Spot the Differential
1 April 2022 477 comments
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Double Gameweek 31 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Manchester United, Liverpool and Everton, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

JADON SANCHO

Leeds’ defence, Sancho’s form, Barnes injury latest: FPL notes
  • FPL ownership: 2.8%
  • Price: £8.9m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: LEI | eve | NOR + liv | ars | BRE

Jadon Sancho (£8.9m) endured a slow start to his career at Manchester United following his summer move from Borussia Dortmund but has improved dramatically since the turn of the year.

In his last six matches, the winger has netted two goals and supplied three assists, blanking in just one of his five starts in that period. Notably, no midfielder has racked up more attacking returns, while he also leads the way amongst teammates for points, bonus points and points per start. His shot volume in that time isn’t significant (just nine have arrived in the box), but the quality of those attempts have been good, with three deemed ‘big chances’ by Opta.

Now, out of all cup competitions at home and abroad, United are one of three top-seven sides who are free to concentrate solely on league matches between now and the end of the season. They face struggling Everton and Norwich City soon, along with two clubs who have packed schedules over the coming two months, Leicester City and Liverpool.

Despite recent improvements, Gameweek 31 opponents Leicester have only managed one clean sheet on the road all season, while the advanced positioning of James Justin (£4.9m) and Timothy Castagne (£5.3m) last time out suggests Sancho could get some joy in behind.

As for United, at times they are still disjointed, but it’s worth noting that only Liverpool, Manchester City and Tottenham Hotspur have recorded more big chances across their last six matches.

Sancho – who is fully rested after being omitted from Gareth Southgate’s England squad for the recent friendlies with Switzerland and Ivory Coast – is recreating the type of form he showed in the Bundesliga of late, and could be an effective midfield differential to capitalise on this kind run of fixtures.

JOEL MATIP

  • FPL ownership: 4.3%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: WAT | mci | MUN | EVE | new

Joel Matip (£5.0m) has been a real surprise package in Fantasy Premier League (FPL) since the turn of the year, averaging an impressive 7.3 points per start.

In his last six outings, the defender has racked up eight returns (one goal, two assists and five clean sheets) and 50 FPL points, more than any other team-mate bar Andrew Robertson (£7.3m), with who he is level with.

In an attacking sense, his threat is limited compared to others, but his marauding runs forward have become a regular occurrence this season and become a trademark of his playing style. It’s also worth noting that among colleagues, only Mohamed Salah (£13.3m), Sadio Mane (£11.7m) and Diogo Jota (£8.3m) have attempted more shots in the box than Matip in 2021/22.

The former Cameroon international is clearly in the form of his life and, as a result, has now completed 90 minutes in eight of Liverpool’s last nine Premier League encounters, a period which has seen the Reds keep seven clean sheets. Ibrahima Konate (£5.1m) could, of course, impact his minutes going forward, but the feeling is that Matip is first-choice, and with the title still up for grabs, he is surely in pole position to start most matches.

After back-to-back shut-outs against Brighton and Hove Albion and Arsenal in Double Gameweek 29, Liverpool are currently at their defensive best as they continue to challenge for the Premier League title. They have kept 17 sheets in 29 Premier League matches this season, and boast the division’s third-best backline, with their 20 goals conceded only marginally more than Manchester City and Chelsea.

This weekend’s opponents – Watford – are also in poor attacking form, scoring just three goals in six road trips under new boss Roy Hodgson.

Loading up on Liverpool assets is a no-brainer, but if your budget won’t stretch to the premium defenders, FPL bosses could do a lot worse than look at Matip.

DOMINIC CALVERT-LEWIN

Five-time top 1k FPL finisher Tom Freeman on Calvert-Lewin, Wolves and his Gameweek 2 plans 6
  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £7.7m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: whu + bur | MUN | LEI | liv | CHE

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.7m) has been struggling for form in recent weeks, but given that Everton are one of only two sides who ‘double’ in Gameweek 31, he might just be worth considering.

The 25-year-old showed glimpses of his quality in Gameweek 29, as he produced an excellent assist for Alex Iwobi’s (£5.8m) late winner against Newcastle United.

Now, the Blues’ number nine will be determined to show last season’s 21 goals in all competitions wasn’t just a flash in the pan, and will almost certainly have benefitted from some rigorous training sessions over the international break, something Frank Lampard touched on in Friday’s press conference.

