Scout Notes
6 April 2022 373 comments
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Burnley v Everton brought Double Gameweek 31 to a close, with the six-pointer at Turf Moor serving up an unexpected five-goal thriller.

We recap the key Fantasy Premier League (FPL) talking points from Lancashire.

GOALS, ASSISTS AND BONUS

FPL TALKING POINTS

WEGHORST’S WOES

“Fool me once, shame on you. Keep putting Wout Weghorst in the Scout Picks despite his dismal underlying statistics and just because he plays twice, shame on me.”

Einstein’s quote about repetition and insanity might also be applicable in this instance, and we certainly didn’t get different results from the towering Dutchman in Gameweek 31.

Wout Weghorst (£6.4m) ended his ‘double’ with just three points, his seventh blank in succession. Was it a hard-luck story? Nope – his expected goals (xG) tally was 0.02 across his two matches against Manchester City and Everton, which was bettered by seven of his teammates and 134 other Premier League players in Gameweek 31.

This isn’t a one-off, either, as Weghorst’s minutes-per-xG since his top-flight debut is 501.1, the worst average of any first-choice orthodox striker.

Above: Forwards sorted by minutes per xG in 2021/22. The players with a worse figure than Weghorst either play on the wing/in central midfield or have barely any game-time to their name.

It’s not for him to shoulder all of the criticism, of course. He’s only as good as the service he is provided with, and despite his 6’6″ frame, does not really seem suited to ‘hoofball’: he’s won only 36.8% of his headers this season (predecessor Chris Wood (£6.7m) is up at over 50% in 2021/22, along with the likes of Ivan Toney (£6.7m)). On a number of occasions on Wednesday evening, he had moved into some good positions around the six-yard box but simply wasn’t given the delivery he was begging for.

The remaining fixtures are favourable, at least, and you’d think his underlying numbers and perhaps his goal count would improve simply as a result of the quality of opposition declining. Six of Burnley’s nine remaining matches, indeed, are against bottom-half sides.

But then Everton at home was meant to be one of the easier tests, given that the Toffees have the division’s worst away record. With Jay Rodriguez (£5.2m), Maxwel Cornet (£5.9m) and substitute Matej Vydra (£5.2m) all among the goals at Turf Moor, might his game-time even be at risk soon?

The easing of fixture difficulty should also aid Burnley’s defence, who are on the division’s second-longest run without a clean sheet (six matches), although a more attacking set-up from Sean Dyche, the continued absence of Ben Mee (£4.7m) and a lack of protection from central midfield are ongoing concerns.

RICHARLISON ON PENS – AND ON THE LEFT

Another forward who had a torrid Gameweek 31 was Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.7m), whose blank was made all the more galling as Everton were awarded two penalties at Turf Moor – and he didn’t take either of them.

Calvert-Lewin had stepped up for all three of the previous spot-kicks that he had been on the field for this season although perhaps tellingly had missed his last effort in Gameweek 21.

On Wednesday evening, it was Richarlison (£7.5m) who was given the responsibility and he duly delivered with two coolly converted efforts from 12 yards.

Calvert-Lewin without penalties isn’t an attractive proposition at present, such has been his toiling up top since his comeback from injury, but things have really fallen Richarlison’s way over this Gameweek.

It’s not just the penalty-taking but the move to a left-wing role after months of playing through the middle. Remember the ‘is Richarlison better on the left or up top’ discussion of 2018/19? Well, here we are again, three and a half years on, reflecting on two promising if profligate displays from the Brazilian in a wider position.

He registered 26 penalty area touches, 11 shots in the box (he also hit the woodwork and almost scored with a bicycle kick against Burnley) and four chances created across two matches in Gameweek 31, eye-catching tallies after a period of unremarkable number-posting under Lampard, while all that extra work on and off the ball that playing on the flank requires (recoveries, tackling, dribbling etc) also can help boost bonus points potential.

Richarlison…GW24-30GW31
Appearances72
Penalty area touches1826
Shots in the box611
Chances created44

The immediate fixtures aren’t great, as we’ll discuss, and let’s not forget that he went nine games without a goal before midweek, but Richarlison’s improving stats are worth keeping tabs on for Double Gameweeks 36 and 37.

