Spot the Differential
18 April 2023 506 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

Gameweek 32 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is nearing, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Fulham, Bournemouth and Crystal Palace, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

WILLIAN

FPL Gameweek 19 differentials: Willian among three low-owned picks
  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW32-36 fixtures: LEE | avl | MCI + liv | LEI | sou

Fulham returned to winning ways at Everton on Saturday, having previously lost four Premier League games in a row.

In one of the Cottagers’ best displays for some time, Willian (£5.5m) registered five shots and three chances created, earning the assist for Harry Wilson’s (£5.7m) goal. It coincided with Marco Silva shaking up his attack, with forgotten man Daniel James (£5.9m) – who is ineligible to play in Gameweek 32 – used as a central striker, flanked by Wilson and Willian, who consistently found pockets of space, pulling Everton’s defenders out of position.

In his last six matches, Willian has created 14 chances, eight more than team-mate Andreas Pereira (£4.3m). Only five FPL midfielders have managed more in that time, and four of those blank in Gameweek 32: Bruno Fernandes (£9.6m), Solly March (£5.1m), Kevin De Bruyne (£12.0m), Pascal Gross (£5.4m) and Son Heung-min (£11.7m).

As for Fulham, their fixtures are very good and they’ve still got a Double Gameweek to come. The run kicks off with a home clash against Leeds United on Saturday, who have suffered damaging defeats to Liverpool and Crystal Palace recently, conceding 11 goals. However, their defence has been porous for a while now, with just one clean sheet kept on the road throughout 2022/23.

Willian has been a decent signing for Fulham and could be a key player in Gameweek 32, pulling the strings against a ropey Leeds backline.

PHILIP BILLING

  • FPL ownership: 1.5%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW32-36 fixtures: WHU | sou | LEE | CHE | cry

Philip Billing (£5.2m) has put in some very good performances under Gary O’Neil this season, with recent goals coming against Leicester City, Liverpool and Arsenal.

The Danish international has scored seven goals in total for Bournemouth this term, making him the top marksman in the squad, two ahead of Dominic Solanke (£5.5m). It could have been more, too, as he hit the woodwork early on against Leicester with a free-kick in Gameweek 30, one of his five shots on the day.

He is good in aerial duels, on some set-pieces, and could thrive against West Ham United this weekend. That’s because fixture congestion could become an issue for the Hammers, given that this game is sandwiched in-between the second leg of their UEFA Europa Conference League quarter-final and a midweek clash with Liverpool.

Beyond that, the fixture list provides further hope that the Cherries can stay up: they still have to face six sides in the bottom half, including Southampton and Leeds immediately after Gameweek 32. These days, Bournemouth are not a team who sit back, either, as they rank eighth for expected goals (xG) in the last six matches.

Billing does tend to blow hot and cold, but at just £5.2m, could be a useful asset.

JORDAN AYEW

  • FPL ownership: 0.5%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW32-36 fixtures: EVE | wol | WHU | tot | BOU

After an assist against Leicester and a brace against Leeds, there were no attacking returns for Jordan Ayew (£5.2m) against Southampton in Gameweek 31.

However, he played a key role in Eberechi Eze’s (£5.5m) opener and under Roy Hodgson, has been at the heart of everything Crystal Palace have done well in the attacking third. Indeed, his 1.75 expected goal involvement (xGI) figure is more than any team-mate, including Eze and Michael Olise (£5.5m), since the managerial switch.

“He knows us, we know him, he feels comfortable with what we are asking him to do. He knows we will back him up and get behind him, and he is repaying us by playing so well.” – Roy Hodgson on Jordan Ayew

There is real confidence around Selhurst Park right now, with three wins on the bounce. Five of the Eagles’ remaining seven games are against teams below them in the Premier League, starting with Everton, who are conceding chances at an alarming rate under Sean Dyche.

Criticism has been levelled at Ayew throughout his career for his lack of consistency, which is entirely fair, yet his recent performances have been very good, even if they have been overshadowed by Eze and Olise.

Ayew is currently deputising for the injured Wilfried Zaha (£7.2m), so longer-term this move carries risk. However, if Zaha is ruled out again in Gameweek 32, the former Aston Villa man could be a decent differential punt against Everton.



506 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Jota over Solanke and Billing in mid?

    1. JonnyOnionRings
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      What's the question here? Jota over Solanke? Answer is yes?

      Billing in midfield? Over who?

      Jota over Billing? Can't be done. Different positions.

    2. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      No

  2. Buck The Trent
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Raya
    Trippier Burn Zinchenko (Shaw Estu)
    Salah Saka Martinelli Maddison (Mitoma)
    Watkins Isak (Haaland)

    FH34 and only 1FT. I want to get TAA, so best way to raise funds ?

