Big Numbers
11 January 2023 1483 comments
Skonto Rigga Skonto Rigga
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With three more Gameweeks’ worth of Premier League player and team data available to assess after the Boxing Day restart, it’s time to once again wheel out the Big Numbers article ahead of Double Gameweek 20.

If you’re new to the site, this article series looks at the key Fantasy Premier League (FPL) statistics ahead of the upcoming Gameweek.

These cherry-picked Opta stats can all be found in our Premium Members’ Area.

Only subscribers can read the full article; those wishing to sign up to our site and continue reading, as well as see a list of the benefits that Membership brings, can do so by clicking here.




33 goals conceded by Gavin Bazunu (£4.5m) this season, a whopping 11.3 more than what Opta deem he should have shipped (21.7) based on the quality of shots he has faced. Southampton, despite being bottom of the league, actually have the eighth-best expected goals conceded (xGC) average in the division in 2022/23.

337 baseline bonus points registered by David Raya (£4.6m) in 2022/23, the most of any goalkeeper. It’s not just saves that are boosting his bonus points potential (he has 21 save points this season, the highest in the league) but he also leads the way for recoveries, which covers things like crosses claimed and loose balls pounced on. Having relatively easy, score-boosting stops to make can be important for an FPL goalkeeper, and Raya has that perfect blend in west London: the Bees are 20th for shots on target allowed but joint-eighth for big chances conceded.

7 shots in the box attempted by Fabian Schar (£5.0m) since the restart, the most by any FPL defender and more even than the likes of Marcus Rashford (£7.0m) and Anthony Martial (£6.6m) have managed – albeit without scoring. Over the course of 2022/23, the Switzerland international is the leading Fantasy defender for both goal attempts (23) and big chances (four). Ironically, his only goal came from 25 yards out.

6 big chances created by Kieran Trippier (£6.0m) since play resumed in Gameweek 17. That’s a tally that only one other defender, Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.3m), has managed to beat in the whole of 2022/23, let alone the last three Gameweeks.

FPL Gameweek 10: Saturday’s goals, assists, bonus and statistics

98% of Premier League matches started by an available Joao Cancelo (£7.2m) between August 2021 and November 2022, with his only benching during that time coming in Gameweek 25 of last season when many other City regulars made way. Cancelo has played just 67 minutes since the post-World Cup restart.

14 penalty area touches in three Gameweeks recorded by Matt Doherty (£4.6m), the most by any FPL defender since Premier League football resumed in December. Only the aforementioned Schar beats him for shots in the box (six) in that time. It’s a Double Gameweek up next for Doherty and Spurs, although whether Antonio Conte’s semi-frequent rotation at wing-back deprives the Irishman of the chance to start two games is another question. A minutes-per-shot-in-the-box average of 61.1 is the best of any Fantasy defender this season (min. five appearances), to show what he can do when he is given the chance. Similarly…

239.4 minutes per expected goal involvement (xGI) is Ivan Perisic‘s (£5.5m) defender-best average in 2022/23 (min. five apps). The problem, again, has been game-time guarantees: of the combined 29 appearances made by Doherty and Perisic this season, 11 of them have been as substitutes and only five have lasted 90 minutes.


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  1. Pariße
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Am guessing the Pep roulette is quite predictable for the next game: 22 players in contention minus the players starting today.

  2. GENERATION X
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Pep will fume at those on the pitch. Bench players stock now through the roof

  3. Steve Stiffler
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Any word is John Stones left out for a rest or injury? Transferred him in this week

    1. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Genuinely shocked people made early transfers this week. I'm the poster boy for early transfers usually but this time of year it feels extra silly with all the rescheduling and mid week games. I'm not locking any transfer in until tomorrow afternoon at the latest.

      1. Bobby Digital
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Yea Mitro owners should probably wait until the game is finished...

        1. Bobby Digital
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Oh yeah he's suspended, my bad.

        2. Black Knights
          • 13 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          But anything could happen. If haaland comes on and gets injured, it opens up whole new worlds of transfers and you’ll wish you kept Mitro for Newcastle.

      2. Steve Stiffler
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Yes thinking now I should have waited, was rage transfer. Hope hell be alright though with this rest

    2. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Injury, apparently not fully fit

  4. Olof Mellberg
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    * * * Salah & Nketiah > Kane & B Fernandes straight swap? * * *

    Current squad:

    Ederson
    Shaw / Trippier / Bueno
    KDB / Rashford / Almiron / Martinelli / Salah*
    Haaland / Nketiah*

    Bench: White, Greenwood, Patterson.

    7 Doublers.. only worries are if L'pool get a 21 Double and Kane's yellow card prospects in Arsenal game.
    Would you do it?

  5. Boberella
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Actually considering benching Walker for Botman for GW20. Likely 1 pointer at best for Walker at this rate.

  6. MrJobby
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Rash looking a better captain option that Haaland for me looking at form and fixtures

    1. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Kicking myself I didn’t do it last week. Had it on Rash all week then swapped to Haaland last minute to “play safe”.