EVERTON IN TROUBLE

Everton are now one point off the drop and in deep trouble.

With some tricky matches to come (only two of their last nine are against sides in the bottom half), their 68-year stay in the top flight looks in some danger.

Away from home is where it has really been going wrong, with even Norwich getting more points on the road than the Toffees in 2021/22. That puts the favourable-looking ‘double’ in Gameweek 36 in some perspective and should whet the appetites of owners of Liverpool assets ahead of Gameweek 34’s Merseyside derby at Anfield.

At home, things have at least been better: the Toffees have conceded on just three occasions at Goodison Park in the six home league and cup matches that Frank Lampard has overseen, with four goals scored against Brentford alone – and they meet the Bees again in Gameweek 37.

373 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. THFC4LIFE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Who to start this week,

    A. Sa
    B. Dubravka

    Cheers

    1. Calum Undisputed
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Dubra base on odds

  2. tibollom
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    1 FT 0 ITB.. was planning on FH 33, WC34 + BB36 but thinking I could get away not FH in 33 and keeping it for later?

    Who to get rid of this week and for whom?

    Pope Bach
    Taa Cancelo cash Coady White
    salah saka kulu barnes foden
    dennis kane dobbin

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      save FT

      1. tibollom
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks mate, so save FT and no FH in 33 then? Who would you bench for this GW then?

        Foden
        Cancelo
        taa
        Barnes
        Cash

        1. Holmes
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Cash

          1. tibollom
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 8 months ago

            thanks mate.. you think i cna get away with no FH based on my team and 2 FT next week?

        2. Holmes
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          yeah, 4-6 DGWers will probably be enough. You can take a one week punt on Man Utd players next week.

          WC34, FH36, BB37 is also an option.

          1. tibollom
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 8 months ago

            awesome, thanks mate

  3. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Still keeping the mighty Wout for Norwich.

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      RvN 2.0

  4. marcos11
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Schmeichel
    Chalobah White Roberts
    Salah Havertz Maddison Saka Kulu
    Kane Weghorst
    Foster Mateta Robertson Cancelo

    Save FT or go Salah > Bruno?

  5. Nate(U)dog(ie)
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Bench order correct for this week? (Bear in mind I have James that could possibly be a no-show)

    1) Ramsey
    2) Burn
    [3 Broja*]

    1. marcos11
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Keep it as it is

  6. DAZZ
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Best Tierney replacement for those with 0 Chips? Looking at the doubles, Arsenal and Leicester probably the ideal replacements, White?

    1. marcos11
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      White

    2. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      If you can manage to ride next week, Cash could be handy for the upcoming fixtures.

      If you dont have Doherty, he is also an option.

      1. DAZZ
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Back line of TAA Robbo Cancelo Doherty Tierney. Cash is a good shout, can definitely hold Tierney till next week

    3. ZeBestee
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Tavares for me

      1. The Tinkerman
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        He has been really poor, hooked multiple times recently

        1. ZeBestee
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          He will still start in place of Tierney imo. Maybe rusty but he is a good player. Also Martinelli starting in front doesnt helping him as he loves overlapping or cutting in and Martinelli always does that constantly. Still think he starts next.

    4. FPL_Crisis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Cash & White decent
      Anderson from Palace in form and good fixtures
      Matip if you don't have triple liverpool

      I bought Schmeichel in last week for the run in but wouldn't buy any of their defenders.

  7. Pep Roulette
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    What would you do here? 1 FT 1.0 ITB. Only FH remaining!

    Ramsdale (Sa)
    TAA Robbo Cancelo Doherty (Digne)
    Salah Saka Brownhill Gordon (Ramsey)
    Kane(C) Laca (Broja)

    1. TopBinFC
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Laca to Nacho, Laca is a poor FPL asset now and Arsenals bubble well burst, Saka is more than enough.

  8. ZeBestee
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    I have disconnected for some few months from FPL hence I have only made decisions based on eye test. I still have the WC, FH and BB available with this team after having done 2 FT bringing in Maddison and Bowen for Mount and Coutinho.

