Spot the Differential
9 May 2023 838 comments
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Double Gameweek 36 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is on the horizon, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some fresh differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Chelsea, Newcastle United and Everton, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

NONI MADUEKE

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: NFO | mci + mun | NEW

Noni Madueke (£5.4m) put in another strong showing at the weekend, as Chelsea ended their losing run under Frank Lampard.

After opening his account against Arsenal in Gameweek 34, the England U21 international was a real threat at Bournemouth, racking up three shots and more penalty box touches (12) than anyone on show.

Deployed on the right of a front three for the most part, he saw plenty of the ball, completing six dribbles, twice as many as the next player on the pitch. If he replicates that role against Nottingham Forest in Gameweek 36, he’ll be up against their weaker left flank, something we’ve previously highlighted.

Steve Cooper’s side also rank bottom for big chances conceded (23) in their last six matches, a period that has seen them ship 13 goals, so there is potential for Madueke to do well.

As for Chelsea, they registered their first win under Lampard with a 3-1 victory over Bournemouth last time out. It’s been a miserable campaign for the Blues, but they have improved since moving to a 4-3-3 formation with the ball. Now, they host Nott’m Forest, before their Gameweek 37 double-header.

Madueke is a raw but exciting player, who has proven in his last two matches that he has to be in Lampard’s plans for the run-in. That makes him an excellent differential for the remainder of the season, with potentially four matches in the next three Gameweeks.

JOE WILLOCK

FPL Gameweek 33 differentials: Olise, Willock + Solanke 1
  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: lee + BHA | LEI | che

Joe Willock (£4.7m) has been one of Newcastle’s standout performers in recent months, with one goal and four assists in his last 10 appearances.

In that time (Gameweek 27 onwards), he’s attempted 24 goal attempts and 15 shots in the box, totals only beaten by one team-mate – Alexander Isak (£7.0m). He’s also created 14 chances, and it’s that duel threat that has seen him rack up 5.44 expected goal involvement (xGI), a team-leading total.

Newcastle failed to break down a resilient Arsenal outfit at the weekend, but they had scored a league-high 13 goals in their previous three, so you’d expect them to do well when they visit leaky Leeds United on Saturday, the first of two fixtures in Double Gameweek 36.

A home meeting with Brighton follows before hosting relegation-threatened Leicester City. Both of those opponents conceded five goals in their most recent outings, offering encouragement to those investing in Newcastle’s attack.

It’s also worth noting in their last four matches, the Magpies place top for expected goals (xG), joint-top for big chances and second for shots in the box.

Willock is in a really good moment right now, having started each of the last six matches, and could be a quality budget midfielder to bring in ahead of Double Gameweek 36.

DOMINIC CALVERT-LEWIN

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £7.9m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: MCI | wol | BOU

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) was back to his best on Monday, claiming his second consecutive attacking return.

Even though he didn’t score at the Amex, he was a constant threat, running Brighton centre-backs Lewis Dunk (£4.8m) and Adam Webster (£4.5m) ragged and earning the assist for Abdoulaye Doucoure’s (£5.3m) opener.

We haven’t seen Calvert-Lewin look this sharp in a long time, with Sean Dyche’s careful management of his star forward starting to pay off.

Indeed, his return has given the whole Everton squad a lift, and they are clearly benefitting from having a proper focal point in attack, as they rank sixth for xG in the last four, coinciding with the former England forward’s comeback.

Everton’s 5-1 win at Brighton moved them up to 17th in the Premier League table, two points clear of the relegation zone. Their immediate fixture against Man City is challenging but anything can happen as we reach this crunch stage of the season, as evidenced on Monday.

Pep Guardiola’s troops will have their hands full at Goodison Park, too, with key UEFA Champions League semi-finals against Real Madrid either side. Beyond that, Everton finish up with two very appealing fixtures against Wolves and Bournemouth.

Calvert-Lewin is finally injury free, on penalties, and we’re backing his good run of form to continue, making him a decent differential pick for the run-in.



838 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. simong1
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Mac Allister or Mahrez the better pick for this week?

