Captain Sensible
2 January 2023 410 comments
Hibbo Hibbo
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Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers approach the final hurdle of a testing festive schedule with the first Double Gameweek of the season offering a genuine opportunity to challenge the captaincy status quo. 

Candidates from Chelsea and Fulham provide a range of Double Gameweek options, while single-fixture heavyweights Erling Haaland (£12.2m) and Mohamed Salah (£12.9m) offer alternative options in the Double Gameweek 19 captaincy conundrum.

As usual, the Captain Sensible article is here to highlight which assets have the best chance of hauling.

First, we will assess the fallout of the captain poll, before then analysing the best options, Rate My Team (RMT) and the Premier Fantasy Tools ratings ahead of Monday’s 16:00 GMT deadline.

THE CAPTAIN POLL

Aleksandar Mitrovic (£7.1m) is the leader of the captain poll in Gameweek 19, with just under 35% of total votes from our users at the time of writing.

The dominance of this weekly ballot by Erling Haaland has become customary but the Norwegian is forced to play second fiddle, backed by around 18% of those polled.

Mohamed Salah occupies third place with a mite over 10% of the vote, followed by Marcus Rashford (£6.9m) and Mason Mount (£7.6m) further back. 

DOUBLE GAMEWEEK CANDIDATES

ALEKSANDAR MITROVIC/ANDREAS PEREIRA

Aleksandar Mitrovic (£7.1m) was the most transferred-in player ahead of Gameweek 18 but the Serbian saw his stoppage-time spot-kick saved against Southampton, disappointing 800,000+ new owners. 

Mitrovic’s 34 shots, 31 shots inside the box, and 14 headed goal attempts are all division-leading totals over the last six matches – highlighting the Serbian’s credentials for captaincy this week. 

A screenshot of a computer  Description automatically generated

Above: Aleksandar Mitrovic leads the division for shots (34), shots inside the box (31) and headed attempts (14) over the last matches

Furthermore, Mitrovic ranks second-best over that same period for expected goals (xG) and expected goal involvement (xGI), with 5.00 and 5.40 respectively, bested by only Erling Haaland. 

An important caveat for Mitrovic is that he is walking the suspension tightrope, and should the Serbian be cautioned against Leicester City he would be suspended for Fulham’s second fixture of Gameweek 19, against Chelsea. 

Andreas Pereira (£4.6m) continues to dazzle as the cut-price gem took his attacking return tally to eight for the season following a Gameweek 18 Fantasy assist, after his edge-of-the-box strike cannoned in off James Ward-Prowse (£6.2m). 

The Brazilian has produced exemplary creative underlying numbers which keep in step with the division’s leading midfield providers, despite his knock-down price tag.

Pereira’s 18 chances created and 18 successful crosses place him in the top four midfielder’s over the last six matches, with the Manchester United loanee supplying three total assists over that same period. 

Furthermore, the Brazilian holds a monopoly on dead-ball duties for the Cottagers, placing in the division’s top four for corners taken (27) and successful free-kicks (four) over the last six. 

In the immediate fixture, Fulham travel to face Leicester City, with the Foxes in poor form after suffering back-to-back defeats since the Premier League restart, ramping up the pressure on manager Brendan Rodgers. 

Leicester City place in the bottom five for shots inside the box conceded (67) and non-penalty expected goals conceded (NPxGC, 9.15), flagging their three clean sheets over the last six matches as fortunate over-performance. 

Fulham host Chelsea in the second fixture of Gameweek 19 with Potter’s side badly out of form, winning just one of their last seven league matches. 

The Blues have registered just one clean sheet in their last six matches despite underlying defensive numbers which, on the surface, appear respectable.

Chelsea place in the division’s top nine for shots on target against (27) and big chances conceded (nine) over the period.

However, the Blues rank second-worst for chances conceded in central areas (26), and rank seventh-worst for non-penalty expected goals conceded (NPxGC, 8.3). 

KAI HAVERTZ/RAHEEM STERLING/MASON MOUNT



Hibbo Author of Captain Sensible. I write Fantasy Premier League articles, focusing on stats and strategy. Four top 10k finishes. 22/23 Rank - 6123.  Follow them on Twitter

410 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. aapoman
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    Been an absolute s**t show after the restart... 1ft and 0.6itb and the team looks complete crap.

    Ederson
    Cucurella Gabriel Trippier
    Salah Foden Trossard Rashford Martinelli
    Haaland Darwin

    Ward; Castagne, Patterson, Greenwood

    Foden has to go!

    A. Foden -> Mount
    B. Foden, Greenwood -> Pereira, Mitrovic (-4)

    1. The Tinkerman
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      B

    2. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Wouldn’t normally recommend a hit but I prefer B for long term trustworthy players.