“The break has been positive for Dominic (Calvert-Lewin). He was playing short of fitness. We’ve worked well with him over the last couple of weeks. Without putting undue pressure on him… he’s in a good place.” – Frank Lampard on Dominic Calvert-Lewin

However, there are wider issues that make this a risky punt: the Toffees have won fewer away points than any other side in the Premier League this season, while just one goal in their last six matches against Premier League opposition is also a concern.

On a more positive note, they do have two further fixtures still to be arranged, which should result in two further ‘doubles’ during the run-in.

Calvert-Lewin is quite simply the biggest scoring threat for Frank Lampard, and if they are to get back on track, there is a decent chance he will be central to it.

477 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Fpl Richie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Usual fomo panic strewn mess. Any view on best option? Not certain on FH strategy sadly.

    Ramsdale
    TAA* Gabriel Doherty Robbo
    Coutinho Raphinha Saka Salah
    Broja Kane
    (Dubravka: Saiss Ramsey Jimi) 2FT 0.6itb

    A (Mr Sensible). Saiss, Jimenez to Weghorst, James
    B (Get it done). Saiss, Jimenez, Gabriel to Cancelo, James, Gelhardt (-4)
    C (Fruity). Saiss, Jimenez, Coutinho to Gelhardt, 1 of Cancelo/James and 1 of Sancho/Havertz (-4)

    1. Stormbringer22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B if you have played the BB already. A if you haven't

      1. Fpl Richie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Have used the BB yeah, just 1x FH left

        1. Stormbringer22
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          B looks sweet then

    2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Think I'd go with B, if you're getting both of James and Cancelo in I think there's more upside in doing it this week given the fixtures than waiting on one to avoid a hit. Keeping Coutinho probably for the best with a double incoming soon

    3. MJF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I reckon FOMO is one of the biggest reasons people make mistakes in FPL.

      Chill the fook oot man,

  2. Stormbringer22
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Laca + Kilman + Ramsey > Weghorst + Cancelo + Gordon -4

    Y/N?

    Throw in Rudi > Reece for another -4? Exact funds

    1. waltzingmatildas
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Hmm quite like the -4. Not sure on the extra hit

      1. Stormbringer22
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers!

    2. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Do you need that Ramsey spot to play?

  3. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    anyone tempted to do DCL over Weg??

    1. DandyDon
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Richarlison maybe better, DCL doesn't seem to have returned fully if you know what i mean, not same player as last time he was fit.

  4. Lallana_
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Worth getting rid of Son or TAA to get Kane in? Got Kulu as well.

    Think my best move is Jimenez>Weghorst (no hit) and be without Kane.

    1. Stormbringer22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Keep Son & TAA

    2. waltzingmatildas
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Yeah reckon the Jimmy move

  5. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    James or Rudi on wc?

    1. waltzingmatildas
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      James

    2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      James

    3. Sharkytect
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      James

  6. waltzingmatildas
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Leaning towards James over Cancelo.
    Got the bench right?

    Pope
    TAA Robbo James Tierney
    Salah Raph Saka Martinelli
    Kane Weghorst
    (Sanchez Doherty Broja Ramsey)

    1. Stormbringer22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Play Doh over Tierney imo

      1. waltzingmatildas
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Yeah tight one, just feel like Newcastle will score.
        Cheers

      2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        I'd be tempted by this although I can see the merits in both options. Arsenal a better defensive unit but Palace away is a tough game even with Zaha/Olise possibly missing out

  7. Nate(U)dog(ie)
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Would have liked to go for Sancho this week and initially planned to, but hard to let go of Son

    1. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      You backing out of it? For me, having Son/Kane/Salah just locks up my team so much that it feels like the rest of the season would be too boring with only a 6.5m mid spot to play with

      1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        I don't think it's worth it despite the short-term gain. Spurs have a solid run of fixtures while really it's just the 3 for ManUtd (1 of which I can use FH for) so I can keep Son for the season. Son is nailed while Sancho may still sit the odd game out too, as well as ManUtd's generally indifferent form.

