Spot the Differential
20 December 2019 1302 comments
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Whenever we draw closer to the midpoint of a Fantasy Premier League season, a standard template team tends to emerge.

This, in turn, means that it becomes more difficult to make up ground in our mini-leagues and places more importance on having a differential or two in our starting line-ups who can make a considerable impact.

In fact, last Gameweek saw three of the top seven FPL points-scorers of the round having ownership of 5% or less.

Rest assured, there’s still time to find some hidden gems. These players can be key assets, especially during this time of the season when there is a short turnaround time between games.

With that said, here are three low-owned players that may be of interest to you over the next four Gameweeks:

Lucas Moura

  • FPL ownership: 4.8%
  • Price: £7.0m
  • GW18-21 fixtures: CHE | BHA | nor | sou

At this moment in time, when it comes to Tottenham Hotspur’s attacking assets from a Fantasy perspective, you will automatically think of Harry Kane (£10.9m), Son Heung-min (£10.1m) and Dele Alli (£8.7m). However, Lucas Moura (£7.0m) is flying under the radar and rivalling that trio for attacking returns.

Under Jose Mourinho he has become revitalised, having scored three goals in his last three Premier League appearances where he has appeared for more than 70 minutes.

Among midfielders priced at £7.0m or less, he is currently ranked joint-third for goals scored, which is all the more remarkable when considering that he has only played three full league matches since August.

While he has become a regular starter of late, it can’t be ignored that he is often substituted, as was the case with his playing time under Mourinho’s predecessor.

But when we quantify Moura’s output we can see that he is averaging an attacking return for every 120 minutes played since August, which is more than respectable for an inexpensive midfielder.

You would expect him to feature in all four matches over the festive period (whether it be from the start or as a substitute), which includes fixtures against teams that have struggled for clean sheets this season.

With Moura’s form, you wouldn’t put it past him to add to his Fantasy returns, even if he’s prone to missing out on bonus points.

Neal Maupay

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.8m
  • GW18-21 fixtures: SHU | tot | BOU | CHE

With three goals in his last three games, it’s still somewhat surprising that Neal Maupay (£5.8m) has single-digit ownership levels.

He may not have featured regularly at the start of the season but it’s fair to say that he’s now established himself as Brighton’s main centre-forward.

Seven goals in 17 appearances to date is more than respectable for a player that hadn’t played in the Premier League before August.

His credentials as a budget forward option are also commendable. During the last two Gameweeks, Maupay is ranked second for attempts on goal and joint-second for penalty area touches among forwards priced at £6.0m or less. In fact, he’s had more goal attempts than the likes of Tammy Abraham (£8.0m) and Raul Jimenez (£7.5m) since Gameweek 16.

To add to his viability, three of Brighton’s next four league games will be at home.

The Seagulls’ home record since Gameweek 1 is only 13th-best in the league at the moment, with Graham Potter’s side scoring less than two goals per game at the Amex.

But we shouldn’t read too much into that, as Brighton are, in fact, getting better with their finishing, having scored ten league goals in their last five matches on the south coast.

Maupay presents a very good opportunity to invest in a player that is performing well and doesn’t cost over the odds. He may not score in all of the Seagulls’ festive matches but the chances are that, when Albion do find the back of the net, he will most likely have some sort of involvement.

James Tomkins

  • FPL ownership: 0.5%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW18-21 fixtures: new | WHU | sou | nor

With the exception of a handful of must-haves in FPL this season, consistent returns from defenders have been somewhat lacking since August.

But with four Fantasy returns in his last four games, it’s surprising to think that James Tomkins (£5.0m) is still owned by fewer than 1% of FPL managers.

Tomkins has started every match for Crystal Palace from Gameweek 9 onwards, having missed the start of the season due to injury.

His form is impressive at the moment, with 85% of his points having been scored since Gameweek 14.

Crystal Palace’s next four games will be against teams currently placed in the bottom half of the table, which further enhances their chances of additional clean sheets in the short term.

