Spot the Differential
13 January 2023 1804 comments
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Double Gameweek 20 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Manchester United, Liverpool and Manchester City who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

CHRISTIAN ERIKSEN

FPL Double Gameweek 20 differentials: Eriksen, Gakpo + Mahrez 1
  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: MCI + cry | ars | CRY | lee | LEI

Christian Eriksen (£6.3m) has shown his value for Man Utd this season, playing an important role in their revival under Erik ten Hag.

Despite playing a deeper role, the playmaker has still been able to impact games offensively. In his last six matches, Eriksen has provided a goal and four assists.

Averaging 6.2 points per match in that time, he’s posted team-leading totals for crosses and passes received in the opposition half, whilst sitting fifth among all FPL midfielders for xA, only behind Kevin De Bruyne (£12.5m), Bruno Fernandes (£9.8m), Martin Odegaard (£6.7m) and Solly March (£5.0m).

His ability from dead-ball situations is key to his FPL appeal, with the imminent signing of Wout Weghorst – a proper target man – further boosting his potential.

Man Utd head into Double Gameweek 20 full of confidence, having lost just one of their last 10 league matches, with three consecutive wins to nil following the restart. Now, they meet Man City at Old Trafford, before visiting a Crystal Palace side that have conceded seven goals in their last two home outings.

Eriksen is one of ten Hag’s most important players and now settled into a central midfield role where he can dictate play and have a real influence on games, could be an effective mid-price differential.

CODY GAKPO

FA Cup Scout Notes: Gakpo's debut, Chelsea injury latest
  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: bha | CHE | wol | EVE | new

Cody Gakpo (£8.0m) signed for Liverpool just after Christmas from PSV and made his debut in the FA Cup last weekend.

The 23-year-old started the 2-2 draw with Wolves at Anfield and featured for 84 minutes, lining up on the left of Jurgen Klopp’s front three. He did, however, sometimes interchange positions with centre-forward Darwin Nunez (£8.9m), which was apparent during the Uruguayan’s first-half equaliser.

During the match, Gakpo had a hand in Mohamed Salah’s (£12.8m) goal and also showed signs of forming an effective partnership with Andrew Robertson (£6.9m). While Luis Diaz (£7.8m) is more of an out-and-out winger, Gakpo likes to drift inside, allowing the Scottish full-back to hold the width on the left, where he is generally at his best. Gakpo’s signing, as a result, could potentially benefit both players going forward.

Statistically, it wasn’t a great night for Gakpo as he attempted just one shot, but there were encouraging signs.

Now, the Dutchman will have another chance to open his account for his new club on Saturday when the Reds visit in-form Brighton. Albion have won two of their three matches since the restart, but Roberto De Zerbi’s attacking approach can leave gaps for opposition attackers to exploit, which should suit Liverpool, who can be deadly in transition.

Gakpo – the reigning Dutch Footballer of the Year – is an exciting signing and at just £8.0m in FPL, an intriguing differential.

RIYAD MAHREZ

FPL Gameweek 20: Taking a hit could be worth the risk
  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £7.5m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: mun + TOT | WOL | tot | AVL | ars

A move for Riyad Mahrez (£7.5m) ahead of Double Gameweek 20 carries risk, given how often he has been benched in the past by Pep Guardiola.

However, the Algerian winger has hit top form following the restart, returning either a goal or assist in each of his three league outings, a period that has seen him average 7.0 points per start.

In addition, he claimed a brace of goals to help City secure a dominant 4-0 FA Cup third-round win over Chelsea and was also on target in last month’s 3-2 EFL Cup win over Liverpool.

“The quality of Riyad is everything. He loves to play football, he helped us to play the game. It was really good. It was a fantastic free-kick. He played an outstanding game. He never lost his love. He loves to play football. The way he is training now and playing was exactly the same in Abu Dhabi. Riyad in important games is fantastic. The last game he didn’t start at Stamford Bridge and the impact he had was incredible. When they play in this way, and maybe complain [about not playing every game] I say ‘yes, you’re right’. Before, he cannot complain because he wasn’t playing at the level he is now. It’s not just about quality, it’s more in football, you have to do more. [But] now since we came back for World Cup, he is playing really, really well.” – Pep Guardiola on Riyad Mahrez after last weekend’s 4-0 FA Cup win over Chelsea

It’s a double-header for Man City in Gameweek 20, as they travel to Man Utd before hosting Spurs on Thursday.

After being rested against Southampton in the EFL Cup in midweek, you’d expect Mahrez to start at least one of those games, perhaps both, with his potential clear when handed minutes. Indeed, he produced six double-digit hauls in just 15 league starts last season.

Owned by just 3.1% of managers, Mahrez has the potential to propel his owners up the ranks.



  1. gooberman
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 25 days ago

    Who to start?

