Spot the Differential
2 January 2023 634 comments
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Double Gameweek 19 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Fulham, Chelsea and Leicester City, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

WILLIAN

  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW19-23 fixtures: lei + CHE | new | TOT | che | NFO

Willian (£5.5m) has been surprisingly impressive since joining Fulham on transfer deadline day.

The Brazilian doesn’t possess a great deal of pace nowadays, but his partnership with Antonee Robinson (£4.4m) is thriving, with the left-back’s advanced positioning allowing Willian to move inside, closer to goal.

Andreas Pereira (£4.6m) is the Cottagers’ creator-in-chief – Kevin De Bruyne (£12.5m) is the only FPL midfielder to have supplied more opportunities (54) than him (41) this season – but Willian is doing his best to keep pace. Indeed, his rate of 2.21 chances created per 90 minutes (p90) isn’t too far behind what Pereira has managed so far (2.64).

It’s also worth noting for a short period on Saturday, he had two assists in two games, before Pereira’s strike was later changed to an own goal. The passage of play stemmed from Willian’s corner, with his share of dead-ball duties another route to FPL points.

In terms of goal threat, he’s averaging an okay-ish 1.35 shots inside the box p90 and 0.37 big chances p90.

As for Fulham, they always play with an attacking mindset, which has seen them score 29 goals in 17 games so far this season, a very impressive return.

Now, they meet Leicester City and Chelsea in Double Gameweek 19, which is then followed by some tricky fixtures. However, the Cottagers have faced all of the current top six already and have scored against them all, which is encouraging.

Willian has been a key player for Fulham this season and is a nice alternative to the more popular Pereira and Aleksandar Mitrovic (£7.1m) picks.

RAHEEM STERLING

  • FPL ownership: 4.4%
  • Price: £9.7m
  • GW19-23 fixtures: MCI + ful | CRY | liv | FUL | whu

Raheem Sterling (£9.7m) hasn’t hit top form at Chelsea since his summer switch from Manchester City, scoring four goals and providing two assists in 14 league appearances.

However, the England winger supplied the assist for Kai Havertz’s (£7.8m) opener in Gameweek 17 and followed it up with a goal against Nottingham Forest on Sunday.

Sterling hasn’t been completely immune to Graham Potter’s tinkering so far but has started each of Chelsea’s two matches since the restart. In that time, he has created four chances for his team-mates, more than any other Blues player. Just two shots inside the box have been registered, although Sterling’s past history suggests he can offer plenty of goal threat.

Assessing Sterling’s form, Potter recently said…

“He’s come into a new team that have lost some key players over the summer, brought some new ones in during the transfer window and had a manager change. The team hasn’t functioned as well as I believe it can and Raheem, along with all the players, has suffered for that. It would be wrong for me to say that Raheem has been at the absolute top of his game but he’s not the only one. It’s my responsibility to help the team function better so that he can play better because he’s got the quality of a top player.” – Graham Potter on Raheem Sterling

Chelsea put their pre-World Cup blues behind them with a comfortable 2-0 win over Bournemouth in Gameweek 17. Suggestions they had turned a corner proved to be premature, however, as they labored to a 1-1 draw at The City Ground on Sunday.

Despite that, with games against Manchester City and Fulham in Double Gameweek 19, followed by an appealing Stamford Bridge meeting with Crystal Palace after, midfielder Sterling might just be worth investing in.

HARVEY BARNES

Barnes offering differential potential between now and end of FPL season
  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £6.8m
  • GW19-23 fixtures: FUL | nfo | BHA | avl | TOT

Harvey Barnes (£6.8m) often slips under the FPL radar, with team-mate James Maddison (£8.1m) taking the majority of the headlines.

However, the winger has been putting in some top performances in recent months, scoring five goals in his last 10 league appearances. In fact, from the start of his purple patch in Gameweek 9, he’s racked up 51 points, more than any other FPL midfielder bar Miguel Almiron (£5.9m) and Mohamed Salah (£12.9m), plus Arsenal trio Martin Odegaard (£6.5m), Gabriel Martinelli (£6.8m) and Bukayo Saka (£8.1m).

Overall this season, no Leicester City player has registered more shots inside the box (26) than Barnes, with his seven big chances, 67 penalty box touches and 218 passes received in the final third also team-leading tallies.

Against Liverpool in Gameweek 18, Barnes needed to show a little more composure in the final third but did get into some promising positions. Encouragingly, he and his Leicester colleagues are now about to meet two of the three worst sides for minutes per xGC in 2022/23: Fulham and Nottingham Forest.

There is no doubt there is more to come from Barnes, who could prove to be a decent differential pick, with his ownership currently sitting at just 1.6%.



