Scout Picks

Gameweek 27 Scout Picks built on cheap striker triple-up

The Gameweek 27 Scout Picks is built on a mid-price forward line and a powerful double-up on Liverpool’s attack.

There are some favourable match-ups for the cheaper strikers this weekend, while West Ham’s visit to Anfield could produce a hatful of Fantasy Premier League points.

After deliberating over the Scout Squad submissions from David, Neale, Paul and Geoff, we have picked our best XI for Gameweek 27.

We line up in the 3-4-3 formation this time, coming in at £83.5m, £1.5m under our budget of £85.0m.

Goalkeeper

Five of Sheffield United’s nine clean sheets this season have come at Bramall Lane, which is why we’ve chosen Dean Henderson (£5.1m) for the Scout Picks. Over their last six away matches, upcoming opponents Brighton are in the bottom five for their goal conversion rate.

Defenders

You have to go back to Gameweek 15 for the last time Liverpool conceded at home while West Ham are the joint second-worst side for big chances over the last four matches. A clean sheet looks likely for Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.7m), who himself has not blanked in an outing he started since Gameweek 13.

Aaron Wan-Bissaka (£5.3m) makes it into the Scout Picks after three of our pundits chose him in their squad submissions. Liverpool (seven) are the only team with more clean sheets than Manchester United (four) since Gameweek 20 while the right-back has made some improvements to his attacking potential recently. Over the last four matches, none of Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s players has created more chances than Wan-Bissaka.

Willy Boly (£4.7m) gets into the Scout Picks on the back of some impressive defending from Wolves of late. Over the last four matches, Nuno Espirito Santo’s men have conceded the second-fewest number of big chances, while upcoming opponents Norwich are still comfortably bottom of the Premier League for away goals this season, scoring just six times in 13 road trips.

Midfielders

 1

Mohamed Salah (£12.8m) looks set for a potentially big haul in Gameweek 27 as West Ham come to Anfield. Over the last four matches, the Hammers are joint-bottom of the league for shots allowed, in the bottom five for big chances conceded and nobody has a worse expected goals conceded (xGC) score. Salah himself is second in the division for shots in the box and no player has created more big chances than him.

Sadio Mané (£12.2m) benefits from that same defence this weekend so we are expecting great things from him too. In light of Ryan Fredericks’ recent shoulder injury, Liverpool’s left-winger should be up against veteran right-back Pablo Zabaleta, which could allow him space to exploit. Furthermore, West Ham looked vulnerable to set pieces against Manchester City and Mané is second only to Richarlison for headed attempts on goal among midfielders this season.

Fresh from scoring against Chelsea and Club Brugge this week, Anthony Martial (£7.9m) gets into the Scout Picks for the visit of Watford to Old Trafford. Manchester United’s centre-forward has scored three league goals in his last four home matches and will be boosted by the added creativity of new signing Bruno Fernandes. Meanwhile, Watford have conceded an average of two goals per game since Gameweek 24.

Jack Grealish (£6.7m) continues to be a reliable source of points despite Aston Villa’s recent struggles on the road. The midfielder has recorded two double-digit hauls in his last three away matches and, in his last four, only two players have created more chances than Grealish. Meanwhile, recent defensive improvements for Southampton have dried up as, since Gameweek 23, they have conceded 12 big chances, only three Premier League sides giving up more in that time.

Forwards

Raúl Jiménez (£7.8m) has four attacking returns in his last four home matches ahead of the visit of Norwich to Molineux this weekend. In his last four Premier League outings, the Wolves man is just one shot in the box behind Salah, while no player in the division has been afforded more big chances than him.

Danny Ings (£7.1m) is now just two goals behind Jamie Vardy in the hunt for the Premier League Golden Boot award and faces an out-of-sorts Aston Villa defence this weekend. Over their last four matches, Dean Smith’s men are inside the bottom five for shots conceded in the box while no side has allowed more big chances in that time.

Only two teams have conceded more big chances in their last four matches than Arsenal, which bodes well for Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£6.2m). The Everton forward is joint-top of the Premier League for big chances of his own over his last four and has three goals in the Toffees last four away matches.

Substitutes

Only West Ham and Norwich have scored more away goals than Bournemouth this season, which bodes well for Nick Pope (£4.7m), especially as Burnley have the joint-highest number of home clean sheets this season (six).

