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Pro Pundits - Holly July 23

The player and team stats that could shape your Free Hit squad for Gameweek 38+

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Holly from Fantasy Football Community looks at some of the key numbers from our Members Area over the last four Gameweeks.

The final Gameweek of the season is here and Iā€™m taking a look at the underlying statistics from the last four Gameweeks, in a bid to sort out those transfer and Free Hit dilemmas going into Gameweek 38.

Note that some players will have seen more minutes than others over this period.

Holly, the founder of FPL Community, has two top 10k finishes in five FPL seasons, is a regular guest on the FPL Show and recent addition to the Scoutcast line-up.

1,681 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Will J 256
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Would you rather have a 4-5-1 or 3-5-2.
    The back four in the 4-5-1 would be Trent, Aurier, Pieters, Bardsley
    Top two in the 3-5-2 would be Kane and Greenwood.
    Hope this is clear

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    1. The Senate
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I would prefer greenwood to a second Burnley def

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      1. D.Glynn
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        I agree with this

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    2. redsallstars
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      basically benching either pieters/bardsley or greenwood. i would go 352, lei have to attack greenwood could exploit on counter plus weakened defence

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  2. Olesathewheeel
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Chasing 16 points - Rival has FH
    Is it worth doing Mahrez TC?
    He'd probably captain sterling

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    1. Shark Team
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      It's a big risk but if you think that the rest of your team can't cover the difference then yes

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      1. Olesathewheeel
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Hell probably have a better team than me since he has FH :/

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    2. TheDragon
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Triple captain a player you don’t think he will get - not sure about Mahrez

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      1. Olesathewheeel
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        I dont think hed get Mahrez, Kane could be an option but I'm certain hed get Kane as well

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    3. Kroneek
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Kane or Salah rather?

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      1. Olesathewheeel
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        I've got Kane
        Cant afford Salah

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    4. redsallstars
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      if rest of your team can gain a few points on him then stick with sterling tc. you make up the difference if sterling hauls

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      1. Olesathewheeel
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        I dont have sterling
        Would need to do a -4 to get him

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    5. Puncheon Guly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I'm 16 points clear with FH and will probably captain Sterling.

      I wouldn't trust Mahrez to get the minutes.

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      1. toerag
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        this

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      2. Olesathewheeel
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Surely he gets 60 minimum?

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        1. Puncheon Guly
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Maybe, but is he going to get enough points. I'd fear Mane as a differential TC this week

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  3. TheDragon
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Which 3 city of money no object?

    I’m currently on: Sterling, DSilva, Mahrez but I’d really like KDB instead of Mahrez

    Thoughts?

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    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I would want KDB sterling silva

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    2. drughi
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      sterling and silva for sure and then I like one of jesus/KDB

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    3. beric
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Ill be going with sterl8ng, kdb, silva

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      1. toerag
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        yeah, this one

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    4. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Coin toss between Mahrez and KDB for that third spot

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    5. Karan14
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Sterling Jesus Mahrez/Dilva

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    6. Brosstan
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Jesus Silva sterling. Sterling false 9 is a pipe dream for people who don't own Jesus and isn't happening

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  4. denial
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Is a - 8 too much this week do you think?

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    1. Rinseboy
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      depends on your goals etc. Is it just rank or a ML and if so how far behind or ahead are you?

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    2. Captain Scarlet
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Depends on your situation. Chasing, leading, etc. I’m leading, just, and I did briefly toy with the idea of a -8 but settling for a -4. I’m using TC if that influences your though process...

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    3. Rinseboy
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I'm 20 ahead in my ML and considered a -8 to make some blocking moves but the way the last 2 weeks have gone its so up n down. Nearly took out Pullisic and didn't and he even got benched and ended up with 9. So decided max -4 this week. People losing Bruno etc and he gets a pen this week and everyone will regret it etc

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    4. redsallstars
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      bruno has blanked 1 week and everyones moving him out. i wouldnt for a hit, could haul v lei

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  5. Kuzser
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Chasing 20 pts. ML leader's key differentials are Salah and Auba.

    What shall I do with 2ft here guys?
    1) Vardy KdB Taa -> Kane/Auba Sterling Pieters for -4
    2) Vardy KdB -> Wood/Ings Sterling
    3) Vardy Willian Doherty -> Wood Sterling Pieters for -4
    4) Vardy Willian -> Kane/Auba Dilva
    5) Vardy Willian KdB-> Ings Mane Dilva for -4

    McCarthy
    TAA - Doherty - Baldock
    KdB - Mahrez - Fernandes - Martial - Willian
    Jimenez - Vardy

    Subs: Greenwood Lascelles Lund. Krul

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    1. poulteren
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      4 kane

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  6. melvinmbabazi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    What to do this week? I have 1FT and 0.2 ITB , No FH

    Martinez, (Martin)
    TAA, Doherty, Tarkowski, (J.Robinson, Ngakia)
    Mane, KDB, Bruno, Martial, (Guendouzi)
    Vardy, Jiminez, Greenwood

    Cheers

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    1. poulteren
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      downgrade doherty and uograde gendouzi

      drop vardy

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  7. Rolls-Royce
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    How much advantage do you think, the FHers have over someone with no chip left?

