Captain Sensible
20 January 2023 335 comments
Hibbo Hibbo
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Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers take a moment to catch their breath as normal single-fixture service returns following successive Double Gameweeks. 

Erling Haaland (£12.2m) leads an assorted array of alternative candidates from Tottenham Hotspur, Liverpool, and even Brentford providing options for those managers tempted by a punt for the Gameweek 21 captaincy. 

As usual, the Captain Sensible article is here to highlight which assets have the best chance of hauling.

First, we will assess the fallout of the captain poll, before then analysing the best options, Rate My Team (RMT) and the Premier Fantasy Tools ratings ahead of Saturday’s 11:00 BST deadline.

THE CAPTAIN POLL

Erling Haaland dominates the captain poll for the second successive Gameweek, backed by over 60% of the total votes cast by users at the time of writing.

The Norwegian has over ten times as many votes as anyone else at this stage, with City team-mate Kevin De Bruyne (£12.5m) currently in second place, backed by just over 6% of our users. 

Mohamed Salah (£12.8m) occupies third place with 5.89% of the vote, followed by Kieran Trippier (£6.0m), Harry Kane (£11.7m) and Ivan Toney (£7.5m) a mite further back. 

THE MAIN CANDIDATES

ERLING HAALAND/KEVIN DE BRUYNE

Erling Haaland headed home his 22nd goal of the Premier League campaign but his solitary Double Gameweek 20 return underwhelmed, especially for those who selected the Norwegian as their Triple Captain. 

Despite registering two blanks since Premier League action resumed, Haaland’s underlying numbers, while dampened, still highlight his importance to Guardiola’s attack – and his captaincy credentials. 

The Norwegian places in the division’s top four over the last six matches for shots inside the box (17) and big chances received (nine), a downturn from his early-season dominance.

However, Haaland continues to dominate the expected metrics, leading the division for expected goals (xG) and expected goal involvement (xGI), with 4.74 and 5.29 respectively. 

A screenshot of a computer  Description automatically generated

Above: Erling Haaland places top over the last six matches for expected goals (xG) and expected goal involvement (xGI)

Kevin De Bruyne was a surprise omission from Manchester City’s starting line-up for Thursday’s 4-2 victory over Tottenham Hotspur, with the Belgian an unused substitute.

The playmaker’s absence from training photographs earlier in the week had been noted by eagle-eyed managers and De Bruyne had to settle for a watching brief as Manchester City came back from two goals down to demolish Spurs.

Prospects of a return to the starting line-up bode well for the Belgian given both his rest and the quick turnaround for Manchester City.

De Bruyne’s 20 chances created, and seven big chances provided place him in the top three over the last six matches, highlighting the midfield maestro’s creative influence. 

Furthermore, over that same period, De Bruyne leads the division for expected assists (xA, 3.80), and ranks third for expected goal involvement (xGI, 4.73), highlighting his underperformance since Premier League action resumed after the World Cup.

Julen Lopetegui has galvanised Wolverhampton Wanderers since taking the Molineux hot seat, recording crucial victories to lift his new troops from the foot of the Premier League table. 

While the Spaniard has inspired marked improvement in performance levels, Wolves rank fifth worst over the last four matches for non-penalty expected goals conceded (NPxGC, 6.58). 

Furthermore, over that same period, Wolves faced two sides placed bottom six in the division for non-penalty expected goals (NPxG), West Ham United and Everton, with 3.26 and 3.71 respectively. 

MOHAMED SALAH 

VIDEO LATEST



Hibbo Author of Captain Sensible. I write Fantasy Premier League articles, focusing on stats and strategy. Four top 10k finishes. 22/23 Rank - 6123.  Follow them on Twitter

335 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. JT11fc
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Captain Rodriiiiigoooooo

  2. LC1
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Happy Friday all!

    We good to save FT here;

    Kepa
    Trippier Botman Akanji
    KDB Rashford Martinelli Almiron
    Haaland Kane Toney

    2.2 ITB.

    Thanks!

