Spot the Differential

Can Matheus Pereira’s recent form turn him into a differential FPL asset?

Gameweek 21 is almost upon us, which gives us another opportunity to look at some differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Chelsea, Leicester City and West Bromwich Albion who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Matheus Pereira

WHUWBA
  • FPL ownership: 1.0%
  • Price: £5.6m
  • GW21-25 fixtures: FUL | shu | tot | MUN | bur

A recent return to West Bromwich Albion’s starting XI has seen Matheus Pereira (£5.6m) impress.

He has now started Albion’s last four matches, producing three goals, which included a brace of penalties at local rivals Wolves, in a performance which was his best of the season so far.

The statistics suggest there might be more to come, too.

Since being restored to the side in Gameweek 17, Pereira leads the way amongst team-mates for shots, chances created, final-third touches and take-ons. He’s also been taking a few corners, which gives him further assist potential with the likes of Kyle Bartley (£4.4m) and in particular Semi Ajayi (£4.8m) so effective in the air from crosses.

Last season, Pereira lit up the Championship and finished the campaign with a total of eight goals and 16 assists. As the standout player in Albion’s attack, he mostly operated as a no. 10 in a 4-2-3-1, something which has continued under Sam Allardyce. From that position, he tends to drift to the right, which is relevant with Fulham up next, as no team in the entire division has given up more chances from their left than Scott Parker’s side over the last four Gameweeks.

Timing is key for Pereira, but now back up to speed he could prove the difference maker ahead of a crucial run of games.

Antonio Rüdiger

Rüdiger forcing way into Chelsea picture ahead of appealing fixtures
  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW21-25 fixtures: BUR | tot | shu | NEW | sou

German defender Antonio Rüdiger (£4.5m) could be set for a new lease of life at Chelsea under Thomas Tuchel.

The 27-year-old started the season well down the pecking order at Stamford Bridge, which limited him to just one league start up until Gameweek 16. However, somewhat surprisingly, Rüdiger was restored to the starting XI towards the end of Frank Lampard’s reign, and then played 90 minutes in Tuchel’s first match in charge against Wolverhampton Wanderers on Wednesday night.

Interestingly, that match saw Chelsea line-up with a three-man defence, which helped restrict their opponents Wolves to just two shots in the box. As a result, they kept their eighth Premier League clean sheet of the season, and with an appealing set of fixtures ahead which includes games against Burnley, Sheffield United and Newcastle United in the next four, there is potential to do well.

We should point out that change is inevitable under a new manager, especially with Tuchel’s reputation for tactical flexibility, but having kept a clean sheet in midweek, you’d expect him to retain the same personnel at the back against Burnley on Sunday. It’s also encouraging that the German is aware of his defender’s talents, having coveted him while at Paris Saint-Germain.

Rüdiger has had an up-and-down career at Chelsea to date, but there is hope Tuchel can coax the best out of him, and if he does, FPL managers will be handed a budget route into the Blues backline.

Youri Tielemans

  • FPL ownership: 2.6%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW21-25 fixtures: LEE | ful | wol | LIV | avl

Belgium international Youri Tielemans (£6.4m) has developed into one of the best box-to-box midfielders in the Premier League this season.

From an FPL perspective, that hasn’t always translated into points, but having been directly involved in six goals in his last six appearances in all competitions, we think he might be worth considering as an alternative to the more popular James Maddison (£7.2m) and Harvey Barnes (£6.8m).

Key to Tielemans’ appeal is that he took Leicester City’s most recent penalty against Brentford in the cup, with Jamie Vardy (£10.0m) absent. That is especially relevant considering the Foxes have already won 10 spot kicks in the league this season, at least four more than any other side.

At this stage, it’s worth noting that the 23-year-old’s attacking numbers are some way behind both Maddison and Barnes, but having scored at Everton on Wednesday night, this is a player in a really good moment playing at the top of his game. His all-round ability lends itself to bonus points too, with only seven midfielders in the entire division collecting more than his 11 this term.

While Tielemans has sometimes been deployed in a deeper role this season, he did push higher up against Chelsea in Gameweek 19 to try and take advantage of the Blues attacking tendencies, which is something we might see more of against Leeds this weekend.

Tielemans has been superb of late, and could be a smart differential for those on the lookout for a new midfielder.

518 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Sterling benched tomorrow or safe to captain him?