Patrick van Aanholt (£5.5m) faces a Newcastle side inside the league’s bottom two for shots on goal, big chances and shots on target in 2020 this weekend. Meanwhile, the left-back has been involved in set piece situations for Crystal Palace recently, a perennial weakness for the Magpies.

Charlie Taylor (£4.2m) is a cheaper route into that Burnley defence as it prepares to host a struggling Bournemouth side.

Stuart Armstrong (£5.2m) is another option for doubling-up on the Southampton attack as he has more shots on target than any of his colleagues over the last four, and two goals in in that time.

The Captain

The Scout Picks has a captain for the 2019/20 campaign.

This skipper is chosen using the conclusions of the latest Captain Sensible article and a four-way vote between David, Neale, Paul and Geoff.

Because the use of Fantasy Football Scout data is used so heavily in this process, the captain we choose each Gameweek is usually known only to those who have signed up to Membership for the 2019/20 season and revealed to the public only when the deadline has passed.

Here’s how we voted:

COMMUNITY CHAMPION

Representing the community against the Scout Picks in Gameweek 25 is ringwraith.

They have gone for a 3-5-2 of Dúbravka; Baldock, van Dijk, Robertson; Fraser, Alli, B Fernandes, Martial, Salah (c); D Jota, Aubameyang.

The community member who beats our picks by the biggest margin over the campaign will win a £100 Amazon Voucher and a place in our Contributors and Moderators League for the following season.

Haggis was thoroughly beaten in Gameweek 26 as the Scout Picks emerged with a 65-35 victory.

Community Champion gwitbrock beat our Scout Picks 86-63 in Gameweek 25 and as a result, their winning margin of 23 points is now the target to beat.

3,655 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    VVD due a goal this week!

  2. Holmes
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Only two players, rank derailed...

  3. vandebeek
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Sidibe to Boly for free or
    Sidibe + Maupay to Doherty, Long (-4)...?

    1. FPL ElasticO
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Boly / Saais

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      boly only

    3. Jambot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Just Sidibe to Boly is nice. I love Shane long as a player gives everything but he isn’t a sustainable fantasy asset imo especially for a hit.

      1. vandebeek
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Ye, but that would allow me to get Doherty while also replacing Maupay with cheaper (and playing) option. Therefore this dillemma...

  4. FPL ElasticO
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Hey guys is it worth taking -4 for these transfers??

    Son & Martinelli >>>> Bruno & DCL

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      No

      1. FPL ElasticO
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        So, Martial & DCL

  5. Tonyawesome69
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    How's the team looking? GTG?

    1ft 2.8itb
    Pope
    Stephens TAA Lundstram
    Grealish* KDB (S)alah traore Mane
    Vardy Ings

    Ryan Lascelles Rico connolly

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Or should I do Grealish and connolly > Jimi and 6.0mid?

    2. JT11fc
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Keep Grealish this week imo SOU have no RB

  6. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Still torn and these picks don’t help haha! Best one?

    A. Son >> Mané
    B. Greenwood >> Ings (downgrade Son next GW & go double Pool def)

    McCarthy
    TAA • Lunds • Aurier
    KDB • Salah • Grealish • Son** • Traoré
    Vardy • Jiménez
    (McGov. Rico. Soy. Greenwood)

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      This question is all about layout. If you add that you are stuck with a cheap defence and nowt in the bank then Mane doesn't seem quite so great 🙂
      But because of the Son factor maybe just go with it mate. You kinda need an extra transfer sadly and Son screwed you.

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah, no way am I going early again! I’m been totally f*$ked over 🙁

        1. SADIO SANÉ
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          don't let it put you off in future Raf, this stuff is rare - it's 'only' 4 points, no biggie

          1. RAFA THE GAFFA
            • 8 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Which move then Sadio? 🙂

  7. Baines on Toast...
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    ’Furthermore, West Ham looked vulnerable to set pieces against Manchester City and Mané is second only to Richarlison for headed attempts on goal among midfielders this season.’

    Surely this is a case for VVD - I doubt Mane’s headed attempts are all from set pieces.

