Pro Pundits
30 October 2020 0 comments
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Fantasy Premier League managers could find value in spending as little money on defenders as possible in the coming weeks.

With Liverpool conceding for the fourth consecutive match in Gameweek 7, and the injury to Fabinho (£5.5m) exacerbating the loss of Virgil van Dijk (£6.4m), Trent Alexander Arnold (£7.4m) and Andrew Robertson’s (£7.1m) certainly offer less Fantasy value than before.

It’s not just Liverpool who are letting the premium defenders union down though. Last season’s top six have kept just seven clean sheets combined over the first six Gameweeks (Liverpool 1, Manchester City 1, Manchester United 1, Chelsea 2, Spurs 1, Arsenal 1) so justifying ownership of their expensive defenders is proving harder and harder each week.

Using some underlying statistics in the Fantasy Football Scout Premium Members Area, I want to analyse if teams with defenders at the more budget end of the spectrum (say, up to £5.0m) can possibly provide similar returns to their more expensive counterparts at the bigger clubs. 

For the purpose of this analysis, I have used data from the last four Gameweeks:

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  1. Wolfman180
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Any thoughts? 2FT 0.2 ITB

    Martinez/McCarthy
    Robbo/Chilwell/Dallas/Konsa/Lamprey
    Salah/Son/Pulisic/Rodriguez/Jorginho
    Kane/DCL/Brewster

    There's no urgent moves that stand out to me, but feels wrong burning a transfer

    Thinking of perhaps Jorginho to Soucek and roll a transfer

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    1. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      That proposed move sounds good.

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    2. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Nice team, I would try to find a way to upgrade Brewster and downgrade somewhere ...

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      1. thegaffer82
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        I'd keep Brewster and try to upgrade Jorginho.

        Brewster in my opinion will be the 8th attacker to have this year as he's a starting striker for 4.5

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        1. Magic Zico
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 3 months ago

          Yep personal preference, I am more 343

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      2. Wolfman180
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        I am considering possibly downgrading Robertson if the Liverpool defence continues to be ropey.. I know you have them more for their attacking returns but I feel that there are cheaper alternatives that can match them. I just don't want to make that move before West Ham especially without Antonio

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        1. Magic Zico
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 3 months ago

          Good thinking mate ... GL

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    3. FPL_Crisis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      would you benefit from moving one keeper to save 0.5m?
      losing jorg is good if you plan to triple chelsea at some stage

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  2. thom830g
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Any suggestions to changes in this team? Is this the right line-up for my team - and right captain? 0 FT + 0,1 m ITB

    McCarthy
    TAA - Saiss - James
    Salah (VC) - Son - Mahrez - Podence
    Wilson - Kane (C) - DCL

    (4 m - Justin - Walker-Peters - Bissouma)

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  3. Magic Zico
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Hello folks, want to save FT with this but Castagne is out so will play Taylor instead. Do you see it's worth to make transfer now? For who? 0 ITB

    Martinez (Ryan)
    Chilwell Saiss Taylor (Castagne* Mitchell)
    Salah [C] Son Grealish Rodriguez (Burke)
    Kane DCL Jimenez

    A. Save FT
    B. Castagne > Dallas
    C. Other transfer

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    1. Balance
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      A or B Dallas/Cresswell

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      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Ta, plan was Creswell in next week for Saiss ... may be forced now for Castagne

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    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Castagne could be three GW's so I'd go with B. I like Cresswell as an option also, whom Balance suggested.

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      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Cheers mate

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    3. Boz
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      B to Coufal?

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      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Coufal/Creswell the plan for next week ... prob now then

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    4. Ibralicious
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Same situation... risk with rolling the transfer is if one of our starting defenders don't play, it's a no-show this GW :/

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      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Yep Hamez and Saiss potentially .. no coverage

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  4. Flair
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Pages flying

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    1. thegaffer82
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      I know right - does nobody work who visits this site?

      I'm 'working' from home

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      1. Third Eye Vision
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Half term innit.

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        1. Magic Zico
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 3 months ago

          This, playing with little ones ...

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      2. Piggs Boson
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Fellow programmer?

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      3. Sim Simma
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        International crowd

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  5. xHaTr
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Thoughts for a -4?

    TAA, Jimenez, Trossard --> Dallas, Bamford, Mane

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    1. Balance
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Probably not for a -4 this week. TAA and Jim both have good fix.

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    2. thegaffer82
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      I'm not overly keen on those moves.

      I'm guessing you have Salah, so I wouldn't get Mane. Also looking like a lot of Leeds to be bringing in. They are good, but are they that good?

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  6. Make United Great Again
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Martinez
    Ayling Saiss Chilwell
    Salah Son(C) Rashford Pulisic
    Kane(vc) DCL Watkins

    Steer, Biss, Mitchell, Johnson.

    G2G?

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    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      GTG, nice Rashford insert there!

