Interview
13 January 2023 286 comments
J0E J0E
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Predicting Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City teamsheet each week is turning into a game within a game for Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers.

It has been particularly tough this season, with former favourites João Cancelo (£7.2m) and Phil Foden (£8.2m) seemingly out-of-favour and dropped for many key matches.

This is where members of the FPL community such as Alex Michel are proving vital to Fantasy managers, as they can add further, important clarity to the decision-making of the ex-Barcelona boss.

Alex has slowly amassed thousands of followers on Twitter with his weekly predictions, starting odds and analysis of Man City. This includes being a key part of former Meet the Manager guest Emma‘s team of weekly prediction experts.

Given Alex is a recent graduate in his early 20s from Maryland, USA, it is especially impressive how much knowledge he has built up on Pep’s tactics, in comparison to more mainstream media pundits on this side of the Atlantic.

During his chat with Joe, Alex explains how analysing Pep’s body language during press conferences is paying off and helping him to predict the most likely players to take to the turf for each Premier League match.  

Their discussion takes in issues such as how different players play distinct and varying roles for Pep both in and out of possession. For example, City’s teenage defender Rico Lewis (£3.9m) is one of the very few players Guardiola trusts to bolster the defensive midfield areas when Rodri (£5.6m) needs help.

Also on the agenda are the reasons behind Cancelo’s fall from grace and why a shift in tactics could be the cause. Elsewhere, Riyad Mahrez (£7.5m)’s rise to prominence is also taken into account.

Can the Algerian winger be trusted to bring in FPL returns and will managers ever again be able to rely on Foden starting?

Alex’s insight into Guardiola’s plans is especially important this week, as managers prepare for a Double Gameweek that features ties against Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur.

Alex reveals his transfer and captaincy plans ahead of City’s two matches. Which triple-up is he going for and will he use the Triple Captain chip on 21-goal hero Erling Haaland (£12.2m) this time around?

Joe’s thoughts

Many years ago, when the ‘Meet the Manager’ series started, I was keen to interview the small band of consistent FPL managers, who each year manage to achieve a high rank. As the FPL community grew and progressed, I realised this group was too small.

Instead, I began to also look at who the key, emerging commenters are in the community who are spending their free time thinking of teamsheets and analysing information to help their fellow managers.

Alex firmly fits that bill, having become one of the key voices, alongside our very own Pep predictor Luke, to help us decipher the likely Man City line-ups each week.



J0E Podcaster and writer. Tweets stats and stuff via @FFScout_Joe Follow them on Twitter

286 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Bishopool
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Would u?

    Iversen, Cancelo -> Ederson, Perisic(or Botman; Schar) -4pts

    I have Ward.

    1. Lionel Fellaini
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Just play Ward you never know. I’ve got Castagne and don’t think a -4 is worth it for a GK/Defender

  2. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Have 2 FT and can do Salah & Greenwood > Mitroma and Kane. Are these good moves? What are the chances of Liverpool getting a DGW in GW21?

    1. funkapotomus
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I did exactly that for a -4 so go nuts

  3. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Here's my full squad. 2 FT and 0.5 ITB. Avoiding MAN and NEW transfers in due to likely blank in GW25

    A - Salah & Greenwood > Kane + Mitoma
    B - Salah & Mitro > Kane & Saka
    C - Other suggestion?

    Kepa
    Gabriel - Trippier - Shaw
    Salah - KDB - Martinelli - Rash - Almiron
    Haaland - Mitro

    Ward - Walker - Greenwood - Patterson

  4. aapoman
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    0ft and 1.5itb. WC time or just -4/-8?

    Ederson
    Trippier Cucu Castagne
    Salah Rashford Martinelli Trossard* Andreas
    Haaland Kane

    Ward; Gabriel, Greenwood, Patterson*

    1. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I'd play Gabriel and save

    2. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      You may not have 11 starters this week but at least you have a few doubles. Ok to save.

      I’m wildcarding personally as it feels the right time for me.

  5. Ludde
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Used my 1FT this week, I still have James in my team. Is it worth shipping him out for a hit this week? Can play White and then have him om my bench for another week.

  6. EL tridente
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Best transfer to make with the following Squad? 2.6 in the bank.

