Spot the Differential
29 January 2021 518 comments
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Gameweek 21 is almost upon us, which gives us another opportunity to look at some differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Chelsea, Leicester City and West Bromwich Albion who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Matheus Pereira

WHUWBA
  • FPL ownership: 1.0%
  • Price: £5.6m
  • GW21-25 fixtures: FUL | shu | tot | MUN | bur

A recent return to West Bromwich Albion’s starting XI has seen Matheus Pereira (£5.6m) impress.

He has now started Albion’s last four matches, producing three goals, which included a brace of penalties at local rivals Wolves, in a performance which was his best of the season so far.

The statistics suggest there might be more to come, too.

Since being restored to the side in Gameweek 17, Pereira leads the way amongst team-mates for shots, chances created, final-third touches and take-ons. He’s also been taking a few corners, which gives him further assist potential with the likes of Kyle Bartley (£4.4m) and in particular Semi Ajayi (£4.8m) so effective in the air from crosses.

Last season, Pereira lit up the Championship and finished the campaign with a total of eight goals and 16 assists. As the standout player in Albion’s attack, he mostly operated as a no. 10 in a 4-2-3-1, something which has continued under Sam Allardyce. From that position, he tends to drift to the right, which is relevant with Fulham up next, as no team in the entire division has given up more chances from their left than Scott Parker’s side over the last four Gameweeks.

Timing is key for Pereira, but now back up to speed he could prove the difference maker ahead of a crucial run of games.

Antonio Rüdiger

Rüdiger forcing way into Chelsea picture ahead of appealing fixtures
  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW21-25 fixtures: BUR | tot | shu | NEW | sou

German defender Antonio Rüdiger (£4.5m) could be set for a new lease of life at Chelsea under Thomas Tuchel.

The 27-year-old started the season well down the pecking order at Stamford Bridge, which limited him to just one league start up until Gameweek 16. However, somewhat surprisingly, Rüdiger was restored to the starting XI towards the end of Frank Lampard’s reign, and then played 90 minutes in Tuchel’s first match in charge against Wolverhampton Wanderers on Wednesday night.

Interestingly, that match saw Chelsea line-up with a three-man defence, which helped restrict their opponents Wolves to just two shots in the box. As a result, they kept their eighth Premier League clean sheet of the season, and with an appealing set of fixtures ahead which includes games against Burnley, Sheffield United and Newcastle United in the next four, there is potential to do well.

We should point out that change is inevitable under a new manager, especially with Tuchel’s reputation for tactical flexibility, but having kept a clean sheet in midweek, you’d expect him to retain the same personnel at the back against Burnley on Sunday. It’s also encouraging that the German is aware of his defender’s talents, having coveted him while at Paris Saint-Germain.

Rüdiger has had an up-and-down career at Chelsea to date, but there is hope Tuchel can coax the best out of him, and if he does, FPL managers will be handed a budget route into the Blues backline.

Youri Tielemans

  • FPL ownership: 2.6%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW21-25 fixtures: LEE | ful | wol | LIV | avl

Belgium international Youri Tielemans (£6.4m) has developed into one of the best box-to-box midfielders in the Premier League this season.

From an FPL perspective, that hasn’t always translated into points, but having been directly involved in six goals in his last six appearances in all competitions, we think he might be worth considering as an alternative to the more popular James Maddison (£7.2m) and Harvey Barnes (£6.8m).

Key to Tielemans’ appeal is that he took Leicester City’s most recent penalty against Brentford in the cup, with Jamie Vardy (£10.0m) absent. That is especially relevant considering the Foxes have already won 10 spot kicks in the league this season, at least four more than any other side.

At this stage, it’s worth noting that the 23-year-old’s attacking numbers are some way behind both Maddison and Barnes, but having scored at Everton on Wednesday night, this is a player in a really good moment playing at the top of his game. His all-round ability lends itself to bonus points too, with only seven midfielders in the entire division collecting more than his 11 this term.

While Tielemans has sometimes been deployed in a deeper role this season, he did push higher up against Chelsea in Gameweek 19 to try and take advantage of the Blues attacking tendencies, which is something we might see more of against Leeds this weekend.

Tielemans has been superb of late, and could be a smart differential for those on the lookout for a new midfielder.

518 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    It's crazy how overrated the BB is, people will use their WC to be able to BB, WC is worth like 20+ points IMO and BB might give them something like 30 if it works well, then they'll use transfers to fix their team for later...

