Spot the Differential
10 December 2021 1458 comments
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Gameweek 16 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Everton, West Ham United and Manchester United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

ABDOULAYE DOUCOURE

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: cry | che | LEI | bur | NEW

Abdoulaye Doucoure (£5.4m) has impressed under Rafael Benitez this season, bagging two goals and four assists in just 11 starts. As a result, the 28-year-old is averaging 4.6 points per match, which is more than team-mate Demarai Gray (£5.5m) and only fractionally below Jarrod Bowen’s (£6.5m) 4.7 total.

Having missed a run of four matches from Gameweek 9 onwards with a broken metatarsal, he has since returned to Everton’s engine room alongside Allan (£4.5m). During that period, he has registered six shots in the box, a figure only Diogo Jota (£8.0m), Mohamed Salah (£13.1m), Hakim Ziyech (£7.3m) and Gabriel Martinelli (£5.2m) can better amongst all midfielders.

The Toffees have been plagued with injury problems all season, with some of their most influential players – including Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) – all spending time on the sidelines at various points. However, the crisis does now seem to be easing, which coincided with an important 2-1 win over Arsenal on Monday night, when Doucoure was a little unfortunate not to produce an assist, with Richarlison’s (£7.4m) goal from his pass narrowly ruled out for offside by VAR.

Now, they take on a Crystal Palace side who have had real issues defending set-pieces in 2021/22, which could be good news for Doucoure, one of Everton’s key aerial threats, while between Gameweeks 18-26, they sit top of our Season Ticker for ease of fixture.

Doucoure was predominantly used in a deeper midfield role last season, but has thrived after being handed more attacking responsibility by his new manager, and could be an effective differential in the coming weeks.

VLADIMIR COUFAL

Is it time to sell Antonio and Benrahma in FPL? 5
  • FPL ownership: 3.9%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: bur | ars | NOR | SOU | wat

Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) has been a solid performer for West Ham United since joining from Slavia Prague in 2020, and is now back in the starting XI after losing his spot through injury and the fine form of Ben Johnson (£4.0m).

The right-back has now started back-to-back Premier League matches, which has seen the Hammers beat Chelsea and draw with Brighton and Hove Albion. During that time, amongst all team-mates, only Jarrod Bowen and Michail Antonio (£7.9m) have attempted more shots in the box, while his three successful crosses is a team-leading total. That’s important, too, given that this weekend’s opponents Burnley have allowed 184 crosses from their left flank this season, at least 18 more than any other side.

This season alone, David Moyes’ team have managed league victories over Liverpool, Chelsea and Tottenham Hotspur, while they are also through to the last-16 of the UEFA Europa League after topping their group. Now, they have the opportunity to kick-on, with one of the kindest fixture schedules on offer, with games against Burnley, Norwich City, Southampton and Watford before the end of the year. In fact, they will face only one side currently nestled in the top six right up until March.

Having dropped £0.3m from his initial starting price, Coufal now offers a cheap route into West Ham’s defence, and could be a solid set-and-forget option given their appealing fixtures.

HARRY MAGUIRE

  • FPL ownership: 4.9%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: nor | bre | BHA | new | BUR

Harry Maguire (£5.4m) has endured a difficult start to the season at Manchester United, but the appointment of Ralf Rangnick could prove a turning point.

In his first game in charge, the German tactician opted for a 4-2-2-2 formation, with Scott McTominay (£5.4m) and Fred (£4.9m) effectively screening the back four. As a result, United conceded just eight shots and 0.75 expected goals (xG), while they also kept their first Old Trafford clean sheet since all the way back in April, ending a run of 15 games without one there.

As for Maguire, he remained assured and composed throughout, with his distribution from the back particularly impressive. In fact, the England international played 15 successful passes into the final third on Sunday, more than any other player on the pitch, which could be key moving forward, with a new, more direct approach being implemented.

The schedule should also allow Maguire to thrive. On paper, the fixtures for Rangnick’s first couple of months are about as good as it gets, especially in December, with no matches against the current top six to worry about. Looking further ahead, it’s notable just how appealing that run is, right through until March, with just one game against West Ham United the only red blob on our Season Ticker.

With uncertainty around who will be United’s long-term first-choice full-backs, Maguire could be a solid under the radar pick, with an ability to contribute points at both ends of the pitch.

  1. JONALDINHO
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Made my first early transfer of the season doing Toney -> King to gain 0.2 TV. Contemplating Son and Jota ->Mane and Bowen (-4) now when I could’ve done it for free.

    1. waltzingmatildas
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Going without ronaldo? I quite like it....