634 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Thanos
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Bench one please:

    1. KDB
    2. Nunez
    3. Martinelli
    4. Almiron

    Currently leaning on benching KDB

    1. ACCOUNTING ON CHRIS
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Almiron...

    2. Maddamotha
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Benching KDB? Oh wow..

    3. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      4

    4. Tartan Brazilians
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Benching KDB will burn you!!

    5. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      4

    6. tom2224
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Almirion surely.

    7. Thanos
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Alright fellas. You’ve convinced me with the overwhelming response for Almiron. So he goes to the bench and welcome KDB to the team. Thanks all and may you all see BIG green arrows this week! 🙂

    8. mrelpea
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      4

    9. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      4

    10. DARE TO BISCAN
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      4

  2. ACCOUNTING ON CHRIS
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    2fts and 0.9m itb

    Kepa Ward

    James* Cancelo* Trippier Shaw Gabriel

    Martinelli KDB Rashford Andreas Almiron

    Mitro Darwin* Haaland

    Planning on doing James to Bueno so I can do Darwin to Kane for the DGW, is that sane? Can't see any other sensible move.

    Bottomed

  3. FPL Brains
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Repost from last night. Slightly concerned about the long gameweek I'm in for holding on to both Darwin and Salah if Liverpool blank in the first game of round.

    Worth doing Andreas + Mitrovic for Darwin + Salah? (-4)

    Reasons to;

    * Brentford are decent at home
    * Don't like the early kick offs
    * If Mitro doesn't get booked, the hit gets cancelled out

    Reasons not to;
    * Darwin surely has to score right?
    * Just brought Salah in

    Decisions, decisions. Thoughts?

    1. Kellz86
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I wouldn’t hit this week, just Darwin to Mitro

    2. _Ninja_
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I get the temptation of Darwin to Mitro but Salah to Andreas is madness imo.

    3. aapoman
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Salah to Anreas. Plot is lost

    4. Cojones of Destiny
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      whu darwin out martial our interest? in the same position

  4. ball c
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    7.8m itb to spend on a defender to replace James:
    Can’t get a city as I have walker, KDB and Haaland.
    Which is best move:

    A) Trent
    B) Cucurella
    C) Robbo

    1 free transfer remaining as have done Nunez to Mitro.

    1. JoeSoap
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Would be tempted on A

    2. GC123
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Personally I would roll your FT but if you want shot of James, I’d go for Botman as NEW have four nice fixtures after the Arsenal game. That’s what I’m doing anyway (and resisting the short term appeal of getting Mitro)

  5. JoeSoap
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    A. James>Shaw
    B. Save for potential DGW

    D Gea
    Trippier, Cancelo, White
    KDB, Martinelli, Rash, Andreas
    Haaland, Nunez, Mitro
    Ward, Almiron, Bueno, James

  6. aapoman
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    How many GW19 doublers you guys currently have? I'm currently only on 1 (Cucu) but planning to get at 1 more with FT or 2 with -4.

    1. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      3 if I get Mitro

    2. Maddamotha
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Will probably have 2. Already own Kepa, and will most likely get Mitro.
      Not really loving these doubles, and I've been burnt on doubles before.

      1. aapoman
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Also think 3 is the realistic maximum. 2 should be fine. Thinking about Foden -> Pereira and possibly even captaining him. Mitro maybe for a hit but not sure

        1. Thanos
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Bought Mitro for a hit and he will be captain. Hopefully, he not only pays for the hit but also gets some returns!!

    3. KUNingas
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      2, Kepa and Andreas. Might get Mitro to make it 3

    4. Thanos
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      2 with Leno and Mitro as captain.

  7. Junks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    This game is soul destroying at times...
    Can someone, anyone please make my transfers for me as it would appear i'm not very good a this game haha!

    2FT 0.2ITB
    Ward Iversen
    Cancelo White Tripp Bueno Patterson
    Martinelli KDB Rash Kulu Andreas
    Wilson Haaland Darwin

    Go crazy..... Ta!

    1. aapoman
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      You've just been unlucky. Kulu -> Mount and Iversen -> Kepa and you should be good

      1. Junks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Done... Many thanks and good luck : - )

    2. Tinkermania
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Save transfer. Bench Wilson, Kulu, Buenos, Patterson and Iversen.

      1. Tinkermania
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Oops! Play Wilson

        1. Junks
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          I loose a transfer if I dont use one though right?

          1. aapoman
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            yes

    3. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Wilson- Mitrovic & bench Kulu

      1. Junks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Im worries about the Mitro yellow card situation or am i over thinking it? I guess hes a good player to have regardless?