    3. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      B for sure

    4. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Foden to Saka/Odegaard (Son of Aeroguard).

  2. The Tinkerman
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    Tempting to bench boost this tbh

    Ward; Cancelo, Martinelli, Patterson

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Confident Pep starts Cancelo?

      1. The Tinkerman
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 20 days ago

        I think he starts over Rico vs Chelsea yeah

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 20 days ago

          Can see Fulham and Brighton both scoring so not sure what sort of score that will get but understand the desire to get any potential Martinelli points

    2. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Oh my, Martinelli on the bench? I think I’d do it, especially if you think Cancelo might get minutes

      1. The Tinkerman
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 20 days ago

        Is between him and Trossard, who is playing as a striker vs Everton

        1. The Ilfordian
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 20 days ago

          That’s tough although I’d probably play Martinelli over Trossard on form

    3. QUEN
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      I think I would with that tbh

  3. The Knights Template
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    Why is everyone bringing in Azpilicueta?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Everyone?

      Cheap and people perceive him to be nailed with Reece James out

      1. Lucky Z
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 20 days ago

        Cucu can play RB with Chilwell on LB, no?

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 20 days ago

          I’ve never seen it for Chelsea, some Chelsea fans would argue he can barely play RB.

          If anyone should be coming in at LB/RB it should be Lewis Hall

          1. Miguel Sanchez
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 20 days ago

            *LB

        2. Danno - Emre Canada
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 20 days ago

          Chilwell is not even properly tracing yet is he?

      2. The Knights Template
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 20 days ago

        Forgive me Miguel, I was throwing a line out. Wondering if he plays both games in the dgw. Need to ditch Perraud - he did a magnificent job getting -2 when I bench boosted but now he’s dropping and that’s unacceptable.

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 20 days ago

          I think if Azpi starts both City games he is a serious risk for the Fulham game. I think all the Chelsea defenders have some element of risk about starting both DGW fixtures.

          Shaw might be a better bet

          1. The Knights Template
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 20 days ago

            Already own Shaw. Cheers, I’ll keep looking.

            1. Miguel Sanchez
              • 9 Years
              3 years, 20 days ago

              Stones?

              1. The Knights Template
                • 12 Years
                3 years, 20 days ago

                Only have 5m. Could go Akanji though.

  4. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    I am legitimately considering captaining Andreas over Mitrovic:

    • Extra point for a goal
    • No yellow card worries
    • On pens if Mitrovic banned second game
    • According to heat maps playing higher than Mitro

    Am I trying to be too clever here?

    1. The Tinkerman
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Yeah probably

    2. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Probably

    3. ClassiX
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      This is the best week this season (so far) to take a captains punt, so why not? Depends if you're attacking higher points or defending an already strong position.

    4. sminkypinky
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Me too

  5. QUEN
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    Do we think a -4 worth it for James > shaw

    Current defence looks like tripper - white - cancelo

    Shaw would replace white for this GW.

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Chances of Shaw attacking returns vs White clean sheet. Very close, go for it if you want Shaw long term.

    2. jonnybhoy
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Not worth it. Stick and roll

  6. DagheMunegu
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    Bottomed

    G2G or play Foden?

    Kepa
    Shaw Trippier White
    Salah Rashford Martinelli Andreas
    Darwin Haaland Mitrovic

    Ederson Foden Patterson Bueno

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Throw Foden to the wolves.

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      GTG

  7. Lucky Z
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    Lose Kane ot Darwin for Mitro?

    1. Rhodes your boat
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Likely to do Kane to mitro myself then potentially bring him back for his dgw

  8. leop911
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    Really tough choices this week.

    2 FT

    a) James -> Shaw
    b) James -> Cucu

    1) Darwin -> Mitro
    2) Kane -> Mitro
    3) Keep Darwin + Kane and roll a FT.

    I am not 100% set on Mitro, with the YC ban looming...

    1. MBK 42
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      B2

    2. jonnybhoy
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      A not sure getting rid of a striker is worth it. If any I'd get rid of Darwin

    3. mrelpea
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 19 days ago

      A2

      know what you mean about Mitro, but he will be heavily owned and a haul will hurt. I got rid of Darwin for him yesterday morning and after that Spurs performance I wish I'd got rid of Kane

  9. Evasivo
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    Why bring in Shaw if Citeh and Arsenal after this Gw? I need to replace James but don’t want to have to replace Shaw again next week

    1. GC123
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      I’m doing James to Botman. Benching hun this week but NEW have four nice fixtures from next week

      1. Evasivo
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 20 days ago

        Thanks GC

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Season doesn't end in GW21

      1. Evasivo
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 20 days ago

        No point bringing someone in to then transfer them out… especially a defender

    3. AC Yew
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      I did the James to Botman move. worked out quite well so far

  10. Neevesy
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    Outside chance Nunez is rested today or nailed to start?