    Sa (Foster) - Thinking of starting Foster this GW
    James TAA Cancelo Doherty
    Maddison Bowen Salah Son Kulu
    Dennis

    Robbo Broja Fodder

    Is this team worth WC? Also which gameweek is the best to BB and FH? Thanks in advance

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      cant see any major changes for WC

      Maybe WC35, BB36 and FH37

      1. ZeBestee
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers bro

      2. ZeBestee
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Would you start Robbo or James? Or maybe both and keep Kulu on the bench? Spurs are on fire atm so want to start all 3.

        1. Holmes
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          I guess James would be better this week.

          maybe start both and bench Salah?

          1. ZeBestee
            • 11 Years
            3 years, 8 months ago

            Naaaaaaaaaah broo.

            Would never bench Salah. 😛

            1. Holmes
              • 12 Years
              3 years, 8 months ago

              should be fun 😀

              1. ZeBestee
                • 11 Years
                3 years, 8 months ago

                Not fun benching Salah and he goes on and gets a hatrick against City. Tears. 😛

  9. Henryyy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Who would you play this week?

    A Mateta
    B Robertson

    Cheers

    1. FPL_Crisis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Robbo easily, don't overthink it

  10. _Make
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Morning all, hope you're well.

    I've just seen Everton's defending for the third goal in particular. Absolutely diabolical. Are people still selling Salah before he gets to help himself against them in 34?

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      selling with a plan to bring him back. dont intend to go without him for last few weeks.

    2. ZeBestee
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Its just a matter of time until Salah comes good. I will keep for sure at least short term.

    3. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I'm actually thinking of using one of my free hits in 34 instead of 33 with Liverpool v Everton and City v Watford

    4. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      That fixture certainly stokes the fear a bit, but you could say the same of KdB v Watford & Son v Brentford. Its just more ingrained with Salah than the others

  11. aapoman
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    1ft and 0.7itb

    Pope
    TAA Robbo Cancelo Doherty
    Salah Foden Raphinha Kulusevski JWP
    Weghorst

    Foster; Adams, Livramento, Jimenez

    Jimenez -> ASM/Wood as the free transfer? Newcastle forwards would be a great fit my team as my current forwards don't like scoring goals.

    1. The Tinkerman
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      You could also gamble on Iheanacho or Daka at Leicester, Vardy probably won’t play again this season, it’s a tough call as to which one is better though, with Europe still a factor. Game tonight may give a clue as to who will play league games.

      1. aapoman
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Yeah Ihenacho is who I'm also considering. I'm fairly safe to take a minor risk for gameweeks 32-33 since I still have my wild card left

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Ian Nacho

  12. The Tinkerman
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Anyone else holding Coutinho and Weghorst?

    1. aapoman
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Holding Weghorst... Norwich and a double is a prefect trap.

      1. The Tinkerman
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Coutinho also has Norwich and a double after the blank…

    2. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      You're already in bed with the horse now, you might as well stay until morning.

      1. St Pauli Walnuts
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Turns out the horse is hung like a mouse.

  13. Steve The Spud
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Mendy bad but wtf is rudiger doing for that 3rd goal

    Just put your foot through it fella

    1. ZeBestee
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      It was difficult for Rudiger as the ball was a bit far from him and Karim approaching. Any contact there and it would have been a debatable red for him.

      1. Steve The Spud
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        He could have just put his right foot through it he was there first, awful

        1. ZeBestee
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          He did put his foot to try and clear it but he didnt clear it on another side but into Karim. It was more a 50 50 that could have gone anyhow ( either cleared completely, a red card tackle or what it happened). Maybe he should have been a little more brave but he had to stretch for it.

    2. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Already on a yellow also a factor

      1. Steve The Spud
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Well I think both of you are being seriously kind to him, he just needs to smash that and if it hits benzema it will go away somewhere and not fall right at his feet

        But I see your points, have a good day!

  14. Tango74
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Still debate

    FH33 or FH37 . ??

  15. Holmes
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Wonder if Villa will be a beach team. Not much to play for, fixtures are easy, so manager might want to try some bench players.

