Chip Strategy
27 April 2023 281 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

A popular strategy this week will be to use the Free Hit chip, if you still have it remaining.

That’s because Gameweek 34 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) will be a double for six teams: Brighton and Hove Albion, Fulham, Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United and West Ham United.

Indeed, over 17% of responders in our on-site poll are activating their Free Hit this week.

Here, we look at the potential benefits of thrusting the chip into action, whilst also presenting some drafts to consider.


GAMEWEEK 34: FIXTURES SORTED BY DIFFICULTY (‘EASIEST’ FIRST)

GAMEWEEK 34 FREE HIT: PROS + CONS

The main advantage of using it here is that you can potentially field 11 players who play twice, allowing you to collect a higher quantity of fixtures. However, whether Gameweek 34 is the ‘right’ moment to Free Hit will depend much on the make-up of your squad.

There’s an obvious appeal to using it if you have barely any of the following players, all of whom are highly owned in the top 100k and theoretically playing twice.

PositionPlayerTeamTop 100k ownership
FWErling HaalandMan City97.49%
MFKaoru MitomaBrighton85.38%
MFMarcus RashfordMan Utd63.43%
DFPervis EstupinanBrighton58.91%
MFSolly MarchBrighton54.62%
MFJack GrealishMan City49.71%
MFMohamed SalahLiverpool48.32%
DFLuke ShawMan Utd44.91%
DFTrent Alexander-ArnoldLiverpool27.31%

So, if most of these players are unobtainable without multiple points hits, your reason for playing the Free Hit becomes even more justifiable.

Sprinkle in a few differentials that most other managers probably won’t have, and you could see a big rank rise. Taking a punt on Kevin De Bruyne (£12.1m) – providing he recovers from his ‘niggle, Riyad Mahrez (£7.3m), Diogo Jota (£8.8m), Cody Gakpo (£7.7m) or Andrew Robertson (£6.8m) are good examples in Gameweek 34.

On the flip side, if you already own five or six of the above players, including Erling Haaland (£12.3m) of course, there might not be enough ‘upside’ to Free Hit in Gameweek 34, given that most engaged managers will have similar squads.

If you do choose to hold onto the chip, you might want to consider Gameweek 37 as an alternative, the final double of the season with four teams (Brighton, Chelsea, Man City and Man Utd) playing twice, or even Gameweek 38, a round which has traditionally thrown up lots of goals in the past.

The line-ups could be more volatile by that point (for example, if City have the league title sewn up and have one eye on future cup final(s) or if United have secured a top-four spot), allowing for more punts on fringe players who are deemed likely to start.

As always, it depends entirely on each manager’s unique squad, so have a look at your set-up and see what works for you.

Above: The Free Hit chip could alternatively be deployed in Gameweek 37 (left) or Gameweek 38 (right)

GAMEWEEK 34: POTENTIAL FREE HITS SQUADS

TEMPLATE

If you’re playing your Free Hit and want to use it to protect rank, or maybe even hold onto a mini-league lead, you’ll want to cover the highly owned players.

This draft, therefore, is a good starting point. It includes all nine players who play twice with over 25% ownership in the top 100k, along with Ederson (£5.4m) and Kieran Trippier (£6.2m). The latter is owned by a whopping 96.67%, so his inclusion guards against a haul.

Elsewhere, it’s very much as expected, with Brighton, Man City and Man Utd triple-ups, plus two from Liverpool. In fact, our Scout Picks ‘bus team’ features seven of these names, which you can read more about here.

CHASERS

This strategy clearly comes with a huge amount of risk attached, choosing to go without a lot of consistent players capable of big scores. That said, if you are playing your Free Hit to aggressively try and make up ground on your rivals, you might be more willing to gamble.

This draft is made up entirely of low-owned players in the top 100k, bar Haaland and Kaoru Mitoma (£5.6m). Lateriser put forward the arguments for Antony (£7.3m) and Diogo Dalot (£4.7m), plus De Bruyne, in his latest column, which you can read here.

Elsewhere, you’ve got Robertson, Gakpo and Jota over Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.5m) and Mohamed Salah (£13.0m) at Liverpool, plus West Ham duo Lukasz Fabianski (£4.9m) – he should at least rack up the saves – and Jarrod Bowen (£8.0m), who has returned in four of his last five matches.

COMMUNITY DRAFTS

FPL HARRY’S FREE HIT DRAFT



281 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. bso
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    How likely is LIndelhof or AWB likely to start the next two matches?