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Probably yes

    2. Tshelby
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Save and enjoy your friday!

    3. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Yep. Solid save

  3. The Knights Template
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Gnonto

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Great shout next week away to Forest

      1. Riverside Red
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Beware, Forest are improving

        1. Ze_Austin
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          Yeah. Actually considering Aurier now. Hendo's injury might be a blow, but he's only needed to make two saves combined in his last three matches

          Someone did rightly mention that Henderson's influence on the defence in front of him would be missed though

  4. Tshelby
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Still undecided on my next move. Time to sell Salah? 2FT's/1.4 ITB

    Ward, Kepa
    Gabriel, Trippier, Bueno, Shaw, Schar
    Martinelli, Salah, KdB, Almiron, Rashford
    Mitro, Haaland, Greenwood

    Salah and Greenwood to Rodrigo and Kane? Or something else?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Prefer arsenal or Brighton mid over Rodrigo

      1. Tshelby
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Could also go for Saka and Toney? Or Eddie and Mitoma?

        1. Riverside Red
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          Saka for me, I've gone for double Arsenal in midfield

          1. Tshelby
            • 11 Years
            2 years, 10 months ago

            Do you think Martinelli's nailed spot isn't nailed anymore with Trossard coming in?

            1. Tonyawesome69
              • 6 Years
              2 years, 10 months ago

              Saka and Toney. I wouldn't worry about Martinelli'a mins until we actually see them getting reduced

            2. Riverside Red
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              2 years, 10 months ago

              I think he's performances have slightly tailed off recently..I still own him, but may move him on for another Arsenal asset. Trossard will inevitably challenge for a starting position.

              1. Riverside Red
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 6 Years
                2 years, 10 months ago

                *his

    2. LC1
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I'd love to have Saka in my team so that's what I'd advise you do to

  5. Junks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Do i stick with Kulu or move him on... Have Kane as well??

    Spurs are frustrating but Kulu seems to return?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Stick for this GW

    2. El Presidente
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Move him on... he was Spurs best player last night

  6. Tonyawesome69
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    RP - Positive quotes on Ake and Lewis from Pep suggests Cancelo is not starting FB the next game.

    A. Save FT and start Shaw ahead of Cancelo
    B. Transfer out Cancelo but not sure who the replacement would be

    1FT 0.4 ITB
    Kepa
    Tripper White Shaw
    Almiron KDB Rashford Martinelli
    Mitro Haaland Kane
    (Ward Andreas Cancelo Patterson)

  7. Miguel Sanchez
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    GK pick this week:

    A) Raya (lee)
    B) DDG (ars)

    1. Tshelby
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      A can't see Arsenal not scoring

      1. El Presidente
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Well I can't Leeds not scoring too

        1. Tshelby
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          Sure but Arsenal not scoring would be more rare than Leeds imo

    2. Botman and Robben
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      A

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Raya

    4. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Expect Arsenal's finishing will be more clinical, Raya to get more saves

    1. Tshelby
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Mitoma for me

    2. Riverside Red
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Very interesting

    3. Ze_Austin
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Good stuff. My criticism of this is that it's unfair on March to use per 90 data without excluding his previous roles in the team

      He'd been a right wing back for a while, only becoming an inside forward recently under De Zerbi

      So it might be more useful to take the data based on when both of them started playing as the inside forwards, imo

  8. Fernandito
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Kepa / Ward
    TAA Cancelo Trippier Shaw Patterson
    KDB Rashford Saka Almiron Andreas
    Haaland Toney Martial

    0.6 in the bank 1 FT ideally want to move TAA, Cancelo, Martial & possibly Almiron but could also save FT ahead of possible doubles...any suggestions?

    1. Tshelby
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Wc?

    2. space mercenary
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Martial - Nketiah

  9. Arteta
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Charles Watts: "Trossard already at London Colney this morning as Arsenal look to get everything done and submitted before the 12pm deadline."

