Scout Notes
6 April 2022 373 comments
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Burnley v Everton brought Double Gameweek 31 to a close, with the six-pointer at Turf Moor serving up an unexpected five-goal thriller.

We recap the key Fantasy Premier League (FPL) talking points from Lancashire.

GOALS, ASSISTS AND BONUS

FPL TALKING POINTS

WEGHORST’S WOES

“Fool me once, shame on you. Keep putting Wout Weghorst in the Scout Picks despite his dismal underlying statistics and just because he plays twice, shame on me.”

Einstein’s quote about repetition and insanity might also be applicable in this instance, and we certainly didn’t get different results from the towering Dutchman in Gameweek 31.

Wout Weghorst (£6.4m) ended his ‘double’ with just three points, his seventh blank in succession. Was it a hard-luck story? Nope – his expected goals (xG) tally was 0.02 across his two matches against Manchester City and Everton, which was bettered by seven of his teammates and 134 other Premier League players in Gameweek 31.

This isn’t a one-off, either, as Weghorst’s minutes-per-xG since his top-flight debut is 501.1, the worst average of any first-choice orthodox striker.

Above: Forwards sorted by minutes per xG in 2021/22. The players with a worse figure than Weghorst either play on the wing/in central midfield or have barely any game-time to their name.

It’s not for him to shoulder all of the criticism, of course. He’s only as good as the service he is provided with, and despite his 6’6″ frame, does not really seem suited to ‘hoofball’: he’s won only 36.8% of his headers this season (predecessor Chris Wood (£6.7m) is up at over 50% in 2021/22, along with the likes of Ivan Toney (£6.7m)). On a number of occasions on Wednesday evening, he had moved into some good positions around the six-yard box but simply wasn’t given the delivery he was begging for.

The remaining fixtures are favourable, at least, and you’d think his underlying numbers and perhaps his goal count would improve simply as a result of the quality of opposition declining. Six of Burnley’s nine remaining matches, indeed, are against bottom-half sides.

But then Everton at home was meant to be one of the easier tests, given that the Toffees have the division’s worst away record. With Jay Rodriguez (£5.2m), Maxwel Cornet (£5.9m) and substitute Matej Vydra (£5.2m) all among the goals at Turf Moor, might his game-time even be at risk soon?

The easing of fixture difficulty should also aid Burnley’s defence, who are on the division’s second-longest run without a clean sheet (six matches), although a more attacking set-up from Sean Dyche, the continued absence of Ben Mee (£4.7m) and a lack of protection from central midfield are ongoing concerns.

RICHARLISON ON PENS – AND ON THE LEFT

Another forward who had a torrid Gameweek 31 was Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.7m), whose blank was made all the more galling as Everton were awarded two penalties at Turf Moor – and he didn’t take either of them.

Calvert-Lewin had stepped up for all three of the previous spot-kicks that he had been on the field for this season although perhaps tellingly had missed his last effort in Gameweek 21.

On Wednesday evening, it was Richarlison (£7.5m) who was given the responsibility and he duly delivered with two coolly converted efforts from 12 yards.

Calvert-Lewin without penalties isn’t an attractive proposition at present, such has been his toiling up top since his comeback from injury, but things have really fallen Richarlison’s way over this Gameweek.

It’s not just the penalty-taking but the move to a left-wing role after months of playing through the middle. Remember the ‘is Richarlison better on the left or up top’ discussion of 2018/19? Well, here we are again, three and a half years on, reflecting on two promising if profligate displays from the Brazilian in a wider position.

He registered 26 penalty area touches, 11 shots in the box (he also hit the woodwork and almost scored with a bicycle kick against Burnley) and four chances created across two matches in Gameweek 31, eye-catching tallies after a period of unremarkable number-posting under Lampard, while all that extra work on and off the ball that playing on the flank requires (recoveries, tackling, dribbling etc) also can help boost bonus points potential.

Richarlison…GW24-30GW31
Appearances72
Penalty area touches1826
Shots in the box611
Chances created44

The immediate fixtures aren’t great, as we’ll discuss, and let’s not forget that he went nine games without a goal before midweek, but Richarlison’s improving stats are worth keeping tabs on for Double Gameweeks 36 and 37.

EVERTON IN TROUBLE

Everton are now one point off the drop and in deep trouble.

With some tricky matches to come (only two of their last nine are against sides in the bottom half), their 68-year stay in the top flight looks in some danger.

Away from home is where it has really been going wrong, with even Norwich getting more points on the road than the Toffees in 2021/22. That puts the favourable-looking ‘double’ in Gameweek 36 in some perspective and should whet the appetites of owners of Liverpool assets ahead of Gameweek 34’s Merseyside derby at Anfield.

At home, things have at least been better: the Toffees have conceded on just three occasions at Goodison Park in the six home league and cup matches that Frank Lampard has overseen, with four goals scored against Brentford alone – and they meet the Bees again in Gameweek 37.

