Spot the Differential
1 April 2022 477 comments
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Double Gameweek 31 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Manchester United, Liverpool and Everton, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

JADON SANCHO

Leeds’ defence, Sancho’s form, Barnes injury latest: FPL notes
  • FPL ownership: 2.8%
  • Price: £8.9m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: LEI | eve | NOR + liv | ars | BRE

Jadon Sancho (£8.9m) endured a slow start to his career at Manchester United following his summer move from Borussia Dortmund but has improved dramatically since the turn of the year.

In his last six matches, the winger has netted two goals and supplied three assists, blanking in just one of his five starts in that period. Notably, no midfielder has racked up more attacking returns, while he also leads the way amongst teammates for points, bonus points and points per start. His shot volume in that time isn’t significant (just nine have arrived in the box), but the quality of those attempts have been good, with three deemed ‘big chances’ by Opta.

Now, out of all cup competitions at home and abroad, United are one of three top-seven sides who are free to concentrate solely on league matches between now and the end of the season. They face struggling Everton and Norwich City soon, along with two clubs who have packed schedules over the coming two months, Leicester City and Liverpool.

Despite recent improvements, Gameweek 31 opponents Leicester have only managed one clean sheet on the road all season, while the advanced positioning of James Justin (£4.9m) and Timothy Castagne (£5.3m) last time out suggests Sancho could get some joy in behind.

As for United, at times they are still disjointed, but it’s worth noting that only Liverpool, Manchester City and Tottenham Hotspur have recorded more big chances across their last six matches.

Sancho – who is fully rested after being omitted from Gareth Southgate’s England squad for the recent friendlies with Switzerland and Ivory Coast – is recreating the type of form he showed in the Bundesliga of late, and could be an effective midfield differential to capitalise on this kind run of fixtures.

JOEL MATIP

  • FPL ownership: 4.3%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: WAT | mci | MUN | EVE | new

Joel Matip (£5.0m) has been a real surprise package in Fantasy Premier League (FPL) since the turn of the year, averaging an impressive 7.3 points per start.

In his last six outings, the defender has racked up eight returns (one goal, two assists and five clean sheets) and 50 FPL points, more than any other team-mate bar Andrew Robertson (£7.3m), with who he is level with.

In an attacking sense, his threat is limited compared to others, but his marauding runs forward have become a regular occurrence this season and become a trademark of his playing style. It’s also worth noting that among colleagues, only Mohamed Salah (£13.3m), Sadio Mane (£11.7m) and Diogo Jota (£8.3m) have attempted more shots in the box than Matip in 2021/22.

The former Cameroon international is clearly in the form of his life and, as a result, has now completed 90 minutes in eight of Liverpool’s last nine Premier League encounters, a period which has seen the Reds keep seven clean sheets. Ibrahima Konate (£5.1m) could, of course, impact his minutes going forward, but the feeling is that Matip is first-choice, and with the title still up for grabs, he is surely in pole position to start most matches.

After back-to-back shut-outs against Brighton and Hove Albion and Arsenal in Double Gameweek 29, Liverpool are currently at their defensive best as they continue to challenge for the Premier League title. They have kept 17 sheets in 29 Premier League matches this season, and boast the division’s third-best backline, with their 20 goals conceded only marginally more than Manchester City and Chelsea.

This weekend’s opponents – Watford – are also in poor attacking form, scoring just three goals in six road trips under new boss Roy Hodgson.

Loading up on Liverpool assets is a no-brainer, but if your budget won’t stretch to the premium defenders, FPL bosses could do a lot worse than look at Matip.

DOMINIC CALVERT-LEWIN

Five-time top 1k FPL finisher Tom Freeman on Calvert-Lewin, Wolves and his Gameweek 2 plans 6
  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £7.7m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: whu + bur | MUN | LEI | liv | CHE

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.7m) has been struggling for form in recent weeks, but given that Everton are one of only two sides who ‘double’ in Gameweek 31, he might just be worth considering.

The 25-year-old showed glimpses of his quality in Gameweek 29, as he produced an excellent assist for Alex Iwobi’s (£5.8m) late winner against Newcastle United.

Now, the Blues’ number nine will be determined to show last season’s 21 goals in all competitions wasn’t just a flash in the pan, and will almost certainly have benefitted from some rigorous training sessions over the international break, something Frank Lampard touched on in Friday’s press conference.