    1. MBK 42
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Can’t see who else Klopp can play given the Diaz and Jota injuries, Gakpo won’t be ready either.

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Starts and hopefully finally hauls

      1. MBK 42
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 20 days ago

        Don’t see anyone hauling against Brentford away, they’re committed and solid and will have a noisy crowd behind them.

    3. Psakhotherapy
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      He’s been arguably the best player for the last few, so doubtful I’d say (even if firmino is back)

  11. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    Who to sell for Mitrovic?

    A- Martial (Bournemouth home a good game to get points)
    B- Darwin (terrible form but a sure starter)

    1. MBK 42
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      A based on watching Martial v Wolves; he did nothing.

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Martial of those two

    3. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      A

    4. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      A.

      I expect Martial to be benched after that display with Rash possibly up top.

  12. Chris_White
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    Bench one

    Martinelli
    Saka
    Darwin

    1. Cowboy John
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Martinelli.

  13. Biggsy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    I think it's got to be Darwin -> Mitrovic and then gives me £8m to swap out James - but for who?

    Kepa (Ward)
    Gabriel, Trippier, James* (Botman, Bueno)
    KDB, Andreas, Rashford, Martinelli (Almiron)
    Kane, Haaland, Darwin

    1. outernational
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      There are no obvious candidates to replace James. Maybe Cucurella for the double, or wait until DGW20 to bring in Cancelo if it looks like he has regained his place.

      1. Biggsy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 20 days ago

        Thanks. Was thinking about just benching James and playing Bueno or Botman and having 2FT for GW20 with any potential doubles

        1. outernational
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 20 days ago

          I think that's what I would do. Keep your options open heading into GW20.

  14. outernational
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    Any ideas what I should do here? Downgrading someone to allow Martial to Mitro would seem to make sense, but who to downgrade? Also, I'm not sure Mitro will outscore Martial, especially if he picks up a yellow in the first game.

    Pope
    Trippier | Cancelo | White
    KDB | Salah | Almiron | Rashford | Martinelli
    Haaland | Martial

    Ward | Bueno | Patterson | Greenwood

    2 FTs and 0.0 ITB.

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Cancelo the stand out choice for downgrading.

      1. outernational
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 20 days ago

        Yeah, but it's hard to take him out when he has a double next gameweek.

        1. Biggsy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 20 days ago

          Not the easiest double so can't see two clean sheets if he does start both. His attacking returns aren't justifying his price tag either.

  15. Dazzrb
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    KDB > Sterling for free?

    1. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Bit knee jerky for me. Would keep KDB for the double and avoid Chelsea as they looked unconvincing yesterday

    2. MBK 42
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Hell no

    3. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      If I hated you I’d say go for it.

  16. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    1 FT and 0.5 ITB. Good to roll FT?

    Kepa
    Gabriel - Trippier - Shaw
    Salah - KDB - Martinelli - Rash - Almiron
    Haaland - Mitro

    Ward - Patterson - Walker - Greenwood

  17. The Yorkshire Pirlo
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    Bench one

    A) Saka
    B) Martinelli
    C) Andreas

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      B if you have to

  18. mdm
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    Not sure what to do with 2 FTs.. Please, advise:

    A. Cancelo to Cucu
    B. Gabriel to Cucu
    C. Cancelo to Shaw
    D. Gabriel to Shaw
    E. burn FT

    1. MBK 42
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      A

    2. balint84
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      A

  19. Malinwa
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    A) Darwin + Castagne > Mitro + Cucu
    B) Darwin + Castagne > Mitro + Shaw
    C) Other?

    Thanks!

  20. Botman and Robben
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    Who to bench?

    A. Almiron
    B. Darwin

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Probably selling B but I'd still bench A over him

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      A

    3. Danno - Emre Canada
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      A

    4. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      A

  21. Shark Team
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    Should I:
    A) ditch Cancelo/Robbo to Shaw
    B) Cancelo to Shaw - Kane in for Darwin
    C) Roll FT to see which team double gw20 but Bueno/Patterson will come off the bench to replace Cancelo/Robbo

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Roll

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Gotta fancy Cancelo starts Vs Chelsea so I think C is viable with Bueno seemingly holding his place

      1. Shark Team
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 20 days ago

        Thanks I agree, I’m thinking of Patterson ahead of him though just in case Everton plays ultra defensively again, cause Villa seems strong

  22. AARON-1
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    De Gea
    Walker Trippier Cucurella
    Salah KDB Martinelli Almiron Rashford (c)
    Haaland Martial

    Ward Patterson Bueno Greenwood

    No panic. Rolling the transfer. No double game week fever here. 118K overall.
    Rashford captain might push me into top 100K (or I might get a big red arrow).
    Bench a bit weak if Walker misses out but I'm not too anxious.
    I'm not tempted by Martial to Mitro.
    Let the drama unfold.

