Spot the Differential
20 November 2020 1986 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

Fantasy Premier League managers could turn to Manchester City, Aston Villa or Crystal Palace to replace their Liverpool defenders for Gameweek 9.

Key members of the Reds’ back-line leave teams in their droves following the international break, so we have used this week’s Differential column to identify three exciting replacements; all of whom we think have the ability to deliver points at both ends of the pitch over the forthcoming weeks.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

João Cancelo

Cancelo stars for City as Sheff Utd's weak right-side bodes well for Chelsea
  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW9-13 fixtures: tot | BUR | FUL | mun | WBA

João Cancelo (£5.4m) endured a tough first season in England, but is now starting to shine.

Since making his first Premier League start of the campaign in Gameweek 5, the Portugal international has amassed 24 FPL points, averaging six per game. In that time, he has registered two clean sheets and, despite only providing one assist, has created more chances than any defender in the entire division.

Having performed as a right full-back in his first appearance against Arsenal, he has since been deployed on the left in Benjamin Mendy’s (£5.9m) absence. It remains to be seen what will happen when the Frenchman returns from injury, but given Cancelo’s excellent form, it is hard to see an immediate route back into the team.

Since losing 5-2 to Leicester City back in September, Manchester City have conceded just four goals in nine games in all competitions, keeping five clean sheets. While many FPL managers will be looking at Gameweek 10 as the optimum time to invest in their backline, there could be value in going a week early, given Matt Doherty’s (£5.8m) positive coronavirus (COVID-19) test, and the fact most of Tottenham Hotspur’s chances tend to be conceded from their right-side.

Manchester City’s left-back problem has been a theme throughout Pep Guardiola’s time at the club, but the recent form of Cancelo has perhaps provided a solution. Consistency will now be the key to retaining his place, but if he can do that, it’s hard to envisage him being a differential too much longer. 

Matt Targett

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW9-13 fixtures: BHA | whu | NEW | wol | BUR

Matt Targett (£4.5m) has been a solid performer for Aston Villa since joining from Southampton in 2019, making the left-back spot his own.

A product of the Saints academy, he has played a key role in a defence that has already kept four clean sheets in seven attempts this season, and perhaps doesn’t get the praise his performances often deserve.

The Englishman is yet to miss a single minute of league action so far, and with Jack Grealish (£7.5m) regularly drifting infield in front of him, plenty of space often opens up for him to attack. He’s got a good delivery too, which he showed in flashes against Arsenal last time out, when he provided the cross that was turned in by Bukayo Saka (£5.3m) for Villa’s first goal in their 3-0 win.

Interestingly, the 25-year-old scored his first goal for the club when he netted an injury time winner against this weekend’s opponents, Brighton and Hove Albion, back in October 2019.

This time, with Tariq Lamptey (£4.8m) likely to surge forward for Albion and support their attack, Targett could have his hands full defensively on Saturday, but at the same time, gaps could appear if space is left in behind. That has certainly been the case so far this season, with the Seagulls giving up 17 of their 42 chances down their right-flank, compared to just nine from the left. 

Still priced at just £4.5m, Targett offers the cheapest route into Villa’s defence, and could be a solid set and forget option given their appealing fixtures.

Patrick van Aanholt

  • FPL ownership: 0.7%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW9-13 fixtures: bur | NEW | wba | TOT | whu

Having just returned from a long-term injury, Patrick van Aanholt (£5.4m) looked back to his best against Leeds United before the international break.

The Dutchman supplied an assist and carried plenty of goal threat, registering three shots in the box. Determined to get forward at every opportunity, his attacking runs created space for Eberechi Eze (£5.8m) and Wilfried Zaha (£7.4m) to thrive and gave them a cutting edge which has been missing without him in the team.

In his absence, Tyrick Mitchell (£4.1m) has impressed, but it was evident against Leeds just how much they’ve missed the 30-year-olds attacking nature, which leads us to think he’ll retain his place in the starting XI come Monday.

Despite often struggling in attack, Crystal Palace have had a bright start to the season. They sit eighth in the table, and looking at the run of games coming up, they have the potential to pick up points given the struggles of goal-shy Burnley and West Bromwich Albion, and to a slightly lesser extent Newcastle United.

In Gameweek 8 there were signs of progress. The expectation now is that results should pick up, and with the possibility of goals and clean sheets, at least in the short term, van Aanholt could be a nice pick-up for those in search of a differential currently owned by just 0.7% of FPL managers. 

