Spot the Differential
7 October 2022 407 comments
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Gameweek 10 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Chelsea, West Ham United and Manchester United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

PIERRE-EMERICK AUBAMEYANG

FPL Gameweek 10 differentials: Great fixtures for Aubameyang 1
  • FPL ownership: 1.8%
  • Price: £9.0m
  • GW10-14 fixtures: WOL | avl | bre | MUN | bha

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£9.0m) needed only 38 minutes of his Premier League debut for Chelsea to score his first goal for the club.

In addition to his strike at Selhurst Park, his movement and all-round display caught the eye, earning maximum bonus and a nine-point haul. His stats were modest (two shots in the box, one chance created), but you get the feeling Aubameyang can provide a clinical edge that Chelsea have been lacking.

Owned by just 1.8% of managers, the 33-year-old followed up his debut goal with another against AC Milan in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday. He was withdrawn shortly after tapping in Reece James’ (£6.1m) cross on 65 minutes, and almost provided an assist for Mason Mount (£7.6m), too, but there was an offside in the build-up.

Next up for Chelsea is Saturday’s home meeting with managerless Wolverhampton Wanderers, who are struggling with injuries and suspensions. Indeed, Ruben Neves (£5.5m) and Nathan Collins (£4.5m) are both banned, while the ankle injury that Pedro Neto (£5.1m) picked up in Gameweek 9 rules him out until after the World Cup. Their favourable schedule then continues, with successive away trips to struggling Aston Villa and Brentford.

The early signs for Aubameyang at Chelsea are really encouraging, which suggests he can build on his good start in the coming weeks.

LUCAS PAQUETA

  • FPL ownership: 1.3%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW10-14 fixtures: FUL | sou | liv | BOU | mun

Lucas Paqueta (£6.0m) made an instant impact as a substitute against Anderlecht in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday.

With the game goalless with 20 minutes to go, David Moyes turned to his summer signing, with the Brazilian repaying his manager’s faith by creating the winning goal for Gianluca Scamacca (£6.7m). Always demanding the ball, Paqueta was central to the Hammers’ play.

Domestically, the playmaker has started in each of West Ham United’s last three league matches. In that time, he has been deployed as an attacking midfielder in Moyes’ 4-2-3-1 formation, showing glimpses of his quality, but the best is undoubtedly yet to come.

Had he been playing in a team that was in form, he may have been able to make more of an impact. However, the Hammers have potentially turned a corner, after winning four of their last five matches in all competitions, including victories to nil over Wolves and Anderlecht this past week.

Now, they host a Fulham side that have conceded 13 goals in their last six matches, with appealing fixtures to follow against Southampton in Gameweek 11 and Bournemouth in Gameweek 13.

Paqueta can be a difference-maker at West Ham for that run, and could be a nice, cheaper alternative pick to Jarrod Bowen (£8.1m).

ANTHONY MARTIAL

FPL pre-season: Martial and Solanke net again
  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £6.9m
  • GW10-14 fixtures: eve | NEW | TOT | che | WHU

Anthony Martial (£6.9m) made a goal-scoring return from injury in Sunday’s defeat by Manchester City, grabbing a brace – a header and a fine penalty – one bonus and 10 points.

The Frenchman then followed it up by scoring one minute after being substituted on against Omonia Nicosia on Thursday, as Erik ten Hag handed him more valuable minutes after an interrupted start to 2022/23.

“We want to do it really careful because he had a good pre-season. Good, fit, also good impact and last 10 minutes [of the pre-season friendly] against Atletico Madrid he fell out and then he returned against Liverpool, so another injury, that put him far back. I cannot force it. I have to do it with a plan, that is what we’re trying to do. It’s quite clear. Happy with his performance – all the subs had a really good impact.” – Erik ten Hag on Anthony Martial

As a result, Martial has netted three goals and assisted one in his three appearances in all competitions this season, and is now pushing for a start against Everton, the team he has scored more goals against than any other.

It’s clear ten Hag will take a cautious approach with his return, but he has now played 31 minutes v Man City and 29 minutes v Omonia Nicossia this past week, which suggests he is close. A start certainly isn’t guaranteed, but fans are calling for it, and it’s hard to argue against his impact when on the pitch of late.

Martial has had a quiet period in his career due to injuries and an unsuccessful loan at Sevilla, but there is potential for him to score a lot of goals under ten Hag at Man Utd, provided he can stay fit.