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    1. Shark Team
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      20-30 pts I think

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      1. Brosstan
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        No chance FH will get 20-30 points over the top 10k average..

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    2. Greek Freak
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      That's tough to quantify, as I have no doubt that some free hits will score less than the original teams šŸ˜›

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    3. Pegboy
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Random guess: 15pts

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    4. Captain Scarlet
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Pot luck on the day, really! It should be an advantage but given Pep roulette, some potentially shock results and underperformances...

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      1. Greek Freak
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        This. Most free hit teams are only a couple of surprise results and a Bernardo Silva hat-trick away from scoring less than the originals!

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        1. Rolls-Royce
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Haha agreed. Hoping for a FH mega haul though as I am having to make up 20 points against a rival with no chips left.

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    5. drughi
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Alot considering the fixtures, plus there will be alot of -4 and -8

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    6. Brosstan
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Maybe 4-8 (1 to 2 hits) points over an active manager who has been planning.

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    7. Karan14
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      The fixtures are as such that I don't think there's any huge advantage as all big hitters could haul.

      A well set up non FH team could easily outscore any FH team.

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    8. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      My current team might actually outscore my FH team.

      Can see FH going horribly wrong if Man Utd/Wolves players do well.

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      1. Rolls-Royce
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        True that. Here's hoping likes of Salah, Kane, Mahrez turn it up...

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    9. LAMELA_AND_CONSUELA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      It is very difficult to assess and in my opinion it can be assessed only on individual basis, which mean you can compare points of your real team you would fielded in given week with the FH team. For me it was over 30 points swing between old team and FH team.

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    10. Boywiththesoupdragontattoo
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Not sure. Would guess 15 - 20 for a sensible team. The encouraging thing (for those with the chip) is the number of non FHers taking hits to get the FH template.

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      1. Boywiththesoupdragontattoo
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Let me make that more specific... the number of people considering hits (based on the comments here) to get the kinds of players that are in the mix for the template. There, that took all the drama and interest out of my original reply.

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  8. DAZZ
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Mccarthy
    TAA Pieters Tarkowski Doherty
    Bruno KDB DSilva Sterling (c)
    Jiminez Ings
    (hendo, awb, greenwood, mcneil)

    1FT 0.0ITB

    6 points at the top of my ML with 2cd playing free hit. Im the under dog no doubt, what move can i look at?

    Thinking Doherty > Digne or Tierney? Need to make the most of this FT

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  9. FOO FIGHTER
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Hi all

    I am chasing someone who is 10 points ahead.

    My team

    Patricio
    TAA Dunk Aurier
    Salah Sterling Dilva Martial Fernandes
    Jesus Greenwood

    He does not have Salah but has KDB Sterling Martial and Foden. Not worried about the rest of his team.

    So I was thinking Martial to Son FT and that should do it? Or Jesus to Kane?

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    1. TheDragon
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Leave it as late as you can for city team news in case Jesus doesn’t start.

      Either of your transfers are good though

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  10. TheDragon
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Aurier vs TAA

    Obviously I’d prefer TAA but how much worse a pick is Aurier?

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    1. Ruinenlust
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      TAA and Greenwood or Aurier and Ings?

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  11. Dosh
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Bruno --> Mahrez -4?
    He seems like the most fun pick for the last day.

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    1. Pegboy
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I wouldn't. But if you're going to do it, capt him.

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    2. Klopp For The Kopps šŸ˜†
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Like it

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    3. Planet_Marss
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      no chance

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  12. Shark Team
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Mendy + Antonio or Mahrez + Greenwood on FH?

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  13. OutofShorts
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    It appears my remaining FH dilemma comes down to....
    A. TAA & Ings
    B. Aurier & Aubameyang
    Admittedly last time I played Aurier over TAA it massively bit me in the arse but feel a last gasp hail mary might be in order to gain mini league ground

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    1. Pegboy
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A

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      1. OutofShorts
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Never Aurier again still ringing in my ears

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  14. barton fc
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Ederson (button)
    TAA VVD boly (Taylor kiko)
    Salah KDB bruno martial pulisic
    Jesus Greenwood (connolly) 2FT 1.2ITB

    Best option?
    A) pulisic + bolly > pepe/Antonio + tark
    B) jesus + pulisic > kane + Dilva
    C) ederson + pulisic > Pope + mahrez

    Would love at captain sterling but my team doesn't really allow for it

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  15. Muller Reus Corner
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Mane to Sterling TC or Pulisic and Bruno to Sterling TC and fodder (-4)?

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    1. Twisted Melon
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I would lose Mane

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      1. Muller Reus Corner
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Ok, do you reckon Liverpool will be on the beach?

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        1. Twisted Melon
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          potentially and Chelsea need a win so wouldn't want to lose Pulisic

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          1. Muller Reus Corner
            • 3 Years
            3 years, 9 months ago

            Yep. Do you think the Chelsea game will be open then? I have Doherty, so should I keep or get rid for a hit?

