Spot the Differential

In-form FPL differential Watkins set for favourable fixture run after Foxes test

Gameweek 4 saw one of our differential picks, Leandro Trossard (£6.0m), deliver for his owners, while former column favourites Raheem Sterling (£11.5m) and Ryan Fraser (£5.9m) also registered attacking returns.

There’s no shortage of candidates to consider this week, either.

This time, we’ve selected differentials from Aston Villa, Crystal Palace and Manchester United, who we like the look of for Gameweek 5 and beyond.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Ollie Watkins

Making Sense of the Chaos 1
  • FPL ownership: 3.5%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: lei | LEE | SOU | ars | BHA

Ollie Watkins (£5.9m) has got off to a flying start at Aston Villa, having arrived in Birmingham last month for a club-record fee of £28m.

After scoring in a pre-season friendly against Manchester United, he has since bagged a goal on his debut against Burton Albion in the Carabao Cup and hit a hat-trick in the 7-2 win over Liverpool. It’s now five goals in six games in all competitions, and you get the feeling he’s just getting started.

The 24-year-old, who scored 26 goals in the Championship last term, has very few weaknesses to his game. He is a quick, strong and extremely hard-working forward, who is equally comfortable holding up the ball or offering a threat in behind. The breakdown of last season’s goals also backs up his all-rounder tag: 16 were scored from inside the penalty area, eight from inside the six-yard box, with two coming from long-range. He is also capable with both feet – he netted 10 with his right foot, seven with his left foot and eight with his head.

Since making his debut in Gameweek 2, Watkins ranks joint-fourth for shots in the box, joint-second for big chances and third for chances created amongst forwards, which suggests points will arrive from both goals and assists.

He now faces a Leicester City defence that has conceded seven goals in their last three league outings, and may be without key centre-back Çaglar Söyüncü (£5.5m). The real appeal, however, lies in what’s to come, with an appealing schedule that runs right up until Gameweek 15.

Priced at just £5.9m, Watkins was recently labelled “undefendable” by Jürgen Klopp. If he can now kick on and build on that performance against Liverpool, he may well be the pick of the budget FPL forwards.

Vicente Guaita

  • FPL ownership: 4.6%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: BHA | ful | wol | LEE | bur

After arriving from Getafe in summer 2018, Vicente Guaita (£5.0m) has gone on to establish himself as one of Crystal Palace’s most influential players.

The 33-year-old was the Eagles’ stand-out performer last season, combining 10 clean sheets with 16 bonus points and 27 save points. As a result, his total of 137 points was bettered by only six goalkeepers.

Although far from the most attacking of teams, Roy Hodgson has done a good job making Palace one of the most organised sides around. His players are well drilled and understand their roles, which has ensured a steady stream of clean sheets over the years.

This season, a win against Southampton on the opening day was followed by another victory at Manchester United, which showcased their defensive qualities and threat on the counter-attack. Even in the defeat at Everton there were positives. However, their 4-0 defeat at Chelsea last time out felt like a throwback to their terrible form during Project Restart. Still, six points on the board, considering their schedule, is a good enough start.

Palace welcome Brighton and Hove Albion this weekend. The M23 derby is usually a tight affair, with the last three league meetings separated by one goal or fewer. After that, their fixture run looks promising, with a decent-looking sequence of matches right up until mid-December.

Guaita’s numbers consistently rank amongst the best goalkeepers in the league, and with his outstanding shot-stopping ability, he could be a nice differential for those on the lookout for a new keeper.

Mason Greenwood

should-we-be-planning-for-manchester-united-fpl-attacking-players 5
  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £7.3m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: new | CHE | ARS | eve | WBA

Having made a huge impact towards the end of the 2019/20 season, Mason Greenwood’s (£7.3m) reclassification to a midfielder by FPL was met with widespread enthusiasm in the community, and understandably so.

He netted five times in just eight league starts post-lockdown, helping Manchester United secure a top-three finish and Champions League football.

However, so far this season, things haven’t quite gone to plan.

Greenwood, a product of United’s academy, has made four appearances for the Red Devils, with his only goal contributions arriving in the Carabao Cup. Playing out on the right wing, he has often looked isolated, leading him to snatch at shots when he has had an opportunity.