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407 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Pied Mee Ince Silva
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Tearing my hair out over this one (and I don't have much left)

    Zaha + Wilson or Trossard + Aubameyang

    I'm wildcarding in 13, so it's more for the next three fixtures. I'm finding it real hard to favour one set over the other.

    Please chip in with your thoughts. 🙂

    1. JPSpurs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I like the Auba punt

    2. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I like Auba and thinking and thinking Auba + Eze instead of Zaha + Wilson.

      Already have Tross myself

    3. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I'm leaning towards Auba myself.

      That's partly as I want to hold enough to potentially go to Darwin + Diaz in the future.

      1. tokara
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Lol darwin

  2. JPSpurs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Want to drop Diaz - which is the best option?

    A. Bowen
    B. Zaha

    Thanks

    1. The Pesci challenge
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      B longer term

    2. Pied Mee Ince Silva
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Depends on how long term you'd be holding the guy for? Bowen for the next couple, Zaha if for longer.

      1. JPSpurs
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks - will be using WC either GW12 or 13 - as it stands, don’t mind playing Bowen v Liverpool

        1. Pied Mee Ince Silva
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Now you have me looking at Bowen + Wilson as an option! Good shout.

    3. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Both, but I think Bowen could kick start in the next two.

  3. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    A) Isak > Solanke
    B) Isak, Perisic -> Wilson, Guehi
    C) Isak, Perisic -> Toney, Guehi

  4. TanN
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Just realised i have 9/15 Bus Team picks...

  5. FPL Brains
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    I'm definitely flip flopping all over the place.

    Potential WC from;

    Pope - Ward
    Cancelo - James - Trippier - Saliba - Williams
    Foden - Maddison - Zaha - Bailey - Andreas
    Haaland - Kane - Jesus

    to

    Kepa - Ward
    Cancelo - James - Trippier - Saliba - Guehi
    Foden - Maddison - Zaha - Bowen - Andreas
    Haaland - Auba - Jesus

    Changes are;

    Pope, Williams, Bailey, Kane -> Kepa, Guehi, Bowen, Auba

    Let me know your thoughts please. (Also considering Jesus -> Wilson, but not settled on that).

    1. JPSpurs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      An improvement but marginal, would probably hold onto the WC a little longer - current team is solid

    2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Not enough moves to WC..
      Your team looks fine as it is. I'd save it for later.

      1. FPL Brains
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Just thinking those differentials could give me the jump across the next 3 GWs

  6. Ahmed Adam
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    KDB or Foden

    Which one is best to pick?

    1. TanN
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Has to be Foden for value

    2. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Massive price difference, so depends what you're doing with the rest of your budget.

    3. Sho-kun
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      KDB regular starter, Foden could get benched in the next gw

      1. JayKay1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Foden has started all 8 PL games for ManC this season, and he's only played 10 mins less than KdB (611 vs 601)...

        Foden was also rested in CL mid-week, so he's a safe start for Sat...

      2. Funkyav
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Foden has started every game in the league

  7. I am 42
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Saints annual 9-0 defeat, will it be this weekend?

    Anyone planning to TC Haaland?

    1. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      City could hit double digits, that's got to be the aim.

      1. I am 42
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        unless you are planning to TC Kane Son or Salah, it's debatable to TC Haaland in a good single game week as he might not play both games in a DGW.

        1. Baines on Toast...
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          He's playing three times a week at the moment.

    2. TanN
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Or is this the week he gets rested...

      I'm not going to TC him this week - although it is the most tempted, I have been so far.

      Just think - yes, he may score lots vs Southampton, but when he gets a double game week his TC score will be ridiculous.

      Just think if he scores 6 goals across two games, with 2 assists across two games (as an example) and he picks up BPS maximums in both games his total score would be:

      24 (goals x 6)
      6 (assists x 2)
      4 (90 min x 2)
      6 (BPS max. x 2)
      ____

      40 x 3 = 120

      1. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        I agree. Dgw ceiling is much higher and also risk of no show is smaller than during sgw.

    3. Wild Card this!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Yes and No.
      For whatever the reason, City usually wins, occasionally dream but scored good on only 2 out of last 6.
      1:0
      0:1
      5:2
      0:0
      1:1
      1:4
      Of course I will captain Halland and have 3 City like probably all the rest of managers but I wouldn’t be surprised if we all cry in few days as score was 1:0 and no returns.
      Just something to think about.
      This is FPL!

      1. Wild Card this!
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        FFS, not dream - DRAW. Hello my Autocorrect

  8. akhilrajau
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Who to get
    A. Coufal
    B. Guehi

    1. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Coufal isn't nailed.