  2. WhatWouldYourZlatanSay
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Ramsdale

    James-TAA-Cancelo-Tomiyasu
    Salah-Gallagher-Bernardo-Foden
    Vardy-King

    (Sanchez/ Livra-Maupay-Kovacic)

    1ft left, 0.2 itb.

    A. Keep that FT because Lord knows I might need it next week and hope at least one of Vardy or Foden plays.
    B. Foden > Bowen
    C. Kovacic> Henderson or Fred for a stronger bench.

    Cheers.

  3. akhilrajau
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    De gea, Benchman
    TAA, James, Cancelo, White, Williams
    Salah, Jota, BSilva, Bowen, Brownhill
    CR7, King, Dennis
    Bank: 0.1m

    As jota injured final suggestions

    A. Jota, Brownhill, Dennis -> Mount, Gray/doucoure, Broja
    B. Jota, Brownhill, Dennis -> Mount, Saka, Locardia
    C. Jota is fine to put in bench

  4. Tinydancer
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Sanchez / Steele / Reg / Kane / Jota / Bissouma Owner ...........

    Also have Raphinha and Jiminez I want to get rid of. Not sure if I should FH or just take a -4 and field 9 or whatever.

    Will spurs game midweek go ahead? any news on that?

  5. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Thoughts here with 1ft and 0.4m itb

    Ramsdale
    Taa Cancelo James Alonson --- Livramento
    Salah Jota Gundog Raphinha Mbeumo
    Ronaldo Toney

    A: Raphinha >> Bowen.....and Alonso/Toney >> Dalot/Antonio (-4) in 17. but means Liv comes if jota doesnt play
    B: Alonso + Toney >> Dalot + Antonio (-4)....then Raphinha >> Bowen in gw17

  6. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Toney Son to King Bowen and GTG ?

    Bit afraid of no United and Vardy could not be starting

    Rambo
    TAA/Cancelo/James/Alonso
    Salah(c)/Son*/Gallagher/Mbeumo
    Vardy/Toney*

    Foster/Raph/4.4/Duffy

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Yep that should be fine

  7. Miro
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Chances of Mount being rested ? He played full 90 mid week.

    1. CostaCoffee
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Very little chance

    2. Jonny HOW SON?
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      I'd say slim

    3. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      He will start.

    4. vova
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      slim to none

    5. Miro
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      thanks

  8. Disco Stu
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Is there a way to see who your next opponent is in Cup matches?

  9. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Zero ITB and already used my FT.

    A - Take -8 hit and do Son & Sanchez > Bowen & Ramsdale
    B - Just take -4 hit and do Son > Bowen and go without GK
    C - No hits, let Gilmour come in for Son and have no GK

    Sanchez
    TAA - James - Cancelo - Livra
    Salah (c) - Son - Jota - Bilva
    Antonio - Wilson

    Foster - Gilmour - Duffy - Perica

  10. Scholes Out For Summer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Currently with this team, with no money in the bank and FT used.

    Sanchez*
    TAA - Cancelo - Alonso - White
    Salah - Jota* - Gundo - Bernardo
    CR7 - King
    Foster* - Toney* - Livra - Brownhill

    Waiting on Liverpool training pictures, but if Jota is out again, does Jota + Foster --> Bowen + Bachman (-8) look good?

    leaves enough money to upgrade Toney to Watkins next week. Could also upgrade Sanchez to DDG in the move, but not enough money to upgrade Toney to Watkins or Antonio for the week after

  11. Judders
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Worth a further 4 point hit to take Sanchez out for Ramsdale?

    1. sulldaddy
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Who is your other GK? Generally Id avoid hits for keepers

      1. Judders
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        Hi thanks for the reply. My other keeper is Foster so he'll be out over the Christmas period.

        1. sulldaddy
          • 15 Years
          4 years, 2 months ago

          Can you do Foster to Ramsdale?
          Sanchez should be back next game

  12. Ronnies
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Best option;

    A) Play Raphinha
    B) Sell to Bowen (-4)

    Cheers.

    1. xHaTr
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      B

    2. fricky_
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Would be B for me

    3. sulldaddy
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      B

    4. MJF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      I'd go A and get Bowen next week. Raphinha could easily given Alonso a torrid time.

    5. Forgetmeknot
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      He has newc next week…

      1. Forgetmeknot
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        Ignore that, was meant for a Jota question but can’t even see where now

  13. fricky_
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Sanchez & Duffy> Dalot & DDG for a hit worth it?

    1. TSN
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      yes

  14. TSN
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    dennis or king?

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      King

  15. afs2239
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Bottomed

    What to do here?!!!!