    1. Under my Cucurella
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      That's a tough one, think they are both good options this week. Which over City/Brighton do you own?

      1. Under my Cucurella
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        *other

      2. simong1
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Have Stones, Haaland, Mitoma and March at the moment

        1. simong1
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          …and Grealish

        2. Under my Cucurella
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          March is the better option to remove I think of him and Grealish as Grealish could be good for 37/38 and March looking less likely to play. So maybe Mac A

          1. simong1
            • 7 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            Thanks. Only thing is I can’t afford a straight swap from March to Mac. So it’s either Grealish > Mac or Mahrez or else hold off

            1. Under my Cucurella
              • 10 Years
              2 years, 7 months ago

              Maybe just Mac to edge it still

    2. lugs
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Mahrez owner but i'd play MacAllister over him if i had him, no guarantee that Mahrez will even start, but Mac will start both games plus has pens so easy decision

  2. Under my Cucurella
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Would love some thoughts on the best move from the following options

    A: Watkins Toney > Isak Wilson (likely bench Grealish)
    B: Watkins/Toney Grealish > Isak/Toney Mahrez/Foden
    C: Steele Grealish > Pope Mac A
    D: Steele Grealish Watkins > Pope Mac A Isak (-4)

    Steele Raya
    TAA Shaw Estupinan Trippier Henry
    Bruno Grealish Mitoma Rashford Gakpo
    Haaland Watkins Toney

    2FT 0.8ITB

    1. Under my Cucurella
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      B should say Isak/Wilson. Sorry tired mind

    2. simong1
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I like A for the high upside

      1. Under my Cucurella
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks, that move has been in my mind since last gameweek, just tempted by Mahrez with Grealish getting the full 90 tonight

  3. GC123
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Anyone feeling the love for a Willock punt this week? March injured and no cash ITB to get to Mac Allister

    1. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Willock sounds like a good option. Can you get to Gross? I fancy Pereira this week too

      1. GC123
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I can’t, no. £0.0 ITB so it’s Willock or Murphy if I want a doubler. I thought Andreas was injured?

        1. The Ilfordian
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Ah yes, sorry he is.

    2. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Willock probably a better pick this week, but I want MacAllister the following week so won't.

    3. BeWater
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I have 2FTs but don't want to use both just to go from March to Mac Allister. Going to get Willock in this week and reassess next week.

      1. GC123
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Same (2 FT). Brighton have two tough fixtures and waiting a week will tell us if the Everton result was a blip or a decline in Brighton’s form. To be fair, they weren’t great against United the game before

    4. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      So many choices at $5.5m and below.

    5. Yank Revolution
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I like Joelinton's numbers better.

      1. GC123
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Oh 100%, but I don’t have the dollar for joelinton

  4. gellinmagellan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Pope Steele
    Trippier Botman TAA Lindelof Zinchenko
    Saka Grealish Mac Mitoma Rashford
    Jota Haaland Watkins

    2 FTs 0.7 ITB

    How's this move?

    Botman + Grealish > Dias + Willock

    1. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      That's a bench boost squad. OK

  5. Skout
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    March and Watkins to Mitoma and Wilson?

    2FT, 0.3 itb

    Kepa
    TAA Trip Estup
    MacA March Salah Rash Grealish
    Haaland Isak

    Raya Watkins Shaw Pinnock

    1. lugs
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      yes, though you're giving yourself a bit of a benching headache

  6. Scalper
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Mahrez or Foden for the rest of the season?

    1. lugs
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Mahrez between them 2

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Both, like me!

      1. Scalper
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Team link ?

  7. FPLMACKEM
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Anyone considering Salah to De Bruyne in GW37?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Most people.

    2. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Think I'll gamble on a cheaper City option and keep Salah.

    3. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      No.

    4. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yup

  8. Sheffield Wednesday
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    DdG
    Trippier² Estupiñán² Botman²
    MacAllister² Mitoma² Salah Rashford Martinelli
    Haaland Kane
    -Kepa Guéhi Watkins Stones
    0FT £0.7M

    Watkins > Wilson² (-4) and bench Martinelli?