    If you can set up a BB without too many hits or WC then fair play though

    1. PompeyUpNorth!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      I got 159 once with it so I don’t think it’s overrated tbh but I get your point.. you have to be careful if carding then boosting but I think it’s worth it most seasons

      1. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 10 days ago

        You'll have that one glorious week mate no doubt but it compromises the other weeks imo

        But not denying if deployed properly it can be powerful deffo

        1. PompeyUpNorth!
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 10 days ago

          You defo have to be careful with it yes agreed

      2. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 10 days ago

        I value the chips as follows:

        BB - 15 points
        TC - 10 points
        FH - 25 points

    2. Pukkipartyy
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Same as Triple C. U will maybe gain 10pts.

      1. PompeyUpNorth!
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 10 days ago

        Nah. Don’t agree personally...

      2. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 10 days ago

        Yeah but that has no hidden costs, you're not making different transfers or something just to TC, it's just a direct bonus

    3. Jambot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      As someone who doesn't like to leave money on my bench it's an annoying chip for me. I like to wildcard out of it not into it so I can re-balance my funds. I saw a lot of posts about playing it on the week to get the most points from the chip that didn't factor in the sacrifices before and after. It's about optimising your points for the season not the chip and if you are going to use multiple transfer's on changing your bench players either side I agree it's overrated. Last season was amazing as we had unlimited transfers in the breal and then could wildcard straight out. I'd prefer a best 11 chip which put your worst 4 players on the bench automatically.

    4. HashAttack
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 days ago

      I played mine in the dgw and got 16 points - not great, but not a disaster and it's so nice that I don't have to plan for it anymore

      The reason I played it in the dgw was because it meant I was guaranteed to have 4 bench players - in a normal week it's reasonable to expect 1 or maybe 2 auto-subs (or a sub who doesn't get any game time)

  2. chrislt4
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    Tough one...

    Maddison or Barnes?

    Maddison in form & on set pieces, but Barnes seems to have so many attempts in the box

    1. PompeyUpNorth!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Barnes for me

    2. Shark Team
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      I'm going Maddison just because I pick players I love to watch and Maddison is one of them

    3. Tucker
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      I prefer Barnes personally. Data suggests his points are more sustainable.

    4. HashAttack
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 days ago

      Got for Barnes myself - think the fixtures favour him over Maddison

    5. ScoutHelp
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 9 days ago

      Barnes

  3. Feed tha Sheep
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    Which one?

    A. Adams > Watkins/Antonio (-4)
    B. Anguissa > Son/Grealish (-4)
    C. Play Adams

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      A

    2. Tucker
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      I'd go A and get Antonio in. I think he could cause anyone problems in his current form.

    3. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Adams-Antonio

  4. RVP 20
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    Bruno captain anyone?

    1. PompeyUpNorth!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Nah.. Sterling is the man this week..

      1. RVP 20
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 10 days ago

        Too bad i dont have him 🙂

      2. RVP 20
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 10 days ago

        Play up Pompey!

        1. PompeyUpNorth!
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 10 days ago

          Fair point and yes PUP!!

    2. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      I'm going Sterling. You got any city players

  5. evilfish
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    Adams > DCL (-4)?

    1. drughi
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      yeah

    2. PompeyUpNorth!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Yep

    3. Boleyn Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      I just asked the same question. Got 4 responses. All saying to do it!

    4. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      For sure

    5. evilfish
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Thanks chaps

  6. Ha.
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    Really struggling on who to bring in

    Gundo - form and fixture, but still feels a short term move
    Salah - due a goal, penalties, and Pool looking better. Safe.
    Mane - mane of the moment. Risky.
    Barnes - consistently ticking along, but feel like I need someone more explosive

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Gundog - furthest forward player for best team in league

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 10 days ago

        2 good fixtures and then Pool and Spurs

        1. Camzy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          5 years, 10 days ago

          Fixtures don't matter for Man City right now. They're all green.

          1. Stranger Mings
            • 5 Years
            5 years, 10 days ago

            -4 to get cancello worth the risk?

          2. Ha.
            • 10 Years
            5 years, 10 days ago

            It was only a couple of gameweeks ago and they were squeezing out 1-0 wins against Brighton and Southampton

        2. Fulchester's New Centr…
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 10 days ago

          Furthest forward player for best team in league and costs the same as Trossard or McNeil?