    1. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Or Robbo and TAA swinging in crosses

  8. FPL Xylophone
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Best Moura replacement at around 8m?

    1. Slitherene
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Willian

      1. FPL Xylophone
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Not a bad call. I had him earlier this season and he scored once though... bad memories lol

    2. Pukki Party
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Congrats on getting rid of him

      1. FPL Xylophone
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Don't rejoice just yet

  9. Eastman
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Lundstram > Boly of May he start?

  10. KT
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Henderson? on bench

    1. Rainer
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      GW26 image.

  11. Jambot
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I own mane and salah and believe salah is the better captain shout. But having my worst season ever by a way. Should I captain mane to try and make ground? If salah explodes it’s game over for my season.

    1. FPL ElasticO
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Hard to bet against Salah at home .... at least you got both so not much rank killing as both could score....

      1. Jambot
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah my gut says this and as you say if I’m wrong and Mane scores big I’m still happy. Just worried there may not be a better chance for a big gain than C on a 20% owned Mane. Appreciate the advice

  12. FootballDog
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Plz choose one

    1. Jambot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I’m trying

      1. FootballDog
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Hehe see below

  13. FootballDog
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    1. Lord
    2. Soyuncu
    3. Sidibe

    1. Rainer
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Sell or play?

      Lundstram for both.

      1. FootballDog
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        To play, thanks

  14. FPL ElasticO
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Who should you bench??

    A. Stephens
    B. Lascelles
    C. Both & play 3-4-3

  15. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Start Lundy (possibly cameo) or Vardy?

    1. I Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Vardy

  16. Champions League Varane
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Start 1
    A-Cahill (Newcastle @ home)
    B-Lascelles (Crystal Palace away)
    C-B.Williams (Rotation risk,Have Bruno,Watford @ Home)

  17. GW26 - The Review Part 2
    BigManBakar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    The Review: GW 26 Part 2

    Greetings everyone! Here I dissect the remainder of GW 26’s action along with looking ahead to the round of fixtures in GW 27 to follow:

    (Raw data taken from FFScout with permission)

    1) 7 big chances for Arsenal in the past 2 GW’s is what they have managed in the previous 6 GW’s before that under Arteta combined. Shots in the box per game have witnessed a ≈46% increase (from 6.5 to 9.5) so it is evident that Arsenal’s attacking numbers are on the rise. Pepe and Aubameyang appear to be the 2 most likely beneficiaries, with Aubameyang sitting top for Arsenal’s big chances over the past 2 GW’s while Pepe with 3 big chances created and 1 big chance recorded the best figures he has in a game this season. Now with Son’s injury, those eyeing up a replacement can look at Pepe if the bench can cope with the upcoming blank in GW28.

    2) Spurs recorded as many big chances in the game against Villa as Leicester did when they beat the Saints 0-9. Son had 3 big chances while Alli spurned 4 big opportunities which according to the xG model makes him the most underperforming midfielder in a single GW this season. Alli is another interesting shout as a Son replacement as he’ll likely be on penalties too and could represent an interesting differential sitting at just ≈5% ownership.

    3) Having said that, I looked into the numbers for Spurs playing with and without Son this season. They are averaging ≈7.8 shots inside the box per game with Son in the side (vs ≈7.2 without) and ≈2.2 big chances per game (vs ≈1.6 without) in the Premier League this season. Son also tops the charts for big chances and big chances created for Spurs all season so clearly his impact on the side is huge. Those fancying Alli will need to take this into account and the fact that the fixtures are somewhat tricky too.

    4) Spurs’ impressive attacking numbers against Villa can be put down to some degree, to the absence of Mings from the Villa team too. I examined the data and found that Villa with Mings this season have conceded ≈11.70 shots in the box (vs ≈13.83 without) and ≈2.55 big chances (compared to ≈4.67 without). Those looking at Ings as a differential captain this week may need to reconsider taking this into account. However, it is worth mentioning that even without Mings, Villa still sit worst for shots inside the box conceded and 4th worst for big chances conceded all season.

    5) Just the 7 bonus points for Martial all season and ≈72% have come when he's had minimum 2 goal involvements. Martial's disposessions and lack of creativity is what goes against him. He creates a chance every 86 minutes, which is 131st of all midfielders playing in the league. I still think he is the best midfielder to own in and around that price range but his repulsion to bonus makes it difficult for him to haul big.

    6) Man City's game against West Ham was just the second occasion Sergio Agüero started a home game this season yet failed to register a single big chance. Owners/Captainers can feel hard done by as no one could have seen this coming while non owners like myself got away with one here! Jesus was the one who got the bulk of the big chances in the game yet spurned all of them. With a blank and an upcoming game against Real Madrid next week I think there’s a strong case to sell Aguero as he’s highly likely to be rested.

