Captain Sensible
21 October 2022 610 comments
Hibbo Hibbo
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Erling Haaland (£12.1m) returns to the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) captaincy conversation in Gameweek 13, but the decision over who to hand the armband to isn’t entirely clear-cut with a range of options from Liverpool, Tottenham Hotspur and Arsenal rivalling the Norwegian. 

As usual, the Captain Sensible article is here to highlight which assets have the best chance of hauling.

First, we will assess the fallout of the captain poll, before then analysing the best options, Rate My Team (RMT) and the Premier Fantasy Tools ratings ahead of Saturday’s 11:00 BST deadline.

THE CAPTAIN POLL

Erling Haaland dominates the captain poll, with almost two-thirds of the total votes cast by users at the time of writing.

No other player has garnered more than 21% of votes at this stage, with Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) currently in second place, backed by around one in five of our users.

Darwin Nunez (£8.8m) occupies third place with a little under 4% of the vote, followed by Kevin De Bruyne (£12.3m) a mite further back.

THE MAIN CANDIDATES

ERLING HAALAND/PHIL FODEN

Erling Haaland makes a welcome return to the captaincy debate following Manchester City’s Blank Gameweek 12, in which a host of alternative options failed their armband auditions. 

The status quo remains for the best fantasy asset in the division – and Erling Haaland continues to produce gold-standard numbers. 

The Norwegian leads the division for shots inside the box (24), big chances (eight), and shots on target (16) over the last six matches. 

The all-important expected data confirms Haaland’s dominance, ranking best for expected goals (xG) and expected goal involvement (xGI) over the last six matches, with 4.90 and 6.14 respectively. 

A screenshot of a computer  Description automatically generated

Above: Erling Haaland leads the division for shots inside the box (24), big chances (8), and shots on target (16) over the last six matches

Phil Foden (£8.3m) has been snapped up by 300,000+ FPL managers before Manchester City host Brighton in a hugely enticing home fixture, the most bought player ahead of Gameweek 13. 

Foden has scored six goals and supplied four assists this season and, except for his strike against Wolverhampton Wanderers in Gameweek 8, all his returns have arrived at the Etihad Stadium.  

While understandably Erling Haaland sets the pace as far as City’s underlying goal threat numbers are concerned, Foden is no slouch. 

Among City teammates over the last six matches, Foden plays understudy to only Haaland for shots inside the box (13), big chances (three), and shots on target (nine). 

Guardiola’s charges host De Zerbi’s Brighton in Gameweek 13, with the match of playstyles suggesting an open high scoring encounter. 

Analysing the Seagulls at a team level, over the last six matches Brighton have registered a single clean sheet, against Nottingham Forest in Gameweek 12. 

However, the underlying defensive numbers for Brighton remain strong: the Seagulls rank in the top four over the last six matches for shots on target against (19) and expected goals conceded (xGC), with 5.98. 

MOHAMED SALAH/DARWIN NUNEZ



Hibbo Author of Captain Sensible. I write Fantasy Premier League articles, focusing on stats and strategy. Four top 10k finishes. 22/23 Rank - 6123.  Follow them on Twitter

610 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Qaiss
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Righto, what are fellow Zaha owners doing? Selling for free, selling for a hit, keeping? Plan was to reverse the Saka > Zaha switch I made a couple of weeks ago but I can only do it for a hit this week. Is it worth just keeping Zaha now?

    1. Mirror Man
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Not sure. I'm waiting for letstalkfplreview.com to make a video and tell me what to do.

        1. Qaiss
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Hehe

      • ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Keeping with those fixtures.

        1. Qaiss
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Decent fixtures true and hopefully still on pens, though he did miss his last one.

      • Mozumbus
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        I'd not take hit here
        Although I switched Zaha to Saka on WC13
        Got Zaha in last week only

      • Il Capitano
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Keeping

      • BERGKOP
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Keeping

      • Qaiss
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Hmm, many seem to be keeping, cheers all

      • Atimis
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Keeping now and maybe getting Saka next week

      • fusen
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        I'm bringing him in on a wildcard. He has quite high ownership, good fixtures and a little bit of form.