  10. JBG
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Really want to WC these players out:

    Kdb + Almiron + Martinelli + Cancelo + Iversen + Gabriel + Martial

    To these players:

    Bruno + Ødegaard + Saka + Schar + Ramsdale + Estupinan + Toney/Gnonto

    Not this GW, though, but very soon.

    1. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I like

  11. Junks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Thoughts on the below..

    1FT 2.2ITB
    Ward
    Shaw White Trippier
    Martinelli KDB Rash Kulu
    Haaland Kane Ferguson

    Iversen / Andreas / Bueno / Patterson

    A. Hold and roll
    B. Ward to Raya/Sanchez/Pope/Sa
    C. Any other suggestions very welcome????

    1. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      A

  12. RamboRN
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Kepa
    Trippier shaw cancelo
    Kdb martineli rashford almiron
    Haaland kane martial

    Ward white andreas Patterson

    1ft 1.3m itb. Any thoughts? Thinking martial and cancelo to toney + Newcastle defender for -4 Sound good?

    1. aleksios
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Go for it.

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I don't think you need to take the hit but the hit will likely pay off this GW.

    3. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Just Martial->Toney

  13. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Which GK should start

    A - Kepa
    B - Ward

    1. aleksios
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      B. Liv will score i think

      1. Tonyawesome69
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Brighton will score more

  14. Miguel Sanchez
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Might it be the time toi think about selling Martinelli? Looked a bit leggy on Sunday and now they have a genuine option to switch him with at LW

    1. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Did he look leggy? Didn't think so myself. Maybe just down to Romero lunging at him every opportunity?

      I'm not worried about Trossard. In fact I think its good for Gabi to have quality cover who can play some cup games & rest his legs where needed

    2. Ze_Austin
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I'd wait for the drop to happen before switching, unless it's a luxury move for someone you consider to have higher points potential

      ESR was expected to displace Martinelli or Odegaard for a long time before it became clear that Arteta really loves an unchanged XI, so I think they're still safe for now

      Not sure though. Maybe more like "don't buy, don't sell" as we gather more data

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Luxury move out

  15. gooberman
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Im on a great run. 5 successive sub 800k gameweek ranks and OR up from 2.4m in GW15 to 297k.

    1. Ze_Austin
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Sweet1 Hoping for something similar here at 2m. Good luck with the decisions ahead 🙂

      1. Ze_Austin
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Ugh. My bad. That was meant to be "Sweet!"

  16. aleksios
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Anything worth a hit? 0.6 itb.

    --Ward
    --Walker--Shaw--Tripp
    --Mart--KDB--Rash--Almiron
    --Kane--Haaland--Toney.

    ---Kepa--Saliba--White--Andreas.

    Thanks all.

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      No - Start an arsenal defender over shaw

  17. DannyDrinkVodka
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Margins are so so fine......had Salah>Mahrez, Mitrovic>Kane with 2 FT all settled until the Darwin injury....frustrating to say the least!

    1. Ze_Austin
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Yup, very fine. But the logical decisions tend to add up over time

      Who did you replace Darwin with?

      1. DannyDrinkVodka
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Kane…….

        1. Ze_Austin
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          I see that as 7 points gained while keeping Mitro for his likely haul vs the very leaky Spurs

          There'll always be a few great moves we didn't make, but that doesn't change the fact that you still made a good move, imo

    2. Better off with a pin and a…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Why didn't you do Salah->Mahrez and Darwin->Kane?

      1. DannyDrinkVodka
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Because I had enough for KDB

        1. Better off with a pin and a…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          I see that and it's not a bad call. It's odd that we still rate expensive players even when they're not performing so well. I'm feeling a bit smug because I decided the City defence wasn't worth it and ended up with Mahrez, KDB and Haaland. It's about the first thing I have got right this season, though!

    3. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Easy to say now

  18. dshv
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Kepa Ward
    Trippier Botman Shaw Cucurella Bueno
    Kdb Rashford Almiron Martinelli Andreas
    Kane Toney Haaland

    1FT 2ITB

    Cucurella to anybody and play over shaw ?