    1. money face bandwagon
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      i will captain

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I think he is the best cap option for this GW

    3. DannyDrinkVodka
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I'm captaining him as well.......sense he's got a haul in him

    4. 007 [RoboKlopp]
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      He will play imo

  2. money face bandwagon
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    rashford or son?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Neither

    2. 007 [RoboKlopp]
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Son

  3. Boleyn Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Afternoon All. Yay or nay to this transfer. Thanks in advance:

    Adams > DCL (-4 hit)

    1. Henryyy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Yay

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      yes

    3. 007 [RoboKlopp]
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Yes

    4. tim
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Go for it, I did the same!

  4. Captain_Shirokov
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Martinez
    Cancelo(c) - Dias - Dier
    Salah - Bruno - Grealish - Son
    DCL - Antonio - Bamford

    Anything worth a hit here?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      GTG

    2. 007 [RoboKlopp]
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Gtg, solid team

  5. Tonyawesome69
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    A. Raphinha to Barnes (-4)
    B. Coufal to Digne (-4) I will bench Bamford in GW21 and do Rodrigo to Antonio GW22
    C. No hits

    0FT 8.9itb
    Martinez
    Stones Cancelo Cresswell
    Bruno Gundo Salah Raphinha Soucek
    Bamford DCL
    (Johnstone Coufal Holding Rodrigo)

    1. 007 [RoboKlopp]
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      C

    2. Captain_Shirokov
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I think C and see how this week plays out.

  6. 007 [RoboKlopp]
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Hi, who will score more this week?
    A. Bamford + 4 pts
    B. Salah
    Ta.

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Hopefully Salah

    2. Captain_Shirokov
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A

  7. Jafooli
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Best Kane replacement?

    Have:

    Salah - Bruno - Foden - Gundogan - Soucek
    Kane* - Antonio - Brewshite

    Can’t be Man City as have Stones also...

    1. Groot the Leveller
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Dcl?

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      DCL or Watkins

    3. Jafooli
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Cheers all, yeah reckon DCL is best option....will have 10m ITB 😆

    4. SweepaKeepa
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      DCL the safe option.
      So why do I want to buy Werner so much?

  8. Groot the Leveller
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Traditional benching headache now money is spread across the team

    Bench 1 of the following....
    A - Chillwell (BUR)
    B - Grealish (sou)
    C - Son (bha)
    D - Richarlinson (NEW)

    1. Groot the Leveller
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I've gone grealish - last time I did that it cost be 10 points

    2. antis0cial
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Ouch, A I guess

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Surely there must be someone else you can bench

    4. bautasten
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Yeah I usually prefer the attackers in these scenarios, but close between A and B here.

  9. mezza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    DDG (Meslier)
    Cancelo Dias Stones (Cresswell Coufal)
    Salah Bruno Barnes Soucek (El-Ghazi)
    DCL Bamford Watkins

    1FT 2.6 ITB

    Triple City defence is blocking me from getting Gundogan but going to have to do without again.

    A. El-Ghazi -> James Rodriguez/ Grealish / Maddison (bench Soucek) - would be doubling up on one of EVE/AVL/LEI - leaning towards Rodriguez given fixtures
    C. Cresswell, El-Ghazi -> Digne, Rodriguez/Grealish/Maddison -4 (bench Soucek and Bamford) - I kind of like this but Cresswell has good fixtures after this week (need him when City play Liverpool)
    D. Bamford -> Richarlison (bench Soucek but have to keep deadwood El-Ghazi)
    E. Bamford, Coufal -> Richarlison, Digne -4 (bench Soucek and Bamford) - similar caveat to C but not as against losing Coufal as I am Cresswell - doesn’t solve the El-Ghazi issue though
    F. Save and play Soucek and Bamford

    Thanks

  10. dbeck
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    G2g? any hits?

    Ederson
    Stones Dias Robertson Digne
    Grealish Mo Son Bruno
    Watkins Antonio

    Johnstone Soucek Targett Brewster

    1. Henryyy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      G2G

  11. bautasten
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Martinez
    Cancelo. Robertson. Stones.
    Salah. Bruno. Grealish. Son.
    DCL - Antonio - Bamford

    [Johnstone. Soucek. Coufal. Ferguson.]

    Would it be crazy to do Soucek -> Gundogan (-4) and bench Bamford?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I think reluctantly I would do the move for a hit. I wouldn't want to get rid of Soucek after a double digit haul but need to take advantage of City's form and maximise on 3 City players

      1. dbeck
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Seems ok to do, i also dont mind hitting out bamford to Watkins

        1. bautasten
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Will probably do that move further down the line, but will have a benching headache every week which will kind of suck..