“The break has been positive for Dominic (Calvert-Lewin). He was playing short of fitness. We’ve worked well with him over the last couple of weeks. Without putting undue pressure on him… he’s in a good place.” – Frank Lampard on Dominic Calvert-Lewin

However, there are wider issues that make this a risky punt: the Toffees have won fewer away points than any other side in the Premier League this season, while just one goal in their last six matches against Premier League opposition is also a concern.

On a more positive note, they do have two further fixtures still to be arranged, which should result in two further ‘doubles’ during the run-in.

Calvert-Lewin is quite simply the biggest scoring threat for Frank Lampard, and if they are to get back on track, there is a decent chance he will be central to it.

477 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Threat Level Midnight
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Whos excited for the tears when Trent hauls this weekend?

    1. Jock Grealish
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      He won't haul cos he won't start.

      1. DycheDycheBaby
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        I sniff a seller.

    2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      340k+ sellers in the mud

      1. Jock Grealish
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        In the mud from selling a player who doesn't play? ok.

    3. Herger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I can’t understand why anyone would sell him before Klopp’s presser. Really strange.

      1. Jock Grealish
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Klopp already had his presser

        1. Threat Level Midnight
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          Just say you don't have him and you're nervous.

          1. Jock Grealish
            • 3 Years
            3 years, 10 months ago

            no cos i have him

      2. Sharkytect
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        I am selling him now. Having heard the presser. (I was actually waiting for tuchel to confirm that James is fit”

    4. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I expect him to play some part and if he's fit enough to be on the bench then he's likely to play the first 60 mins at least.

      1. Jock Grealish
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        doubt it

      2. Not again Shirley
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Would be seen as very desperate if he does play as proves Liverpool have no decent and trusted back up and would prefer to risk a player who is just coming back from an injury. Man City would never do something like that

        1. Philosopher's Stones
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          This. And if he does get injured after getting rushed back in this week, Liverpool's season will virtually be over. Can't see him starting.

  2. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    A- Coady & Doherty & Jiménez > James & Cancelo & 4.5 Striker
    For -8
    Yaaaaay
    Nope

    1. Better off with a pin and a…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I like the moves, but I don't know if the -8 gets paid back. I'd suggest holding 1 of the defs and making it just a -4, but which one is a hard question! I'd probably be tempted to do Coady->James if forced. Spurs are at home and Doh does have some attacking potential. I'd understand you doing all 3, though.

  3. DycheDycheBaby
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Choose one? My other defenders are TAA, James and Schar.
    a) Tierney --> Robertson
    b) Tierney --> Cancelo
    c) Doherty --> Cancelo
    d) Save FT.

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A

  4. dshv
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Ddg foster
    Taa rudiger cancelo white cash
    Salah son saka kuku jwp
    Lacazette weghorst jimenez

    How to continue the game with WC BB FH to do..

  5. Connor's Calling
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    A) Ramsey -> Gordon (free). Play Coutinho or Broja

    B) Ramsey & Watkins -> Gordon & DCL (-4). Bench Coutinho and Broja (cover for TAA and Saka…)

    1. CRAZY TRAIN
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A

  6. kempc23
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Sa to Pope for free? 5 fixtures versus 2 (plus 1 for Foster in gw33).

    1. gribude
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Yup...I'll do for Ramsdale actually

  7. Mozumbus
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Whom you get rid first using FT
    A. Kilman
    B. Dennis

    1. frenchfries
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B

      1. Mozumbus
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks

  8. frenchfries
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    A) Coutinho -> Mahrez
    B) Doherty/Tierney/Kilman -> Cancelo

    1. Mozumbus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B

    2. Better off with a pin and a…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B with Kilman

  9. Silecro
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Digne, Willock done to Robbo, Kulu (-4). Good to go or change formation?

    Sanchez
    TAA, Cancelo, Robbo, Doherty
    Salah, Son, Kulu, Foden, Saka
    Broja

    Foster, Watkins, Livra, Dennis
    0.2itb. WC, FH, BB left

  10. basilfawlty
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

     Best option here please:

    A. Saiss, Jimenez > Cancelo, Weghorst
    B. Digne, Saiss, Jimenez > James, Cancelo, Mateta (-4)
    C. Saiss, Coutinho, Jimenez > Cancelo, Havertz, Weghorst (-4)

  11. 03farmboy
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Best goal keeper replacement for Ramsdale??