373 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. SKENG
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Easy save here? 1 FT, 1.6 ITB, no chips left

    Ramsdale
    TAA Cancelo Doherty Silva
    Salah Son Kulusevski Saka Raphinha
    Lacazette

    Schmeichel Digne Gelhardt Broja

    1. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      yep

  2. ratski
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Saved up 2 ft.
    Ramsdale (Sanchez)
    Taa, doc, James, cancelo (robbo)
    Son, Salah, cout, Saka (Ramsey)
    Weg, maupay (broja)

    Thinking cout to someone like maddison is best option. But front line also needs help.
    Any advice ? Thx

    1. SKENG
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Nice team, Coutinho > Maddison looks good.

      1. ratski
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers. Bit concerned about mads rotation but don't see many better options about that price bracket.

  3. The Train Driver
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Ramsdale + Saka in my team, who would you rather have for the remainder of the season as a third Arsenal:

    A. White
    B. Odeegard

    1. Lingard’s Shin Guards
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      white

  4. Taegugk Warrior
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Tierney replacement :
    A. Gabriel
    B. White
    C. Justin
    D. Castagne

    My other defs are TAA Cancelo James Kilman. Plan to bench either TAA or Cancelo this week, FH nextweek & BB at GW36

    1. Kloppen Schloppen
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I like a bit of Leicester. Arsenal look in trouble at the back. First choice left and right are out. Like the foxes attacking threat.

    2. circusmonkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I am getting Gabriel this week I think but Newcastle is an option. What do you think about that?

  5. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Reckon I can delay the FH from 33 to 36/37 here?

    3FTs between now and 33 but have 6 non starters* in 33

    Ramsdale
    Robbo, Doherty, Coady*, Ait-Nouri*
    Salah, Coutinho*, Raphina*, Kulu, Martinelli
    Kane

    Foster, Tierney*, Jimenez*, Broja
    Bank 3.0m, 2FTs

    Perhaps:
    32: Tierney & Ait-Nouri -> James & Rudiger
    33: Raphina -> Maddison
    and bench Coady, Coutinho & Jimenez in 33

  6. Kloppen Schloppen
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Martinelli to Maddison? Already have Saka

    Ramsdale / Dubravka
    Trent James Rudiger Cancelo
    Mo Kulu Saka Martinelli* Ramsey
    Kane Rodrigo Broja

    1. tokara
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Save

  7. HurriKane
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    With 2 big defeats in a row do you think Reece James will be rested vs soton?

    Chelsea will need to bounce back and Reece is so important to their tactics going forward

    1. Kloppen Schloppen
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I think he goes full strength to get some rhythm back into the defence. Too many errors leading to goals lately. But maybe that means they need a rest too haha. Tough one!

      1. HurriKane
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Same thinking. Tuchel will demand an immediate response. Not to forget he has lost trust in Alonso. So i think chances of Reece start is increased alongside Azpi.

        Probably off at 60 mins to preserve legs for Madrid second leg

  8. PKnox11
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Pick one set of players you would have until the end of the season

    - Cancelo, Foden, Saka
    - Cancelo, Havertz, Saka
    - James, Havertz, Foden

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      CHS

    2. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Laporte Havertz Foden?

      1. PKnox11
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Could also do that but prefer James for attacking returns.

    3. EmreCan Hustle
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Cancelo, Havertz, Saka

    4. circusmonkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Option 1

  9. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Tierney replacement:

    A) White
    B) Any other sub 4.6 def?

    Thanks!

    1. EmreCan Hustle
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I like the look of Palace defenders. No DGWs though.

    2. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Schar, Dalot, Mitchell

  10. EmreCan Hustle
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    I can't use FHs in consecutive GWs, but I can play BB and FH in consecutive GWs?

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      yes

      1. EmreCan Hustle
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers.

  11. Philosopher's Stones
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Which seems better?

    *have Kane+Kulu

    A: Salah+Digne -> Bruno+Doherty (2.1 itb)
    B: Salah+Havertz -> Son+Maddison(3.7 itb)

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

    2. Dthinger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

  12. Dthinger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Who would you bench of this lot?

    Jonny Robbo Laporte White Doherty
    Salah Raph Odegaard Kulu Ramsey
    Kane Toney Weghorst

    RMT says I should bench Robbo and Jonny, but that just feels wrong. I'm thinking Ramsey and the two Arsenal guys.

    1. NorCal Villan
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Ramsey and Weghorst (yeah, I know he’s got Norwich) for sure, not certain about the third. Probably White

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Arsenal have a great fixture, dont bench them. Weghorst, Jonny, Ramsey

  13. Slitherene
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Foster ¦ Raya
    Rudiger Cash* White Amartey
    Salah Son Sancho Willock
    Kane Lacazette
    ¦ Coady Gordon Broja

    Cash to Roberts, for free??