    Kepa, Ward
    Shaw, Cucurella, Trippier, Patterson, Bueno
    KDB, Martinelli, Almiron, Rashford, Andreas
    Mitro, Kane, Haaland

    Thinking about doing Kepa to Ederson.

  7. BobB
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Waiting for news on Stones and Darwin before deciding on whether to change my team

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      This

  8. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    A) James, Darwin -> Doherty, Kane
    B) Cancelo, Darwin -> Shaw, Kane (start Castagne)
    C) James, Cancelo, Darwin -4 -> Doherty, Shaw, Kane + 2.2m ITB
    D) James, Mitro, Darwin -> Shaw, Kane, Martial -4

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      E) Kepa, Cancelo, Darwin -> Ederson, Shaw, Kane -4

  9. mcsteely
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    What is a better move:

    A. Kepa to Ederson
    B. Roll transfer and play Ward v Forest

    1. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      B for me

    2. Bishopool
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I have pretty much the same situation. But thinking that maybe 2 hardcore games for Ederson wont bring CS-s. There are some obvious risks.
      At the same time Ward CS is not impossible.

  10. chocolove
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Is there any new dgw information (beside man utd, man city, spurs and palace for dgw 20) before deadline?

  11. AD2110
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Start Ward (nfo) or Kepa (CRY)?

    1. BobB
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Kepa, despite Chelsea's problems. Can't see Forest not scoring.

    2. Feed tha Sheep
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I’m going Kepa just

    3. Nuka Girl
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I'm choosing Kepa from cleansheet odds.

    4. Konstaapeli
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Kepa's 2 points for me next week.

    5. Athletico Underachieving
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Kepa by a nose, Forest not bad at home

  12. Tshelby
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Not having Kane this gw is madness? Don’t know if I really want a player from Spurs..

    1. aapoman
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      But what if I told you that player has 15g + 4a this season?

      1. Tshelby
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Tempting!

  13. Jafooli
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    What's the Wildcard template, please?

    Asking for a friend....who has no access to the internet etc

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Not mine with it's 7.1m ITB left over

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I'm more than happy to help you out Jaf but give us a little something to get started at least

  14. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    What are Cancelo owners doing?

    Keep or Selling?

    If selling who for?

    Cheers

    1. Feed tha Sheep
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I’m selling to one of below in order to fund Kane

    2. Konstaapeli
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Sold for Botman but was part of a 3 transfer package to afford KDB and Kane

    3. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Can't believe I'm saying this but unless Stones is confirmed fit and ready I'm leaning towards keep...

      1. the dom 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        I’m almost doing the same as I’m stumped who to get in for him too ??

  15. Feed tha Sheep
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Who to get in?

    A. City defender (Stones if fit or Ake)
    B. Botman
    C. Other (have Shaw)

  16. Edinho
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    I’m tempted to go crazy and take a -12 with five transfers if Martial and Darwin is out.

    Just have enough money for:
    Kepa, Cancelo, Saka, Darwin, Martial out.
    Iversen, Lewis, De Bruyne, Kane, Greenwood in.

    Team would look like:
    Ward (Iversen)
    Lewis, Shaw, Trippier, Bueno, (Patterson)
    De Bruyne, Martinelli, Rashford, Salah (Andreas)
    Kane, Haaland (Greenwood)

    What do you think?

  17. gooberman
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    As if it wasnt bad enough people already jumping on Kane but now this Nunez injury is encouraging even more Kane transfers in. Its been nice owning Kane all season and watching him score but sadly he will now have no value. This is what I hate about FPL. I would like to see FPL cap ownership levels at 25%.

    1. Konstaapeli
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      That would be interesting but would also create so much anger and frustration.

      1. gooberman
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Well at the end of the day, people who made the decision that Kane wasn't worth it (and got it wrong) have have made their bed and should have to lie in it and live with the decision. This is one of the reasons why for me FPL has become a bore fest with everyone having the same players.

        1. Pat Bonner
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          You can't have them all. Picking between Salah/KDB/Kane wasn't an easy one and you've landed on the right side of it...well done. Surely switching between big hitters is allowed though! Have you never transferred in a highly owned player?