    1. Jock Grealish
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Who's your sub?

      1. 03farmboy
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Fosters haha

        1. 03farmboy
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          Ben foster

    2. beric
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I'm looking at pope! Hopefully a few saves vs city and a Cs vs Everton...Great fixtures going forward

      1. Jock Grealish
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        He won't get cs v everton

        1. beric
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          You sound confident, what do you know that I don't?

          1. Jock Grealish
            • 3 Years
            3 years, 10 months ago

            Just that double gameweeks are flawed

  12. beric
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Ramsdale to Pope for free sound good?

  13. nerd_is_the_werd
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    England 3rd favourites?
    Skybet reckon they have the same odds as France winning it (6/1).
    It is April Fool's after all...

    1. Herger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I don’t think that’s that crazy. France are nothing special.

    2. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      If Southgate had the balls to make subs when necessary England would have made the WC final and won the Euros

      We have the players to be favourites - just not the manager on game day

  14. Taegugk Warrior
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    A. Jim to Weghorst
    B. Ramsey to Gordon

  15. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Weg or DCL?

    1. Threat Level Midnight
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Neither

      1. JabbaWookiee
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        This

      2. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Aye

  16. gomez123
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Had exact money so my plan was TAA & Jiminez to Laporte & Ronaldo (c)
    still do it Y/N

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      N

  17. HD7
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Any news from Liverpool and Chelsea from today regarding James and TAA?

    1. Jock Grealish
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Ever used Google? Might help.

    2. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      James in squad, TAA back in training

      1. HD7
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks mate.

        1. THFC4LIFE
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          No problem

    3. Herger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      All in the scout tweets section mate

      1. HD7
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks, very useful:)

        1. Jock Grealish
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          Noobs

  18. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Worth losing Barnes or Raphina for a punt on Sancho?
    Overturned 50+ deficit to lead by 9 in ML fancy a punt?

    Or save ft

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      It could be worth it.

      To early to play safe.

      Raphinha to Sancho but Leeds have Southampton at home. Could go either way.

      It's the weekend and there may be a bit of swinging.

    2. HashAttack
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Depends on gw33 plans - if not using a chip then I would risk getting Sancho now

  19. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Best move?

    A. Jim >> Weg/DCL (bench Doherty)
    B. Save FT (risk having Dalot/Toney coming)

    DDG
    TAA. Cancelo. Tierney. Doherty
    Salah. Saka. Raphinha. Kulu. Martinelli
    Kane
    (Foster, Jimenez, Toney, Dalot)

  20. McPollolocco
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Havertz or Foden for long-term?

  21. CRAZY TRAIN
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Which player are you most fearing not owning this gw ? For me its Havertz

    1. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      KDB

  22. checkit_j
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    1FT 1FH WC 0.7itb - Planning on FH33 WC 34

    No clue what I should be doing here... any suggestions?

    Sa
    Taa*, Cancelo, Doherty
    Raph, Salah, Barnes, Saka
    Kane, Laca, Broja

    (Dub, Ramsey, Digne, Livra)

  23. IamthenextTeemuPukki
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Which moves for the rest of the season?

    A. Sa/Jimenez/Kilman to Pope/Mateta/Cancelo (-4)

    B. Sa/Jimenez to Pope/Weghorst

    1. ZimZalabim
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      a

  24. ZimZalabim
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    A. Ramsdale to pope -4

    or

    B. Saiss to James -4 and start Foster

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B i think over the course of the season.

      Ramsdale beats Pope overall, if not the next 3 or 4.

      Especially if you can FH33.

  25. THFC4LIFE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Sod it, going for these moves. At 120k so it’s either boom or bust.

    Trent and Jimenez to Dalot and Kane(c) for a hit

  26. Lionac
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Is it worth selling TAA to afford Sancho? Would bring Robbo on WC after DGW33

    1. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I think Klopp lied about Trent ever being injured. I never found any news about him having his hamstring scanned. That is normally the first thing done

  27. Not again Shirley
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Sancho captain anyone. Against leaky defence, should start, should be open game, late kick off, playing for team with something to play for against team with little to play for. What’s not to like.

    1. XX SMICER XX
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Salah vs Watford

  28. Philosopher's Stones
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Coutinho replacement:

    A: Foden
    B: Havertz

  29. XX SMICER XX
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Does anyone know Burnley’s starting back 4.
    Considering a full back but worried that Roberts / Taylor are not nailed

  30. BlzE_94
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Am i GTG?

    de Gea
    TAA Robertson James White
    Salah Son Saka Odegaard
    Kane Weghorst

    Foster Broja Fraser Williams

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Gtg bro.