Spot the Differential

Three budget FPL differentials to consider for Gameweek 13 and beyond

Gameweek 13 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned and somewhat unfashionable picks at Watford, Brighton and Hove Albion and Burnley who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

JOSHUA KING

  • FPL ownership: 4.1%
  • Price: £5.6m
  • GW13-17 fixtures: lei | CHE | MCI | bre | bur

Joshua King (£5.6m) has slotted seamlessly into Watford’s attack this season, and has particularly impressed following the arrival of Claudio Ranieri.

Despite a disappointing loan spell at Everton last term, where he could only find 138 Premier League minutes, he has since thrived as the Hornets main centre-forward. Prior to Ranieri’s appointment, he assisted three times against Norwich City and Newcastle United, and has followed that up with four goals in four games under the Italian, including a hat-trick at Goodison Park. It could have been more, too, as he won the opening penalty against Manchester United last weekend, only for Ismaila Sarr (£6.0m) to miss.

Notably, over the last four Gameweeks no player in any position – not even Mohamed Salah (£13.0m) – can better him for goal attempts (17) or big chances (seven), while only the Egyptian has more penalty box touches in that time.

Life at Vicarage Road has been anything but dull since Ranieri’s arrival. In his five games in charge, Watford have scored nine goals and conceded 10, with a visit to a Leicester City side up next who have failed to keep a single clean sheet since the opening day. In fact, the Foxes’ 21 goals conceded is the joint-third worst in the division, while the expected goals (xG) tally is only slightly better. The schedule to follow is admittedly tough, but eases from Gameweek 16 onwards, with games against Brentford (a), Burnley (a), Crystal Palace (h), Wolverhampton Wanderers (a) and West Ham United (h) before the end of the year.

King has delivered a string of impressive displays of late, and given his appealing longer-term schedule, could be the pick of the budget forwards over the festive period.

TARIQ LAMPTEY

Why Duffy was benched and Foden’s fine form: FPL notes from Brighton v Man City 2
  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £4.4m
  • GW13-17 fixtures: LEE | whu | sou | TOT | WOL

Tariq Lamptey (£4.4m) has been Brighton and Hove Albion’s stand-out performer since returning from injury, and was unlucky not to get on the scoresheet against Aston Villa last weekend, when he was denied by a fine save from Emiliano Martinez (£5.5m).

The youngster was substituted late on, with Villa scoring twice soon after his departure, as Graham Potter continues to manage his recovery following his long-term hamstring problem. As a result, he surely won’t start every game in December, but providing you have a strong bench, it shouldn’t be too much of an issue, especially given his budget price tag.

Lamptey’s positioning since returning from injury has been hugely encouraging, playing very far up the right flank and often hugging the touchline. Because of that, since making his first start in Gameweek 11, amongst all defenders, only Reece James (£6.1m) and Ben Chilwell (£6.0m) have touched the ball more often in the opponent’s penalty area, with his four shots in the box only bettered by Chelsea’s wing-backs and team-mate Antonio Rudiger (£5.9m).

Albion now face a Leeds United side who have struggled in attack all season, scoring just seven Premier League goals in seven games in the absence of Patrick Bamford (£7.7m). Encouragingly, for those considering investing, their meeting with Marcelo Bielsa’s side marks a reasonably favourable run, too, with matches against Southampton (a), Wolverhampton Wanderers (h) and Brentford (h) in the coming weeks.

Lamptey has been a real threat down the wing for Brighton in recent matches, and with an ownership of just 0.8%, could be an effective defensive differential.

CHRIS WOOD

Scout Notes 4
  • FPL ownership: 1.3%
  • Price: £6.7m
  • GW13-17 fixtures: TOT | wol | new | WHU | WAT

Chris Wood (£6.7m) may have had a slow start to the season, but has now netted two goals in his last three appearances.

The New Zealand international has been a model of consistency since joining Burnley from Leeds United back in August 2017, scoring at least 10 goals in each of his four top-flight campaigns.

This season, he has posted team-leading totals for goal attempts, shots in the box, efforts on target, big chances and penalty area touches, while his performances over the last three Gameweeks have helped his team beat Brentford and take points from in-form Chelsea and Crystal Palace. That’s coincided with Wood and Maxwel Cornet (£6.1m) being paired together up front, a period which has seen Sean Dyche’s side score more goals than any other team bar Liverpool.