        My team is pretty OK for value and funds, after bringing in James now I currently have TAA, Cancelo, James, Salah, Son, Kane and 0.4itb. If I really need to make more I'll do TAA to Robbo but any other ideas I have in mind I can afford (Elyounoussi to Martinelli next week, followed by FH, and then I have the other FH for 36/37 too)

      2. popey
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        I alos have Kane/Son/Salah and been wrestling with this.

        Obviously I would love to keep Son but I will never captain him given I have Kane and Salah and downgrading to Foden/Sancho releases a lot of funds for premium defenders

    2. waltzingmatildas
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Tough this week. Like the move though

  8. Arteta
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Ramsdale Dubravka
    TAA AR Doherty White Kilman
    Salah Son Saka Raphinha Eriksen
    Kane Toney Broja

    1FT, 0.5 in the bank.

    Is there any obvious free transfer worth doing? Or do you see any combination of players who would be worth buying for a hit?

    1. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Thanks for help in advance!

    2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I think you're well set up, definite roll for me. Good luck!

  9. Ask Yourself
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Okay to roll or Reguilon > Roberts (MCI, EVE)?

    Sanchez (NOR)
    TAA* (WAT) Robbo (WAT) Jakes (BRE) Reguilon (NEW)
    Salah (WAT) Saka (cpl) Willock (tot) Fraser (tot)
    Kane (NEW) Weghorst (MCI, EVE)

    1. Ask Yourself
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Bench is DDG Mac Allister Dennis Targett

    2. Stormbringer22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Roll

    3. The 12th Man
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      save

    4. Ask Yourself
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Thanks both

    5. Jock Grealish
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Roberts v MCI/EVE screams 3 points total

  10. The 12th Man
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Save the FT?
    Pickford
    TAA,Cancelo,Doherty,Tarkowski
    Salah,Kulu,Saka,Odegaard,
    Kane,Lacazette

    Sa,Broja,Barnes,Digne 0.5m itb 1 FT.
    Chips remaining - 2 FH's, BB

    1. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Save

    2. Ask Yourself
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I like it

    3. linkafu
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Save

  11. dshv
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Ddg foster
    Taa rudiger cancelo white cash
    Salah son saka kuku jwp
    Lacazette weghorst jimenez

    How to continue the game with WC BB FH to do...

  12. DandyDon
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Ok was happy with Captain on Salah this week but I think Kane is best option and a good way to get a rank increase...
    Spurs equally must win game as for Pool.
    3 double digit scores in last 4 against Newcastle, although they have improved.
    Newcastle can almost take it easy now, no danger of relagation like Watford have.
    Kane fresher than Salah who went to extra time again I think with Egypt
    Slight rotation risk for Salah as Pool have other another option now in Diaz.

    1. TheDragon
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      It’s certainly a good way to get a big change in rank (one way or the other)

    2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      For what it's worth I'm going with Kane myself, Newcastle have been better defensively for sure but Spurs look to be picking up momentum and Kane is in top form. Salah meanwhile is facing a much better fixture but hasn't actually been picking up great returns, 4g 0a since GW24 when he returned from AFCON, including 3 penalties. Kane is still a risk but going with him over Salah in recent weeks has done me well and I'm happy to do it again

      1. DandyDon
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Yea might join you. Not sure if the early kick off with Salah is a positive or not for him? Early kickoff usually means low scoring but Pool often do well in those fixtures.

        1. DandyDon
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          just looked it up, Pool have already beaten Watford 5-0 this season in an early kick off. Out of three games this season they are 9-0 up on aggregate!

          1. DandyDon
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 10 months ago

            saying that Kane did againt Newcastle match Salah's score against Watford around the same gameweek - both got a goal and assist.

        2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          Honestly I don't place too much value in the early kick-off thing. Sure historically it may overall have less goals than the 5.30PM Saturday slot but it all depends on a lot of variables. Liverpool tend to score a lot, Watford tend to concede a lot, i wouldn't think much else.

          Only possible things I'd keep in mind are the big games coming up for Liverpool and that we're at the business end of the season. Results since the Leeds game were 0-0 (EFL), 2-1 1-0, 0-1, 2-0, 2-0, 1-0 (FA Cup), albeit they faced better opposition than Watford in a few of those. They might be focusing on simply closing games out more than anything at the minute.

  13. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    1 FT and 1.9 ITB. Have WC, BB and FH left.