  1. DAZZ
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Final WC thoughts?

    Martinez
    Dias Cancelo Chilwell
    KDB Grealish Ziyech Bruno(c)
    Vardy DCL Watkins

    (mccarthy, kilman, KWP, riedwald)

    Is double city risky? I really like the fixtures, but dias > telles is tempting.

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      I'm not a fan of the double City def personally. I would rather be flexible on having two city attackers if they pick-up form

      1. DAZZ
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Fair enough, but with Salah and KDB i cant see myself picking up Sterling.

    2. TheSteel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Why both Dias and Cancelo and no Chelsea defence?

      1. Tonyawesome69
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Chilwell is in the team....

    3. Wirtzel Gummidge
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Looks good, have also done WC with triple city, fixtures too good!

  2. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Who do you prefer?

    A. Mitchell (chance of a 1 pointer off the bench)

    B. Justin (pool away but more attacking)

    1. DAZZ
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Justin

    2. Clintymints
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Justin

    3. GreennRed
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Justin.

    4. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Justin easy

    5. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Sorted! Cheers all

  3. GreennRed
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    How accurate do you think this predicted City lineup will be?

    Ederson; Walker, Dias, Laporte, Cancelo; Rodri, De Bruyne, Foden; Torres, Jesus, Sterling

    https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/sport/football/football-news/man-city-line-up-tottenham-19317995

    1. DAZZ
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Not a million miles off. He might play Gundogan though.

      1. GreennRed
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah. Wondering if I should bench Foden or Taylor. neither great prospects GW9, Taylor flagged.

      2. El Presidente
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Gundo played a lot of minutes IB...

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      They've been wrong before....

    3. Clintymints
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      10/11 at least guaranteed there

    4. I'm playing Foden so he will definitely be benched.

    5. caldracula
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Possibly Mahrez and Silva over Torres and Foden but the rest look nailed.

  4. Tonyawesome69
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    RP - One to start and first on the bench?
    A. Justin (A vs LIV)
    B. Ayling (H vs ARS)
    C. Taylor (H vs CRY)

    1. DAZZ
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Start Justin and Taylor first bench

    2. SharkyT
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      C play B bench 1st

    3. Clintymints
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Liverpool are weakened, so Justin might stand a half chance with Rodgers ready for a battle.

      Arsenal and Leeds are unpredictable but surely goals.

      So C probably makes the most sense to start with and I'd probably chance Ayling sub 1

      Hard call tbh. Lots of variables

    4. Tambling5
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      BCA

    5. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Cheers all. Both Justin and Ayling have good attacking potential and Justin with the better CS potential. It is a tough one

      1. Tonyawesome69
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        as you can tell by the different answers given so far!

  5. SharkyT
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Quick one. Already done 1FT & 0ITB
    A) Salah > KdB (-4)
    B) Salah > Mane (-4)
    C) Hold. Play 1 of Brewster/Mitchell

  6. Weeb Kakashi
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts on Martial?

    1. SharkyT
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Lazy

    2. Prefer Chase

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Not showing enough form to bring him in, Better fwds available

    4. Tambling5
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A law unto its self

  7. jay01
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    United vs WBA predictions?

    Wonder if United will be high scoring or WBA will just park it for 90

    1. King Kohli
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Gut feeling that there will be goals in this one.
      Telles starting will be crucial IMO

    2. SharkyT
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Early Utd goal 4/5 nil. 0-0 at HT anyone’s guess

    3. Clintymints
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      WBA will hold out for a bit but then the goals will fly

    4. Wirtzel Gummidge
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      4-0

    5. Tambling5
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      2-0
      Dodgy pens

    6. caldracula
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      2-0 probably

    7. 1984 TC
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      3-1 Utd with a Maguire own goal.

  8. FPL ZB
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Podence to Grealish or Ziyech worth a four point hit?

    1. caldracula
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Yep, which ever one you prefer.

  9. Tango74
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Thinking of selling Justin

    How will LCFC line up when Castagne and Ricardo back next week ? Aren’t they all right backs ??

    1. Clintymints
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Castagne can do either side, as can Pereira. Both have done so for previous cubs. and both a mainly right footed.

      However, the best lineup is Pereira RB and Castagne LB

      1. Tonyawesome69
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        This. Justin can play LCB and RCB of a 5. I would keep until all LEI defs are available

    2. GreennRed
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Keep Justin until he's definitely benched. He wasn't meantI ti get gametime this far into the season. Could still get more for a lovely price.

  10. bso
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    With Mitchell maybe not starting...is Lamptey a better choice? Concerned Grealish & co may make mincemeat of BHA.