    If you’re looking to follow more of my content, you can follow me @bigmanbakar on Twitter/Instagram. Computations and analysis my own. Thank you for supporting and reading my content!

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Martial lazy, one of the laziest players otherwise I would have considered him 😀

    2. Super Squirrel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks fantasy freak! As always.

      1. BigManBakar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thank you very much for the encouraging feedback!

    3. Kun, Ayew Nigerian?
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      +1

  18. stu92
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Ryan
    TAA - Robbo - Williams
    Salah (c) - KDB - Maddison - Traore
    Vardy - Jimi - Ings
    (Martin - Lundstram - Lascelles - Hayden)

    2FT, 0.5ITB - what time do?!

    1. JT11fc
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Lundy to Boly
      Ryan to anyone

  19. Champions League Varane
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    What to do with this team? Coming into GW 28 especially
    Henderson
    TAA Gomez Cahill
    (S)alah KDB B.Fernandes Adama
    Kun Jiminez Ings

    Bench:McCarthy,Fleck,B.Williams,Lascelles

    Would like rid of Fleck and possibly Kun

  20. Wensink
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts welcomed on my second pass at my WC for this week.

    Pope-Button
    TAA-Robertson, Boly, Lascelles, Tanganga
    KDB, Mane, Barnes, Richarlison, Jorghino
    Ings, Jiminez, Aubameyang

  21. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Team for the GW
    1FT (loads ITB)

    Henderson (Button)
    TAA Lascelles Lund
    Salah (c) Traore KDB Grealish
    Vardy Jimi Ings
    Bench - Dendonk holgate Cathcart

    A stick
    B Traore to Mane
    C Cathcart to Taylor
    D Lund to Robertson

    Flip a coin between B & D?

  22. AzzaroMax99
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Still don't know what to do here:

    a) Auba to Jimmy
    b) Holgate to Boly
    c) do both for -4
    d) save FT

    Hendo
    Taa Stephens Williams
    Salah(C) KDB Perez Grealish
    Auba Ings Firmino

    Button Webster Holgate Cantwell

    1.6 IDB
    1 FT

    1. g40steve
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

  23. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Who to play folks???
    A- Pope
    Or
    B- Henderson

  24. DavidKent
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Best Ali replacement?

    1. Champions League Varane
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Me,Bruno,or Richarlison

      1. DavidKent
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Who’s Me?

        Not Martial?

    2. Sir EFO
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Keep, sell next one for HBarns

  25. tissae
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Hey boys, need a lil help right here. Whats the best move here? 0 FT 1m itb

    Henderson Button
    TAA Stephens Lundstram Soy Kelly
    Mane KDB Salah Son Nakamba
    Ings Jimenez DCL

    Son to who? Adama? Bruno? Martial?

  26. Gunner1290
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    What would you do? 1 free transfer and 1.6 in the bank.

    McCarthy (button)
    Trent Gomez Lundstram (soy, Rico)
    Salah(c) Kdb Mahrez Traore son*
    Vardy Deeney (greenwood)

    Need to get son out who would you go for?

  27. andres
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Kelly (need players ahead of the blank) or Sidibe to?

    A Boly
    B stretch to Doherty (too much $ in defence?)

    Hedno
    Sidibe TAA VVD stephens
    Kdb Salah Traore
    Kun Jimi Ings

    Mooy, Cantwell, Kelly 3.4, 1 FT

  28. mr messi
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Who to bench out of Baldock, Stephens and Williams?

    1. Champions League Varane
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Williams as he will be rested

    2. Rainer
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Stephens if you think Williams starts.

      Not Baldock.

  29. FOO FIGHTER
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Lampard vs Mourinho.

    Take your pic.

    1. I Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      In a fight? Lampard much younger, faster and stronger.

      1. FOO FIGHTER
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Mourinho will bring his cat along.

  30. camarozz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Can't decide between Troare/Vardy/DCL to play.

    Can't drop Kdb/Mane/Salah or Grealish...

    Really think I should drop Vardy v City.

    1. Sir EFO
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Wow which are the other attackers?
      Troare play, Vardy first sub

    2. Volley127
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Id say Traore