    A Shaw, Isak to TAA, Solanke
    B Shaw, Maddison to TAA, Eze

    1. jimmyharte
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      B but it's close. Solanke being over looked for this gw

  3. jimmyharte
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Solanke or Maddison start one!

    Cheers

    1. JBG
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Solanke

  4. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    OMG rodrygo

  5. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Embarrassing defending that

    1. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      should have taken chances - always knew Real one get one

      more attacking players needed

      1. Bluetiger1
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Chelsea wait until 25 minutes from the end of the second leg before putting on a striker. No great surprise they struggle to score.

  6. Supersonic_
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Game over. If it wasn't already anyway

  7. Tonyawesome69
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Terrible defending! Why is Cucurella pressing so high on his own?! Don't understand why Chalobah doesn't stand up and slow the play to get team mates in position rather than sliding in!

  8. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Havertz can’t even dive right

    1. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      his not & will never be a forward

  9. Bowser86
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Have FH and Triple Captain to play.

    Can get by probably for -4 this week but on basis I will use Triple Captain in GW34, would there be any other good week to use my FH anyhow?

    1. Buck The Trent
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      DGW37 ?

    2. Bubbles1985
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Same question here!

      1ft used and i have 10 playing.

      Really tempted to save it for GW37!

  10. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    The nets at Chelsea must be in great condition. Seldom get used.

    1. European Bob
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      If they switch them over at half time

  11. SalahFingers
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Is Zinchenko definitely out?

  12. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    OMG rodrygo.

  13. jason_ni
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Did mcmanaman just say that goal was made in South Africa?

    1. Steve Stiffler
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Yeah I thought I was hearing things lol no idea where he got that fact from

      1. Tommy J
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Think he meant South America- both Brazilians

  14. antis0cial
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Not using FH this week.

    Saka to Salah (cpt) for -4 worth it?

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Yes

    2. Mambino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      yes

    3. Sloane426
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      No

  15. Woy_is_back
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Milan goalkeeper to replace DDG?

    1. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      You've been watching Statman Dave!

      1. Woy_is_back
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Who?

  16. Woy_is_back
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Georgian Maradona lmao

  17. Corona is not good 4 U
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Is this free hit team good to go?

    Johnstone (Iversen)
    Alexander-Arnold, Van Dijk, Trippier (Guehi) (Moreno)
    Salah, Son, Martinelli, Saka (Andreas)
    Jesus, Watkins, Solanke

    Thank you!

    1. Reece’s Pieces
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Very nice. Similar to mine but I have Sa and Eze over Son. Figured I only had Son due to his price tag!

      He could come good of course. Some fine margins in the many choices available

  18. nerd_is_the_werd
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Where was this guy in the World Cup final?
    Amazing how Lloris kept hold of the gloves for as long as he did for France.
    And somehow is first-choice for Spurs.

  19. Camzy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Second pen miss of the week for me.

    Kvaratskhelia (c) in FanTeam to go along wiht my Saka 0.

    1. mad_beer ✅
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I had two in one GW. Salah and Toney.

  20. nerd_is_the_werd
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Napoli crashing out must be one of the biggest chokes of all time, considering how the draw panned out.

    1. artvandelay316
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Milan deserved it. Not really such a shock as you might think. They beat Napoli 4-0 in the league recently, won Serie A last season and demonstrated great tactics over the two legs.

      1. nerd_is_the_werd
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Not gonna deny they don't deserve it.
        It's such a good opportunity considering they have historically been nowhere near Europe's elite for many years.

        Never been to the semis (as far as I've been watching football), and this season was a great chance to make a serious statement, like Dortmund in 2012-2013 with Lewandowski, Reus and Gotze.
        Now it will be amongst the list of failures (like the previous 20 seasons).

        1. artvandelay316
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          Sadly I do remember the time they were in the finals and semis, and it feels like it was only yesterday, even though the commentator was kind enough to point out that I'm old and it was 16 years ago! Seriously, to me 2006 seems like yesterday!

    2. El Presidente
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Napoli are the champions of choking. Let's see if they can see out the Serie A, been dreadful for a long time now.

      1. Danno - Emre Canada
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        15yrs or so would be a hell of a choke

  21. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    OMG osimhen

  22. nerd_is_the_werd
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Worst game all season for Khavartselia, even before missing the penalty.

  23. Woy_is_back
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    So winner of City-Real will win the champions. It´s Citys to win. Pep will probably screw this up again though 😀

    1. El Presidente
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Not this time

      1. European Bob
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Bet you said that last year

    2. nerd_is_the_werd
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I dunno about that.
      MIlan have a good goalie, Theo Hernandez, and Rafael Leao up front is super exciting.

      In a final, all you need is a cagey game, and 1 shot on target to win.

  24. MFC86
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    I have a FPL ethics question

    In one of the mini leagues I’m in, a random team has just appeared at the top of the league. I had around a 40 point lead over second place yet now I’m second despite the new top team only beating my GW score by a few points.