    1. Clintymints
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Yep, Lamptey in for sure over Phil Mitchell

  11. Vlekz
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Werner or richalison for the next 3? Have DCL and no other Chelsea

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Werner

      2. I'd punt on Werner

      3. Clintymints
        • 16 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Werner in that case

      4. Tonyawesome69
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Werner

    • Slitherene
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Help me choose one??

      A. Ryan/McCarthy + Targett
      B. Martinez + Lamptey

      1. Clintymints
        • 16 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        B for me, but McC and T will be more popular here

    • King Kohli
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Best sub 5.3m defender to start each week for long term?

      Can't be a Villa defender

      1. GreennRed
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Vestergaard

      2. Clintymints
        • 16 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        James?

        .1 more for Cancelo would be nice

        1. King Kohli
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Annoying that he's a slight rotation risk.

          Can you pick one from each to complete this defence.

          Chilwell ____ ____ Kilman Mitchell

          A. Dias or Cancelo
          B. Cresswell or Coufal

          1. Tonyawesome69
            • 7 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            Cancelo Cresswell

          2. Clintymints
            • 16 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            I think Cancelo is worth the risk

            Creswell better pick but I wouldn't spend over 4.5 on a Wham defender

      3. 1984 TC
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Bellerin

    • Fuddled FC
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Which one to bench?

      a) Coufal v SHU
      b) Vestergaard v WOL
      c) Cancelo v TOT

      1. Old Wulfrunian
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        B

      2. Clintymints
        • 16 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        B

    • Old Wulfrunian
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Bench one please:
      a)Coufal
      b)Targett
      c)Pva

      1. HashAttack
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        I'm playing PVA and benching Coufal (Other two defenders are Zouma and Chillwell)

        1. Old Wulfrunian
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          cheers

          1. HashAttack
            • 8 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            I also have Martinez and there seems to be a lot of people expect Brighton to score

            1. Old Wulfrunian
              • 9 Years
              5 years, 1 month ago

              I also think they will score.

      2. Mufc202020
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        B

    • Feanor
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Is this tripe switch worth a 4 point hit?

      Salah -> Ziyech
      Podence -> Grealish
      Wilson -> Vardy

      1. Assisting the assister
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        I think so - yep

      2. Assisting the assister
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Probably not tripe - it may be ok 🙂

      3. GreennRed
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        No.

        1. Feanor
          • 16 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          I can just keep Wilson then. No hit.

      4. Mufc202020
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Yes

      5. Pep bites Kun
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Podence to Grealish may be the only fly in the ointment for this gw, but worth it in the longer term. A & C are a given

    • HashAttack
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      I miss the Friday deadlines we use to have a long time ago ... were those only around for the £15 matches?

      1. Assisting the assister
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        they were great for catching out casuals

        1. GENERATION X
          • 12 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Yeah those silly, gravless casuals...

      2. caldracula
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        No, there will be Friday night football on the 27th.

    • LewanGOALski
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Salah - Son - Hamez - Grealish (Soucek)
      Kane - DCL - Watkins

      1 FT

      A) Salah âž¡ Bruno / Ziyech now and Son âž¡ KDB next week
      or
      B) Salah âž¡ KDB and keep Son more long-term eventually re-asses him / Kane next week

      which option here is better?

    • Voodoo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Does anyone think Salah will drop tonight? I’ve checked the price sites and the statistics percentage seems to be going down!

      1. Clintymints
        • 16 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Not tonight, but possibly tomorrow. Those second drops are hard to predict.

        Son drop last night was taking the p!ss though.

      2. Assisting the assister
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Seems ok at the moment

      3. HashAttack
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Looks unlikely but there could be a late rush with Bruno and Grealish likely to go up

        Really hope Aguero drops tonight

      4. El Presidente
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        No, his price is being kept artificially intact despite 500k+ transfers out in the last 24 hrs...

        1. Pep bites Kun
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          A portion of which may be WCs, which don't impact price

        2. g40steve
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          This, was at -90 last night with 400k sales, the system is rigged!
          Almost million sales & still -90 ownership gone down 10%?

          1. Clintymints
            • 16 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            We need to get some lawsuits for a recount

    • Will J 256
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Who would you prefer to get out for Salah? Already have Rashford but Bruno is tempting!

      A: KDB
      B: Fernandes

      1. Il Capitano
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Go KDB

      2. Clintymints
        • 16 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        If you have Rash then KdB

        That much united is asking for trouble

    • Lionel Ronaldo
        5 years, 1 month ago

        (1) Is Foden expected to play?
        (2) Play Reguilon (City Home) or Justin (Liverpool away)?

