Spot the Differential
10 December 2021 1458 comments
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Gameweek 16 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Everton, West Ham United and Manchester United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

ABDOULAYE DOUCOURE

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: cry | che | LEI | bur | NEW

Abdoulaye Doucoure (£5.4m) has impressed under Rafael Benitez this season, bagging two goals and four assists in just 11 starts. As a result, the 28-year-old is averaging 4.6 points per match, which is more than team-mate Demarai Gray (£5.5m) and only fractionally below Jarrod Bowen’s (£6.5m) 4.7 total.

Having missed a run of four matches from Gameweek 9 onwards with a broken metatarsal, he has since returned to Everton’s engine room alongside Allan (£4.5m). During that period, he has registered six shots in the box, a figure only Diogo Jota (£8.0m), Mohamed Salah (£13.1m), Hakim Ziyech (£7.3m) and Gabriel Martinelli (£5.2m) can better amongst all midfielders.

The Toffees have been plagued with injury problems all season, with some of their most influential players – including Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) – all spending time on the sidelines at various points. However, the crisis does now seem to be easing, which coincided with an important 2-1 win over Arsenal on Monday night, when Doucoure was a little unfortunate not to produce an assist, with Richarlison’s (£7.4m) goal from his pass narrowly ruled out for offside by VAR.

Now, they take on a Crystal Palace side who have had real issues defending set-pieces in 2021/22, which could be good news for Doucoure, one of Everton’s key aerial threats, while between Gameweeks 18-26, they sit top of our Season Ticker for ease of fixture.

Doucoure was predominantly used in a deeper midfield role last season, but has thrived after being handed more attacking responsibility by his new manager, and could be an effective differential in the coming weeks.

VLADIMIR COUFAL

Is it time to sell Antonio and Benrahma in FPL? 5
  • FPL ownership: 3.9%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: bur | ars | NOR | SOU | wat

Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) has been a solid performer for West Ham United since joining from Slavia Prague in 2020, and is now back in the starting XI after losing his spot through injury and the fine form of Ben Johnson (£4.0m).

The right-back has now started back-to-back Premier League matches, which has seen the Hammers beat Chelsea and draw with Brighton and Hove Albion. During that time, amongst all team-mates, only Jarrod Bowen and Michail Antonio (£7.9m) have attempted more shots in the box, while his three successful crosses is a team-leading total. That’s important, too, given that this weekend’s opponents Burnley have allowed 184 crosses from their left flank this season, at least 18 more than any other side.

This season alone, David Moyes’ team have managed league victories over Liverpool, Chelsea and Tottenham Hotspur, while they are also through to the last-16 of the UEFA Europa League after topping their group. Now, they have the opportunity to kick-on, with one of the kindest fixture schedules on offer, with games against Burnley, Norwich City, Southampton and Watford before the end of the year. In fact, they will face only one side currently nestled in the top six right up until March.

Having dropped £0.3m from his initial starting price, Coufal now offers a cheap route into West Ham’s defence, and could be a solid set-and-forget option given their appealing fixtures.

HARRY MAGUIRE

  • FPL ownership: 4.9%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW16-20 fixtures: nor | bre | BHA | new | BUR

Harry Maguire (£5.4m) has endured a difficult start to the season at Manchester United, but the appointment of Ralf Rangnick could prove a turning point.

In his first game in charge, the German tactician opted for a 4-2-2-2 formation, with Scott McTominay (£5.4m) and Fred (£4.9m) effectively screening the back four. As a result, United conceded just eight shots and 0.75 expected goals (xG), while they also kept their first Old Trafford clean sheet since all the way back in April, ending a run of 15 games without one there.

As for Maguire, he remained assured and composed throughout, with his distribution from the back particularly impressive. In fact, the England international played 15 successful passes into the final third on Sunday, more than any other player on the pitch, which could be key moving forward, with a new, more direct approach being implemented.

The schedule should also allow Maguire to thrive. On paper, the fixtures for Rangnick’s first couple of months are about as good as it gets, especially in December, with no matches against the current top six to worry about. Looking further ahead, it’s notable just how appealing that run is, right through until March, with just one game against West Ham United the only red blob on our Season Ticker.