          1. Pat Bonner
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            2 years, 10 months ago

            I went Salah btw. Kane's score 9 points more than Salah since the restart. It's good but not exactly season defining decision

        2. The Mentaculus
          • 4 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          You keep trying to turn FPL into draft, mate. But lots of us like it this way. Just find yourself some better draft buddies

          1. gooberman
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            2 years, 10 months ago

            No because as Ive mentioned in previous posts, although I like the concept, draft is very limited.

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I know how you feel about this but thats a terrible idea? Can't be implemented fairly

      1. gooberman
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Im not saying it would be easy to implement necessarily whilst still keeping the game fair and competitive but something needs to be done to stop the game becoming such a bore fest.

        An alternative would be to change the transfer system so you are only allowed to transfer out players who are flagged or players who say have not been in the starting line up for their teams for 2 games running. Something like that and maybe introduce an additional wildcard

        1. The Mentaculus
          • 4 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          You're not going to win me around to this one - I like my transfers! But I think there are other fantasy football games more like that?

          1. gooberman
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            2 years, 10 months ago

            Yeah fair. I get this isnt something that has an easy solution.

    3. DARE TO BISCAN
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Disagree. The people jumping on Kane now, won't get his points from earlier. Assuming you're going for the most points possible, you can only pick players based on who you think will score most. EO doesn't matter, unless you're gambling against the template.

      Ownership cap is a non-starter. You could maybe start a private league and fit that rule in.

    4. Nuka Girl
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Sounds like you'd like the draft game.

  18. Bishopool
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    The most controversial question is "what to do with Mitrovic?". In form team (Fulham) with in form striker against in form defence (Newcastle). What are the odds.

    1. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      For my squad, the answer is easy. Bench this week, don't sell

    2. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I was toying with the idea of doing Mitro > Kane but Mitro could easily score in the three games after NEW

  19. Boom XhakaLacaSaka
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Kepa
    Cancelo Shaw Trippier
    Rashford Salah Martinelli Almiron
    Darwin Haaland Adams

    Ward Andreas Tete Patterson

    2ft 1.8 itb

    A) Cancelo/Salah/Adams > R.Lewis/KDB/Kane (-4)
    B) Cancelo/Andreas/Darwin > Ake/KDB/Ferguson (-4)

    1. Nuka Girl
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I like A)

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Not far off a WC tbh

  20. DropkickMurphys
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Not often asked but do you guys think Iversen to De Gea for another -4 is worth it to start instead of Ward?

    1. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Yeah if you want to change up the ol' Wardersen, I think you can probably earn back the hit this week

      1. DropkickMurphys
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks! United didn’t concede for 3 matches and Leicester conceded at all of them… I kinda feel like finally arrived for the easy fixtures for Ward but Leicester doesnt give me confidence. But I would be friends with Ward over De Gea for sure!

    2. mojoindojo
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      No

  21. Tshelby
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Hey all, what would you change? 2FT's/0.7ITB

    Ward, Kepa
    Gabriel, Trippier, Bueno, Shaw, James*
    Martinelli, Salah, KdB, Almiron, Rashford
    Mitro, Haaland, Greenwood

    A) James to Schar
    B) James to Akanji
    C) Get Kane in
    D) Something else

  22. Bishopool
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Who would u start? Other first on bench.

    a) Mitrovic
    b) Martinelli

    1. DARE TO BISCAN
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      B

  23. Drogo
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    I already have Cancelo, Haaland, Shaw, Rashford and Kane for the DGW. Is it too greedy to use my FT to do Salah -> KDB?

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I have the same and am thinking of doing Salah > KDB also

  24. Silecro
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Any Leicester fan here? Shoud Amartey start vs nfo or is he in risk of being benched? Looking at option to bench Nunez instead of selling him. Already have Kane/Haaland so I dont know what would the alternative be

  25. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Morning All, Really need some help here

    What to do with the below team? 1FT, 0.4 itb

    Kepa (Ward)
    CANCELO SHAW Trippier (White, Perraud)
    Salah Martinelli Mount RASHFORD (Andreas)
    HAALAND Mitrovic Darwin

    A- Salah + Darwin > Mahrez + Kane -4
    B- Salah + Darwin + Cancelo > KDB + Kane + Lewis -8
    C- Something else?