    1. Steve The Spud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Doubt he will rotate much as he needs a reasonable finish to the end of the season for the integrity of his job but yea, motivation might not be peak

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      My feeling is we'll see a fair bit of tinkering with the front 3. Ings could see a lot of rotation, and maybe Buendia if Gerrard wants to give Bailey a little run

  16. Fpl_Ludwig
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Any thoughts on what i should do?

    Sa
    Doherty - Rudiger - Robbo
    Salah - Saka - Mahrez - Barnes - Martinelli
    Weghorst - Kane

    Bench: Ramsdale - Richarlison - RAN - Thomas

    Thinking of 1 or 2 out of these options:
    Richarlison —> Saint Max (Getting Rich back GW36)

    Salah —> Fernandes

    RAN - Schär

  17. Steve The Spud
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Could it be worth doing Hokey Cokey salah/Bruno

    Sold salah before so no value tied up

    1. ZeBestee
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I would sell Salah only to KDB, but not a Utd player. Even then it will be a huge risk imo.

      1. Steve The Spud
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Yeah, and it will cost 2 moves + 0.1/0.2

        Probably just a hold

        1. ZeBestee
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          You have to hold Salah imo

  18. Drexl Spivey
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Weghorst DGWs are the biggest unicorn since Lukaku signing for anyone.

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Yep.

  19. TopBinFC
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    What use is DCL now, not even on pens?
    Also, are Chelsea assets an avoid now, I know all they will have to focus on is PL from next week but they are horrible defensively at the moment.

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      They are looking to sell him in next window, so maybe not going to be in their plans.

      Its Thiago time

    2. Steve The Spud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      No use

  20. Steve The Spud
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Would you bench any of these for Doherty

    James
    Cancelo
    Trent
    Weghorst

    Tbh I’m considering benching james

    1. DavvaMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Considering benching James myself.

    2. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Weggy?

      1. Steve The Spud
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        You just know he’ll bundle one in if you bench him

        1. JT11fc
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          No doubt about it, if not him then James

    3. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Weghorst might not start, so you can bench him

    4. antis0cial
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Weg

  21. jdogg
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Ramsey and broja

    To

    Barnes and cucho

    Free?x

    1. antis0cial
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Looks good, just not sure how nailed Cucho is

  22. antis0cial
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    These moves look ok for rough plan?
    32: Digne+Broja to James+Cucho (Play James bench Robbo)
    33: FH
    34: Save
    35: Weghorst+De Gea to Watkins+Foster
    36: Son+Toney to Maddison+Vardy (Assuming Vardy is fit 13DGW+Cancelo)
    37: FH

    Ramsdale
    TAA Robbo Cancelo Doherty
    Salah Son Kulu Saka Barnes
    Toney

    De Gea Weghorst Digne Broja

  23. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Team and bench order G2G?

    Schmeichel
    Cancelo - Laporte - TAA - Doherty
    KDB - Son - Maddison - Fraser - Martinelli
    Kane

    Foster - Mateta - Cucho - Mitchell

  24. HD7
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Start:
    1Pope
    2 Dubravka

    Start two of:
    A) Weghorst
    B) Schar
    C) Fraser
    D) Kulu

    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      1
      B
      D

  25. Pep Roulette
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    How long is Varsh out for? Is it worth getting Iheanacho?

    1. Pep Roulette
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Vardy**

    2. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Thinking this too, gonna see who starts tomorrow

    3. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      No concrete window yet but it sounds like it'll be a while

      “It is hard to put a timeline on it,” he explained. “He is still feeling pain within the knee. He can run and he is outside, but when he is striking the ball there is an issue, so we will have to get to the bottom of that.

      “I just spoke to Jamie. He had been outside, running in straight lines. It was just when he was opening up the MCL (medial collateral ligament) a bit when he is striking the ball that he was getting some pain in that.

      “I will have to speak to the medical team to see where that is at, but it doesn’t sound as if he is too close to being back.”

  26. AD2110
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Best midfield option under 7.9 m for GW32 only?

    1. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Saka

  27. OPTA FPL
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Would you rather have Bruno or James in next 2 gw?

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Bru

  28. Holmes
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Cucho if starting could be a handy 11th men for LEE, BRE, BUR, cry, EVE

  29. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Which GK to start

    A - Schmeichel
    B - Foster

  30. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    I feel bad but for some reason I really want Everton to go down.

    I think it might be because Lampard is so arrogant.