However, it also remains to be seen whether Crystal Palace can cope over the busy period when stalwarts like Patrick van Aanholt (£5.5m) are injured.

Furthermore, the chances are that most seasoned FPL managers have already signed Martin Kelly (£4.4m) at a cheaper price, which makes Tomkins less appealing (and explains his ownership levels). Understandably, many of us will have a limited desire to double up on the Eagles’ defenders, despite their clean sheet potential of late.

But it can be argued that Tomkins offers slightly more.

Kelly has only registered three attacking Fantasy returns since 2016/17, whereas Tomkins has seven goals and two assists to his name during the same period. Maybe he’s due another goal?

In any case, he’s definitely worth keeping an eye on as one of the best performing budget defenders in FPL at present.

  1. FPL FREAK
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    Cahill fit for tomorrow.....?? Or he is out...??

    1. Snooze ya lose
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Ooooh he is fit

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Out

    3. teneighty
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Dec 16: "With Gary Cahill, he's had a minor operation, so that will be a relatively long-term injury."

      1. FPL FREAK
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 28 days ago

        So Dann will surely play.??

        1. teneighty
          • 10 Years
          6 years, 28 days ago

          I would guess so, but don't take my word for it. But I would say it's risky to get a defender from CP if it's a long term move with all the injuries.

          1. FPL FREAK
            • 12 Years
            6 years, 28 days ago

            Thanx

    4. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Out for a long time apparently

  2. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    Experts 🙂 G2G here? Son or Alli for the armband? Good luck guys!

    Pope
    Lundy • Aurier • Rico
    Son • KDB • Alli • Grealish
    Vardy • Tammy • Greeny
    (McGov. Soy. Mané. TAA)

    1. Snooze ya lose
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Gtg

    2. Lumberjack
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      While you're waiting for the experts to chip in...looks good. I'd go Son (c). GL! 🙂

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 28 days ago

        Haha 🙂

    3. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      GTG. Son.

  3. tyron
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    guys.. who would u start cantwell or pulisic?

    1. Snooze ya lose
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Pul

  4. Tinmen
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    Moura or Grealish folks?

    1. Snooze ya lose
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Toss a coin?

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Grealish - more likely to start and centre of everything Villa do.

    3. Gini's Wish
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      I don't trust Villa at all

  5. Big Hands Barry
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    Is Salah worth it?

    A) Targett + Salah + Martial
    B) TAA + Alli + Abraham

    1. Snooze ya lose
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      A

      1. Flynny
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 28 days ago

        A

  6. Flynny
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    Has anyone got rid of both TAA and mane this week?

    Downgraded TAA to Kelly with one ft.

    And either maddison or mane will go tonight for son....

    Tough decision ..... any views? Thanks

    1. Snooze ya lose
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Yup benching

    2. carlosice
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      I ditching one..likely to want them back. Harder to do if you ditch both

    3. Moderately content penguin
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Just TAA - wouldn’t want him got a couple anyway and much easier to find likely value at the back than in midfield.

      Mane seems to be falling out of fashion a bit but he’s still a likely hauler imo - very hard to replace that as I already have Son.

    4. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Just TAA for me Jim.
      Mane (or easy swap to Salah) "essential".

    5. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      benching

  7. carlosice
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    Hi All - thoughts on this welcomed...

    Mane and Pulisic to:

    A) Son and Grealish

    B) Son and Richarlison

    A would allow Alli to Salah following week/weeks, B would mean having to take out Son for Salah

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      A because of future options

    2. sozopol
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      A

    3. carlosice
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      cheers all

  8. Slitherene
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    Which option for the next 2 weeks?

    Pope
    Baldock Kelly Matip*
    Heaton Aurier Soyuncu

    A) Matip -> Lundstram (-4)
    B) Play Aurier

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      B

  9. MagicMessi
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    Pukki any news?

  10. tyron
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    start 2 out of
    a - puli
    b - maddison
    c- cantwell.

