Spot the Differential
20 January 2023 569 comments
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Gameweek 21 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Leeds United, Brighton and Hove Albion and Southampton, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

WILFRIED GNONTO

FPL Gameweek 21 differentials: Gnonto, March + Ward-Prowse 1
  • FPL ownership: 0.5%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW21-25 fixtures: BRE | nfo + mun* | MUN | eve | SOU

*Double Gameweek 22 will only go ahead if neither Leeds or Man Utd require FA Cup fourth-round replays

Wilfried Gnonto (£5.0m) is Leeds United’s most in-form player.

The 19-year-old was on fire against Cardiff in the FA Cup on Wednesday, scoring an impressive brace, having netted his first goal for the Yorkshire club in Gameweek 19. He was also electric in the recent 2-1 defeat at Aston Villa, with only a faint touch denying him an assist.

Capable of playing as a winger, second striker or centre-forward, Gnonto has registered nine shots and created four chances in four league matches since the Premier League restarted. Those stats are made even more impressive when we consider that two of those were against Man City and Newcastle. He is also an excellent dribbler and draws lots of fouls, frequently winning free-kicks for his team in the final third.

With Gnonto impressing, Rodrigo (£6.4m) scoring regularly, Patrick Bamford (£7.2m) back fit and Georginio Rutter (£5.5m) joining for a club-record fee, there is plenty of firepower in Leeds’ ranks.

There are some decent fixtures on the horizon too, which includes a potential Double Gameweek 22 against Nottingham Forest and Man Utd.

Gnonto is already one of Leeds’ most important players and at just £5.0m, could be an excellent third forward in FPL.

SOLLY MARCH

  • FPL ownership: 4.0%
  • Price: £5.1m
  • GW21-25 fixtures: lei | BOU | cry | FUL | new

Free-scoring Solly March (£5.1m) is still only owned by 4.0% of FPL managers, despite racking up more points (44) than any other player in any position since the season resumed.

Three double-digit returns have arrived in that time, courtesy of four goals, two assists and nine bonus points.

Under Graham Potter, March spent most of his time playing wing-back but was regularly shifted around. However, Roberto De Zerbi has chosen to push him further forward on the right of his 4-2-3-1 formation, a position he is thriving in. The Italian’s man-management also seems to be getting the best out of March, which he recently discussed:

“I love playing for Roberto – he’s great. He puts his arm around you and tells you you’re a good player. Maybe that’s what I needed.” – Solly March

From Gameweek 17 onwards, March has taken 10 shots and created nine chances. As a result, no Brighton player can trump his 2.32 xGI tally, including Kaoru Mitoma (£5.0m) and Evan Ferguson (£4.5m).

Brighton head into Gameweek 21 on a high after beating Liverpool 3-0 last weekend. Next up for the Seagulls is a trip to Leicester – who have lost all four games since the restart – with appealing fixtures against Bournemouth, Crystal Palace and Fulham to follow. It’s worth noting that Gameweek 25 could potentially be a blank, although that is dependent on the results of the EFL Cup semi-finals, which you can read more about here.

As for March, he is one of the cheapest midfielders in FPL but can easily be a week-in, week-out starter, allowing you to push more funds into other areas of your team.

JAMES WARD-PROWSE

Budget FPL defender Mitchell can capitalise on Palace long-term fixture appeal 1
  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £6.2m
  • GW21-25 fixtures: AVL | bre | WOL | che | lee

With four goals in as many matches since the Premier League restarted, interest in James Ward-Prowse (£6.2m) is picking up.

The 28-year-old started the season slowly, with just two attacking returns inside the first 15 Gameweeks. However, he has since played a part in all five of their goals under new manager Nathan Jones, which has coincided with him being deployed further forward, specifically as a number 10 of late.

“We played him a little bit higher so he can be more aggressive as his distances are through the roof week in, week out, so we know we can get a lot out of him. Everything he does is excellent.” – Nathan Jones on James Ward-Prowse

From Gameweek 17 onwards, he is averaging 7.3 points per match, having registered 10 shots and three big chances, whilst also creating nine chances for his teammates. Such is his importance, Ward-Prowse has played every minute of league football for Southampton this season. He is also on set pieces, including penalties.

Now, the Saints meet Aston Villa in Gameweek 21. The Villans are improving under Unai Emery but have allowed 14 big chances in the last four Gameweeks, more than any other top-flight side bar Leeds.

Ward-Prowse has delivered a string of impressive displays under his new manager and is an intriguing mid-price differential.