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    2. Steve McCroskey
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Really nice

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    3. built_this_city
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      bet ur bum was sore last week

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  7. ball c
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Maupay to Bamford?
    Or keep Maupay aganist a vunerable Spurs defence.
    Then Burnely at Home following this GW.
    Brighton good attacking team and are not shy to attack the stronger teams. Will get opportunities on the counter.

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    1. Boz
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Keep for this week and switch to Antonio next week

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      1. ball c
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Antonio out for around 4 weeks

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  8. Puntillimon
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Anyone doing a differential captain pick?

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    1. thegaffer82
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Nope.

      Kane for me

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      1. camarozz
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Thinking Son.
        Have Kane and Salah.

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    2. Third Eye Vision
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Differential captain picks are for the end of the season when trying to win a mini league or something like that.

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    3. Puntillimon
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Just wondering 🙂 think I’m going salah again this week

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    4. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Salah

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    5. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Yep, Son

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  9. Gunn Burn Mee Hause
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    City fans... Do you think Cancelo or Zinchenko will get the most starts and points in the next few months? Draft Team, so price not relevant...

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    1. Third Eye Vision
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      This is what I’ve been pondering. I’m just going Dias instead.

      I realise you might not have this option in your draft.

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    2. Alonso The Great Midfielder
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      im just thinking about Cancelo looks very attacking

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      1. Third Eye Vision
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Yeah. Looks great and I thought he’d stay until Mendy was fit. However, Zinchenko threw a spanner in the works mid week. Cancelo isn’t a left footer, which is what Pep prefers.

        Don’t want another 5+ def benching doubt every week.

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    3. bench boost for every gamew…
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      I think the one who is the better of the will start most games.

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  10. The Count of Monte Cristo
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    4.0m ITB but should I just save FT?

    McCarthy
    TAA ~ Justin ~ Targett
    Salah ~ Son (c) ~ Pulisic ~ Soucek
    Mitrovic ~ Kane ~ C.Wilson

    4.0 ~ Bissouma ~ Mitchell ~ C.Taylor [1FT + 4.0m ITB]

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    1. Boz
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Easy save

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    2. bigwig
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Save. Mitro out next week unless he goes absolutely nuts against WBA

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      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks, both. That's what I'm thinking too - been wanting to get rid for a while and had other issues.

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    3. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      I would personally consider Wilson to Ings but it makes sense to save as well

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  11. gooberman
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Yep. Mane

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  12. Ibralicious
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Any chance Chilwell gets rested this GW? Have no defenders on my bench atm... :/

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    1. Boz
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Unlikely

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  13. Gruu
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Doherty to Chilwell for free?

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    1. bigwig
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      absolutely

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    2. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      No-brainer

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  14. aapoman
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    No clue what to do... 2ft and 0.1itb

    Martinez
    Robbo Kilman KWP
    Salah Son Pulisic Hames Grealish
    Kane DCL

    Forster; Ayling, Brewster, Lamptey

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  15. Alonso The Great Midfielder
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Castagne to who?
    a) Zouma
    b) bit punty on Cancelo

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    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Personally wouldn't go with Cancelo as Pep does rotate full backs. Lots of love for West Ham assets like Cresswell at the moment. Do you own Chilwell?

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      1. Alonso The Great Midfielder
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        thats the thinking too as zinchenko come back last week
        no i dont want chilwell

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  16. xHaTr
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Which sounds better?

    A: Chilwell and Barkley

    B: Dallas and Grealish

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    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      A

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    2. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      A

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  17. Steve McCroskey
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Got 2 FTs already and thinking of wasting it this week, can't see any changes I'd like to make.

    Martinez

    Robertson / Chilwell / Dallas

    Jamez / Son / Salah / Grealish

    Kane / DCL / Watkins

    Button / KWP / Bissouma / Lamptey

    Was thinking perhaps Watkins > Bamford?

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    1. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Watkins to Bamford yeah

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    2. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      or Lamptey to Coufal for long term

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  18. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    So Antonio only missing one game or what? Waiting to make transfers to raise cash for him but could get Chilwell and not bother raising cash for him if he's out for longer. Wat to do?

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    1. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      He's out at least 2 GWs by the looks of things. Maybe back after the break. I'd scrap any plans to bring him in.

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    2. ball c
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Hes out for around 4 weeks. Go with Chilwell

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  19. AlexDelPiero
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Contemplating getting rid of TAA... am I nuts or is this actually pretty reasonable?

    TAA + Trossard ---> Chilwell + Foden? (-4)

    Considering form and fixtures...

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  20. Saka White Rice
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Who do I bench?
    Shaw
    BDavies
    Konsa
    Saiss

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  21. Saka White Rice
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Who has higher xG? Kane Son or Salah

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    1. Rasping Drive
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Kane

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  22. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    A) Maupay to Bamford
    B) TAA to Chilwell
    C) Save

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    1. mikess
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      A

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    2. ball c
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      C).