          1. Ha.
            • 10 Years
            5 years, 10 days ago

            Price not really an issue with all the premiums out or not performing

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Mane

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 10 days ago

        Always feel like Mane and Salah flip flop

        Mane had his good game, and now will revert to being wasteful

    3. Tucker
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      I'd take Gundogan for his next two, and then look to fit in one of either Salah or Mane when possible.

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 10 days ago

        Just feels like a hit if I'm only looking at the next 2

        I do not expect 14points from Gundo again this week, hopefully 8 or so...

  7. Shark Team
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    Loved that Maddison blank, he has a goal coming this weekend perfect time to bring him in

    1. Sterling Malory
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      I brought him in on WC over Grealish and JRod, both of which scored last week, so hope you're right.

      1. Shark Team
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 10 days ago

        Yeah I commented there on Monday that I'm not gonna bring him in for gw20 cause he is gonna blank and it happened so I'm gonna get him for Leeds and Fulham and I think he will get 2gls + 1assist in those two fixtures.

  8. Chief Break-Everything
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    Play Adams or Bamford?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Adams

    2. drughi
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      both will blank most likely but leeds still creating chances so bamford

  9. Miguel Sanchez
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    Thoughts here on GK and Captain choices?

    Areola
    Cancelo Stones Digne
    Bruno Rashford Son Gundogan (c) Soucek
    DCL Antonio

    Martinez Wilson Coufal Mitchell

    Martinez (sot)
    Areola (wba)

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Agree on both

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 10 days ago

        Ta

      2. nico05
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 10 days ago

        This

    2. drughi
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Any hits taken ? Team looks good

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 10 days ago

        Holding and Martial for Digne and DCL (-4)

    3. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      C Soucek, do you know something we don’t?

      Genius vs Crazy

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 10 days ago

        Captain Gundog - thought we put captain's armband to the right of a player's name

        1. g40steve
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 10 days ago

          Looks good I still have Foden 🙁

  10. PapaWengzz
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    Mane (c) locked in

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Nice pick

    2. PompeyUpNorth!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Good luck. Sterling me..

    3. drughi
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Great pick

    4. LSK
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Might join you

  11. nico05
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    Hi guys, little dilema....Do I play Callum Wilson or transfer out the injured Reguilon for a hit (also due to go down in value before the next game week)
    Cheers

    1. PompeyUpNorth!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Playing Wilson is fine imo

      1. nico05
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 10 days ago

        Thank you, i'll take Reguilon out next week was just wondering if it was worth a hit to save the 0.1 but i'll wait

        1. PompeyUpNorth!
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 10 days ago

          Defo not worth a hit to save .1 this season

          1. nico05
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            5 years, 10 days ago

            Cheers I think I'll hold this week

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Focus on Reg - Digne a good swap?

      1. nico05
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 10 days ago

        Would you do it for a hit this week then?

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 10 days ago

          Possibly - think Digne will get a 12 pointer this GW

  12. Tucker
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    4 players I want this week (Cancelo, Digne, Gundogan, DCL)

    3 players I'm willing to transfer out to get them (Zouma, Raphinha, Adams)

    Who goes, who stays, and how many hits (if any) do I take?

    My current thoughts are Zouma, Raphinha > Cancelo, Gundogan for a -4, but open to other suggestions!

  13. Jdpz
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    Dier to digne for a hit?

    1. Royal5
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      No

    2. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      No

    3. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Yes

  14. dshv
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    Who to play?

    1. Antonio or soucek
    2. Mccarthy or johnstone

    1. Tucker
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Antonio and Johnstone for me

  15. drughi
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    Coufal>Digne for a hit and play ahead of cresswell ?

    1. Jambot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 9 days ago

      Not for me with the hit factored in

  16. Nightcrawler
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    Guys opinions please

    A) Lewis ----> Cancelo (play maguire)

    B) Vardy ----> DCL (play maguire)

    C) both for -4 bench maguire

    1. Tucker
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      I think the hit could work quite well. Great immediate fixtures for Cancelo and DCL, and they'll be good long term: (C)

  17. Ronnies
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    Play 1;

    A) Justin - home to Leeds

    B) Antonio - home to Liverpool

    Cheers.

    1. PompeyUpNorth!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      B

    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      B definitely

  18. Muller Reus Corner
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    Should I do Kane to Werner as a punt?

    1. Rhodes your boat
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Was tempted here but risky!

      1. Muller Reus Corner
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 10 days ago

        I know it is but he could come good under Tuchel with the new manager swing!

    2. Lukakuna
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Unnecessary taking such risks imo, wait till he's played and looked decent before buying

    3. Tucker
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 days ago

      Risky, outside chance of paying off, but I think I'd personally go for one of Watkins, Antonio, or DCL.