  23. Max City
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    who would you bench?

    KDB Rashford Martinelli Perreira Mount
    Haaland Darwin Mitrovic

    Cheers!

    1. balint84
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Darwin

    2. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Mitro

    3. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Martinelli

    4. outernational
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Tough, but on current form I think I might bench Darwin. If you don't fancy that maybe Martinelli.

    5. The Tinkerman
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Mart

  24. balint84
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    Are 4 yellow players in ban danger or need 10 yellowniw for a ban?

  25. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    1) Why is Mitro more popular than Havertz this GW? Mitro even has a YC potential problem.
    2) Isn’t it more logical to sell Kane than Darwin before these ugly fixtures Spurs have? Plus, That Spurs team is sh*te.

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      1. Chelsea are bad and not easiest double for them, whilst Mitro is returning consistently.

      2. Possibly you are right, but as proved by the game Vs Brentford, a rubbish spurs still can mean Kane returns

    2. rjcv177
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Fulham exceding expectations, Chelsea a big disapointment. That might explain it. Havertz as good as any on this Dgw

      On point nr2. One is a world class striker that can Score goals with less than 10shots a game. The other is a "pure blood stallion" that Will improve is finishing along his career

    3. Knallie
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      1) because Mitro scores for fun and Chelsea look shite
      2) Spurs have a double next week probably, although he is also on 4 yellows

    4. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      You should watch Chelsea play mate

    5. MBK 42
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      1) Fulham more attacking than Potterball Chelsea, Havertz at risk of rotation

      2) yes

  26. boroie
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    Need some inspiration. What to do here?

    2 FTs, 0.0 ITB

    Kepa
    Cancelo Trippier White
    Salah Rashford Andreas Martinelli
    Haaland Darwin Martial

    Ward; James* Kulu* Bueno

  27. rjcv177
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    Kepa
    Tripp, cancelo, Shaw
    Kdb, mount, rash, Andreas
    Haaland, Darwin, mitro C

    Ward, almiron, Patterson, reece j

    Is it crazy to save FT? I dont find a major upgrade, and im already benching one of the great ones lol

    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Save ft

  28. Knallie
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    Kepa
    Cucurella / Shaw / White
    KDB / Saka / Odegaard / Rashford / Andreas
    Haaland / Darwin / Martial

    Subs: Ward, XXX, Trippier, Cancelo

    Commited to saving my FT, but I cant decide who to bench from the front 8. Was on KDB until I saw Chelsea playing so bad yesterday
    Also no idea on captain yet...

    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Oof Darwin probably haha.

    2. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      I think Martial is probably my choice based on form and minutes. Could see Newcastle being tight against Arsenal and who knows when KDB gets another attacking return but I think they have more potential. I’d be playing Trippier too

  29. Lemonade
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    Happy new year folks

    Who should I go for as a long-term differential (6 to 8 games)?

    Grealish, Eriksen or March

    Cheers in advance 😀
    Team be looking like this atm :

    Kepa
    Trippier - Shaw - Aït-Nouri
    Øde - Martinelli - Mount - Rashford
    Darwin - Havertz - Haaland

    Bench : Sánchez / Kulu / Lewis (man city right back) / White

    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Rodrigo? March was looking good to be honest

    2. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      So many exciting differentials. Think Mitoma as well as March are good from Brighton. Are Villa going on a run with good fixtures (Bailey, Digne, Buendia)? Mbeumo if Toney is out? Nottingham strikers looked good and yes, Rodrigo looks good.

  30. JT11fc
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 20 days ago

    Which attacker to add for Foden?
    1. Saka
    2. Rodrigo
    3. Martinelli

    Current front 8
    Rashy BrunoF Odegaard Foden (Almiron)
    Havertz Haaland Darwin

    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      Saks

      1. JT11fc
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 20 days ago

        Thanks

    2. Knallie
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      i would go 3. I have Saka and Odegaard now but will eventually switch Saka for Martinelli plus cash

      1. JT11fc
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 20 days ago

        Thanks, the cash would be handy for sure

    3. leop911
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 20 days ago

      I really like Rodrigo for the next few weeks.

      Good position to be in. 🙂

      1. JT11fc
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 20 days ago

        Ye worth a shot surely