Pro Pundits - Holly

The player and team stats that could shape your Free Hit squad for Gameweek 38+

Holly from Fantasy Football Community looks at some of the key numbers from our Members Area over the last four Gameweeks.


The final Gameweek of the season is here and Iā€™m taking a look at the underlying statistics from the last four Gameweeks, in a bid to sort out those transfer and Free Hit dilemmas going into Gameweek 38.

Note that some players will have seen more minutes than others over this period.


Holly, the founder of FPL Community, has two top 10k finishes in five FPL seasons, is a regular guest on the FPL Show and recent addition to the Scoutcast line-up.

1,681 Comments Post a Comment
  1. WhinyKlopp
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    18 points back in my ML. No chips left for either of us.

    Me (usually play 3-4-3):
    Pope/Martin/Robbo/Doh/Tark/Lund/Klinman
    KDB/Salah/Martial/Bruno/Guendouzi
    Kane/Jimenez/Greenwood

    Him (has been playing 4-5-1):
    Pope/Martinez/TAA/Doh/Pieters/AWB/Lamptey
    KDB/Salah/Martial/Bruno/Willian
    Jimenez/Mousset/Connolly

    Any suggestions (on 1 FT with .6 in bank)?

    Thinking of getting Dilva in for one of the United midfield assets or taking a -4 to swap KDB & Bruno for Sterling & Dilva for some differential vs 1st place. Son is also in the back of my mind. Palace have been terrible since the restart, ready for holiday.

    Thanks in advance for any thoughts!

    1. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Think getting Sterling and captaining is prob your best bet. Good luck

    2. ritzyd
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Yeah, sterling captain sounds like a plan

  2. Obi Wan Elokobi
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Are we expecting team news before deadline on Sunday?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Should get City team news

      1. Weasel Boy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Really, why is that?

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      We can only hope.

  3. Miguel Sanchez
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Need a defender with a high point ceiling this GW who is 5.9 or under and not Aurier?

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Dunk mate

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Interesting - want to bet against the Burnley boys so who better than the CB directly opposite them

        1. FOO FIGHTER
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          I have him. Hoping for attacking returns and more than capable šŸ˜‰

    2. Christina.
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Digne
      Mendy

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        This is my current shortlist

    3. JabariParkersEyelid
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Obvious answer is Digne.

    4. ZTF
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Probably worth keeping an Neco Williams if team news permits

    5. Make Arrows Green Again
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Digne for sure

      Otherwise Tierney

    6. La Roja
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Tierney

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Thought about Tierney but his attacking stats are quite poor, but he passes the eye test.

        1. Make Arrows Green Again
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          You won't get many better fixtures. Super differential - depends if you want a hail Mary pick or not!

          1. Miguel Sanchez
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 8 months ago

            Prefer him over Digne?

    7. CrouchDown
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Mendy definitely

    8. FPL Theorist
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Jonny

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Gonna be losing Doherty so feels a bit sideways

  4. Mikey2001
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Team is
    Pope
    Tar,Aurier , doc(Holgate , Saïss )
    Sterling, Bruno,kdb,puli,martial
    Ings,Jesus (Greenwood)

    I have 1 FT , no chips ,OR5
    I want to make a transfer that is left field that most likely won’t be made by the top 4 .
    Might take one hit .
    Was thinking of bringing in Pepe , lo CELSO or MOURA as a differential
    Any help or ideas greatly appreciated

  5. ZTF
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Ederson (3.9)
    TAA Doherty Saiss (C.Taylor*, Ngakia*)
    Martial Bruno Salah Sterling Pulisic
    Greenwood Ings (Connolly)

    1 FT / 1.2m

    What move(s) would you make chasing someone with a FH & 18 pt lead?

    1. toerag
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      make a move to the bar and get em in, youve not quite made it

      1. ZTF
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Haha probably not, but was 70 points behind on Monday so not giving up now!

        1. toerag
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          well done

    2. linkafu
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      saiss out

  6. toerag
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    FH mids

    these right?? good enough??

    Sterling Salah Martial Pulisic Dilva

    1. Zladan
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Antonio over Pulisic

    2. ZTF
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I have pulisic, wouldn’t want him on a fh

    3. toerag
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      hmmmm

    4. ritzyd
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I actually like the pulisic pick

    5. DannyDrinkVodka
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I like Mahrez over Pulisic

  7. Mini Mahouse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Why are so many skipping TAA on free hit? If he starts he is very likely to haul - Any reason to believe he won't start?