Looking ahead to Gameweek 13, Wood could find some joy against a Tottenham Hotspur backline which is still adapting to a new style of play under Antonio Conte, while fixtures to follow against Wolverhampton Wanderers (a), Newcastle United (a), West Ham United (h) and Watford (h) offer further encouragement that he can kick-on.

Burnley appear to have moved up a gear in recent weeks, with more confidence on the ball, and given that Wood has scored two in his last three, could be a nice differential pick for our frontlines.

1,032 Comments Post a Comment
  1. OleGGMU
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Current XI
    Guaita
    James, Taa(c), Cancelo
    Salah, ESR, Cornet, Mbeumo, Gallagher
    Kane, Toney
    Bench: Steele, Antonio, Livra, Duffy
    0 FT
    3.3 itb

    Looking for a bit of advice here lads
    Am i g2g or play antonio in place of mbeumo?

    Potential transfers in mind would be
    A) Mbeumo --> Bernardo
    B) Antonio --> Benteke/Werner
    C) Duffy ---> Reguilon/Rudiger (play 4 at the back this gw)
    D) Mbeumo +Antonio ---> Gilmour + CR7
    E) Mbeumo + Antonio ---> Mane + Gelhardt

    Any advice or alternative transfers would be greatly appreciated
    Thanks

    1. FPL Pillars
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Mbeumo > Jota?

      1. OleGGMU
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Jota has been in my thinking but I like to look at alternatives to the apparent Jota Bandwagon to see if I could cede to the bandwagon or go elsewhere. The Benteke move tbh is most tempting but the sight of triple Palace does not sit well wiv me

        Any thoughts on Werner?

  2. FantasyHero
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    With chilwell injured. Should I go for ragullion till gw16 and then get chelsea defender ? Or get rudiger now?

  3. lilmessipran
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Bench one -

    A Raph
    B Antonio
    C Lamptey

    1. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      C

  4. gellinmagellan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Start 2:

    A) White vs NEW
    B) Saka vs NEW
    C) Antonio vs mci

    1. FPL Pillars
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      BC

    2. Dynamic Duos
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

    3. Dynamic Duos
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Oh and C

    4. gellinmagellan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Thanks!

    5. FITZ-G
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B and C

    6. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      BC

  5. Dynamic Duos
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Thoughts on this team please?

    Sanchez
    TAA Cancelo Tierney
    Salah(c) Son Jota Gallagher
    Jesus Jimenez Toney

    Foster Chilwell Livramento Sissoko

    1. tommo1989
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Any free transfers?

      1. Dynamic Duos
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        No

    2. FITZ-G
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Looks good to me.

  6. tommo1989
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Unsure on my bench order - any advice please?

    Sanchez
    TAA James Reguilon
    Salah (c) Son Foden Smith Rowe
    Aubameyang Toney Jimenez

    Steele Emerson Royal Gallagher Livramento

    1. Dynamic Duos
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Gallagher 1st, he will come in for Foden

      1. tommo1989
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Would you be at all tempted to play Reguilon and Emerson Royal?

        1. Dynamic Duos
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          No and tbh I would play Gallagher over ESR actually

  7. kysersosa
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    3 points behind my ML for the monthly prize, 2 FT and 1.7ITB. what to do

    Rams
    TAA, Cancelo, James, Christiansen
    (S)alah, Mount, ESR, Raph
    Kane, Toney

    Foster, Armstrong, Liv, Brownhill

    Was planning Mount to Jota and Christensen to Chilwell.

    A) Christensen to Alonso
    B) Toney to Jiminez
    C) Mount to Jota
    D) other

    I can do A and C together without a hit

    TIA

    1. FITZ-G
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A and C if it was me. B would be
      too short term as Jimenez’s fixtures turn sour soon.

  8. BIG TONES
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Antonio to Benteke for a differential?

    Also frees up some cash...

    1. OleGGMU
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      this is something Im considering, but fearful of doubling up on Palace as I have Gallagher too

      1. BIG TONES
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        I probably wouldn't double up. But I own neither, so might go for it. Benteke or Pukki for two weeks I'm tossing up

    2. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Yes. I'd really like Benteke in, but other fires to put our for bow. Think he's worth the punt

    3. FITZ-G
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Been considering this move to free up finds but have value tied up in Antonio plus have been holding for fixture swing in GW18.