With uncertainty around who will be United’s long-term first-choice full-backs, Maguire could be a solid under the radar pick, with an ability to contribute points at both ends of the pitch.

  1. youzef
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Buy Mount or Bernardo Silva
    My mid is Salah Jota Bowen saka

    1. FPL Emu
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Silva imo

    2. Saosin
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Silva all day

  2. FPL Emu
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    So Pep didn't give any info on Jesus' availability?

  3. Il Capitano
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    1FT 0.3m ITB

    Guaita
    TAA James Cancelo White
    Salah Son* Jota* ESR*
    Vardy King

    Foster - Livra Brownhill Toney*

    Son > Bernardo and hope for the best?

    1. Home Late From Age
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yes. And pray

  4. 1justlookin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Bowen or ESR to replace Son?

    1. Return of the FF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Is ESR fit to play?

    2. Bubbles1985
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Bowen

    3. Ephurion
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Bowen

  5. Christina.
    • 16 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Maguire
    lol

  6. Pringle
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Would you start Raphina or White?

    1. WHITE HORSES
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I am starting White.
      And thinking about benching or selling Raphinha.

    2. Optimus11
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Start White and sell Raphina

  7. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Rams
    Taa can rudi regi (lampty)
    Jota esr son salah bsilva
    Denis (watkins locadia)

    Which??

    A) regi son -4 to dalot rash/mount/bowen (gw17 jota-bowen gw18 locadia-antonio)
    B) jota son locadia -8 to ronaldo bowen 4.5 mid.
    C) jota son regi -8 to rash/mount bowen dalot

  8. BeWater
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    808k transfers in for Bernardo.
    760k transfers in for Dennis.

    I'm sat here with Gundogan and King.

    Will be interesting to see how this pans out.

    1. WHITE HORSES
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Like it !

  9. Bubbles1985
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    How does this look for -4?

    Foster, Son and ESR out
    DDG, Bowen and Mount in

    1. Home Late From Age
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Interesting. Mount is a very good option if he plays. And if he plays now, will he play the next GW?

  10. Henryyy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    What would you do here with 2FTs?

    Sanchez*
    Rudiger James Cancelo TAA
    Salah Son* Gallagher Jota
    Antonio Toney*

    Steele - Dennis Livramento Sissoko

    Thanks!

    1. FPL Equilibrium
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Just Play Dennis and Livra

    2. Return of the FF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Maybe sell Gallagher

  11. winchester
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    hey lads GTG or anything worth a hit? cheers.

    ramsdale
    taa - cancelo - james - livra
    salah(C) - bernardo - jota
    antonio - dennis - hwang

    (foster - gilmour - reguilon - son)

    1. FPL Equilibrium
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Gatag

    2. FPL Equilibrium
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      GTG even

      1. winchester
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        cheers, leading ML, so not worth taking a hit, even if Jota doesn't play? How long will spurs players be out?

  12. Kane Train
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Which one?

    A) D.Gray
    B) John McGinn
    C) Mbuemo

    1. FPL Equilibrium
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Gray

    2. FPL Equilibrium
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      GTG even

    3. Optimus11
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

  13. Dušan Citizen
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Would you go for Dalot or Maguire?

    1. fricky_
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Dalot no question

  14. FPL Equilibrium
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Afternoon guys

    Livra on the bench

    A)Son to Foden/Bernardo -4
    B) Play Livra

    1. Ephurion
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      If it looks like you have to take that hit in the coming GWs anyways, I'd rather do it now. If you're golden after this one go B

    2. Optimus11
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Son to Bernardo

  15. Optimus11
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Wildcard team, anything need changing?

    Ramsdale / Cabarello

    TAA James T.Silva White Livramento

    Mount Bernardo Salah Fred Gray

    Dennis Vardy Antonio

    Also who to bench? Fred White or Dennis

    1. fricky_
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Get Bowen for Fred

      1. Optimus11
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Sorry should have said no cash in the bank

        1. WHITE HORSES
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          So just buy 4.5 MID instead of Fred and save your cash for the future.