        Seems a sensible option to have in midfield for the next couple of weeks. Although I do have the luxury of using the wildcard to bring in the other 'wanted' players like both Foden and Saka 😛

      • leop911
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        I considered Zaha to Saka as well, but I decided against it for this GW:

        1) Saka is not 100% sure of playing, even if he starts, he might be subbed earlier to be on the safe side.
        2) I hate taking a hit, especially considering that both players could score high, it is not like Saka is significantly more likely to score than Zaha.

      • PompeyUpNorth!
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Keeping

      • The Mentaculus
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Sold for Saka

      • Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Keeping for now

      • WVA
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Yep I would keep, he'll tick along nicely

      • bench boost for every gamew…
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        I would sell if i could, but not in a position to do it.
        And fixtures are decent and he is 90 minutes guy with pens. For FREE yes, if not other issues bigger elsewhere.

    2. Espanyolie
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I’m in a bit of a pickle here. 1FT, 0.8 itb

      Guaita

      Saliba, Trippier, Kilman
      Salah, Martielli, Zaha, Andreas
      Mitro, Haaland, Kane

      (Ward, Trossard, Veltman, Neco)

      Best I can think of for now is Veltman to Cancelo and Trossard to a 5.0 (KDH perhaps?) for a -4

      Any thoughts ?

      1. Mozumbus
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Not worth a hit

      2. BERGKOP
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Just save this week

    3. AARON-1
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Is Gabriel nailed for the weekend? I see he played the whole match while Saliba was rested and White got 15 minutes at the end. Any reason to think Gabriel might miss out against Saints?

      1. Qaiss
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Gabriel will play, with Saliba, White and probably Tomiyasu at left back, unless Zinchenko is back.

    4. Dazzrb
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Perisic > Gomez or Salina for free?

      1. Mirror Man
          3 years, 3 months ago

          More of a Salma Hayek guy myself.

          1. The Knights Template
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Salma Hayek is older than me. Tis true.

            1. Philosopher's Stones
              • 5 Years
              3 years, 3 months ago

              Love knows no age

            2. Mirror Man
                3 years, 3 months ago

                And still a serpent of seduction.

                1. The Knights Template
                  • 12 Years
                  3 years, 3 months ago

                  She is no dragon, that’s for sure!

                  1. The Ilfordian
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 7 Years
                    3 years, 3 months ago

                    Perhaps a wyvern?

          2. Mozumbus
            • 4 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Saliba

            1. AARON-1
              • 4 Years
              3 years, 3 months ago

              Saliba suspension looming, don't forget. One more yellow card...

          3. antis0cial
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            I'd go Gabriel

          4. Philosopher's Stones
            • 5 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Salina for free? Now now, son. Atleast take her out to dinner first.

        • Al Pacho
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          How is this WC team??

          Guaita
          Cancelo Saliba Trippier
          Salah Foden Martinelli Zaha Andreas
          Mitrovic Haaland

          Bench: Ward Solanke Dalot Neco

        • Ask Yourself
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Saka or Foden !!!

          1. Lionac
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Foden as Saka is flagged, and Foden is well rested.

          2. Well you know, Triffic
            • 15 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            It's a coin toss mate, think they'll both score similar.

          3. DRIZ ✅
            • 14 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Foden and Martinelli

          4. WVA
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Foden this week, Saka next week

        • Well you know, Triffic
          • 15 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          A) Salah, Mitro, Willams
          B) Bowen, Nunez, Cresswell

          Help! Poor team value and finding it hard to fit Salah in on wc. Thanks

          1. Ask Yourself
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            A

          2. Old Wulfrunian
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            b

          3. BERGKOP
            • 14 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            A

          4. WVA
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Why would you want Salah?

            1. Well you know, Triffic
              • 15 Years
              3 years, 3 months ago

              Because he is probably the greatest FPL asset in history and playing a mickey mouse team.