An error of judgement with England resulted in Gareth Southgate leaving him out of his latest squad, which has meant he has been able to rest these last couple of weeks, and the hope is now that the break will have done him good, providing the physical and mental respite needed.

This weekend, a trip to Newcastle United gives United the chance to get back on track, and with Anthony Martial (£8.8m) and Edinson Cavani (£8.0m) unavailable, we could see Greenwood leading the line as a central striker. Marcus Rashford (£9.5m) and Odion Ighalo (£6.3m) are other options but it would seem to make sense that Greenwood is moved to play in his natural position with either Daniel James (£6.4m) or Juan Mata (£5.9m) playing from the right.

A skilful forward who has excellent finishing abilities, Greenwood can become a top number nine in years to come, and if given an opportunity to put forward his credentials this weekend, it wouldn’t be a huge surprise to see him get on the scoresheet.


475 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Zrinkec
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    a Zaha - Semedo
    b Pulisic - KWP

    1. Firmino
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      B

  2. La vida FPL
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    A) Kane, JRodriguez
    B) Sterling, Wilson

    1. Firmino
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      A

    2. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      A

  3. niaz1982
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Sorry repost on wildcard

    McCarthy
    Saiss Zouma Dallas
    Pulisic Salah Son JRod McGinn
    Kane Watkins

    Subs: Steer / Mitchell / Justin / Wilson

    Any changes? Could put Grealish in but wanted alternative as mini league leader has him?

    1. Lev Yashin
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Not sure I'd want Grealish and Watkins.

      1. niaz1982
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        How come?

    2. Hint
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Could you stretch to Barkley rather than McGinn?

      1. niaz1982
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        I could for sure, i have the money for Grealish, Barkley or McGinn but I had not considered Barkley as differential to Grealish/McGinn. Thanks

  4. Dexters Laboratory
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Martinez Forster
    Semendo Saiss James Lamptey Mitchell
    Salah KDB Havertz Son Foden
    DCL Jiminez Brewster

    2FT 0.1ITB
    A) KDB & Brewster - Kane & Bisso
    B) KDB & James - Pulsic/Grealish & Chilwell
    C) KDB & Foden - Pulisc & Grealish
    D) Other

    1. Dexters Laboratory
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      E) KDB & Jim - Pulsic/Grealish & Kane

  5. Miguel Sanchez
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    KDB replacement this GW:

    A) Pulisic (SOT)
    B) Salah (eve)

    Will bring in Salah the following GW if A

    1. Firmino
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      B

    2. JBG
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      B

    3. Stormbringer22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      B for you. I am looking at A since I already have Salah in

      1. Make United Great Again
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        This

    4. Dexters Laboratory
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      B

    5. Reeker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      b considering Pulisic might not start

  6. JBG
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Play Bissouma or do Kdb to Fernandes/Sterling for -4?(-8 total, had to take out Vinagre for a hit).

    Got no response last post :/.

    1. Champione
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Take the hit imo. Sterling is a good option

  7. FPL_Crisis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    with kdb out does it make foden (who i own as well) more or less appealing?
    looking at kdb to kane with 2FT and wondering if foden should make way too

    1. Stormbringer22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      With KDB and Jesus out and Kun probably not 100%, I would stay clear of City assets for the time being

  8. Puntillimon
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    A couple of seasons back when kdb was out, city did just as well. Maybe don’t write off city just yet

    1. tm370
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Is anyone writing City off? Presumably, KDB will be back within a week or two as well?

  9. Atimis
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Worth keeping 0.5ITB on WC or upgrade e.g. 5th mid/def ?

    Currently my bench would be like: Lamptey, 4.4mid, 4.0def.

  10. Krafty Werks
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    A - KDB 》Sterling -4
    B - bench KDB & play one of Burke, Lamptey?

    1. Iceball
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Would be tempted by A

  11. Champione
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    KDB >
    A) Salah
    B) Son

  12. Bubz
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Oh for god sakes Kevin

  13. Godfrey
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    KDB + Romeu > Son + Pulisic -4

    Good move?

    1. Champione
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      very good

    2. Pipermaru
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      For a split second I thought is Lukaku back?

  14. Mane Mane Mane
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Is it worth having Zaha in, with their favourable fixture list. Was tempted to put Trossard in but I already have Maupay so didn’t want to double up there. My team is
    Martinez 4.0
    Justin TAA Mitchell Dallas Taylor
    Son Grealish Zaha Mane Bissouma
    Ings Maupay Kane.