    I message the mini league organiser and asked what was going on. They said that team manager paid at the start of the season but has “just realised” he wasn’t in the league (9 months in to the season) so allowed him to enter yesterday.

    This is extremely annoying because as you all know, particularly towards the business end of the season you often plan your teams according to what your rivals may be doing whether this is buying a player to “block” your rival or playing it safe and captaining who you think your rival may captain etc

    Now this team has come in last minute unannounced and gone straight to the top.

    Should this be allowed?

    All the teams in the money spots have now moved down so people who have been taking it seriously could potentially miss out

    1. Reece’s Pieces
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I don’t think that should be allowed. The team in question should have noticed before now

      1. MFC86
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Exactly, it should be each players responsibility to enter the league by the game week one deadline

    2. nerd_is_the_werd
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Of course it's not allowed.
      You don't forget 9 months down the line.

      1. MFC86
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Exactly

    3. Bubbles1985
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Proof of payment at the start?

    4. European Bob
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Sounds dodgy, you got any real life connection with the organiser?

      1. MFC86
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Only social media (friend of a friend)

        He has been reliable over the last few years and this is the first time something like this has happened

    5. Scapegoat Salah
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I think the fair solution is if he wins he only gets a % of the winners pot (25% to 30% based on how many games left), and you get the rest.

    6. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      The guy could have had multiple teams and then picked the best one to enter the league. I smell a rat!

      1. MFC86
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        I didn’t even think of that, good point

      2. European Bob
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Yep great point

    7. artvandelay316
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Even if a genuine mistake, the only ethical solution is to refund them they money with an apology and allow them entry next season, maybe with a discount if they feel it is necessary.

      1. MFC86
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Yep agreed mate

        1. Ram sey Coq uel in
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          There’s no way that’s legit . We have run a mini league for ten years now , no way would that be allowed in our league , that is beyond a joke . How can the person who runs this league allow that , unless he is to benefit somewhere down the line . If the situation isn’t resolved to your satisfaction, take whatever money you win this year and don’t sign up to his league next year .

          1. MFC86
            • 10 Years
            2 years, 9 months ago

            Thanks mate, that’s what I intend to do

    8. Scapegoat Salah
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Simple solution to this problem is actually if fpl themselves change it so that it is only points scored from ML joining date.

      Surprised they haven’t done that already, seems a good idea even if I say so myself!

      1. MFC86
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Totally agree

        1. Scapegoat Salah
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          I actually thought that was already the case, but I think I’m getting confused with at the beginning of a season and you get some GW2 teams enter

          1. MFC86
            • 10 Years
            2 years, 9 months ago

            I’m sure the Sun dream team used to do that. If you entered late you only got the points scored from the day you entered that league

    9. Danno - Emre Canada
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Haha jokes, sorry if you don’t join days before the season start in ours, you ain’t in I’m afraid.

      1. MFC86
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Justice has prevailed, he has been kicked out. Thanks for the input everyone

        1. artvandelay316
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          Glad to hear it!

  25. Total Slotball
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Send Lampard to China

  26. waltzingmatildas
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    In 33/34, would you lose Saka or Bruno to get Salah?

    1. MFC86
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I’m starting to think saka after his recent performances

      Bruno at least showed a lot of potential in his last game despite not getting any fpl points

      Also with casemiro back he could play more advanced

    2. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Saka, his stats are way down and Bruno has two doubles with better fixtures.

  27. Bubbles1985
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Current squad:

    Kepa*
    Mings Tripp Gabriel Neco TAA
    Saka Martinelli(c) Maddison
    Watkins Kane(vc)

    Steele* March* Mitoma* Haaland*

    1.6m itb and 0ft, FH and TC left to play!

    How does it look; I need to FH32, right?

  28. nerd_is_the_werd
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    I'm afraid Chelsea will be in disarray for many years to come.
    This does not look like a phase.

    As I said before, Abrhamovich was the best thing to happen to Chelsea, and Boehly in charge will be worse than the Glazers.

  29. Scapegoat Salah
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    I actually really thought Napoli would win the Champions League this year.

    1. European Bob
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Said no-one ever

      1. Scapegoat Salah
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        I actually did, were scoring for fun

    2. artvandelay316
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I thought they had a decent chance. Had they been playing non-Italian rivals it could have been a different story. I think they could have really caused problems to Real, City, etc. But the mindset changes when it's Italy Vs Italy. Has happened before.

      1. Scapegoat Salah
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Yeah strange that right

  30. J to the T
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Wild card squad. Any feedback appreciated

    Johnstone Steele
    Trent White Trips Moreno Guehi
    Salah Grealish Mitoma Eze Martinelli
    Haaland Jesus Watkins

    1. European Bob
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Needs United

      1. J to the T
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Does it? Like who?

        I have FH for 34 too