        • Old Wulfrunian
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Any news from press conferences?

          1. Mirror Man
              3 years, 3 months ago

              Saka's had his chips nicked

              1. The Mentaculus
                • 4 Years
                3 years, 3 months ago

                Last seen barricaded inside the cargo section of PSV's return flight, rummaging furiously through their bags

                1. Mirror Man
                    3 years, 3 months ago

                    Stowaway chips eh? I bet he didn't see that one coming.

            • tibollom
              • 9 Years
              3 years, 3 months ago

              Should I WC this team? (1 F T 1.9 ITB)..

              Sanchez Ward
              Cancelo Trippier Guehi Robbo Neco
              Salah Marti Zaha Andreas Aaronsson
              Mitro Wilson Haaland

              1. Lionac
                • 9 Years
                3 years, 3 months ago

                Not a bad team, but no need to save WC anymore. Think you should do WC.

                1. tibollom
                  • 9 Years
                  3 years, 3 months ago

                  thanks mate, how's this WC draft?

                  Kepa Ward
                  Cancelo White Trippier Neco Guehi
                  Son Zaha Foden Marti Andreas
                  Mitro Haaland Darwin

                  1. Tanaka'd
                    • 9 Years
                    3 years, 3 months ago

                    Not sure I'd lose Salah this week

                    1. tibollom
                      • 9 Years
                      3 years, 3 months ago

                      yea i've reposted another idea below, cheers

            • DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
              • 4 Years
              3 years, 3 months ago

              Zaha is scoring v Everton this weekend and has great fixtures.

              Why is everyone selling him??

              1. frenchfries
                • 9 Years
                3 years, 3 months ago

                87788 transfers in
                53228 transfers out

                Hardly everyone. But my guess is that many are swapping him for Saka or Foden

              2. Mirror Man
                  3 years, 3 months ago

                  You need to work on your social skills mate.

                • The Big Fella
                  • 9 Years
                  3 years, 3 months ago

                  To bring in Foden and/or Saka

              3. Netters2018
                • 7 Years
                3 years, 3 months ago

                Would you do Wilson to Darwin for -4?

                Y or N

                1. The Knights Template
                  • 12 Years
                  3 years, 3 months ago

                  Y

                2. Lionac
                  • 9 Years
                  3 years, 3 months ago

                  I would on FT. Not sure it is worth a hit.

                  1. Netters2018
                    • 7 Years
                    3 years, 3 months ago

                    Tricky isnt it, Darwin has the better fixtures and dont want to risk missing out on a forest haul. Wilson has looked patchy at best last few games. Tricky.

                    1. Lionac
                      • 9 Years
                      3 years, 3 months ago

                      Basically you'll need Darwin to score 2 goals. If he gets enough minutes on pitch I think he can.

              4. Junks
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 4 Years
                3 years, 3 months ago

                *Repost*
                Thoughts on Edouard as my third forward with Haaland and Darwin till GW16.... I want to pack the midfield but also would like some Palace cover??

                1. Tanaka'd
                  • 9 Years
                  3 years, 3 months ago

                  That's the same front 3 I have. The saving on Edouard over Mitrovic makes my midfield look better

                  1. Tanaka'd
                    • 9 Years
                    3 years, 3 months ago

                    But I'm playing 352 with Edouard first on the bench

                2. DRIZ ✅
                  • 14 Years
                  3 years, 3 months ago

                  Would rather try to get Zaha

                  1. Made in Japan
                    • 9 Years
                    3 years, 3 months ago

                    Or Eze...

              5. Mirror Man
                  3 years, 3 months ago

                  Nunez has a lot of sharp points on his head, doesn't he? Head like a bag of Doritos so he does.

                  1. The Knights Template
                    • 12 Years
                    3 years, 3 months ago

                    Conehead, his name is Conehead.