    A Mitrovic
    B Almiron
    C Lewis
    D Odegaard

    1. C'mon the Fylde
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      B

    2. Brehmeren
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Bench Boost

      1. Limbo
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Yep.

    3. agueroooooney
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      D or B, preferably both

  2. highsguy
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 25 days ago

    Cancelo, Almiron, Darwin -> Botman, Mahrez, Kane

    Yes or no?

    1. MGD
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Looks pretty good tbf. Even for -8.

      Might want Almiron back though?

    2. highsguy
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      -8 I should add

    3. Pukki Pies
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Mahrez is always a punt, but could work out

  3. Pukki Pies
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 25 days ago

    Kepa to DDG/Ederson for a hit?

    A) DDG
    B) Ederson
    C) Keep Kepa

    1. highsguy
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      C

    2. agueroooooney
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      C

    3. Vlekz
        3 years, 25 days ago

        It's very close. I did B this week. C is also fine

      • Pukki Pies
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Seems marginal. Will probably keep I think, but I am fed up of him and Chelsea

    4. MGD
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Bottomed

      Kepa
      Shaw*, Cancelo*, Trippier, White
      KDB*, Rashford*, Salah, Martinelli
      Haaland*, Mitrovic

      Ward, Andreas, Greenwood, Patterson

      0,8 ITB, 1 FT.

      I’m looking at making no transfers

    5. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      WILDCARD!

      DDG Ward
      Shaw Trip Botman White RLewis
      KDB Saka Rashford Rodrigo Mitouma
      Haaland Kane Toney

      Rip it apart please.

      1. MGD
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Looks good. Odegaard over Saka? Ederson instead of DDG?

      2. Miguel Sanchez
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        When will you BB with that squad?

      3. CROWLEY NOT CRAWLEY
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Similar to what I would consider. My only considerations would be Martinelli instead of Saka and Bueno instead of Botman.

        Rather have the extra cash and personally not keen on 2x Newcastle right now.

        Either way - looking good.

      4. Pipermaru
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Good team.

      5. Nanook
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Nice team. Possible 6 PK takers there. Have you considered bench boost in 23? If so, Saka to Odegaard allows you to upgrade second keeper to that end plus enough money to move Rodrigo to Martinelli etc for the 23 doubles/BB.

    6. basilfawlty
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Kepa > De Gea for a -4? Yes or No?

      1. agueroooooney
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        No

      2. MGD
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        No way. I may consider it for free though.

      3. Pukki Pies
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        see above. think this has talked me out of it

    7. Saka White Rice
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      2FT so have to use one transfer
      A) Darwin to Toney and play White
      B) Amartey to Botman and play Botman instead of White

      A higher ceiling vs B safer?

      1. Hansel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        A

    8. jason_ni
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      A) Save FT - start Darwin, castagne 1st off bench if needed
      B) Darwin to Toney

      1. Hansel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        B

      2. Crunchie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        B

    9. BBC_TF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      4.6M to remove Reece James.

      Doherty or Botman?

      Constraints:
      I have Shaw/White/Trippier.
      and Haaland/KDB/Mahrez so cant get a city def.

      1. agueroooooney
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Bot

      2. south park ranger
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Botman

    10. Gudjohnsen
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      On a WC:

      Doherty or Mee?

    11. agueroooooney
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      A) Kepa -> Ederson
      B) Andreas -> Odegaard (play ahead of Mitrovic)
      C) Roll FT

      Kepa
      Trippier - Shaw - Schar
      KDB - Almiron - Rashford - Martinelli
      Haaland - Kane - Mitrovic

      Ward - White - Bueno - Andreas

      1 FT 2.6 itb

      1. shaymoose17
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        I'm not buying into this man city defense (ederson). They're too leaky and they play united and spurs. You really think those are clean sheets? I'd focus on another city attacker like Mahrez. Almiron is not at the peak of his form anymore. I'm moving on from him...cheap enough to get back if needed.

        1. agueroooooney
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 25 days ago

          I don't think they're highly likely. Not a fan of Mahrez as a long term pick though.

    12. Bishopool
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      After Shaw, who is the most reliable option for double? Stones out means 2-game-door for Akanji or Ake?

      1. agueroooooney
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Think they're both fairly reliable for the double but not longer term

    13. gooberman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 25 days ago

      Who to bench?

      A Mitrovic
      B Odegaard
      C Lewis
      D Almiron

      1. Mirror Man
          3 years, 25 days ago

          Odegaard

      2. Netters2018
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        Ake, Akanji or Doherty?

        1. Veni Vidi Vialli
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 25 days ago

          Any of the two City boys really, but Akanji is my bet.

      3. yanky
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 25 days ago

        currently on a -4
        Cancelo > Ake
        James > Shaw
        Darwin > Kane

        also have salah and mount starting.
        is salah > kdb or mount > mahrez worth another hit ??

        1. Vlekz
            3 years, 25 days ago

            Mount to mahrez might pay off with the extra fixture. But you know the risks.

        2. FCSB
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 25 days ago

          Cancelo >>

          1. Ake
          2. Akanji

          1. CelticBhoy1
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 25 days ago

            2

          2. south park ranger
            • 3 Years
            3 years, 25 days ago

            2

        3. CelticBhoy1
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 25 days ago

          First sub?