    Rams
    Livra TAA Alonso
    ESR salah (C) foden Son
    Benteke Hwang wilson
    Bego Reguilon Ben johnson cornet

    1. Judders
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Hwang to King

  16. Traction Engine Foot
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    I already did Son and Sanchez to Silva and DDG. With the Jota news, good to go or do Benrahma to Bowen/ Toney to King for -4?

    DDG
    TAA Cancelo Rudiger James
    Bernardo Jota Salah Raphinha
    Antonio Dennis

    Steele Benrahma Livramento Toney

  17. Valar(Keith)
    • 16 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Would you rather
    A) DDG + Sanchez + Bowen
    Or
    B) Bachmann + Sanchez + Bilva

    Rest of Team is
    _____ Sanchez
    Cancelo Taa rudiger alonso livra
    Salah esr gallagher gray _____
    Ronaldo Antonio Dennis

    Got 2 Fts.

    I also have my WC so this will just be temporary to get Me through Christmas. Will play my WC post boxing Day.

  18. v3n0m
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    1) Vardy + Alonso -> Ronaldo + Dalot
    2) Vardy + Saka -> Ronaldo + Fred
    3) Saka -> Bowen

    1. EmreCan Hustle
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      3

    2. fricky_
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      3

  19. Futureform
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    AFCON - does anyone know the 1st game week it will affect?

  20. EmreCan Hustle
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Would you still start Jota and ESR over King?

    1. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      No

      1. EmreCan Hustle
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers. I am probably going to bench Jota.

        1. Amartey Partey
          • 6 Years
          4 years, 2 months ago

          I’ve got Dennis and expecting Watford to score quite a few today.

  21. The Mighty Hippo
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    What's my best option here? 1FT and zero in the bank.

    Ramsdale
    TAA James Cancelo Alonso
    Salah Bowen Jota ESR
    Vardy Antonio
    -----------------------
    Foster Raphinha Regulion Scarlett

    a) Jota to Silva (free transfer)
    b) Start with Jota (Raphinha only playing sub)

  22. as33
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    This GW which 1 to pick Mount or Jota?

    1. TSN
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      mount

    2. Forgetmeknot
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Mount

  23. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Which one?

    A = -4 team

    DDG
    TAA. Cancelo. Alonso
    Salah. Jota. Raph. ESR
    Ronaldo. Antonio. King
    (Foster. White. Livra. Gilmour)

    B = WC

    DDG
    TAA. Cancelo. James
    
Salah. Bernardo. Bowen. ESR
    Ronaldo. Antonio. King
    (3.9, Dalot, Livra, Gilmour)

    1. Water_Pink
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      A

  24. claretparrot
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    City midfield 3 tomorrow?

    Based on midweek line-up Rodri & Bilva are nailed on. I think Gundo takes the third spot ahead of KdB. Any advance?

  25. sulldaddy
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Well I took a -4 to get here and dont want any more hits.
    Ramsdale
    Cancelo, Dalot, Livramento, James
    ESR, Salah, Jota, Bowen
    Antonio, Dennis

    Sanchez, JWP, Toney, Lamptey
    7.2 ITB

    Only though is Toney >>Ronaldo but pushes me to -8

    Any thoughts?

    1. Water_Pink
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      8 is a big hit

  26. AC Pilkington
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    If you have to start one this GW?

    a) Broja

    b) Livramento

    1. Forgetmeknot
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Probably b just because you know he will start

    2. fricky_
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Broja

    3. Miro
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      a

    4. sulldaddy
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      B

    5. Jonny HOW SON?
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      A

    6. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      A

  27. Forgetmeknot
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    I’m comfortable keeping Jota as he has newc next week but who to start this week;

    A) Jota (Wol)
    B) Raph (che)

  28. A Team Of James McCleans
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Currently down to 9 players with one FT available and 2.0ITB. What do

    Sanchez! (Steele)
    TAA James Cancelo White (Reguilon!)
    Salah Gallagher Raphina Jota! (Normann!)
    Vardy Dennis (Toney!)

    What do

    1. sulldaddy
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Sell Toney for Wilson?

  29. Miro
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    A) Toney -> King, play Tomiyasu + Livra
    B) Toney -> King, Jota -> Mount / Bilva (-4), play Tomiyasu, bench Livra
    C) Toney -> King, Jota -> Mount / Bilva, Regulion -> James (-8), bench Tomiyasu + Livra

  30. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    are poeple selling jota? should probably miss one game at most, right?

    1. fricky_
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Not selling yet

    2. JONALDINHO
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Firmino back though so limited minutes

    3. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Not selling

    4. Forgetmeknot
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Feels like a knee jerk sell to me. Doesn’t seem a serious injury and has newc next week