569 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. lifes a pitch
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 16 days ago

    Which Brighton mid would you rather have.. March or Mitoma ?

    1. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      March. Higher ceiling.

    2. SouthCoastSaint
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      Honestly think JwP playing number 10 and being on pens and free kicks makes him the best shout here

      1. dansully3
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        Biased opinion? No chance. He's carrying that team. Seagulls are much more impressive.

    3. dansully3
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      I'm torn as I have 3 class strikers and 4 heavy hitters already in mf. I need Brighton cover and might even drop Marty v Utd. Agh.

  2. OffsidePenalty
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 16 days ago

    Kepa
    Cancelo trippier White Shaw
    KdB Almiron Rashford Martinelli
    Haaland Kane

    Ward, Andreas, Bueno, Martial
    Cannot afford just Martial to Toney this GW. I need to make more funds.

    A) Cancelo and Martial to Schar and Toney for -4?
    B) save ft and do Cancelo, Martial and KdB to Schar, Toney and Fernandes for -4 next GW?

    1. Joelinton Travel Tavern
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      We have the same team except mitro v martial. Those moves you're suggesting will leave you with 6-7 non players in week 25 assuming LC goes as expected. You planning to WC?

      1. OffsidePenalty
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        Hmm. Any advice then?

        1. Joelinton Travel Tavern
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 16 days ago

          Save FT. By next deadline we'll know who blanks in 22.

  3. SouthCoastSaint
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 16 days ago

    First time I’ve wanted all 3 of the differentials in my team.

    How do I sell Mahrez

    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      Go to the task bar and select "transfers".
      Click on Mahrez and select "remove player". Click on the vacant player spot and select "select replacement".
      Scroll through the options and select Mudryk. Done.

      1. SouthCoastSaint
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        Haha expecting big things? That whole transfer deal was rather odd

        1. JT11fc
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 16 days ago

          He has the weapons, its just how soon he can get up to speed. Typical Chelsea transfer haha.
          JWP is an intriguing differential

    2. SmasherLagru
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      U dont

  4. Feed tha Sheep
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 16 days ago

    Start?

    A. Shaw
    B. White

    1. SouthCoastSaint
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      White easy

    2. waldo666
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      A

  5. Paddy Gooner
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 16 days ago

    Play Kepa or Ward?

    1. Feed tha Sheep
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      I’m playing Kepa just

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      Ward

  6. DMP
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 16 days ago

    Mitro to Gnonto or roll ft?

    Kepa
    Trip White Akamai
    KDB Martinelli Rashie Odegard
    Kane Halland Mitro***

    Ward Andreas Dunk Shaw

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      Roll

    2. Victor6359
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      roll

    3. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      Roll

  7. Freddiemac123
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 16 days ago

    Saka to Mahrez? Yay or nay?

    1. DMP
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      Just keep Saka and save you some headaches.

      1. Freddiemac123
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        Yeah hard to know what team pep will field. At least Saka will start

    2. SouthCoastSaint
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      I may do Mahrez to saka?!

    3. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      Nah

    4. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      No

  8. PascalCygan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 16 days ago

    Evening friends, hope you’re all well

    Life means I haven’t been able to be on here much this week, just as well maybe as I was originally thinking of saving a FT. Mitoma, Odegaard on the shortlist.

    Am I ok to save here? Thinking 2FTs might be valuable for 22/23?

    1FT 2.1ITB
    Ward
    Trippier Ake White
    KDB Rashford Martinelli Almiron
    Haaland Kane Toney

    Kepa Andreas Shaw Bueno

    Thanks!

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      Absolutely save a trade for next gw.

      1. PascalCygan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        Thank you kindly

  9. mataave
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 16 days ago

    Been pretty distant from FPL since the World Cup, any transfers needed for this week, or should I save the FT until next GW?

    Kepa - Ward
    Cucurella - Shaw - Trippier - Bueno - N. Williams
    Almiron - KDB - Rashford - Mount - Andreas
    Kane - Haaland - Mitrovic

    Thanks in advance

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      Upgrade Neco or Cucu if you have funds

      1. mataave
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        Was considering changing Cucu to an Arsenal defender but didn’t know if it was worth waiting until next week. Any suggestions?

        1. PascalCygan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 16 days ago

          I’m regretting going Ake over Schar. Newcastle double up could be good

    2. dansully3
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      Mount is wasted in there too along with Cucu they need shipping pronto.