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    3. Ibralicious
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      C

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  23. mikess
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Martinez
    Robertson, Saiss, Kilman (Mitchell, Dunne)
    Salah, Mane, Son, Rodriguez, Barkley
    DCL, Jimenez (Brewster)

    A) Go without Kane

    B) Robertson & Jimenez > Cresswell & Kane -4 one eye on WHU fixture run. Max 5.2 defender

    C) Rodriguez & Jimenez > 6.1 midfielder & Kane -4

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    1. Ibralicious
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      C if you want Kane, but A probably the safer bet

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      1. mikess
        • 15 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Slim pickings at that price

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        1. Ibralicious
          • 11 Years
          5 years, 3 months ago

          That is true, esp while you already own Brewster I wouldn't do it

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        2. Ibralicious
          • 11 Years
          5 years, 3 months ago

          B the maverick move if you captain Kane, but A the safer bet. Do whatever's worked for you so far this season (and in case it hasn't worked, try the opposite) 😀

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    2. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      A

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  24. TeddiPonza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Don't want to burn a transfer and want to keep Jimi and Saiss at least one more week.

    What move is best?

    A. Sterling to KdB
    B. Burke to Bissouma
    C. Podence to Lookman (or other 5,6m mid)
    D. Something else

    Martinez (Forster)
    Saiss KWP Justin (Mitchell Lamptey)
    Salah Sterling Son Podence (Burke)
    Kane DCL Jimi

    0,1m in bank 2 FT

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    1. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Jimi to Ings long term imo

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    2. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Out of those probably B

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    3. northernmuppet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      B or how about a leeds midfielder for Podence - say Klich?

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  25. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    I have not owned DCL all season, is he still worth the extra over someone like Bamford in your opinion?

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    1. Ibralicious
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Not at this point, fixtures turn pretty bad soon so you could get away as non-owner

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    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Nope - me neither, Bamford better value right now

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    3. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Yes imo. The fixtures are quite good too. Better than Bamford's at least over the next 6.

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    4. mikess
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      No imo

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    5. Flair
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Yes

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    6. northernmuppet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Bit concerned on Everton form.. I'd wait and see if last week was a blip or if this is more of a slump. Wouldn't transfer in for this GW

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    7. ivantys
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      He's in the don't buy don't sell list now.

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  26. northernmuppet
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    McCarthy (Fodder)
    TAA / Robbo / Saiss (Targett) (Mitchell)
    Son / Bruno / Grealish / JRod (Bissouma)
    Kane / DCL / Maupay

    Wait for Everton Presser and if JRod is fit then Maupay to Bamford

    if JRod is not would you:
    A) JRod - Zaha
    B) JRod - Foden

    I like the city coverage from Foden but the fixtures for Zaha...

    Thinking of doing the above AND the Maupay move for -4 as Bamford looks very dangerous right now..

    Will likely move one of the Liverpool defenders out next week for Salah / Sterling / KDB upgrade if they concede again..

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    1. ball c
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Good team, I would hold. Maupay could shine aganist a leaky Spurs defence. Leicester more solid.

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  27. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Best MID for £6.5m or under... ?

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    1. Rasping Drive
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Bowen

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    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Bowen if you can't stretch to Foden at 6.6

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      1. Ibralicious
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Foden is a huge upgrade IMO

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        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 3 months ago

          Worth a -4 to find the 0.1

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          1. Ibralicious
            • 11 Years
            5 years, 3 months ago

            Ofc not

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    3. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Bowen

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    4. Flair
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Bowen though Foden is worth the extra .1

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    5. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Everyone would have said Barkley last week. Funny how things change lol.

      I still think it’s Barkley

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    6. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Soucek

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    7. ivantys
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Bowen to target pool's defence

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  28. Krupinho
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    WC team (*denotes new players)

    McCarthy/ Martinez*
    Chilwell * Robbo* Mitchell Kilman* Coufal*
    Foden* Salah Son Soucek Zaha*
    Kane* Bamford* DCL

    0.7 ITB - worry is if Kilmun going to keep his place (got rid of Coady for him 2 free up funds)

    Thoughts?

    TIA

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  29. CFC1990
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Would you take out Ings or Jiminez for Kane for a FT this week?

    If so which one? Thinking maybe Jiminez

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  30. Ibralicious
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Martinez
    Robbo - Chilwell - Dallas
    Salah - Son - J. Rod - Grealish
    Kane - DCL - Bamford

    (Forster) - (Bissouma - *Mitchell* - *Castagne*)
    0.8 ITB - 1FT

    A) Save and Castagne + J. Rod -> Coufal + Rashford (next GW)
    B) Castagne -> Creswell for the 1FT

    Cheers!

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    1. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      B

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    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      B next week

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    3. Flair
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      C) Castagne -> Dias?

      Otherwise, I like B. Not sure I'd remove Rodriguez with Fulham soon but Carlo's press conference could change things.

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    4. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Actually, might as well save if you're not gonna use Creswell this week. so A

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    5. Dexters Laboratory
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Save, 2FT is a nice luxury to have

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