    1. Snooze ya lose
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      A. B

      1. tyron
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 28 days ago

        thank u

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      A, B

    3. BremerHB
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      A B

  11. Christina.
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    Heaton
    Kelly Rico Soy Lundy
    KdB Alli Maddison
    Vardy Rashford Tammy

    Mane TAA

    no hits

    1. Snooze ya lose
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Nice

    2. sovietrockettes
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Captain?

      1. Christina.
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 28 days ago

        will sleep on it.

  12. Boss Hogg
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    Play Tomori or Chilwell?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Chil

    2. D.Glynn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Chilwell

    3. BremerHB
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Chilwell

  13. Boss Hogg
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    Play Pope or McCarthy?

    1. Snooze ya lose
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Pope

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Pope

    3. BremerHB
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Pope

  14. Snooze ya lose
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    Mount to Grealish or save?

    Pope (Martin)
    Lund, Rico, kelly (soy, taa)
    Kdb, cantwell, son, mount (mane)
    Tammy, rash, vardy

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Do it

    2. sozopol
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Do it

    3. Bavarian
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      if for free then yes

  15. nicecat
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    Tammy to Jesus or Rash (or someone else for 9.9)?

    Sterling . Dele . Lucas . Maddison . Cantwell
    Vardy . Jimenez . Tammy

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Beans

      1. nicecat
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 28 days ago

        I had to google and now I learned something new. Thanks.

    2. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Definitely not Jesus. Aguero might even be back for this game week

  16. Plagued by indecision
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    Think I have decided now.

    GW18: Mane > Son, Pulisic > Alli
    GW19: Ings > Rashford
    GW20: wildcard

    What would be priority wildcard transfers for this team?

    Heaton / Pope
    TAA / Guilbert / Soyuncu / Kelly / Lundstram
    Son / Alli / Maddison / Grealish / KDB
    Rashford / Vardy / Connolly

    One playing GK, Liverpool attacker, drop one Spurs, probably Grealish/Maddison out?

  17. FOO FIGHTER
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    Anyone planning on using their 2nd WC early?

    1. Christina.
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      not me

    2. Conners
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Not if I can help it. Will try and hold out until the blank/double game weeks start (usually Feb/March time).

    3. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      One of the articles yesterday suggested that it actually works well, but then meandered off onto other points.

      MY team is pretty close to template and what people seem to be WCing to so probably not that early.

    4. Conners
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      I think using the 1st WC early can work well in order to jump on in form players and catch price rises. That doesn't tend to apply to the second WC though (assuming you've maintained a sound transfer policy).

    5. GoonerByron
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Never do..

    6. Moderately content penguin
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Quite open to the idea

      Regret holding off last season just to hit DGW BB. But I’m so template right now that I can’t see wanting to do it. Easy moves to almost anyone I want in a couple of weeks.

      The only incentive I can see would be the move to a power defence but that doesn’t seem on right now

    7. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Haven't used the first one yet!

  18. -GK22-
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    All good? Save FT or ship Tielemans for someone? Have £6.6m

    Guita
    Pereira, Aurier, Baldock, Lundstrum
    Grealish, KDB, Tielemans
    Vardy, Rashford, Ings

    Gazza, Saka, TAA, Mane

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Tiel has outlived his usefulness. Good player, but not in FPL the last couple of months. Grealish seems obvious one.

  19. Jon Snow
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    A) Pulisic >> Grealish
    B) Something else??

    (Got 2FT, 0.6itb)

    Gazza
    Robbo, Lund, Soyuncu, Kelly, Rico
    Pulisic, Mane, Maddison, Alli, Dendoncker
    Vardy, Rashford, Tammy

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      A'll do

  20. Mackans
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    Mount to Grealish worth a hit? Why? Why not?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Pros: Fixtures and form.
      Cons: Villa

    2. ElliotJHP
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      I have done it. Mount has been awful for ages and won't play against spurs away.