    1. lugs
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      yeah do it, i wouldn't be surprised if Trossard gets the nod over Martinelli anyway to face his former club

      1. Sheffield Wednesday
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Good point.

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      MMmmmmm close, I'd probably just play Martinelli.

      1. The Knights Template
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        But keep an eye out for Trossard.

  9. The Knights Template
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Have $5.3m budget, March to:

    A) Billing
    B) Iwobiiiiiii
    C) McNeil
    D) Olise
    E) Soucek (the Destoyer)
    F) Doucoure (Everton not Palace)
    G) Aperol Sabitzer
    H) Maitland-Niles
    I) Other (not Dendoncker or Newcastle players)

    Exciting times! Thank you for your consideration.

    1. lugs
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      how about the guy that was staling minutes from March, Buonanotte ?, only 4.5m too

      1. The Knights Template
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks, I shall research this chap. That name sounds like a weapon I should be using!

    2. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I'd love to get Everton if they weren't facing Citeh next.

      1. The Knights Template
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I think Everton beat Man City once.

    3. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      MGW

      1. Sun Jihai
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Nvm thought he was cheaper

      2. Sheffield Wednesday
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        £5.5m

  10. The Mighty Hippo
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    I've currently got MacA and March.

    Getting Mitoma in for March seems to be the sensible but dull thing to do, however I'm also tempted to try a punt on a City mid (Mahrez or Grealish).

    Should I go for Mitoma or take a chance with a City player?

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Mahrez

    2. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Mitoma
      Has been so close to returning the last few weeks and will have high EO
      Even a viable captain option

    3. tokara
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      i got Mahrez but wont play him

      low score on away games, look at Martinelli. Next week vs Forest.

  11. Gudjohnsen
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    A. Mee to Schar
    B. March to Joelinton

    1. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      March onwards and avoid the Mee to movement

      1. Sheffield Wednesday
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Sorry that may not be clear - B

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      B

  12. hazza44
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Hey guys,
    For the first time this year unsure where to go? Need 1 more win to win my mini league. 1 free & 1.3mil ITB

    Few issues with March, Watkins/Jota & Steele rotation risk.

    Steele (Kepa)
    Trip Diaz Shaw (Mings Gabriel)
    Salah Mitoma March Rashford Grealish
    Haaland Jota (Watkins)

    Cheers guys

    1. Steve Stiffler
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Have a similar dilemma mate, maybe just Jota to Isak/Wilson. Who does your rival have?

    2. Pep's Money Laundry
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      You've got a few issues, will Grealish & Haaland start? I doubt it

      Anyway March to MacAllister/Joelington and/or Watkins to Wilson/Isak

  13. Steve Stiffler
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Please, lads:

    DDG
    TAA, Stones, Botman, Lindelof
    Salah, KDB, Rashford, Mitoma
    Haaland, Jota

    Iversen, Estup, March*, Greenwood

    2 free transfers, 0,0 in the bank

    A. March to MacAllister
    B. March and Jota > MacAllister and Isak

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I would go B

      1. Steve Stiffler
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks

    2. House Frey Wedding Planner
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      B

  14. Gudjohnsen
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Martinelli, Jota to KDB, Greenwood for -4?

    1. Pep's Money Laundry
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      No

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Not sure this is the week for KDB. He was knackered tonight when he came off and don’t see him starting v Everton

  15. RICICLE
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Hi guys! Reckon of these moves below?

    Raya
    Shaw - Trippier - TAA
    Salah - March* - Martinelli - Mitoma
    Isak - Haaland - Watkins
    ______________________________
    Kepa: Saka: White: Moreno

    1FT, 1.3 ITB

    A) March + Watkins > Mac Allister + Wilson -4
    B) March + Watkins + Moreno > Rashford + Wilson + Toti -8 (Benching Saka/Martinelli
    C) March + Watkins + Saka > Gnonto + Rashford + Bruno -8 (Play 3-5-2)

    Actually at a bit of a loss of what to do to be honest guys, any advice much appreciated! 🙂

    1. House Frey Wedding Planner
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Just March to Mac

      1. RICICLE
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks Buddy! Appreciate it

    2. Fellaini's Fro
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Think you might want rashford, good game this week and double next

  16. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Would you make March to MacAllister free. move tonight pre price change?