      2. bautasten
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Yeah, Soucek is such good value, but can't really let any of the other midfielders go. Thanks for input!

  12. Botman and Robben
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Is Son on pens when Kane is out?

    1. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Yep

    2. Karan14
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Yes

    3. No Professionals
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      hard to see who else would be

    4. bench boost for every gamew…
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Would expect so
      But... Son without Kane?

  13. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Bamford to DCL for a hit?

    1. dbeck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      yeah why not, sounds more fun

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Prob yes

  14. Espanyolie
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Bamford or Watkins to DCL?

    1. No Professionals
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Bamfraud

    2. Botman and Robben
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Bamford

    3. bautasten
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Bamford

    4. Groot the Leveller
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Agree with the concensus as I've already moved Bamford to dcl

  15. FPL Theorist
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Anyone considering captaining Stones or Dias? (Non-Cancelo owner obviously)

    Or just cap Gundo?

    1. antis0cial
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Gundo, they don't have the attacking threat Cancelo does. Can't see stones scoring 2 in a game again in the rest of his career, but you never know!

      1. FPL Theorist
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        You're probably right. But even one goal plus CS + max bonus from a defender would be the second highest captain haul of my season, so it's tempting. Stones is on 7.0 (!) points per match -- only Kane, Son, and Bruno are higher.

        1. SweepaKeepa
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Laporte will come in at some point regardless.

  16. gart888
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Martinez
    Robertson, Dias, Stones
    Salah, Bruno, Gundo, Grealsh, Soucek
    Bamford, Antonio

    Johnstone, Coufal, Kane, KWP

    I absolutely bottled it and went Adams -> Kane early to beat the price changes.

    Worth taking a hit to go Kane -> DCL, or wait?

    1. footballfreak
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      happened to me last week buying KDB..then bought gundogan in his place who did great but also left out soucek by doing this..anyway i think you should go for it 🙂

    2. Greenbob
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Probably worth it but who would you bench?

      1. gart888
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Soucek probably.

        Does DCL outscore Soucek by 4 points? Probably not. That's why I'm hesitant.

  17. No Professionals
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    bottomed on last article

    Johnstone
    Dias Stones Dallas
    Salah Fernandes Gundogan Soucek
    Kane Bamford Antonio

    Steer Mitchell Coufal Alzate
    1FT 7.7m ITB

    was pretty set on...

    Alzate and Bamford to Son and DCL (bench Soucek). Makes sense to just make it Alzate and Kane to Son and DCL (bench Bamford).

    Or would you be tempted to keep Kane and see if it's more short term?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I would transfer out Kane but I wouldn't be in any hurry to transfer Son at the moment

  18. Bobby
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Kane to dcl for a hit worth it or panic?

    1. No Professionals
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      well kane won't play, so in the absence of a decent sub, it's worth it.

      1. gart888
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        I guess the question is how many games will he really miss?

        When you consider how short Son's injury was earlier this year, how tough Kane is, and that he kept playing on those ankles... I wouldn't be surprised if he only misses one match.

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Depends on your team. Who would you play if you bench Kane

      1. gart888
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Let's say Soucek vs Liverpool?

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Soucek can easily get something from set pieces when Liverpool are thin on CBs. If it is your first hit then I would do the transfer, not if it is -8

    3. Bobby
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Got moutinho or holding who could come in

      1. Groot the Leveller
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Hmm...

  19. The Senate
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Kane is definitely gonna miss a couple of games right?
    How come his FPL flag is yellow?
    Will we get another update before deadline?

    1. No Professionals
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I mean, it was his dodgy ankles, and it was both of them, hard to see how he plays this weekend.

      Ankles can be funny things though (Chilwell).

  20. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Any hits needed here with 5.4m itb?

    Martinez
    Stones Cancelo Dallas -- Coufal Taylor
    Bruno Salah Rashford Gundog -- Burke
    Dcl Antonio Bamford

    A: Burke >> Grealish (-4)...and bench bamford
    B: Burke >> Son (-4)...and bench bamford
    C: Rashford >> Son (-4)
    D: Taylor >> Digne (-4)..and start him ahead of Dallas
    E: No hits. gtg

    1. Dont choose VW. Pickford
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Would be tempted by A or B

  21. Jafooli
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    I might captain Foden....his turn...City seems to go like that

  22. JelliedSpark968
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Had a bad few weeks due to not having right players, my team is still strong but want to get the likes of Cancelo, Antonio but not sure of best way to get there.