        1. Clintymints
          • 16 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Good intl form suggests possible, but who knows.

          Reguilon seems like a week in week out non-benching player. Walker good to match his pace though

          1. HashAttack
            • 8 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            Reguilon also had Tuesday night off - wasn't even in the Spanish squad

      • Il Capitano
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        About to pull the trigger on a - 4: Salah + ASM > Bruno + Grealish. Will give me the following team:

        McCarthy (Button)
        Chilwell Zouma Taylor (Justin Mitchell)
        Bruno (C) Sterling Son Grealish (Bissouma)
        Werner DCL Watkins

        All GTG?

        1. waltzingmatildas
          • 15 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Nice

      • waltzingmatildas
        • 15 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Had a new plan occur to me :
        Kane and bissouma to grealish and Werner (-4)
        Would do it right now, except it means benching soucek
        A) do it
        B) not worth it

        1. Assisting the assister
          • 10 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          A

        2. FPL ZB
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          I fancy Kane in this one

      • LikeItLoveIt
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Thoughts
        Salah, Foden & Podence > bruno, ziyech & soucek for a -4 ?

        1. The Polymath
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Yes

        2. waltzingmatildas
          • 15 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Yes

        3. Corgz Dark side of the Loon
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          100%

        4. LikeItLoveIt
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Awesome thanks guys

      • Nespinha
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Funny thing.

        After Klopps press conference, Salahs transfers out suddenly stopped...

        1. The Polymath
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          They will start to accelerate as we go towards tonight's deadline.

        2. Bobby_Baggio
          • 14 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          He'll drop again tonight

        3. Clintymints
          • 16 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          He must have kept him in his squad

        4. Nespinha
          • 10 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          I got him out already, but need his price drop to get him in again lmao

      • Qaiss
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        All this talk of DCL, Grealish captain, only for the herd to go running to Bruno in FOMO.

        1. ElChapo
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          if you don't and he hauls - you lose massive ground.

          If you do and he doesn't haul - you lose minor ground.

          1. Qaiss
            • 9 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            Just like if he blanks and you captain Aubameyang or Mane or someone and they haul, you gain massive ground.

            The point is, there’s so much FOMO in this community.

            1. ElChapo
              • 6 Years
              5 years, 1 month ago

              Pareto's law

              1. Qaiss
                • 9 Years
                5 years, 1 month ago

                It doesn’t matter, from next week Bruno isn’t as good of a pick as Liverpool/City mids.

                He’s a solid pick and I’ve captained him for two hauls this season, but again, too much FOMO on these parts. Besides, West Brom aren’t as bad defensively as it seems.

                1. ElChapo
                  • 6 Years
                  5 years, 1 month ago

                  is it FOMO or is everybody "flocking" to the player with the standout form/fixture?

                  1. HashAttack
                    • 8 Years
                    5 years, 1 month ago

                    Bit of both maybe - I know most of my ML rivals have Bruno and he will be the most popular captain amongst them, and I don't trust Bruno at home, having been burnt at twice last season

                    But I may as well go with the ML herd - already been burnt 4 times this season being different to them - KDB twice, Salah once and Son last week - 9 points in total

      • Bennyboy1907
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Yes or no

        Salah, Son, Saiss >>> Bruno, KDB, Coufal/Cresswell (-4)

        Then next week Kane to Vardy

      • COYR
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Bench 2 from:

        A) Lamptey
        B) KWP
        C) Justin
        D) Mitchell

        1. Mufc202020
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          BD

          1. Bobby_Baggio
            • 14 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            this

          2. COYR
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            Cheers. As a Saints fan my bias was swinging towards playing KWP but Justin seems a good shout

      • Mufc202020
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        A) Rich
        B) Vardy

        1. Bobby_Baggio
          • 14 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          vardy

          1. Mufc202020
            • 6 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            Even without DCL??

        2. GreennRed
          • 14 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          Vardy. Buzzing tonight 😉

          1. Mufc202020
            • 6 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            Buzzing tonight??

            1. GreennRed
              • 14 Years
              5 years, 1 month ago

              Hard to think Vardy gets stressed but the courtcase result might jave him in great humour.

              https://www.bbc.com/news/newsbeat-55020573

      • Twisted Melon
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Bench one

        A)Kilman (Southampton away)
        B)Konsa (Brighton Home)
        C)WIlson (Chelsea Home/limited minutes)