    A - Lamptey > James
    B - JWP > Havertz
    C - Roll FT

    Sa
    Cancelo - Dier - Coady - TAA
    Salah (c) - KDB - Saka - Kulu - JWP
    Weghorst

    Bachman - Lamptey - Broja - Dennis

    1. The 12th Man
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I like A and B .
      Probably Havertz first as its a good spot to move across to Sancho or Foden later.

      1. Jet5605
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers mate, Havertz has hauled well lately and seems to pop up with crucial goals

        1. Jock Grealish
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          Chelsea likely to rotate squad next few weeks and they don't have double in 33.

  14. Flynny
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Hi....who would you bench out of:

    A....doherty v Newcastle

    B...coutinho at wolves

    Chance coutinho rested after Brazil games? Thanks

    1. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Toughie but would probably start the attacker

      1. Energetics
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        B

  15. lilmessipran
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Start one-

    A Davies
    B Broja

    1. popey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Davies (have same choice)

  16. Energetics
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Ramsdale
    Robertson T.Silva Doherty
    Salah Kulu Raph Saka Martinelli
    Kane Weghorst

    Dubravka Broja Saiss Taa

    This is how I had set up, with the possibility Taa may now play do I start him?

    Who drops to the bench?

  17. DandyDon
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Would you play Ramsey (Wol A), Livramento or Broja (Lee A)?

    Neither of the Southampton boys played last time so thinking I just take my likely 2 or 3 with Ramsey?
    He did of course get 10 pts last away game though.

  18. rilo
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Hmm I have FT. Saiss-> Cancelo and bench Coutinho? Or save ? Rest od the team is ok for this GW

    1. Energetics
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Id make the transfer

  19. JPSpurs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Which one to play?

    Watkins, Coady or Broja?

    1. Botman and Robben
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Ollie

  20. Botman and Robben
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Play one:
    A. Maupay
    B. Broja

    1. JPSpurs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Broja

    2. linkafu
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A

  21. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Best move?

    A. Jim >> Weg (bench Doherty)
    B. Save FT (risk having Dalot/Toney coming)

    DDG
    TAA. Cancelo. Tierney. Doherty
    Salah. Saka. Raphinha. Kulu. Martinelli
    Kane
    (Foster, Jimenez, Toney, Dalot)

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A looks good

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        That’s Pat! Means a benching headache though. Is Doherty my best bet?

        1. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          Thanks*

  22. linkafu
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Pope
    Robbo Doherty White
    Kulu Raphina Saka Martinelli Salah
    Kane Pukki

    Heaton Saiss Justin Jimenez

    A- Jimenez to Weghorst for - 4
    B- Save

  23. Lilac Breasted Roller
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    On a WC, aiming for a team for the run-in incl 33 saving FH for later.

    A) (BB is overrated) Keep KDB and Saka, 5 semi-cheapos with Gordon, Greenwood (the fwd), Schär, Amartey, Broja)
    B) Sacrifice KDB for Sancho, upgrade the rest
    C) Sacrifice Saka for Martinelli/ESR, upgrade the rest
    D) Sacritice Havertz for ...

    Holy cows that are not getting butchered: Salah, Kane, Cancelo

    1. Sharkytect
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Pretty much the same conundrum as me with the same holy cows and same players up for grabs.
      I have kind of landed on Fernandez as somewhat of a KDB placeholder so I have someone good in dgw33

      1. Lilac Breasted Roller
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        yeah starting to lean towards a variant of B, I don't like the bench being that weak with James in the team and it weakens BB as well.

  24. Davew88
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Rudi to James for free?

    1. Jock Grealish
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      waste of a transfer

  25. harrysponge
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    A) White

    B) Chalobah

    Thanks!

    1. linkafu
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A

  26. Pat Bonner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Who is priority to bring in this week Cancelo or James?

    1. No Kane No Gain
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Neither is a priority. Both not certain to start this week

  27. Taegugk Warrior
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    To play :
    A. Tierney
    B. TAA
    C. Ramsey
    D. Broja

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      TAA

    2. linkafu
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B with Broja first sub and Tierney second

  28. 1justlookin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Is Havertz worth the extra money over Kulusevski?

  29. grennans2
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Bring in James or Cancelo?

  30. tissae
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Watkins + Raphinha -> Weghorst + Havertz for free?