    Meslier
    Robbo/Dias/Coufal/Justin/Johnson
    Salah/Fernandes/Barnes/Soucek/Romeu
    Kane/Bamford/Watkins

    1.6ITB, 1FT

  23. Fpl Richie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Marti
    Chilwell Dias Cancelo
    Salah Grealish Bruno KDB*
    Rodrigo* Antonio Bamford
    Johnstone Soucek Coufal Dallas

    KDB+Rodrigo to....DCL and who?
    A. Son: pens, top player, mixed fixtures, unknown impact of Kane injury/blocks Kane later
    B. Gundogan: pens, great form, initial fixtures, dirt cheap, options open with Spurs in 23.
    C: Barnes: explosive, decent fixtures, options open with Spurs in 23.

    B+C probably an extra transfer down the line.

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B easy - a lot can change down the line

  24. CrouchDown
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Play McCarthy or Martinez?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Emi

  25. SM001
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Vardy to DCL or Bamford to DCL?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Definitely the one that is injured

    2. Steve The Spud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Wait for presser, might get a vardy update, if he makes Fulham I’m holding (probably doesn’t)

  26. pingissimus
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Wow - 10 pens for Leicester. Missed that bit.

    1. No Professionals
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      the amount they win must reduce without vardy though.

      1. pingissimus
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Good point

  27. ValterPereira
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Should Zouma be definitely disregarded?!

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Too much uncertainty with Chelsea at the moment. I woudn't transfer in any Chelsea players

      1. ValterPereira
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        The thing is I got him for DGW19, and he hasn´t played a minute since then 🙂

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          I would definitely transfer him out unless you think there is a chance he starts and you have a decent bench to cover a Zouma no-show

          1. ValterPereira
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            I have Dias, O´Shea and Mitchell, all of them with home matches with reasonable oponents, and Coufal on the bench. Already transferred in Gundogan for the next GW, so possibly not wise to take a hit. Just thinking if I should take a gamble on Zouma in the line-up. Currently have him as a 1st sub, Smith-Rowe (75%) as 2nd sub and Coufal as 3rd. However, Kane (25%) is still in my line-up... Too many things to consider!

  28. Brimble82
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    3rd defender time partner Cancelo & Stones - price no issue:
    A. Chilwell
    B. Digne
    C. Trent
    D. Other

    1. Brimble82
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      *to partner

    2. Professor Abel X
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B

    3. Dont choose VW. Pickford
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B, Digne likely to have a double at some point between GW23-25 and in GW26 according to Ben Crellin

      1. Brimble82
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Yeah, that’s who (and why) I’m drawn to.
        But also tempted by a Tuchel-permitted advanced position for Chilwell against a pretty toothless Burnley.

        Digne is probably the one I’ll go with though. Thanks

        1. La Roja
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Pretty toothless Burnley? If any team toothless that’s Chelsea right now

          1. Brimble82
            • 5 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            Didn't say I was looking to bring in a Chelsea attacking asset did I!
            But an advanced Chilwell will be good for BPS even if they don't break down Burnley.

            Burnley have only scored more than once in 2 of their last 18 PL games, failed to score in 9 of them, and their top scorer has 4 goals.
            So yeah, I'd stand by 'toothless Burnley'.

  29. JONALDINHO
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Thoughts on what to do?

    Martinez
    Cancelo • Stones • Mitchell
    Salah • Bruno • Son • Grealish • Gundo(C)
    Bamford • Antonio 6.3ITB
    (Steer / Dallas / Coufal / Brewster)

    Bamford to DCL the obvious move? Could also do one of Dallas/Coufal to Digne for a hit and play him over Mitchell

    1. Brimble82
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Not tempted by both?
      If Digne plays LW again, he could get ‘Cancelo captain’ level output against Newcastle!

  30. CrouchDown
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Gtg?

    Martinez

    Digne Cancelo Dallas

    Sterling(C) Salah Bruno Gundo

    DCL Bamford Antonio

    Subs: McCarthy, Soucek Mitchell Coufal

    1. The Road to Turfdom
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      yes, looks v good. also likely captaining RS but nervous of benching - reckon he'll be ok?

    2. Gudjohnsen
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Similar to mine but I got Stones instead of Dallas and Saka instead of Gundogan.

      Sterling captain risky?