    1. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Depends who gets most damaged from the partying...

    2. toerag
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      keeping

    3. Pep's Money Laundry
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      People are taking a gamble with the money they'd save but I'd be very worried if I left him as my rival has him

    4. FPL Theorist
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      People have this idea that there are few CS in the last week and therefore it's not worth spending on "defenders". Of course, not all defenders are reliant on CS for points.

    5. Make Arrows Green Again
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Psychology. If people have FH they want to make as many transfers as possible. He has a very high ceiling against that Newcastle defence.

  8. EL tridente
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Who to captain?
    A) Kane
    B) Salah
    C) David Silva

    1. linkafu
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

    2. ritzyd
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

  9. Zladan
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Ings or Antonio as the 7th starting attacker?

    1. Strchld
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Ings

  10. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Going Vardy and Ings up top...can't see the boot going to anyone else unless Watford totally fold and Raz or Mo surely won't get 4.

    1. El Presidente
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Everyone´s dumping Vardy but I have a feeling he´s not done just yet.

      1. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Yep nice diff if you ask me, United look ropey at the back.

  11. CrouchDown
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    What would you guys recommend doing with this crap team?

    Button

    TAA Saiss Stevens

    KDB Martial Bruno Son Saka

    Vardy Jimi

    Subs: Pope, Greenwood Kabasele Lascelles

    1. ritzyd
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      FH or Wildcard

  12. BEARZINHO
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Need your help to win my ML!

    ML is 2 way tie going into final GW. My rival has Sterling, KDB, Dsilva, kane, Jimmy, greenwood. (and 2ft).

    I have Sterling, Foden, KDB, ings, wood, martial and rashford. 0 ft.

    Do i take a -8 to get Dsilva / Kane to cover his risk and hope my differentials outscore him by 11 or stick with what I have and hope my assets outscore kane / dsilva?

    Thank you!

  13. Champions League Varane
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Terrified of not owning KDB this week should I get him in?

    1. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I am a bit but if you have 3 other City attackers they are likely to be involved in the goals he is.

  14. riot
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    fellow DCL owners, have no fear. Sunday is when our faith will be rewarded

    1. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      ...with another 2 pointer.

    2. toerag
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      šŸ˜†

    3. La Roja
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I don’t think he starts

      Ancelotti hinted Kean will instead

  15. The Mantis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    On a FH with £2.3 still ITB! Feels like a waste, any improvements to the below?

    Pope (Button)
    TAA / Aurier / Tark / Pieters (Williams)
    KDB / Dilva / Sterling / Salah (4.1)
    Kane / Greenwood (Nketiah)

    TIA

    1. Obi Wan Elokobi
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Tark to a 3.9 gives you 3.9 itb upgrade Guen to Antonio or Puli or Nketiah to Ings

  16. L S P
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Quiz Time:

    1. If you're on a FH, how many of your original 15 are you planning to hold?

    2. If you're not on a FH, how many hits are you planning to take?

    3. Who's the "big hitter" you plan to go without?

    4. Who is your "head" and "heart" captain?

    1. L S P
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Mine:

      1. Looking like 6
      2. n/a
      3. KDB, Bruno
      4. Head: Sterling / Heart: Dilva

    2. Jafooli
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      1. Six
      -
      3. Fernandes, DSilva, Mane, Aubameyang, Rashford & Liverpool Def
      4. Head - KdB, Heart - Sterlo, going with Heart

      1. L S P
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Really undecided on Rashford v Auba myself...

        You playing Martial or Greenwood or going without?

        1. Jafooli
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Martial & Greenwood (need to as my SV is rubbish):

          Salah - KdB - Sterling - Martial
          Kane - Ings - Greenwood

          Pretty happy with that front seven - Saka on the bench

          1. L S P
            • 8 Years
            3 years, 8 months ago

            looks good - 352 v 343 is a big decision of mine as well.

    3. Make Arrows Green Again
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      2: -4 to get Sterling, Silva, Antonio (for Willian, KdB, Bruno)
      3: KbD, Bruno (Kane/Auba etc etc)
      4: same as you

  17. Jafooli
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Sterlo is so gonna get a 2pt’er......the hype never fails to dent the hope

    1. La Roja
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Its blank written all over isn’t it

    2. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      With my captain record that is highly likely. At least Bruno will be spared from my curse a 3rd time.

