2. Dele
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 4 months ago

          This

    18. BellyKlopp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Perez and Martial to Zaha and Alli for free? Or Perez to Alli and save Martial to Zaha/someone else for next week?

      1. antis0cial
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        Good moves I think

    19. akhilrajau
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      My Current Team:

      Pope, Heaton
      Robertson, Chilwell, Soyuncu, Lundstram, Rico
      Mount, Martial, Mane, Sterling, Dendonker
      Jimenez, Vardy, King
      FT :2, Bank : 0.1m

      Wildcard now or wait for weekend (GW16)?

      A. Wildcard
      B. Pope, King -> Henderson, Ings

      Any better option

    20. Dele
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      G2G?

      Pope,
      TAA, Chilwell, Lundstram
      Mane, KDB, Son, Maddison, Zaha
      Jimenez, Vardy (c)

      Button, Tomori, Connolly, Hanley

      1. No Professionals
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        Yep

    21. EWH2020
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      a) Martial to Pulisic (already have Mount)
      b) Mount to Pulisic

      1. 404_FC
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        b

    22. No Professionals
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Pope
      VVD Lundstram Kelly
      Mane Son Maddison Mount
      Vardy Kane Jimenez

      Button Cantwell Otamendi Rico
      0.2m ITB 1ft

      A) This week
      Kane to ings
      Next week mount to KDB

      B) Or roll ft and reassess at the weekend?

      1. thepuntmaster
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        I'd maybe say B, Kane could come good in a big match

        1. No Professionals
          • 6 Years
          4 years, 4 months ago

          Thinking that is sensible too be honest.

          1. No Professionals
            • 6 Years
            4 years, 4 months ago

            Issue is, if I give kane united, can't take him out before Burnley at home. Which means i can't do de bruyne

      2. LSK
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        B

    23. Arteta
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Fair play to those who jumped on Pulisic bandwagon after Burnley. Wish I did too.

      1. No Professionals
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        Back to back blanks?

        1. Arteta
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 4 months ago

          14 points more than Mason since then and I had enough cash to make that switch. That's what makes the whole situation much more frustrating for me...

      2. HNI
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        Fair play or bad play? Only thing is they made some £

        1. Arteta
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 4 months ago

          Fair because they didn't hesitate and overthink. At that point MM was supposed to be essential and almost in every team on here. Sometimes you just have to go for it.

    24. All about the galacticos
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Whether to go mount to pulisic? On current form, I convinced myself with this logic

      Cantwell vs Southampton > Mount vs Villa
      Pulisic vs Villa > Cantwell vs Southampton

      Therefore, if you don't transfer Mount to Pulisic, you should play Cantwell ahead of Mount?

    25. thepuntmaster
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Good afternoon all.
      Pope (MCI)
      Soyuncu (WAT) - Lundstram (NEW) - PVA (BOU)
      Mané (EVE) - Son (mun) - Richarlison (liv) - Cantwell (sou)
      Auba vc (BHA) - Vardy c (WAT) - Ings (NOR)

      Button - Maddison (WAT) - Tomori (AVL) - Rico (cry)

      Couple questions.

      1) Who two to play:
      A) Richarlison
      B) Cantwell
      C) Maddison

      2) Which one to play:
      D) Tomori
      E) Rico
      F) Lundstram

      3) Should I consider using bench boost this week?

      🙂

    26. Pep Roulette
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      How long is Aguero out?

      1. goriuanx
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        You should be telling us Pep.

    27. Wheato182
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Good to go?

      Pope
      TAA - Soyuncu - Lund
      Mane - KDB - Son - Ali - Mount
      Jimeniz - Vardy

    28. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Decisions decisions...2ft 0.7 itb

      Ryan
      TAA Tomori Soy Lund
      Mount Sterling Mane Maddison
      Jimi Vardy
      Subs Button Tammy Dendo Rico

      A Tammy to Ings/Pukki
      B sterling/Mount to KDB/Alli
      C Button to Guaita?

    29. HNI
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Pulsic vs Alli, if can only have 1 who will it be?
      Pulisic cheaper but Alli is differential against Son owners. Both are not completely nailed I think.

      1. Camzy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        Alli is nailed on.

        Alli is better. But more expensive and that makes him more difficult to accommodate. I'm looking to get both.

    30. Bob B
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      What would you do with this lot?

      A. Save a transfer
      B. Make a move
      C. Take a hit

      Gazzaniga
      TAA Robertson Lundstram
      Mane Martial Pulisic Tielemans
      Kane Vardy Abraham

      Rico Dendoncker Taylor