  10. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 16 days ago

    Kepa (ward)
    Triper botman walker saliba (shaw)
    Rash almiron mahrez (zaha martineli)
    Haland toney kane

    Which ? (Targeting odegard mitoma bruno rodrigo for 2 mids. Spots)

    A) roll ft, re-asses in next gw
    B) zaha to Mitoma/march, gw22 almiron to bruno/rodrigo, gw23 odegard in (dont know for whom)
    C) zaha to odegard, gw22 almiron to rodrigo (will miss out mitoma & bruno)

  11. raoulduke71
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 16 days ago

    Play Almiron or Martinelli?

    1. RealSocialDads
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      Martinelli

      1. dansully3
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        Wan Bizz will gobble him up

    2. Victor6359
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      Almiron, good against ‘lessor’ away teams

  12. Victor6359
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 16 days ago

    Who would you bench?

    A: Mitro
    B: Haaland 🙂
    C: Rashford
    D: Almiron
    E: March
    F: Marcelini
    G: Oodegaard

    1. RealSocialDads
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      Similar position... Have to choose between Almiron martinelli mitro, currently on mitro.

      In your position I'd go for mitro but go with your gut

      1. Victor6359
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        Cheers RS, I was my first choice too

    2. waldo666
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      D

      1. Victor6359
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        cheers

    3. Mirror Man
        3 years, 16 days ago

        March

    4. RealSocialDads
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      Start one this week:

      A. Mitro (TOT)
      B. Almiron (cpa)

      1. PascalCygan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        B

      2. waldo666
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        A

      3. Victor6359
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        B

      4. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        Mitro

    5. Bezz82
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      Start?

      A. Cucurella
      B. Bueno
      C. Get someone in for -4 (I’ve got Shaw & Tripper and Patterson)

      1. RealSocialDads
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        Neither good options... Bueno but the hit could be a good shout for a long term option, would never normally advocate a hit for a defender

    6. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      Ederson
      Trippier Shaw Cucurella
      KDB Rashford Almiron Martinelli
      Haaland Kane Toney

      Ward Andreas Bueno Patterson

      A. Cucu > Schar
      B. Cucu > Gabriel/White
      C. Roll the FT

    7. KeanosMagic
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      Are any fixtures confirmed for 28?

    8. Ruinenlust
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      Cancelo -> Akanji

      Yes or no?

      1. Victor6359
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        yip

      2. RealSocialDads
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        Think I like ake more than akanji

        1. dansully3
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 16 days ago

          Neither will play this weekend, looks like stones and laporte cb with walker and cancelo.

    9. AD105
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      2FT and 3.3 ITB - thinking Mitro > Toney and then keep another 2 FT for next week?

      Kepa
      Tripps Botman White
      KDB Rash Martinelli Almiron
      Kane Haaland Mitro

      Ward Pereira Shaw Bueno

      1. RealSocialDads
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        Toney in looks good

    10. Extr3meZy
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      Plz reply with thoughts on what to do with my team

      Pope
      Gabriel, Trppier, Shaw
      Rashford, Martinelli, de bruyne, Almiron
      Kane, Haaland (c), mitrovic
      Bench: ward, Castagne, Andreas N.Williams

      Should I
      A) get mitoma/ March for Andreas and bench Martinelli to play him or bench Mitrovic and play Martinelli and Mitoma/March
      B) transfer out Martinelli to odegard and take a -4 for Almiron to Mitoma/ march
      C) dont do any transfers
      D) something else

    11. Teddy10
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      No chance Liverpool get a double game week soon?

      1. dansully3
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        Won't matter

        1. Teddy10
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 16 days ago

          You wouldn’t want Salah on a double game week

          1. dansully3
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 16 days ago

            You're right, I wouldn't!

    12. Kodap
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      Good to go, anything worth a -4?

      Kepa
      Trippier - Botman - Akanji
      KDB - Almiron - Martinelli - Rash
      Toney - Haaland (c) - Kane

      Ward - White - Andreas - Dalot

      1. The Knights Template
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        Arise, Sir Kodap, Knight Template!

    13. EffPeeEll
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      I've watched this Gnonto lad live and yes he's a decent player but he's tiny and will be easily knocked off the ball.
      I stand to be corrected by time but for me it's a lot of hype.

      1. dansully3
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        Haven't seen him live but I think the same. Surely he should be in midfielders instead of forwards too. Better options elsewhere up top.

      2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        The David Silva argument

        1. dansully3
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 16 days ago

          Silva was a midfielder and classed as one was he not? This guy ain't no Silva!!