    1. Steve Stiffler
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Think I'm gonna do it yes, that 0.1 may come in handy

    2. tokara
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      at this stage, price is not an issue any more

    3. Hurnt
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I did

  17. Steve Stiffler
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Isak or Wilson for this week only?

    First to 3, thanks.

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Difficult to say given we should get team news pre deadline as it’s the first game

      If Wilson starts get him otherwise get Isak

    2. Hurnt
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Isak imo

      1. Steve Stiffler
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Yeah had already made the transfer, hopefully he plays both

  18. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Bench 1

    A Estupinan
    B Botman
    C TAA

    1. tokara
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      gg for A now

    2. Hurnt
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      A

  19. Ruinenlust
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    A) Bench March, play Grealish

    Or

    B) March -> MacAl (-4)?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Will Grealish start?

    2. tokara
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      same position but Mahrez

      will do B

    3. Hurnt
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      A

  20. FantasyClub
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Dunno who to bench here

    A) Estupinan with the difficult DGW
    B) Robbertson vs LEI

    1. tokara
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      no brainer imo

      B

    2. Hurnt
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      B

  21. Botman and Robben
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    1FT, 3.8M ITB. Which would you pick?

    A. Watkins -> Wilson/Isak?
    B. March -> Mitoma

    Kepa
    Trippier Estupian White
    Rashford Salah March Mac10 Martinelli
    Watkins Haaland

    Raya Toney Mings Pinnock

    1. Corona is not good 4 U
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I would pick A.

      1. tokara
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        same

  22. Corona is not good 4 U
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    What to do with this lot?

    Steele, Raya
    Stones, Trippier, Shaw, Henry, Koulibaly
    Salah, Rashford, Mitoma, Mac Allistar, Grealish
    Haaland, Watkins, Jota

    2 free transfers and 0.1 in the bank.

    Thank you!

    1. Hurnt
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Get a Newcastle cf and roll 1 ft

      1. Corona is not good 4 U
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Thank you!

  23. FantasyClub
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Guys.
    Haaland or Alvarez ➡️ Isak ?
    I’m thinking Haaland tbh as he may not start, and if City get to a comfortable position may not come on…this obviously could go pear shaped and I get torn a new one lol

    1. Hurnt
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Do not sell haaland

  24. Taegugk Warrior
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Play Arnold or Botman (double with Trip)..?

    1. Ruinenlust
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Both

    2. Hurnt
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Prob trent

  25. WibblesTeam
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Is Kiwior nailed?

    1. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Looks it

  26. Corona is not good 4 U
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Is Steele still the keeper for Brighton after this nightmare?

    Thank you!

    1. Indpush
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yes

    2. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      You would think not, but no way of knowing before Sunday

  27. andre_c
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Any ideas for this team here? Really tight on cash as have Haaland + Salah + KDB and also TAA and Robbo. Looking to bring in 2 Newcastle and don't mind going for some differentials, and also swapping March. Don't really want to drop any city players before double.

    Steele
    TAA - Robbo - Dias - Lindelof
    KDB - Salah - Rashford - March - Mitoma
    Haaland

    Iverson - Bueno - Greenwood - Taylor

    2FT - $0.1ITB

    Also have a very weak bench.

    Thanks

    1. Hurnt
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Can you do march to Murphy/Willock and Taylor to Wilson/isak?

  28. Corona is not good 4 U
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    What to do with Greakish? Keep or sell?

    Thank you!

    1. Corona is not good 4 U
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Sorry ... Grealish ...

    2. Hurnt
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Keep

  29. Manumana
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Thoughts on Gross as Mac replacement

    1. Hurnt
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Assuming u mean march, ye grob looks good

      1. Manumana
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Oh yeh yes

  30. Corona is not good 4 U
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    A) Watkins -> Isaak or Wilson and save one free transfer
    B) Jota -> Isaak or Wilson and save one free transfer
    C) Jota and Watkins -> Wilson and Isaak for free.

    Thank you!

    1. dabber7
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I like C