          A) Saliba

          B) Andreas

          1. Veni Vidi Vialli
            • 4 Years
            3 years, 25 days ago

            B

        4. dunas_dog
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 25 days ago

          Thinking- 8 for this team
          Darwin Salah Cancelo to Kane KDB Doherty /Botman

          Worth -8 and would you get A Botman or B Doherty?

          Kepa
          Trippier Doherty /Botman Shaw
          KDB Saka Rashford Almiron
          Haaland Kane Mitrovic

          Ward White Andreas Patterson

          1. Crunchie
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 25 days ago

            Yex, and Botman

          2. lonecomander
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            3 years, 25 days ago

            I’d hesitate to take a -8 hit with Kane just because of the 4 yc. -4 or free I think is excellent. I did that myself this week, but I worry about the risk when you start getting into -8 and above of that 5th yc.

        5. speardrops
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 25 days ago

          Anyone else ever had the issue where you login on FPL and the page just refreshes?

        6. DavvaMC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 25 days ago

          Mount > Mahrez for a -4

          Yay
          Nay

          Thanks

          1. Crunchie
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 25 days ago

            yay

        7. basilfawlty
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 25 days ago

          Anything worth a hit or G2G?

          Kepa
          Trippier Shaw Bueno
          KDB Mahrez Rashford Martinelli
          Haaland Kane Mitrovic

          Ward Andreas White Patterson

        8. south park ranger
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 25 days ago

          Saka&Darwin to Mahrez&Toney (-4)?

          1. Crunchie
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 25 days ago

            why not?

          2. Rupert The Horse
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 25 days ago

            Definitely not.

          3. Pipermaru
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            3 years, 25 days ago

            Go for it.

        9. Crunchie
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 25 days ago

          A. Mitro/Darwin to Kane and Ferguson -4
          B. Cucu to Perisic
          C. Darwin to Toney

          Team ATM
          Ederson(Ward)
          Shaw, Trippier, Culu or White (patterson)
          KDB, Rash, Kulu, Martinelli (andreas)
          Kane, Haaland (Ferguson).

          Thanks.

        10. Hansel
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          3 years, 25 days ago

          A) Start Castagne
          B) Start White
          C) James -> Botman -4 and start Bot
          D) James -> Doherty -4 and start Doc

          1. Crunchie
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 25 days ago

            c

        11. shaymoose17
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 25 days ago

          Thoughts on Salah + Martial ----> Mahrez + Kane?

          Unsure of Martial's playing status and salah is ot holding up to his price value...

          1. Crunchie
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 25 days ago

            yes

          2. DaftPunk
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            3 years, 25 days ago

            Darwin's potential absence could work in Salah's favour positionally, and Brighton's defence has been porous since De Zerbi has come in. Maybe keep hold of him.

            1. shaymoose17
              • 3 Years
              3 years, 25 days ago

              I see that as lessening the attacking prowess of liverpool and reducing salah's returns.

        12. Gizzachance
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 25 days ago

          Haaland t/c? Utd an tot?
          Tot have been poor in defence keep conceding,Palace game papered over the cracks, utd have had few easy games, think a few may do it?

          City Have dgw 23, ars an villa, looks better, could be injured by then, rested etc in one?or cup games around it
          Only had 3 games since restart, after the rest in w/cup, further down the line, means more games played

          Seriously now thinking bout it.
          Most casuals will i think, as unlike some, don’t overthink, or look further down the line
          Good luck all

          1. Crunchie
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 25 days ago

            No

            1. Gizzachance
              • 11 Years
              3 years, 25 days ago

              Cheers, just seeing on people’s thoughts

          2. I Member
            • 10 Years
            3 years, 25 days ago

            I'm going for it.

        13. Gudjohnsen
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 25 days ago

          Should I go with Ederson or one of the City defenders on WC?

          Already have KDB and Haaland locked

          1. Crunchie
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 25 days ago

            i did, only last week has it come in though

        14. Boss Hogg
          • 16 Years
          3 years, 25 days ago

          Points predictions for this dgw?

          a. Mahrez
          b. Kulu

          ???

          1. Mirror Man
              3 years, 25 days ago

              3
              5

          2. tim
            • 16 Years
            3 years, 25 days ago

            Any chance Darwin starts?

            1. Crunchie
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              3 years, 25 days ago

              Nah

            2. Weak Become Heros
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              3 years, 25 days ago

              Less than 25% i reckon

          3. Bobby Digital
            • 8 Years
            3 years, 25 days ago

            TC Haaland anyone?

            1. Miguel Sanchez
              • 9 Years
              3 years, 25 days ago

              Plenty will but not many here

            2. Veni Vidi Vialli
              • 4 Years
              3 years, 25 days ago

              Yeah, think i’ll press that TC button and just get it over with. GW23 not an option as City’s schedule is way too tight.