    1. Vote Joke
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Depends on Dalot for AWB but I think Lind depends on returning injuries. And Maguire. I’d say Lind is a good bet.

    2. GC123
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Both will start both games. Shaw will stay CB with Lindelof. Dalot LB and AWB RB

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Who do you think has the higher upside in the dgw...

        AWB or Lindelöf?

        Thanks

        1. GC123
          • 4 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Honestly not much in it. AWB has more chance of an assist. Doubt either will attract BPS

          1. AC/DC AFC
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            Cheers!

            That's what I thought too

            Good luck for the weekend.

            1. GC123
              • 4 Years
              2 years, 7 months ago

              And you mate. WC 34 for me. Time to hang the cahunas out there

    3. bso
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Thanks guys.

  2. Vote Joke
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    I wonder why everyone has stopped posting?

    1. :
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Gone elsewhere I think.

  3. TallestJohn
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Should a penalty save be enough for automatic bonus points? Of course it's not guaranteed but every goalkeeper to have saved a penalty this season has received at least one bonus point in the game (13 saves by 11 different keepers).

    6 of those have come in wins, 6 in losses, 1 in a draw. 4 helped their team to keep a clean sheet and there was one occasion where the keeper made 6 saves (I can never remember if a penalty save counts among the normal saves or not).

    1. Vote Joke
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Pens are hard to save. It deserves recognition. Maybe even a knighthood.

      1. Philosopher's Stones
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        or a statue on the moon

    2. Feanor
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Does seem weird to give bonus to a goalie whose team lost 3-1

    3. Qaiss
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yes. And it’s not worth questioning, because it’s the same for everyone. There’s just huge luck involved, as it is with the rest of the game.

    4. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      It wasn't just that.

      He dropped to 2 then recovered to 3 so it was more than the saved pen I suspect.

      Albeit I was watching Manchester City by then.

  4. Vote Joke
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Bench three:

    A) Toney
    B) Watkins
    C) Moreno
    D) Trippier

    1. makaveli123
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Play D

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Play A

    3. sulldaddy
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Play D.
      Always.
      Dont overthink

    4. sentagoda
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Play A

  5. Philosopher's Stones
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    RP

    What to do here?

    A: Guehi -> Lindelof (have DDG)
    B: Roll FT

    BBing. A gives me 12 DGWers

    1. Vote Joke
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Then do it

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      A

  6. makaveli123
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Anyone else have their TC-chip left? What is your plan?

    1. Philosopher's Stones
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      DGW37 on the robot

      1. makaveli123
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Tougher fixtures though, are you free hitting this week?

        1. Philosopher's Stones
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          BBing

    2. Feanor
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Playing it this week on Haaland.

    3. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      This week on Haaland. No CL until after GW35 and GW36, City are flying, now is the time

    4. snow pea in repose
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      GW36-37 on Haa but growing more concerned with rest and recovery days and CL

  7. Kryptonite666
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    What’s the highest upside move here ? Can take -4 if needed

    Raya (Kepa)
    TAA Estu Shaw (Trips) (Botman)
    Salah Rashford Grealish March (Andreas)
    Haaland Watkins Jota

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Depends on your budget but you're pretty well set without changing horses before the dgw.

      1. Kryptonite666
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        0 ITB

  8. Planet Head
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Bench one:
    Kane (liv)
    Toney (NFO)
    Martinelli (CHE)
    Trippier (SOU)

    1. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yikes. Martinelli reluctantly

    2. acidicleo
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      trippier

    3. sulldaddy
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Kane

  9. AF90
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    What's the better move?

    A) Kane & Saka -> Salah & Jota
    B) Kane, Saka & Chilwell -> Salah, Isak & Trent -4

    1. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      B

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      A

  10. lilmessipran
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Which one to start next gw-

    A Botman
    B Henry
    C Watkins
    D Watkins to Jota -4 and start Jota

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Start B

    2. Hairy Potter
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      C

  11. The Wheeler Dealer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Gakpo or Mahrez?

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Gakpoo

    2. acidicleo
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Gakpo due to pep roulette and 2 good home games..

    3. Livinginapool - Top 100 Any…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Gakpo for me

    4. sulldaddy
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Gakpo

  12. sirmorbach
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Oi lads, please:

    Steele*
    TAA*, Trippier, Gabriel
    Salah*, Grealish*, Rashford*, Mitoma*, Ødegaard
    Haaland*, Isak

    Raya, Watkins, Burn, Mee

    So, already done Chilwell to TAA. Deciding on the following:
    A. No hit
    B. Burn/Mee to Shaw/Estupiñán (- 4, and bench Gabriel)
    C. Øde to March, Watkins to Jota (- 8, and bench Isak)
    D. Mee to Dalot, Watkins to Jota (- 8, bench Gabriel and Isak)

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      A

      1. sirmorbach
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Really?! Surprised, thought that was the unpopular move. Many thanks!