      1. La Roja
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Should keep and cap him then

  18. Eastman
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Any thoughts on this fh team. Thanks

    Martinez
    TAA Mendy Pieters
    Sterling (c) Dilva Antonio Martial
    Kane Auba Ings

    Martin Saka Bardsley Woods

  19. robith
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    So I have closed a 120 point gap to just 3 (though he has TC to play)
    So I'm keen to avoid a hit at all costs - but the only way I can get Sterling in hitless is to replace KDB - not entirely sure it's worth it? (oppo) doesn't have Sterling and could only bring him in for Salah without a hit)

    Martinez (Button)
    Aurier/TAA/Pieters(Doherty/Holgate)
    Salah/KDB/Martial/Foden(Saka)
    Greenwood/Rashford/Jesus

    £1.1m ITB, 2 FTs

    Was thinking I've made my bed so to go Doherty to Bardsley (he has double Burnley) and then Foden to Mahrez.

    Am I mad, or should I squeeze Sterling in any way possible?

  20. linkafu
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    OR 76k, first in my ML with my rival 52 points behind.
    BB for GW38

    What to do?:

    A) Take -4 and go fora better OR rank assuring my place in ML

    B) Take -12 and just enjoy the party

  21. MosF94
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Martinez (Button)
    TAA, Aurier, Dunk (Pieters, Williams)
    Sterling (c), Salah, KDB, Mahrez, Grealish
    Kane (v), DCL, (Connolly)

    Punting on starting without Burnley defence and praying Dunk can get the goal to give me a big rank-boost...

  22. Christina.
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    seems there are only a "pool" of say 15 or so players all FH teams are picked from. Those without a fh doing nothing will have lots of differentials.

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Poor them

  23. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    RMT has these mids in the following order, agree?

    Kev
    Mahrez
    Antonio
    Bruno
    Pulisic
    Martial

    1. Christina.
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      good, I will have 2 max of those.

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Which 2? šŸ™‚

        1. Christina.
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Antonio and Mahrez if he starts

    2. Make Arrows Green Again
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Swap Bruno and Martial

  24. ZTF
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    From the team early on this page btw.. who would you captain? Really need a differential

    A) Ings
    B) Martial
    C) Bruno
    D) Trent (team news permitting)
    E) Salah (likewise)

    1. linkafu
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Martial

  25. fakelund
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Debating one of these...
    a) Rashford & Foden > Wood & Mahrez (-4)
    b) AWB > Robbo, and bench Foden or Doherty

    1. linkafu
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B and bench foden

  26. Kodap
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    G2G?

    Pope
    Trent - Aurier - Egan
    Sterling (c) - Dilva - KDB - Salah
    Greenwood - Rashford - Ings

    Subs: Henderson, Fernandez, Hayden & Holgate

    1. OneDennisBergkamp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      FH? similar to mine below

      1. Kodap
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Not on a FH mate no. Just my team haha!

        1. OneDennisBergkamp
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          looks good then!

    2. linkafu
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      GTG

  27. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Am I good or should I downgrade TAA > anyone and do Greenwood > Ings?

    Pope
    Alexander-Arnold / Pieters / Aurier
    De Bruyne / Fernandes / Salah / Sterling / David Silva
    Greenwood / Kane

    1. toerag
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      its fine

  28. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    A. Foden, Fernandes to Dilva, Antonio
    B. Fernandes, Jesus to Sterling, Wood

  29. CrouchDown
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    So I'm chasing an 18 point lead and my rival is playing TC on Dilva. He also owns TAA and KDB.

    In this case only, would it still be crazy to do the following for a -8?

    TAA > Mendy
    KDB > Sterling (C)
    Vardy > Auba

    1. toerag
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      yes

  30. Notorious
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Hi all, I am 30 pts behind the ML leader, assuming he captains Sterling to cover my captain, here are our differentials:

    Me (the good) on FH

    Aurier / Long
    Salah
    Kane / Ings

    My rival (the bad and ugly) with 1 FT

    Doherty / Boly
    Bruno
    Vardy / Jimenez

    Do you think it is possible to make up 30 pts or should I look into other differentials? Will really appreciate your input.

    1. Gudjohnsen
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      You need a different captain than him. If you know somehow that he Captains Sterling you need to captain say Kane or Salah IMO.

    2. toerag
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      more points with you there but not 30 id guess

      1. Notorious
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        thanks, it's just so frustrating having him covered all players that I think will do well - Silva, Mahrez, Martial, double Burnley def and especially Sterling

    3. FPL Theorist
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Think you need to captain Salah or Kane and hope Sterling fails.

      1. Notorious
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        that would be so difficult to watch but I guess there is no other option, thanks.