                • Rodney
                  • 11 Years
                  3 years, 3 months ago

                  I am not a fan of hits BUT...thoughts on this:

                  KDB & Trossard to Foden & Saka (assuming fit) - 4

                  Will prob do KDB to Foden anyway, so it's whether I feel Saka can outscore Andreas with a -4 (will bench Tross)

                  1. Mirror Man
                      3 years, 3 months ago

                      I, like, big hits and I cannot lie....

                    • Laporte of the Gods
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 6 Years
                      3 years, 3 months ago

                      I would do this. You won't want trossard longer term.

                  2. Lionac
                    • 9 Years
                    3 years, 3 months ago

                    Is it worth going with Ward/Iversen to afford this attack?

                    Salah - Saka - Martinelli - Foden
                    Haaland - Darwin - Mitrovic

                    1. Well you know, Triffic
                      • 15 Years
                      3 years, 3 months ago

                      Pondering the same.

                      1. Lionac
                        • 9 Years
                        3 years, 3 months ago

                        Only worried how will these score in GW15 because of 4 attackers from ARS & LIV which are away at CHE & TOT plus Mitro against City

                        1. Well you know, Triffic
                          • 15 Years
                          3 years, 3 months ago

                          Chelsea and Spurs aren't watertight, and also you can sell them on.

                  3. DV8R
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 14 Years
                    3 years, 3 months ago

                    Play Trips or Zouma?

                    1. DRIZ ✅
                      • 14 Years
                      3 years, 3 months ago

                      Zou for MNF

                    2. Tanaka'd
                      • 9 Years
                      3 years, 3 months ago

                      Trippier

                    3. Made in Japan
                      • 9 Years
                      3 years, 3 months ago

                      Trips

                  4. YoungPretender
                    • 11 Years
                    3 years, 3 months ago

                    GTG?

                    Ward
                    Cancelo White Trippier
                    Salah Martinelli Zaha Foden
                    Darwin Mitro Haaland

                    Iversen Andreas Neco Dunk

                    1. DRIZ ✅
                      • 14 Years
                      3 years, 3 months ago

                      Would have Toney instead of Mitro but g2g

                  5. tibollom
                    • 9 Years
                    3 years, 3 months ago

                    quite far behind the top in my ML (80pts), what do you think of this WC draft? Or is salah + dawin overkill?

                    Kepa Ward
                    Guehi Webster Neco Cancelo Trippier
                    Salah Foden Rashford Martinelli andreas
                    Mitro Haaland Darwin

                    1. tibollom
                      • 9 Years
                      3 years, 3 months ago

                      or white + zaha instead of webster + Rash and take rashford in GW14..

                  6. akhilrajau
                    • 7 Years
                    3 years, 3 months ago

                    Which combination is best in WC

                    A. Gomez, Trippier, Scamacca
                    B TAA, White, Solanke

                    1. DRIZ ✅
                      • 14 Years
                      3 years, 3 months ago

                      B

                      1. akhilrajau
                        • 7 Years
                        3 years, 3 months ago

                        Thank u

                  7. Bishopool
                    • 14 Years
                    3 years, 3 months ago

                    If u have to choose:

                    a) Cancelo
                    b) Foden

                    1. DRIZ ✅
                      • 14 Years
                      3 years, 3 months ago

                      B

                    2. Mirror Man
                        3 years, 3 months ago

                        Cancelo this week as Foden is rumored to be off to a Chimney Sweep expo.