  19. Rhodes your boat
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    Any news on Kane?

  20. g40steve
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    Any updated new on Kane, Mou mentioned both ankles?

  21. Camzy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    I'm surprisingly strong in my conviction to captain Cancelo this week.

    He's playing in midfield. He's creating loads, he has an almost guaranteed clean sheet vs SHU. If he gets another attacking return, he'll get BPs and get 10+. He might even get BPs even if it's a low scoring game with no attacking returns. I'll take 8 points right now very happily.

    I'm not sure Gundo other than penalties is substantially better for attacking than Cancelo. The clean sheet means Cancelo's floor is way higher, and the only thing left then is nailed-ness.

    It's a little bit of a concern, but I think Cancelo will most likely play this one and sit the next one if he does indeed need a rest.

    1. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      So did United last game, did not end well?
      Radical C choice.

      1. Camzy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        5 years, 9 days ago

        United defense is nothing like City's. I was not sure of that clean sheet for United at all. I am much more sure of a City one.

    2. mezza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      It’s the risk of a cameo that puts me off. If I knew he would stay in the bench if he was rested I would captain him.

    3. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Great post there Camzy, I was quite confidant in backing Sterling for captaincy but you've got me consider Cancelo now I agree with your points providing he starts he could be the smart punt

    4. FULLSERVICECOVER
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 9 days ago

      if he was nailed then 100% captain,but slight risk he rotates scares me off.

      1. Camzy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        5 years, 9 days ago

        Can't always play scared. They need deep midfield creativity. He offers something none of the other players can offer.

  22. GinjaWhinja
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    Going to have 9m in the bank this week. Can anyone top that?

    1. Lukakuna
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      My friends dad has got more than 30m in stocks

    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Not even Mike Ashley has that much in his bank

  23. Il Capitano
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    Captain:

    A) Son
    B) Cancelo
    C) Salah

    I'm swaying toward Salah for some reason

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      c. Mo is due a haul.

      1. Lukakuna
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 10 days ago

        Don't subscribe to the due logic, but wouldn't be surprised if Salah gets a haul this weekend

  24. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    asked earlier - Kane & Grealish > DCL & Stirling worth a - 4?

    or just do Kane > DCL?

    I have Gundo & Stones already

    Cheers

    1. Sterling Malory
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      I've just done Kane to DCL

    2. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Keep Grealish

    3. Tucker
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 days ago

      I wouldn't remove Grealish. Kane > DCL looks good though

      1. the dom 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 9 days ago

        should i wait till tomorrow?

  25. Sterling Malory
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    GTG?

    Areola
    Stones Cancelo Shaw
    Bruno Son Maddison Gundo Salah
    DCL Antonio
    Martinez Dallas Mitchell Brewster

    Not sure who to (C), thoughts?

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Very nice team. Gundogan the 'safe' option

  26. STONEROSES
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    Play Bamford or Soucek?

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Soucek for me

    2. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 10 days ago

      Bamford

    3. Lukakuna
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 days ago

      Pool defence in pieces so Soucek

  27. Bennyboy1907
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 10 days ago

    How’s it looking? On -4 atm, felt cheeky after 76 points this week
    Martinez
    Cancelo Stones Chillwell
    Salah Bruno Son Grealish Gundogan
    Antonio DCL

    Johnstone Bamford Dallas Coufal

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 9 days ago

      g2g, nice team

  28. Rhodes your boat
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 9 days ago

    How have Everton looked the last couple games?

    1. HashAttack
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 days ago

      Better than Newcastle or Leeds 🙂

    2. ScoutHelp
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 9 days ago

      If they have both Doucoure and Allan back they'll get back to their strongest form

  29. Bezdon
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 9 days ago

    Martinez
    Cancelo Coufal Stones
    Fernades Son Salah Grealish Gundo (c)
    Bamford Kane

    Bench: McCarthy, Bednarek, Fodder, Fodder

    A. Kane > DCL
    B. Kane > DCL & Bednarek > Digne -4 (Play digne)
    C. Kane > DCL & Bednarek > Digne & Bamford > Antonio -8

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 9 days ago

      Would side with B and start Digne over Coufal

      1. Bezdon
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 9 days ago

        Thanks mate, that's the option I was leaning towards. Appreciate it!

  30. G Banger
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 9 days ago

    Play one of these please: 🙂

    A) Dallas
    B) Coufal
    C) Holding