      1. BIG TONES
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Yeah I see what you mean, but just can't Antonio doing much against City and Chelsea. Brighton no pushovers either.

        May even look at Bowen or Fornals instead when the fixtures move.

        1. FITZ-G
          • 2 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Yea I can’t see him doing much either I’m just hoping for some luck or change in form from him. I was actually planning to swap him for Benteke and transfer in Bowen for West Ham cover for the fixture swing so not a bad idea.

  9. drughi
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Every team I see on here got toney, How come ?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Fooled by the early stats and ended up being poor for the good fixture run, maybe due to missing Raya

      1. Bennerman
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Because of missing the goalkeeper? What convoluted FFS Scout theory is this?

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Raya's distribution to quickly start attacks has been sorely missed

          1. Bennerman
            • 5 Years
            2 years, 4 months ago

            Right, I see.

            This does sound like pure hipster football analysis to me, perfect for FFS people to lap up and promulgate, but without looking into it myself I won't gainsay it outright.

  10. Milk, 1 Šuker
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    I’m seriously thinking of getting rid of Son even after one week of getting him. So much to invest for little return.

    1. BIG TONES
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Surely you hold for bur, BRE, NOR

      Would be a rage transfer if you binned now imo

      1. Dynamic Duos
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Let him do it, doesn't deserve him

      2. Milk, 1 Šuker
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        I don’t know! Think Burnley might do Spurs and keep it tight against weary oppo

        1. BIG TONES
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Potentially, but Spurs could still lose/draw and Son gets points. Will be interesting to see how the team develops under Conte though.

    2. drughi
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Gotta keep for the next 3

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I guess you should keep in mind that was spurs B team and Burnley are missing Tark and Westwood at the weekend

      1. Bennerman
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        True, but another thing to keep in mind is Burnley have had a full week off whereas Spurs will be on the draining Thursday-Sunday shift

  11. FPLBRAH
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Help much appreciated! Have no clue how to use my 2 FTs, 0 4 ITB. Any thoughts?

    Sanchez
    TAA Cancelo James Reguilon
    Salah Son ESR Raphina
    Vardy Antonio

    Subs: Foster Mbeumo Tsimikas Scarlett

    Would you sort out the dead wood on the bench (Tsimikas / Scarlett) or maybe take out Antonio for a more in form striker?

    Thanks!

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Downgrade one of the fwds for funds

      1. FPLBRAH
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        If I downgrade a forward where would you use the funds out of curiosity?

      2. Farteta
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        vardy to Jimi

  12. Catalan Rangers
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Coady and Edouard to Cancelo and Broja for -8?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      No

    2. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      No

  13. Nightf0x
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Sanchez (foster)
    Matip rudi cancelo taa (white)
    Town mbeumo salah raph
    Vardy jimi (antonio)

    Which?

    A) town to bsilva/mora/galagher
    B) town mbeumo -4 to bsilva/mora galagher
    C) matip to james/reglion/davies/alonso
    D) matip town -4 to jota/bsilva reglion/davies or moura alonso/reglion/davies

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Matip to James and start Antonio ahead of Townsend

  14. MaRooney 5
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Any worth a hit:

    Rams, Foster
    Cancelo, James, Livra, Manqui, TAA
    Foden, Gallagher, Salah, Son, Mbeumo
    Vardy, Hwang, Broja?

    0 FT, 0.1m ITB
    Thanks in advance!

  15. Slitherene
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Bench which ONE?

    A) Dennis
    B) Rudiger
    C) Gallagher
    D) Mbeumo

    1. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

  16. FITZ-G
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    I would just stick to A) Town to Gallagher for GW13.

    If you really feeling risky then I would do D) Matip Townsend to Jota and Reg

  17. ajk1211
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Ramsdale (Foster)
    James TAA Cancelo Duffy (Liv)
    Foden Mo Gallagher (Townsend, Brownhl)
    Toney Kane Jimi

    Worth a -4 to bring in ESR for Townsend and go 343?