      Grealish, on the other hand, has 8.33ppg last three home games and is playing Southampton and Norwich next.

      1. ElliotJHP
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 28 days ago

        * won't start, he might come on

  21. royals forever
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    Who should I give the armband to out of

    KDB
    Alli
    Maupay

    Any ideas would be welcomed

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Dele

  22. GoonerByron
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    Struggling on who to bench this week, currently on this but RMT Tool thinks I should bench Maddison and Aurier... Thoughts?

    Ryan
    Aurier - Lundstram - Rico
    Son - KDB - Maddison - Zaha
    Jimenez - Auba - Vardy

    Adrian* - Cantwell - Targett - TAA*

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Maybe Targett over Rico (who might not play anyway: didn't train yesterday).

  23. E25
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    WCing in 19 or 20. Want to use the FT this week so as not to waste one if WC in 19.

    Thoughts on what to do....
    A) Dend -> Grealish (bench Zaha)
    B) Zaha -> Grealish (bank 4.0)
    C) TAA -> Aurier (bank 5.6, defender benching headache)

    Ryan
    Kelly Rico Lund
    Son(c) KDB Zaha Maddison
    Vardy Rashford Abraham

    Button / Soy Dend TAA

    1FT 3.5ITB

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      B

      1. E25
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 28 days ago

        Cheers

    2. KINGVIZO
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Hi - Have you decided WC 20 team?

      1. E25
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 28 days ago

        Not locked in. Probably lose TAA and will continue 343 with a similar squad.
        Lots of people touting Guaita but I think I prefer Ryan/Kelly over Guaita/Dunk, especially as I have money locked up in Ryan.

  24. faux_C
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    G2g, or should I switch keepers?

    Pope
    Kelly, Lund, Dunk
    JWP, Richarlison, KDB, Grealish
    Maupay, Vardy, Jimenez

    (McCarthy, Soy, Mane, TAA)

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Good

  25. Sj3451
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    1.1m ITB and 1FT

    Thinking of Maddison to martial? Or any sense in Mane -> Sterling/Son/Grealish and then over to Salah following week?

    Thoughts?

    Pope
    Soy, Kelly, Lundstram, Targett
    Alli, Maddison, KDB
    Abraham, Jimi, Vardy

    TAA, Mane, Douglas Luiz

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Mane to Son if you can switch to Mo

  26. KINGVIZO
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    Hi All - Any guidance would be great!!

    How does this look for GW 20 WC?

    Heaton Pope
    Rico Kelly Lundy Aurier Soy
    Sterling KDB Son Alli MAddison
    Vardy Greenwood Jimenez

    How does this look for GW 20 WC?
    GW 25 - Sterling --> Salah

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      GW 25? I understand the move, but who knows what might happen before then.

      1. KINGVIZO
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 28 days ago

        Yep - Fairly open - lets see!!

  27. -GK22-
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    Best Tielemans replacement for £6.6m over Xmas.

    Already have Grealish

    1. Conners
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Daniel James/Dwight McNeill/Pascal Gros could be worth considering.

    2. Conners
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      Would've also said Traore/Fleck but don't like Wolves & Sheff U xmas fixtures

  28. Mortal.Swinbat
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    Ryan
    TAA, Aurier, Lundstrum, Soyuncu
    Salah, Mane, Son
    Vardy, Abraham, Jiminez

    Button, Reid, Hayden, Nakamba

    2ft's

    0.2 itb

    Any advice?

  29. trafalgarlaw
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    GTG mate ?
    1 FT, 1,6 ITB

    Ryan
    Kelly Aurier Lunds
    Maddison Zaha Grealish Son
    Tammy Jimenez Vardy

    Button Soy Robo Mane

    Mane -> KDB and bench Zaha or save ?

  30. pjomara
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 28 days ago

    Who to drop?
    a. Ings (av)
    b. Pulisic (spurs)
    c. Vardy (mci)

    1. ElliotJHP
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 28 days ago

      b