    On a wildcard so tempted to mix it up a little...

  15. Liberate HK - antichinazi
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    KDB --> Pulisic (C) done.

    1. Hart-ake
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Love it.

    2. fr3d
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Lampard just said he won't start.

      1. Amey
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        LOL.
        Thanks
        Was about to do same for a hit

      2. Liberate HK - antichinazi
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        I think he said Ziyech won't start.

        1. fr3d
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 6 months ago

          I might've misread the quote. Anyways, stupid to make transfers in the middle of the day as pressers aren't done yet.

          1. Liberate HK - antichinazi
            • 5 Years
            3 years, 6 months ago

            https://www.football.london/chelsea-fc/chelsea-press-conference-live-frank-19113974

            Press done

            Lampard said:-

            "Mendy won't be fit. Thiago Silva after his trip is not in the squad. Ben Chilwell is in the squad. He's got over the feeling he had around the injury he has had for a while. Pulisic is in the squad. Hakim Ziyech is in the squad but not fit to start, but will get some minutes we hope."

  16. Iceball
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    A) Sterling Podence ( no hit)
    B) Grealish Rodriguez-4

  17. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    KDB to Mane for a hit or play Mitchell/Bissouma?

  18. Forza Papac
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Good week to be on WC

    1. Lev Yashin
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      You'd think.

      Last week I hit the WC button. Now I just hit the panic button.

    2. Threat Level Midnight
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      I drunkenlyactivated my free hit after last week and am not super upset about it now.

      1. Forza Papac
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        Glad that worked out for you. I once drunkenly transferred out Vardy for Cameron Jerome in Leicester's title-winning season.

  19. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    People shifting KDB - is it just this week he is out? Was there any indication from Pep if it was longer term?

    1. Hart-ake
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      He said games, plural.

      1. FC Hakkebøf
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        English is not his first langbane, might be a mistake

        1. Lev Yashin
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 6 months ago

          Is Longbone an option this week?

        2. Hart-ake
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 6 months ago

          yeah fair point.

  20. Top Lad Dakes.
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Bale, Pulisic, Havertz or someone else in for a punty hit for KDB?

    Are either likely to start? Son Hamez Salah already owned

    1. FER FUSCH AKE
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      I'd get bale if I was sure he'd start. I'd even captain.

  21. thehodge
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Already done Werner - Kane this week.

    I’m probably going to take KDB out for a hit no point having that money on the bench.

    Deciding between Son, Bale, Sterling atm.. anyone else to consider?

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Son if you haven’t already got him

  22. Don Kloppeone
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Bench order here gents?

    A) Bissouma (cry)
    B) Dallas (WOL)
    C) Mitchell (BHA)

    GL all!

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      CBA

  23. Rinseboy
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Would you play Brewster this week and bench KDB?

    Or take a hit for KDB to Pullisic/Sterling/Bruno?

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      I’m weighing up starting Saiss/R James or taking a -4 to do one of the moves you suggested.

      So hard to tell if Brewster starts - Sheff U strikers bit of a roulette

  24. Bobby Digital
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Was there any news on Dier?

  25. Make United Great Again
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Went Pulisic over Grealish as KDB’s replacement. He better start ffs

    1. FER FUSCH AKE
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Lamps just said he won't.

      1. Pipermaru
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 6 months ago

        He said that about Zyiech not Pulisic.

  26. Stimps
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Already on a -4... KDB out for -8 or what?

    Worst start to the season ever

  27. Reeker
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    What the deal with Lamptey?

    1. Hart-ake
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Being assessed I think.

    2. Pipermaru
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Great player but I think you're gonna ask this question almost every week.

  28. Big W
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Grealish or JRod? (Have DCL)

  29. Threat Level Midnight
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    So as I said yesterday I drunkenly activated my free hit two weeks ago. Yes, I know i am a fool. But now I may have fun with it and go KUN/Sterling with Brewster on the bench as cover? Thoughts?

    Literally just diving into my team so I am in the thick of it. Lol All help is appreciated

    1. Lev Yashin
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      I'm starting The Brewster

  30. FC Hakkebøf
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 6 months ago

    Missed Lampard's presser... Any New regarding Chilwell / Puli?

    1. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 6 months ago

      Both in the squad, expect them both to start.