  18. BIG TONES
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Bench one:

    A) Saka (NEW)
    B) Raphinha (bha)
    C) Wilson (ars)

  19. Erez Avni
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    What would you do?

    Ramsdale
    TAA Rudy Cancelo White
    Salah Raphi Foden Son Mbuemo
    Jimenez

    Foster Antonio Livra Broja

    A. Foden to Jota
    B. Foden & White to James & Gallagher (-4)

  20. SAKA AND EMILE SMITH ROWE
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Chilwell to Alonso for this GW? Or roll the FT and bring in James next week when I have the funds?

    1. Pompel
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I don't know about wairing a week on James - every chance he gets rested against Watford, and you could also miss out on his haul against a lacklustre United defence + a couple of price hikes

    2. FPL_Crisis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Tricky one. Is he your only Chelsea player?
      If they get another cs then your rank falls. Would Alonso stop you from getting James the week after. I'd still want Reece over Alonso

      1. Bennerman
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Why does his rank fall if Chelsea don't concede? No-one has any idea what anyone else scores this weekend, and what any combination of players might score overall. Could get 120 without any Chelsea defender and climb significantly.

        Why do people state this sort of thing as fact?

        1. FPL_Crisis
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Ok I'll update my comment to read rank *likely falls if Chelsea do well and you have none of their players.
          We're at a point where majority of teams have Salah + strong backline + Foden/Jota + mids who are performing.

          Like last week for me, I only owned Chilwell and team scored 61 but got a red arrow because many other teams had Reece + Rudiger/Chilwell.

          1. Bennerman
            • 5 Years
            2 years, 4 months ago

            Now that's fine by me

  21. BENOIT
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    In a draft league, I'm next up on the waiver.

    Both Raphina and Rudiger are available...which would you prioritise?

  22. RamboRN
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Sanchez foster
    TAA rudiger cancelo James livra
    Salah son ESR mbeumo bissouma
    Vardy Antonio ASM

    2ft 0m itb. Any changes? Feel like letting a transfer go to waste as still have faith in vardy and antonio over the coming weeks.

  23. matiakez
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Things seem to have unravelled here pretty quick here;

    Ramsdale Foster
    Chilwell TAA Cancelo Reguillon Livra
    Salah Saka Mbuemo Havertz Brownhill
    Antonio Armstrong Kane

    Any advice? 0.1 ITB and only one FT. Think I'll lose both Havertz and Chilwell but the Armstrong injury is a pain.

    1. FPL_Crisis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      It's Stuart Armstrong (midfielder) who is injured not Adam Armstrong (forward)

      Would recommend these moves for -4
      Havertz to Jota
      Chilwell to James

  24. Will J 256
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Thoughts on this -4?
    Edouard and Chilwell to Pukki and R James?

  25. No Professionals
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Are any of these to cancelo worth a hit?

    A) white
    B) Dias
    C) livramento

    Or, which one for a hit

    1. FPL_Crisis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      The hit will pay off in the coming weeks so simple answer is YES
      Take your pick. White/Livra are good bench options especially during busy schedule coming up so would move Dias to Cancelo (a move I made for free earlier this week)

    2. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Yes you need him for the rest of the season, so just chop Livra and be done with it.

  26. Pompel
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Gilmour at 4.4 (NOR) - will he be reasonably nailed going forward?

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      i think so

      1. Pompel
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Would be my "magic bean" to find those extra 0.1 for James

        1. Ajax Hamsterdam
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          haha not in your starting 11 though !

  27. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    a hazertz and foden to jota and b silva for free this week to allow laporte to cancelo next week

    or

    b havertz and laporte to gallagher and cancelo for free this week

    thanks

    1. Jebiga
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      a

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        cheers

  28. jimmy.floyd
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    A Toney Chilly to Benteke James (-4)
    B Chilly to Alonso

  29. Jebiga
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Who is more important Reguelion or Alonso ?

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      depends on chilwell injury i suppose. reguilon possibly

    2. Dr. Rog
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      the Chelsea LWB position has yielded 93 points thus far making it the 2nd highest point scorer in the game.

    3. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Alonso … it’s not even a contest if Chilly is out long term.

  30. Mr Johnson
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Would you do:

    White, Mbuemo, Foden and Antonio to Alonso, B.Silva, Jota and King for -12. Have exact money.

    1. Bennerman
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I wouldn't personally, pretty emphatically

    2. Dr. Rog
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      no.

    3. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      God no.