      1. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        He was benched last week. May even have been dropped.

    2. TanN
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      A

    3. Goodfeathers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      B

  9. Karan_G14
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Pope
    Cancelo James Trippier
    KDB Zaha Martinelli Maddison
    Haaland Mitro Toney

    (Iverson Andreas Digne* Patterson*)
    2 FTs & 0.2m

    Digne to Guehi for free?
    Bench Mitrovic if out for this week?
    Thoughts?

  10. Konstaapeli
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Been a bit busy. Any Mitro news?

    1. Wild Card this!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Just about

    2. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Not yet, soon though.

    3. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      His price has dropped today.

    4. Konstaapeli
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Cheers

    5. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      in 15 mins

    6. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      13:30

      1. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Actually 15.30 for Konstaapeli 😉

  11. AIRMILES
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Just some meandering thoughts on Haaland, and keen to hear thoughts of others.

    From City's perspective, their top priority is winning the CL. Their second priority is winning the EPL. Player records don't matter much to City, but they will also want to keep Haaland happy, so his personal priorities, which will include personal records, will be a consideration.

    Haaland scored two in the CL the other day, before being brought off at half time. That suggests he'll start against SOU. But it might also suggest that being the CL top scorer is of lesser importance to Haaland than getting a goal scoring record in the EPL.

    If I was Haaland, that would be my personal goal. Yes win the EPL and the CL, but, given his start, I would be looking to breaking the record for the number of goals scored in an EPL season (by a considerable margin). This would be even more so the case if I was only planning on being in the EPL for two seasons.

    At this point in the season, pulling Haaland off at half time in a CL group stage match which has already been won is no issue. As the competition progresses to knock-out rounds, squeezing as many goals out of Haaland in the first leg of a round is going to become City's priority. At which point Haaland will likely get reduced minutes in the EPL, especially if by that point they top the league by 10+ points, with no realistic title challenger.

    I suspect Haaland is going to play ball with City's priorities. But I will be interested to see if he over exerts himself in the latter part of the season, in pursuit of an EPL goals record that could stand for many years to come.

    1. No Kane No Gain
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I honestly don’t think Pep cares about personal records

      1. AIRMILES
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        I don't disagree.

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Pfff, the dude just walks about.

    3. Qaiss
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      This is just overthinking it. Pep will play him nearly every game and give him a rest when need be. He doesn't care about personal records. For FPL, it's not like anyone is going to take the armband away from him, so there's no point discussing him.

      1. AIRMILES
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        I'm not really thinking about this from an FPL perspective. Of course he'll keep the armband for the foreseeable future.

    4. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I think Pep took him off primarily because of the quality of opposition, combined with being a few goals ahead. I don't think he'd dare take him off so early if 3 goals up against a PL team, but City had a stunning TEN shots on target in the first 45 alone, that game was only going one way. I don't have the exact quotes but saw a Southampton page saying Pep said he took him off early as he needed him ready for Southampton, who City didn't beat last season (and only scored 1 goal against over 2 games). I think Pep will just keep going with him as long as he can but he won't give a damn about records unless titles have been won.

  12. Malinwa
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Bilva+Diaz > Maddison+Zaha?

    Or would you keep Bilva? He played 66min Wednesday...

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Solid moves. Do it!

      1. Malinwa
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers

    2. Sho-kun
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      go for it

  13. tbos83
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    3 years ago I hardly knew what fantasy football was. Now I'm counting down the minutes to find out the status of Mitrovic's injured foot.

    1. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Those were the days

    2. Goodfeathers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Haha

  14. Sho-kun
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    What to do? 2Ft

    A) JWP + Mitro --> Zaha + Solanke
    B) JWP + Mitro --> Trossard + Scamacca
    C) JWP + Mitro --> Maddison + Edouard

    1. Goodfeathers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I’d wait on Mitro injury news before getting rid of him.

  15. Goodfeathers
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Foden worth a -4 this gw? I have a WC to deal with GW12

    1. Cheeky Onion
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Any reason why you're going WC GW12 to ditch City/Ars, instead of GW13 to load back up on them?

  16. GENERATION X
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    I expect Silva just says he 'has a chance' or something. Keep the oppo guessing....