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            1. Planet_Marss
              • 4 Years
              3 years, 9 months ago

              12 points earns a keep imo

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    2. redsallstars
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      and bruno could haul, hes blanked once and everyones getting him out. if you can afford robertson then i would do that. if not then keep doherty, not many better options for a hit

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      1. Muller Reus Corner
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        I like your thinking and Bruno might punish those sellers. I have enough for Robbo, but will he be rotated?

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  16. Twisted Melon
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    A)Doherty to Walker/Mendy
    B)Fernandes to Dilva/Mahrez

    (Already have KDB and Sterling)

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    1. Muller Reus Corner
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Depends if you have other utd assets

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      1. Twisted Melon
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        have martial and greenwood

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        1. Muller Reus Corner
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Do B and go for Dilva

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  17. joelsprylar
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    1) Antonio, Salah, Greenwood and Jesus

    or

    2) De Bruyne, Martial, Richarlison and Ings

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  18. Shark Team
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Choose one out of:
    TAA - Bardsley
    Salah - Antonio
    Ings - Greenwood

    25m to spend on the chosen trio so who to go?

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    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Salah, Ings, Bardsley

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  19. The Wizard of Ozil
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Who would you rather for the last spot?

    A) Ings
    B) Pulisic
    C) Antonio

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    1. Meme2011
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      C

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    2. Shark Team
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A or C it depends on how many goals their teams will score. Go for Antonio imo

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  20. Klopp For The Kopps šŸ˜†
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Help me here :
    A) Pulisic
    B) Ings
    C) Antonio

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    1. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      B

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    2. Muller Reus Corner
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Similar situation for me, but I want to get Sterling in and have to lose Pulisic or Antonio. I would say Ings

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    3. Meme2011
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      C

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    4. Shark Team
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      So close between Antonio and Ings. If you think West Ham will score more goals than Southampton then go for Antonio.

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  21. Meme2011
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    repost to new feed:
    i know Ritchie is my weak link and is the obvious transfer out but do i change Martial/Bruno instead to go for a match winner?

    0.7m ITB

    Pope

    Aurier
    AWB
    Ritchie/Saiss

    Martial
    Bruno
    Sterling
    D.Silva

    Jesus
    Lacazette
    Ings

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  22. drakesdrum
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    BB this week (I know, a complete waste).

    My bench is Foster, Nketiah, C.Taylor & Holgate.

    Worth a -4 (-2) Holgate to Pieters?

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    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Yep

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    2. jtreble
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      “... I know, a complete waste ...”. You’re kidding, right?

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      1. drakesdrum
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        In terms of which week to play it I mean. I missed the deadline for the first week back lol.

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        1. jtreble
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Lots of juicy potential BB points for the taking this game week imho ...

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  23. FDMS All Starz
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Which FH team scores more?

    A)
    Ederson
    TAA - Robertson - Aurier
    Salah - Martial - Dilva - Sterling - ANTONIO
    Kane - GREENWOOD

    B)
    Martinez
    Pieters - Bardsley - Diop
    Salah - Martial - Dilva - Sterling
    Kane - AUBA - JESUS

    C)
    Martinez
    Pieters - Aurier - TAA
    Salah - Sterling - Martial - Dilva - MAHREZ
    Kane - INGS

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  24. Tsparkes10
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    People still think it's stupid to go without Man U on a FH??

    Martinez
    TAA Pieters Laporte
    Dilva Sterling KDB Antonio Son
    Wood Kane
    (Martin, Gwood, Lamptey, Williams)

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    1. Rolls-Royce
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      4 City šŸ˜®

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  25. The Red Devil
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    FH draft
    Martinez button
    TAA Robbo Pieters (Thomas Williams)
    Fernandes kdb dilva sterling (Davis)
    Aubameyang Greenwood Kane

    No Salah/mane
    Also keeping Greenwood & Fernandes as ML rival who's 20 odd points behind me has them both & am looking to shield their points
    Thoughts?

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  26. Shark Team
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Which are the best 3 out of those players with 25m to spend on?
    TAA Bardsley / Salah Antonio / Ings Greenwood

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  27. toerag
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    didnt realise Ederson was on for the golden gloves as well as pope... city def anyone

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  28. Le _ Professeur
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    ML situation at the moment is a bit tricky:

    1- Rival 2115
    2- Me 2115
    3- Rival 2114
    4- Rival 2093

    I've only D.Silva as Man C MID so I'll be looking to get Sterling/KDB and probably Kane too, but that would probably cost me a (-8) or (-4) hit .. would that be risky considering my case ?

    Question simply, Is it wrong ( more risky ) to take hits in this tight situation ?

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  29. FPL Daniel
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Is Foden to Dilva worth a hit?

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    1. JelliedSpark968
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      yes, but look for leaks before doing it

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      1. FPL Daniel
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks

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  30. Oooo Matron
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    G2G? Anything worth a - 4 with nothing itb?

    Pope
    TAA Aurier Pieters
    Mane Mahrez KDB Fernandes Foden
    Kane (C) Wood

    Subs: Jiminez, Doherty, Lascelles

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