        1. Bobby Digital
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Benching Isak is crazy and Gabriel could easily get a CS vs Chelski too...

          1. sirmorbach
            • 9 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            Thank you, sir!

        2. AC/DC AFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Chelsea are hardly free scoring and Arsenal are back at home but aren't keeping clean sheets either.

          Watkins will come good again.

          If Salah blanks for more than 2 hardly anyone flinches ...

          Isak is well worth playing at home to Southampton. See how he gets on tonight first.

          1. sirmorbach
            • 9 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            Thank you very much indeed!

    2. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I think you need United & City defensive cover, A but watching tonight for who’s most attacking

      1. sirmorbach
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Thank you, mate. Cheers!

  13. g40steve
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Play one?

    Watkins
    Martineli
    Trippier
    Chilwell

    Who has highest score Raya or Ederson 🙂

    1. sirmorbach
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Martinelli
      Ederson, but not sure, so would keep Raya if I had him

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Bench Chilwell

      Ederson

    3. Hairy Potter
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Martinelli

      Coin toss, but if you have both, you have to go Ederson?

    4. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Oh it was play one not bench one... Play Martinelli

    5. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Cheers, just confirmed my thoughts.

      If Bruno out will add Chilwell but it was mentioned he traveled

      1. g40steve
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Trippier not Chilwell 🙂

  14. cuppatea78
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Is this worth a -4?

    Kane & Saka out
    Isak and Salah in

    1. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Didn’t go well last night 😉

  15. FPL Brains
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Would you go for 3 City attackers on a FH or go for Stones/Dias to cover the defence? I feel like they've got the best double on paper but seem to also have an allergic reaction to wanting to keep a C/S.

    1. Hairy Potter
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Triple attack on a FH

      1. FPL Brains
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I like your energy.

    2. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      City defence usually gets mega double points, I remember two doubles with Laporte smashing it.

    3. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      On FH I'd certainly punt on attack, but like Steve says above, City have had a history of CBs pulling off big hauls in DGWs. Mind Stones will probably at minimum get hooked early once next week, if he doesn't get benched for a game

  16. acidicleo
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    A) Steele + Stones
    B) Ederson + Estup

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      A

  17. Livinginapool - Top 100 Any…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    This is both the best week to TC and BB. Not perfectly planned. Who scores more?

    Haaland Vs De Gea, Trippier, Botman & Isak

    I'm on BB, seems to make most sense to me. But just a bit nervous of Haaland, especially as my rival will TC him...

    1. Hairy Potter
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Looks like a nice BB, but also TC looks good. Maybe check what you think your bench would be in GW36 or GW37?

    2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Haaland

    3. bitm2007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      You could TC Haaland in DGW37 or Brighton/Castle player in GW36 have you got decent players/fixtures to BB another GW ?

  18. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    TAA or Mitoma or both and bench one of Trippier/Estupinan?

  19. Silecro
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Any changes for this FH?

    Ederson
    TAA, Shaw, Dunk
    Salah, Mitoma, March, Rashford, Grealish
    Haaland, Jota

    1.1 itb
    Looking at swapping Ederson,Dunk to Steele,Stones
    Shaw is also somewhat a question mark

  20. RoyaleBlue
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Saka to Grealish worth a hit? My initial thought was yes. But can also see Arsenal battering Che (H)

    1. snow pea in repose
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Don't forget about Foden, should be fresh for the run-in

  21. Ibralicious
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Have exact funds for Maddison + Kane —> Salah + Jota (-4).

    Make the transfer after today's games, yay or nay?

  22. Hitthewall
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    This worth a -8?

    Kepa + Chilwell + Martinelli --> Steele + TAA + Mitoma

  23. Tarby
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    I'm 1.5m off budget for that draft!
    Although Jota is a big minutes gamble so not sure he's a great pick. I need to stick with 451 to have KDB in my team

  24. :
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Free Hitters...Robbo for the 3rd Liverpool spot this week? Jota possibly might not play tomorrow, Gakpo doesn't cut the mustard and Robertson is in among the assists again for club & country. Two home games coming up as well for the team with the 3rd best home defensive record this season.