    Andreas to march and play over martinelli ??

  19. JAC THE CAT
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Things like that Ederson assist not being given really takes the shine off FPL.

    So much time and effort is put into this by people and they have shown no consistency at all.

    Very poor.

    1. Ruinenlust
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Wasn’t an assist

    2. TheTinman
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Agree with this when it is such an obvious error and we have seen some bizarre ones given.

      Surprised they didn't just give it, its only 3pts in the grand scheme of things. Owners right to be annoyed and non owners wouldn't have really had an argument against it.

      Could have knocked people out of ML cups etc.

    3. EWH2020
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      if you give Ederson the assist then you need to credit Kulusevski assist from 4 weeks ago.

      Also, if you don't give Ederson the assist then they should deduct Kane assist to Son 2 weeks ago. Exactly the same as Ederson

  20. hustler7
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    3 red arrows in a row...need to stop the rot. I was going to roll my FT this week, what do you think?

    Kepa
    Cancelo* Trippier White
    Martinelli KDB Rashford Almiron
    Kane Haaland Nketiah

    Ward Shaw Perreira Patterson*

    Is the starting line up correct? Thanks for any advice as always.

    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Roll

  21. ☈☾
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Spurs should sign Tuchel.

    1. hustler7
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Ex-chelsea bosses have not worked out well so far. Third time lucky?

    2. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Both playing back 5s would be a good thing

  22. ekul the lokonga enthusiast
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    almiron, nketiah & martinelli to odegaard, toney and dasilva

    worth a minus 4 or no?

    1. Digital-Real
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      No way before Arsenal double. Nketiah is a hold.

  23. Junks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    *Repost* Thoughts on the below..

    1FT 2.2ITB
    Ward
    Shaw White Trippier
    Martinelli KDB Rash Kulu
    Haaland Kane Ferguson

    Iversen / Andreas / Bueno / Patterson

    A. Hold and roll
    B. Ward to Raya/Sanchez/Pope/Sa
    C. Any other suggestions very welcome????

    1. The Mighty Whites
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      A

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Probably roll

  24. The Mighty Whites
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    1FT, 0.4 ITB, thinking to roll?

    Kepa / Ward
    Cancelo / Trippier / Shaw / White / Patterson
    KDB / Kulusevski / Rashford / Martinelli / Andreas
    Haaland / Darwin / Mitrovic

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I would sell Darwin if still out

    2. ekul the lokonga enthusiast
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      darwin to toney surely?

  25. Pep Roulette
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Almiron to Gnoto for free? Good form & good fixtures plus possible DGW22!

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Almiron is a MID and Gnonto a FWD

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Gnonto is a forward

    3. Attaka
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Gnonto is a forward pal

    4. Pep Roulette
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      My bad! :/

      1. Ze_Austin
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        *hugs*

      2. The Mentaculus
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Maybe next season he'll be a mid 🙂

    5. JBG
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Isn't Gnonto an attacker?

  26. HurriKane
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Is Martinelli to Odegaard considered a sideways transfer or Upgrade ?

    I noticed Martinelli not involved as much after World cup restart. Maybe he's missing the link he had with Jesus

    Saka and Odegaard meanwhile involved in most attacking plays

    1. ekul the lokonga enthusiast
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      with casemiro out on top of everything you said, i think i want to do this same move but sideways moves never feel right

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I think it's an upgrade but is it worth using a FT

      1. HurriKane
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Has to do it at some point

        Also martinelli likely to hooked early around 75 mins for likes of Trossard and ESR

  27. Fodderx4
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Would you play...
    a) Robbo
    b) White

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      White

  28. EWH2020
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    start one:

    a) Almiron
    b) Mitro

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Mitro

    2. Fodderx4
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      b

  29. Angelic upstart
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    I need to play two of Almiron, Mitoma & Mitrovic but which two?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Mitoma and Mitro

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      M & M