  17. Boom XhakaLacaSaka
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    2ft 0.1 itb WC13
    Ward
    Taa Cancelo Trippier James
    Martinelli KDB Harrison
    Jesus Haaland Mitrovic

    Raya Gordon Perreira Williams

    A) KDB + Gordon > Zaha + Maddison
    B) KDB + Harrison > Sterling + Zaha
    C) Harrison + Jesus > Zaha + Solanke
    D) Something else?

    1. Cheeky Onion
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I'm in the same boat with 2 FTs and WC GW13. Decided to do TAA + Bailey > Mings + Madders. Also have 5 Ars/City players, but don't want to ditch them just yet. Will use 2 remaining transfers on them

    2. SDTA
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      KDB + Harrison -> Zaha and Maddison?

      1. Cheeky Onion
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Even with the GW12 black coming up, I'd be weary of ditching KdB before Southampton at home. Could be a cricket score

  18. RichardNixon
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    What's the story with Firmino? He looked outstanding the couple times I watched Liverpool play this season. Worth a punt?

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Yes but maybe not this week.

      1. RichardNixon
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        He's got 9 goals and 3 assists in 13 premier league games against Arsenal. Pretty decent.

        But yeah, the next two fixtures could be anything. Hard to say if he even starts but atm Liverpool need points and he was their most threatening attacking player when I watched them

  19. Milk, 1 Šuker
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Yes! Andersen looking good for weekend! Great news!

  20. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Bottomed

    Okay so iv had to downgrade TAA to bring in zaha + Maddison as part of a - 4

    6.1 to spend on a defender

    Have(Saliba /Trippier/james)

    Playing 433

    Wat ye reckon? Go cheap with that Palace guy Guehi?

    1. Cheeky Onion
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I sold TAA this week and was between Guehi and Mings, went Mings but it's a coin flip. If I wasn't WCing GW13, Guehi's better longer term fixtures would sway me his way

  21. Eightball
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    A) Saka + Mitro ----> Wilson + Zaha
    B) Saka + Mitro -----> Eze + Auba
    C) Sinistera + X --------> Zaha + Y (Need to find 0.2m)

    for C I Would have to downgrade Pope, Saka or Mitro by 0.2m. Struggling to see who I would get in that I actually want.

  22. Bubbles1985
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Current squad, how's it looking:

    Ward
    Cancelo N.Williams Tripp(vc) James
    KDB Martinelli Gross
    Haaland(c) Kane Toney

    Sanchez Andreas Emerson DaSilva

    Have 1ft and 1.3m itb this week and still WC to play. Think I am good to roll the transfer this week?

    GL all!

    Cheers

  23. LeytonOrient
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    A) Diaz > Zaha
    B) Diaz + Mitro > Zaha + Wilson
    C) Other

    0.0 ITB and Diaz @ 8m so Bowen/Madds only possible freeing up funds elsewhere.

    Pope Iversen
    Cancelo James Tripp Neco Saliba
    KDB Rashford Diaz Martinelli Andreas
    Haaland Jesus Mitro*

  24. jimbo90
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Salah & Bailey > Maddison & Zaha for -4?

    Gives me enough money to do Gordon > Bowen next week and ensure I have a decent 11 for GW12

  25. ameisin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    West Ham fans, has Coufal definitely been dropped, or was last week a rest?

    1. Milk, 1 Šuker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I'm not a WH fan but I don't think he'll be coming back too soon as Kehrer has looked good on the right and he was rested midweek in the ECL

      1. ameisin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Ok thanks for the info!

  26. boc610
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Erling's salary perfectly illustrating how city have pi**ed all over FFP for years and make up the rules as they go along. City's badge should just be an * this stage .

  27. simong1
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    A or B?

    A) Fofana > Guehi and play Guehi (FT)

    B) Play Andersen

    1. simong1
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Sorry B should be Andreas

  28. Ravanelli85
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    I did Salah to Foden and Mitrovic to Kane, might come to regret that ha

  29. Pylynen
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    1ft and 1.4 itb what to do? WC available

    Pope
    James Cancelo Trippier
    KDB Maddison Martinelli Harrison
    Haaland Jesus Mitrovic

    Ward Neco Schär Andreas

    A)Harrison>Zaha
    B)Save
    C)WC

    Thanks!

  30. Stranger Mings
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Who is the best 3.9/4m defender? Thought Tomkins, Emerson & zanka but can’t see playing? Thanks

    1. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Not sure there is one. Don't like the idea of a non-playing sub with the BGW coming

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Agree , really want zaha so looking at Walker & Gordon to zaha & 4m def. I can however play saliba, neco or da silva from my bench