                    3. Bishopool
                      • 14 Years
                      3 years, 3 months ago

                      a) KDB
                      b) Salah

                    4. TKC07
                      • 6 Years
                      3 years, 3 months ago

                      How would you prioritize the order if plan to get 2 Pool assets, if no budget constraints?
                      1) Darwin
                      2) Salah
                      3) TAA
                      4) Robbo/VVD
                      5) Firmino
                      6) Gomez

                      1. DRIZ ✅
                        • 14 Years
                        3 years, 3 months ago

                        2 1

                    5. Here is Cash, give McGinn
                      • 6 Years
                      3 years, 3 months ago

                      Which WC team better? Any other suggestions

                      Kepa - Ward
                      x, White, Cancelo, Trippier, Gomez
                      x, Salah, Saka, Foden, Andreas
                      Haaland, Toney, Mitro

                      A) Gabriel, Almiron. 0.5 ITB
                      B) Patterson, Martinelli 0.1 ITB

                      1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
                        • 9 Years
                        3 years, 3 months ago

                        B

                    6. Old Wulfrunian
                      • 9 Years
                      3 years, 3 months ago

                      Best forward up to 8.0 except Toney/Edouard?

                      1. DRIZ ✅
                        • 14 Years
                        3 years, 3 months ago

                        Scam

                        1. Old Wulfrunian
                          • 9 Years
                          3 years, 3 months ago

                          Cheers

                      2. waltzingmatildas
                        • 15 Years
                        3 years, 3 months ago

                        Scamacca? Mitro? Jesus?

                        1. Old Wulfrunian
                          • 9 Years
                          3 years, 3 months ago

                          cheers

                    7. waltzingmatildas
                      • 15 Years
                      3 years, 3 months ago

                      A) Saka and Toney
                      B) Rashford and Jesus (have cover for Jesus if he gets suspended)

                      1. Tanaka'd
                        • 9 Years
                        3 years, 3 months ago

                        A

                      2. Made in Japan
                        • 9 Years
                        3 years, 3 months ago

                        A

                    8. Eleven Hag
                      • 8 Years
                      3 years, 3 months ago

                      Draft league question:

                      Bamford or DCL for next few weeks?

                      1. Made in Japan
                        • 9 Years
                        3 years, 3 months ago

                        DCL - far better fixtures.

                    9. akhilrajau
                      • 7 Years
                      3 years, 3 months ago

                      A. White +Mitchell
                      B. Mitchell + zouma

                      1. Eleven Hag
                        • 8 Years
                        3 years, 3 months ago

                        A

                        1. akhilrajau
                          • 7 Years
                          3 years, 3 months ago

                          Thank u. What about
                          Cresswell + Bueno

                    10. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
                      • 9 Years
                      3 years, 3 months ago

                      Play one
                      a) Perisic (NEW)
                      b) Cucurella (MUN)

                      1. No Professionals
                        • 8 Years
                        3 years, 3 months ago

                        Don’t think perisic will start personally

                        1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
                          • 9 Years
                          3 years, 3 months ago

                          yeah, not sure either..
                          Will Cucu start?

                      2. waltzingmatildas
                        • 15 Years
                        3 years, 3 months ago

                        A

                        1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
                          • 9 Years
                          3 years, 3 months ago

                          Thanks bud

                    11. AYLD28
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 10 Years
                      3 years, 3 months ago

                      What do we think is the better move now and looking ahead:

                      Pickford (4.0)
                      Cancelo Trippier White Justin (Guehi)
                      Foden Zaha Salah (Trossard / Andreas)
                      Haaland Scamacca Solanke

                      I have used my FT on Foden, I want to take a hit to either bring in:

                      1. TAA (for Justin)
                      2. Saka (for Trossard)
                      3. Darwin (for Solanke)

                      If I go (1) or (3) I will bring in Martinelli in GW14 for Trossard.

                      I’m 1.2m so I’m irking for a differential with high upside, edging Darwin. Thoughts?

                    12. FPL Emu
                      • 15 Years
                      3 years, 3 months ago

                      Which plan is better?

                      A) Bowen (BOU) to Foden (BHA) now, Zaha to Saka later

                      B) Zaha (eve) to Saka (sou) now, Bowen to Foden later

                      C) Pope (tot) to Ramsdale (sou),
                      Bowen (mun) to Saka (NFO) next week, Zaha (whu) to Foden (FUL) after that