    2. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      But you will still end up with Haaland (c)

      1. MrJobby
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        I had rash as captain last week and made huge gains in my mini league . It paid off but I must admit it’s always stressful not captaining Haaland knowing everyone else has him

        1. alexmj
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          8 v 2 is a gain of 6 assuming people have both, not exactly "huge gains"

          1. MrJobby
            • 4 Years
            2 years, 11 months ago

            I was the only 1
            Of 2 players to captain him in a league of 20 and nobody above me had him in squad at all . The closeness of the league means it was huge
            In the context of the mini league I’m
            In

          2. MrJobby
            • 4 Years
            2 years, 11 months ago

            16 v 4 v players above
            Me . Nobody above me had him in team and only 1
            Player who was below
            Me had him as captain . All other 18 players had Haaland as captain
            12 points
            In a mini league like mine was a huge gain

            1. alexmj
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              2 years, 11 months ago

              fair enough!

    3. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      It's a no brainer if you're a form man!

    4. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Haaland has looked a bit frustrated last couple of games but you just know he can get something out of nothing.
      I’m chasing so need a big differential this week and going a diff captain is probably the best way.

  7. GENERATION X
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    City will change their kit at half time. They keep passing to the stewards

  8. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Gonna get Lewis before GW21 as it stands

  9. g40steve
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    City foul throw, even basics gone

  10. Amartey Partey
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Will it be Ake marking Rashford?

    1. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Good luck

    2. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Maybe Lewis if he plays over Walker?

    3. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      One of Walker/Cancelo/Lewis, even Akanji I guess

  11. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    If City do lose and game v Bournemouth in week 25 not a blank and part of future double may make TC Haaland in week 20 more attractive

  12. GENERATION X
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Pep is going to have a meltdown in the dressing room

    1. Steve Stiffler
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      haha for sure, wouldnt like to be in that changing room in 2 minutes

  13. Rainer
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    A good Cancelo performance was needed but he might get hooked at HT again.

    1. Hy liverpool
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Just sell mate.

    2. Bushwhacker
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      May well not be a City player at the end of January at this rate. Left out, thrown in a nothing tie and hooked at half time. Something strange is a foot between him and Pep.

  14. MrJobby
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Newcastle double
    Up in defence at home to Fulham looks like a better option than a city defender regardless of dgw

    1. Woy_is_back
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Mitro will score

      1. RICICLE
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Agree

  15. Totalfootball
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Is Lewis a good option ?

  16. Bobby Digital
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Foden doing a houdini

  17. FantasyClub
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Why is Walker playing CB

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Only guessing but if Stones not fit probably wants to rest Akanji for United game

    2. Pariße
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I love it in FIFA. Just too quick.

  18. Woy_is_back
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Newcastle to win the Caramel Cup

    1. Ze_Austin
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yum

  19. EL tridente
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Anyone using TC next GW?

    1. RICICLE
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Nope

      I’m amazed at how many are even considering it

      1. Gommy
        • 15 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Rashford in the form of his life and odds of Haaland playing both is far better now than when CL games arrive. That’s why.

    2. Bushwhacker
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      No.

  20. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Is it me, or is the wildcard looking more and more favourable this week

    1. Hy liverpool
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      It's you

      1. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Knew I shouldn’t have eaten that mushroom

  21. GENERATION X
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Saints 14-1 pre game

  22. Zimo
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    GW25 looking easier

  23. Eightball
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    James, Cancelo, Andreas ----> Shaw, Lewis, Mahrez (-4)

    Thoughts?

    Full team would be:

    Kepa/Ward (not decided to which to start)
    Shaw Lewis Trippier
    Martinelli Salah Rashford Mahrez Almiron
    Darwin Haaland

    Mitrovic - Gabriel - Castagne

  24. Scratch
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Who would have thought playing Walker at CB in a back 4 could backfire...

    1. Ze_Austin
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Pep with some kamikaze lineup experiments recently

    2. FantasyClub
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yeah scratching my head at that one. Surely Pep can’t be mad at him lol.
      At least I hope not coz I’m sick of his cameos

  25. cm790
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Best value mid under 6.8m that isn’t Man U?

    Thanks

    1. FantasyClub
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I’d go Mitoma, Rodrigo or even Summerville(4.3)

    2. Snake Juice
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Odegaard, Almiron

    3. cm790
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      That is playing DGW to?

    4. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Odegaard of course

    5. Ze_Austin
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Combine the two lists above

      1. Ze_Austin
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Next 4 GWs: Mitoma > Almiron > Odegaard > Rodrigo > Summerville > Andreas > Bailey

        The rank will change based on how many GWs you're considering

        1. Ze_Austin
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Forgot Mac Allister, somehow 😀

          Let's just have Mitoma in there for "Brighton mids"

    6. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Casemiro /Mitoma

    7. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Ødegaard

  26. FantasyClub
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    I got rid of Antony for a hit out of frustration before news of a MAN UTD double hope I don’t regret it! Got annoyed at him constantly getting subbed off for Garnacho

  27. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Is kepa to ddg worth it ? Really struggling and knowing what to do this gw..

    1. FantasyClub
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I wouldn’t. It’s still have to prove themselves. Utd players always backfire on me

    2. Not again Shirley
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Depends on your team and whether it needs any changes elsewhere as that sounds like a luxury move to me. Also Shaw best route into United defence (of which I still don’t wholly trust).

  28. Trovsmash
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Mahrez in for Almiron for a -4, tell me i'm bonkers?

    1. FantasyClub
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Maher z is a nightmare and so is Pep

      1. Eightball
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Nice little differential. No guts, no glory!

    2. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Bonkers

    3. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Likely will get him for Saka but not Mig.

    4. Not again Shirley
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Almiron has good fixture. Lose someone else.

  29. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Looks like Kane price going up tonight as at 101% on fpl stats- annoying as will price me out moves and hoped to wait another day

  30. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    KDB coming on