        1. The Mentaculus
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Its a valid concern but his ceiling is so much higher than Wilson v Ars, well worth taking the chance on him imo. Excellent long-term option too.

    4. Narama
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      One things is sure, Callum Wilson to score

      1. Junks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        I just know he will if i get rid ha

    5. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      You can be good at the game and have bad spells due to variance. Keep the faith

      1. Junks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        I'm hanging in there ha! Good luck

    6. GC123
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Is there news on Kulu? If he’s a doubt do him to Odegaard and roll. If you’re desperate you could also do Wilson to Mitro but I would caveat that by saying it’s short termZ NEW have four appealing fixtures after the Arsenal game

      1. Junks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        I like odegaard shout and i'm inclined to stick with Wilson like you say. Thanks

        1. GC123
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Welcome buddy. Good luck

    7. artvandelay316
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Wilson to Mitro
      Roll other FT
      Play 3-4-3 with Bueno, Patterson, Kulu benched.

    8. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I’m really bad at this game too so make of this what you will.

      Wilson to Mitro and hang on to your other FT for an uncertain GW20/21

      You may have an easy benching in Kulu (is he fit).

      Going forward, it looks like Ward /Leic aren’t cutting it and Spurs have fallen off a cliff so Kulu to someone like Ødegaard or Rodrigo

    9. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Kulu + wilson to sterling + mitro ?

    10. Junks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks for the help all... very much appreciated! Good luck

  8. Stamford B
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Do we know if there are pressers today?

  9. The Senate
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Start one
    (A) White
    (B)ueno
    (C)ancelo

    1. artvandelay316
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      C

    2. aapoman
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      C

    3. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A

    4. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      C

    5. Botman and Robben
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      C

  10. Maddamotha
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Guess I gotta hide behind the sofa again tonight with KDB and no Salah... Looking more and more like the wrong decision getting KDB over Salah. But let's see.

    1. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Maybe but KDB didn’t get bad overnight and has good stats so will be scoring again soon. Still favoured Salah although I ended going both

    2. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      KdB is a little off form but still creating and getting loads of chances. + he has 2 doubles coming. The main worry for me is Pep

  11. Miguel Sanchez
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Good luck all!

    DDG
    Cancelo Saliba Trippier
    Sterling Saka Martinelli Rashford
    Haaland Darwin Mitrovi(c)

    Ward Almiron Bueno *James

    1. aapoman
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Good team

  12. Gooner97
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    1) Play Bueno(avl) or Trippier(ars)?

    2) Play Almiron or Martinelli(NEW) or Rashford(BOU)?

    1. aapoman
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Trippier and Rashford 100%

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        This

      2. Gooner97
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        That's what I'm on atm

  13. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Capt.

    A) haland
    B) mitro
    C) rash

    Currently on C)

    1. aapoman
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      BAC. in that order

    2. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      B

    3. Thanos
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      B

    4. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      BCA in that order

    5. DARE TO BISCAN
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I'm going B

  14. Knallie
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    I cant for the life of me pick one because I think they'll all do well

    Bench one for Andreas:

    Darwin
    Martial
    KDB
    Saka
    Odegaard
    Rashford

    1. aapoman
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      That's tough... I'd say Martial

    2. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Odegard

    3. DARE TO BISCAN
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Martial

  15. Babit1967
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Need to bench 2 of these defenders

    A) Robertson (flagged)
    B) Trippier
    C) Saliba
    D) Castagne
    E) Shaw

    Also Ward or Ederson?

  16. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Darwin to Havertz anyone?

    1. Mirror Man
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Yes imo. You'll save cash, and besides, Nunes is basically a rich mans Erik Nevland.

      • aapoman
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Nah. Fixtures aren't that good for Chelsea's double.

        1. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          And Mitrović fixtures are better I suposse?:)

          1. aapoman
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            No need to get either imo

      • Gooner97
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        I would

      • Lord Flashheart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        i would not

      • Fabreghastly
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Chelsea are untouchable without Reece

      • Thanos
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Worth the risk

      • artvandelay316
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Nooooo sir.

      • The Ilfordian
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Do you have 2FTs? Can see Havertz being a liability by next GW so good to have an escape plan (including possibly getting Darwin back)

      • DARE TO BISCAN
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        I was tempted. Went for Mitro

    2. Nightf0x
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      5.3 itb & will be more when i take out james, Zaha to:

      A) rodrigo
      B) bowen/benrahma
      C) Raz/mount
      D) odegard/saka (have martineli)
      E) keep & out him gw20

      Not convinced by any option other than arsenal players, but i feel saka & zaha will score

      1. Mirror Man
          3 years, 1 month ago

          De Bruyne/Salah

      2. Lord Flashheart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        i did kulu + james to sterling + luka digne

        should i now:

        A go all in sterling (c)
        B stay with mitro (C)

        1. aapoman
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Sterling cap yes

      3. artvandelay316
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Is it riskier to Captain Haaland or Mitrovic? Can't work it out!