          1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
            • 5 Years
            3 years, 16 days ago

            Not sure position has anything to do with it, the same argument was made of Lisandro Martinez wasn't it? It's either a physical league and you think smaller players can't deal with it or not, if anything a midfielder has worse to deal with than a winger

      3. The Knights Template
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        Rubbish, he has a low centre of gravity, he is a tough nugget, he isn’t getting knocked off anything.

      4. Snake Juice
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        He's a perfect Greenwood upgrade for those using a 3-5-2

        1. dansully3
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 16 days ago

          I'd rather Ferguson for less money than Gnonto too.

          1. Snake Juice
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 16 days ago

            Fair enough, Gnonto looks incredible though. DGW as well

            1. dansully3
              • 9 Years
              3 years, 16 days ago

              He'll get stuffed at OT, nice battle v Aurier too

    14. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      A or B? Wildcard activated

      XXX
      XXX Trippier XXX
      Bruno Mahrez Odegaard XXX
      Haaland Kane Gnonto

      (Meslier Rashford White Shaw)

      A) Ederson, Schär, Aurier, Mitoma + 3.4m
      B) Pope, Lewis, Trent, Rodrigo + 0.0m
      C) Other combination

      1. Victor6359
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        A

      2. dansully3
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        B is pants

    15. Nespinha
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      Start Shaw or Castagne?

      1. Samsonite
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        I’ve been weighing this up myself. Casemiro being out has me leaning Castagne but I don’t love it

        1. dansully3
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 16 days ago

          Leicester are brutal and will concede.

    16. Bonus magnet
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      And why are people selling Mahrez

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        No ppl just asking but who sell best city player now

      2. dansully3
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        Strange alright, if you own him surely you'd keep him now. He's expected to start with Foden.

    17. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      Evening all. 1FT + 2m ITB. Save or use FT somewhere? Thanks

      Kepa
      Trippier - Ake - Shaw
      Martinelli - KDB - Rashford - Almiron
      Mitro - Haaland - Kane

      (Ward) - Saliba - Andreas - Bueno

    18. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      Who to bench from my 5 midfielders:

      A. Mahrez (minutes risk, best form)
      B. Almiron (form regression, easy fixture)
      C. Rashford (most difficult fixture, good form)
      D. Martinelli (minutes risk, team form)
      E. KDB (worst form, high ceiling)

      Want to play all my 3 forwards -- Mitrovic, Haaland and Kane.
      Defence includes -- Trippier, Botman, Shaw, White (still deciding who to bench).

      1. NJ MetroStars
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        good problem to have, but id honestly bench mitrovic. if i had to pick a mid though, almiron. palace sucks but tough place to play

        1. NJ MetroStars
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 16 days ago

          actually id start mitro. id bench almiron

          1. banskt
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 16 days ago

            Thanks. I was actually considering to bench Rashford as I thought Man United may not be able to score at the Emirates. But, I agree that Almiron could be benched as well. A slender win for Newcastle.

      2. OptimusBlack
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        B

        1. banskt
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 16 days ago

          Thanks. Second vote for Almiron.

          Shall I go with the votes or shall I go with my gut to bench Rashford? Whatever decision I take will backfire.

          1. Fellaini's Fro
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 16 days ago

            I'm also benching rashford, just think arsenal are too good at the moment.
            Utd are missing casemiro

      3. bombonera
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        Almiron

    19. NJ MetroStars
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      would love your help guys, thanks!

      kepa

      trippier, botman, shaw

      kdb, rashford, martinelli, almiron

      haaland, kane, mitrovic

      (ward, andreas, bueno, reece james)

      0.4 itb, 1ft

      a) james --> white (prefer gabriel but want to leave enough itb for almiron --> odegard next week)
      b) roll for more news and flexibility

      1. jonnybhoy
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        B

    20. FPLShaqiri
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      Is Stones fairly nailed? Want to remove Cucarella and get the triple on City

      1. dansully3
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        Yes

      2. Scalper
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        Same thinking here. Seems everyone is forgetting city have a DGW 23. Think stones is most nailed but can't guarantee he'll play both.

        1. artvandelay316
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 16 days ago

          Not forgotten, but plenty of teams in better form and less rotation risk have doubles first.

      3. NJ MetroStars
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 16 days ago

        hes probably the safest right now. long term, who knows

    21. jonnybhoy
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 16 days ago

      What to do here? 1FT anything to do here? Cancelo doesnt play good replacements

      Kepa
      Trippier Cancelo Botman
      Martinelli Salah Almiron Rashford
      Kane Mitro Haaland (C)

      Ward White Shaw Andreas