  14. Mozumbus
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    2 FT, 1.0 ITB
    GW32-33 in sight mainly
    Kilman + Dennis > Schar + ASM
    Yes or No?

    1. Cornholi0
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Yes for me

      1. Mozumbus
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks

  15. SpaceCadet
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Any suggestions for this lot? 1 ft. 0 itb. BB in gw33.

    schmeichel
    cancelo rudiger white
    salah havertz saka maddison kulu
    kane cucho

    dubravka tark robertson weghorst

  16. Scots Gooner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Ramsdale
    Rudiger / Robertson / Cancelo / Doherty
    Salah / Son / Saka / Kulu / Havertz
    Weghorst

    Sanchez / Maupey / KWP / Broja

    Save here or Maupey to Mateta and start him ahead of Weg?

  17. EL tridente
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Start 1:
    A) Sa
    B) Dubravka

    Bench 1:
    1: Coady
    2: Coutinho
    3: Watkins

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Dub

      Coutinho

  18. WVA
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Which strike partnership scores more in DGW33?

    A
    Broja v ARS Bur
    Rodriguez v Whu SOU

    B
    Mateta v New
    Cucho v BRE

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

    2. marcos11
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

  19. Henning
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Good morning.
    Tierney and Coutinho out for White/Matip and Havertz/Foden?

    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Matip Foden

  20. HurriKane
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Crazy to start Weghorst (nor) over TAA (mci) ?

    Im prepared to get hurt again 😀

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      The Weghorst is off unfortunately.

  21. dshv
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Keeping weghorst week after week is so bad…

    Can I start Saint maximin this week??

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Cut and run. There will be no brace. A jammy assist at best.

      1. dshv
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Absolutely disaster player

    2. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Its not like Saint will be any better

      1. dshv
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        But like newcastle’s style and that home game against wolves more than weggy away..

    3. Josh.E
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      it hurts seeing 6.4m burn on the bench

  22. Henryyy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Does FH33 makes sense if you only have 3 DGW players, and cant get Bruno/CR7 without selling Salah/Kane?

    1. Konstaapeli
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Think it does, yeah.

    2. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Dont think so, DGW options are pretty limited

      1. Konstaapeli
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        I have both FH's left. Would you still not play one on 33?

  23. iL PiStOlErO
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Have 2ft and 0.4itb, plan is to TC and FH in 33 and 36. What transfers would you do here(probably will do some -4 or even -8 if needed)?

    Mendy Dubravka
    TAA Cancelo T.Silva White Kilman
    Salah Saka Martinelli Ramaey Gordon
    Kane Adams Jimenez

    1ft, 0.4itb

    1. Konstaapeli
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      What player would you like to TC in 33? Start from getting him in your team if you don't own.

  24. Konstaapeli
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Goodly morning to all fellow Richarlison cappers.

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Blatant dive for the first penalty and did you even know he was on penalties?

      Still, well done.

      1. Konstaapeli
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Pure luck tbh. Didn't even watch the game so was pleasantly surprised!

        Still went Jimi > Richa instead Weg so gonna tell my kids it's all skill.

        1. AC/DC AFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          That's right.

          All those who went Weghorst in the top 10 dropping with Salah captain.

          I think you need to go to rank 45 where a score of above 70 was posted to climb in the top 100.

    2. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      yay!

  25. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Burnley survival fight on.

    All the Burnley backers in FPL must be pleased with the progress made.

  26. Pep Roulette
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Best defender for 4.2?

    1. marcos11
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Dalot

    2. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Got to be Fofana with the amount of fixtures left.

      1. DavvaMC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Is Fofana nailed now, thinking of him or Schar.

  27. vincentwsho
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Play 2 Burnley defenders (Nor) or 2 Arsenal defenders (BHA) this week?

    1. Konstaapeli
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      one each?

  28. DavvaMC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Who to captain?

    A. Saka
    B. Havertz
    C. James

    Thanks

    1. dshv
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Saka

  29. Well you know, Triffic
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Best Watford striker aside from Cucho? Tempted by Dennis again.

    1. DavvaMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I wouldnt.

      1. Well you know, Triffic
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Tempted by the Leeds game. Could be high scoring.

  30. Piggs Boson
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Leicester lineup will be interesting tonight. I don't know how Rodgers is going to manage all these games.

    Got my eye on Iheanacho. He was outstanding in the tail end of last season. There's a quality striker in there. Just a case of minutes...

    1. Well you know, Triffic
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      They have a suprising amount of depth.

      Daka
      Perez
      Lookman
      Albrighton
      Soumare
      Choudary
      Perreria
      Vestergard
      Bertrand
      Thomas

      Etc

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      He's picking his best 11 to try to beat PSV and win the Europa.

      So rotation in the domestic league is the main consideration.