    1. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Do you really want rid of Salah? Don't need to ditch him to get Kane necessarily. I would look at Cancelo & Darwin - _ & Kane, or Cancelo, Mount & Darwin - _ & _ & Kane

      1. _Gunner
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        I can do Cancelo, Mount and Darwin > Lewis + Mahrez+ Kane

  26. DB_00
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    -4 already taken. Is it worth another -4 to bring in Shaw or should I just play Gabriel?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Gabbo gabbo gabbo

    2. DropkickMurphys
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      You technically could be only losing -2 if Shaw starts both… I try to think that way in doubles

      1. DB_00
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Not 100% certain he’ll start both as he’s played every game post restart (even cup games). Might be me overthinking though

  27. King H
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Morning Familia,
    I have 6 dgw players already. Do I be greedy and bring in Kane or chill?

    Guaita
    Shaw Cancelo Trippier
    Kdb Rashford Saka Almiron Martinelli
    Viking Darwin

    Ward Cucurella Neco Greenwood.

    Darwin to Kane
    Cancelo to Lewis would be the moves.

  28. Taegugk Warrior
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    A. Darwin to martial
    B. Walker to Doherty
    C. Booth for -4

  29. LC1
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    2 FT and 1.9ITB;

    Kepa
    Shaw** Trippier Botman James(!)
    KDB** Rashford** Martinelli Almiron
    Haaland** Kane**

    Easy James to Stones and save other FT?

    Thanks and good luck all!

  30. DGW20 Fixture and clean sheet odds
    G-Whizz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    DGW20 fixture odds can be found here:
    Today & tomorrow: https://prnt.sc/M4EqB81IVVXg
    Sunday to Thursday: https://prnt.sc/DVwZygvINiMd
    (Provided by William Hill.com)

    DGW19 clean sheets:
    MNU: 50% ✅
    LIV: 38% ❌
    MNC: 38% ✅
    SOU: 38% ❌
    ARS:36% ✅
    AST: 36% ❌
    BHA: 34% ❌
    TOT: 32% ✅
    LEI: 28% ❌
    LEE: 25% ❌
    WHU: 25% ❌
    CRY: 24% ❌
    EVE: 24% ❌
    NFO: 24% ✅
    WOL: 24% ❌
    FUL: 22% ✅ & 26% ❌
    NEW: 19% ✅
    CHE: 16% ❌ & 29% ❌
    BRE: 14% ❌
    BOU: 10% ❌

    Highest clean sheet % odds current success rate: 50% (up 2% from the previous GW)

    DGW20 clean sheet odds:
    CHE: 43%
    MNC: 43% & 34%
    NEW: 42%
    BRE: 38%
    EVE: 36%
    MNU: 36% & 16%
    AST: 34%
    WOL: 32%
    ARS:29%
    WHU: 29%
    LEI: 28%
    LIV: 28%
    NFO: 27%
    SOU: 25%
    TOT: 22% & 10%
    CRY: 21% & 19%
    LEE: 19%
    BHA: 17%
    BOU: 16%
    FUL: 15%
    (Provided by CheckTheChance.com)

    Clean sheet totals:
    Newcastle: 10 (+1)
    Arsenal: 8 (+1)
    Man Utd: 8 (+1)
    Manchester City: 7 (+1)
    Leicester: 6
    Brentford: 5
    Chelsea: 5
    Fulham: 5 (+1)
    Nottingham Forest: 5 (+1)
    Tottenham: 5 (+1)
    Aston Villa: 4
    Bournemouth: 4
    Brighton: 4
    Crystal Palace: 4
    Everton: 4
    Liverpool: 4
    Wolves: 4
    Leeds: 3
    West Ham: 3
    Southampton: 1

    *(+1) denotes team kept a clean sheet in the past GW.

    Had a good week putting the armband on the in-form Rashford, and will probably play my Triple Captain chip this week too...

    Whatever moves you're doing, make sure you have a good 'un and bring those green arrows home 🙂

    G

    1. Nuka Girl
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Thanks G-Whizz