  16. dragonpowert
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Bachman (Lewis)
    James Cancelo Trent (Williams, Manquillo)
    Salah Jota BSilva Bowen (Bissouma)
    Antonio Ronaldo King
    0.1 ITB

    VS
    Sanchez (Bachmann)
    James Cancelo Trent Dias (Dalot)
    Salah Jota Bowen (Bissouma, Gilmour)
    Antonio Ronaldo King
    0.2 ITB

    Which is better on WC?

  17. fricky_
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Do we think Jesus will start?

    1. Optimus11
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      No

      1. FPL Emu
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Any reason for this?
        Only yellow flagged, no?

  18. chelseabrad
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Are either Raph > Bowen or Livra > Dalot worth a -4? Got 11 playing already..

    1. chelseabrad
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Will lose .1 on Raph dropping tonight, Dalot & Bowen look to be going up tonight too

  19. HD7
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    On -4 currently.

    Cornet news doesnt look good for this GW so should I:

    A) Take another -4 Cornet to Bowen/Gallagher

    B) Just play Livra and hope Cornet is ok for Watford midweek

    Ramsdale
    Trent Rudi Cancelo James
    Saka Salah Bernardo Cornet*
    Antonio Ronaldo

    Steele Livra Sissoko Scarlett

  20. Ephurion
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Start Jota or Dennis?

    1. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Jota. Even if benched then he won't come off if fitness concerns

    2. Arn De Gothia
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Jota seems a risk

  21. FPLtfs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Start two, bench one
    Esr
    Jota
    Foden

    1. 420king
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Jota because he's orangey.

    2. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Same dilemma for me ! At moment I am playing foden & jota & benching ESR but jota is orange!

  22. The Reptile
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    What was the news on ESR?

  23. v3n0m
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Start one:
    1) Bowen
    2) Dennis

  24. 420king
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Can someone give me an update on the Spurs situation: How likely it is that their next game is also postponed?

    1. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      nobody knows. not even levy or conte, so doubt anyone here can give you accurate info

      1. 420king
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        What about a good guess? Don't they have like 20 players out and quarantine is 10 days?

        1. Andy_Social
          • 13 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          You prefer uninformed opinions to actual facts? Guess you've come to the right place.

  25. Diddi89
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Hi all, 10k rank and not used wildcard.
    I am a arsenal fan and might not be objective here so help!
    GTG ?

    DDG
    Def: TAA | JAMES | ALONSO | CANCELO
    Mid: SALAH C | JOTA | GUNDO | Bsilva
    St: RONALDO | DENNIS

    BENCH: ESR, white and Perica.
    Should I start with ESR or white, for who (Dennis)?
    Believe on a CS and ESR at home so it is tempting to have them in XI

    Thanks.

  26. kobewan
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    if you had to choose, who would you transfer in?

    A. Silva
    B. Bowen
    C. Mount

    1. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      all three 🙂

      1. kobewan
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        lol.. can only have one, = transfer for Son

    2. 420king
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A if I had no City and Antonio.

      1. kobewan
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I have Cancelo and no Antonio

    3. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      a

      1. kobewan
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Is Silva one of the most nailed players in Pep's City

    4. HD7
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

  27. Better luck next year
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Current GW16 team

    Ramsdale
    Trent Cancelo Alonso James
    Salah Jota* Bernardo Mbeumo
    Toney* Vardy

    Foster Livra A. Armstrong Normann

    Best transfer option for -4?

    A) Toney or A. Armstrong > King or Dennis
    B) Normann > Bowen
    C) No transfer

    1. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

  28. Bobby Crush
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Need a decent defender for 5.5 or sell. To start in a 442.

    a) city - walker or laporte?
    b) west ham - leaky
    c) wolves - bad fixtures
    d) arsenal - leaking now
    e) other

    Currently pondering A.

    1. TKC07
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Dalot wagon

    2. Giovanni Giorgio
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Dalot maybe

    3. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Was considered, but want more time to see what Rang will do and how the team performs.

  29. osceola31909
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Any word on whether Spurs-Leicester will go ahead, and if so, whether Son will be available?

    1. chelseabrad
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Looked like it's off last I heard

  30. Dexters Laboratory
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Ramsdale
    TAA James Cancelo Alonso
    Salah(C) Foden Jota Gundo
    CR7 King

    Foster ESR Liv Davis

    Benching the right players?