        1. Lord Flashheart
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          probably safer to go haaland but YOLO

        2. Mirror Man
            3 years, 1 month ago

            Go with whichever one makes you happier. For me that's Mitrovic. A double vs two shite defenses with that yellow card issue... yes... this is excitement. Very pleasing pick this week. Could get two braces, or could be Dennis 2.0 - Yurt.

          • Gooner97
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            Just think about having fun

            1. Mirror Man
                3 years, 1 month ago

                This is it. This is it right here. Upvote locked in.

          • XABI 15
            • 10 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            Play one of:
            Bueno v Villa away
            Patterson v Brighton home
            Botman v Arsenal away

            Or for a hit get in shaw for Patterson and play him

            1. Thanos
              • 4 Years
              3 years, 1 month ago

              I’d play Patterson

          • Gooner97
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            Ramsdale (Ward)
            Cucu Shaw Trippier (Bueno, Neco)
            Martinelli KDB Andreas Rash (Almiron)
            Haaland Kane Mitro

            1.8ITB, 0FT

            Would you yake a hit somewhere?

            1. GreennRed
              • 14 Years
              3 years, 1 month ago

              No.

          • ididnt
            • 14 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            Really can’t decide who is a safer cap out of Haaland or Mitro…

            1. Thanos
              • 4 Years
              3 years, 1 month ago

              Safer is definitely Haaland.

              But Mitro double settles for me.

              1. ididnt
                • 14 Years
                3 years, 1 month ago

                Mitro just has Dennis dgw vibes from last season to me

                1. Thanos
                  • 4 Years
                  3 years, 1 month ago

                  Ha. He can definitely turn out to be a dud. I think the Leicester game is the one I’m hoping for returns from.

          • FCHaalandaise
            • 3 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            Ward to Kepa
            Kane to Mitro
            Then WC for DGW20?

            I'd be bringing in 3 arsenal 3 city including Cancelo if he is back in business again and so forth

            Sound alright?

            1. artvandelay316
              • 5 Years
              3 years, 1 month ago

              Too early to WC.

          • leop911
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            I am considering starting Summerville (vs. WHU) and benching Almiron (vs. Arsenal away).

            Summerville scored in 4 matches straight before the WC, he was out injured but returned vs. NEW. I see him starting over Gnonto.

            Am I crazy?

            1. Thanos
              • 4 Years
              3 years, 1 month ago

              Nopes. Bought Rodrigo to target WHU. Summerville is a good pick.

          • Ghost86
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            Would you bench any of the below for Andreas?

            Martinelli
            Saka
            Darwin

            1. Thanos
              • 4 Years
              3 years, 1 month ago

              Saka

          • tryf88
            • 5 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            Kane & Nunez to Mitro & Havertz for -4?

            1. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
              • 11 Years
              3 years, 1 month ago

              God no

            2. DARE TO BISCAN
              • 7 Years
              3 years, 1 month ago

              Just the first one. Unless these are long-term picks

              1. DARE TO BISCAN
                • 7 Years
                3 years, 1 month ago

                Oops. I mean, Darwin > Mitro 🙂

          • Union_Jacks
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            If you can afford both - Sterling or Mount?

            1. GreennRed
              • 14 Years
              3 years, 1 month ago

              Sterling.

              1. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
                • 14 Years
                3 years, 1 month ago

                Neither

            2. DARE TO BISCAN
              • 7 Years
              3 years, 1 month ago

              Guess it depends who you're replacing. Probably neither

          • vova
            • 15 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            Hey guys, a bit stuck on what to do with my team… got 2 free transfers so have at least one transfer to burn

            Kepa Ward
            Cancelo Trippier Dalot White Bueno
            Salah Saka Martinelli Rashford Andreas
            Haaland Darwin Martial

            0.7 ITD

            Any advice?

            Thanks you! 🙂

          • JAYPEE
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            Should I do Darwin or Martial to Mitro?
            Thinking of bringing in Mount or Sterling but not sure who to drop. Options are Rashford Martinelli Almiron? Thoughts?

            1. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
              • 14 Years
              3 years, 1 month ago

              Do none of those. This DGW is rubbish.

            2. Fabreghastly
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 14 Years
              3 years, 1 month ago

              Martial

              Chelsea are a mess without Reece, why invest in them at all?

          • Malinwa
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            A) Darwin + Castagne > Mitro + Shaw/Cucu
            B) Ward + Darwin > Leno + Mitro (have Kepa)