Or he gets leave to fly out to Norway for his gran’s funeral?

to keep engagement levels high, FPL towers will decide to give the TC chip back to everybody who used it on Haaland

It's okay we can put a towel down

He has to assist the ball to KdB for those crosses.

because pep goes to bed every night dreaming of inverted wingers who take 4 touches look up and then pass the ball back to rodri

I’m going to take a look at the stats later, but think I prefer Neto

So am I... But no need to yet.

This is the thing about EO, if you have them it is like a shield and without them it is a massive risk.

Poor decision making gets punished.

Why wildcard? Good luck next week

Of course it's not. Unless you have a crystal ball. Paying attention is a big part of it, but luck is the majority.

As with most things in life. Always an element of randomness / luck

This game is 2% luck, 80% skill and 20% paying for content creators.

There was a time when lepers were seen as a person to be avoided.

It's like investing. If you focus on every individual failure or win, you'll drive yourself mad. If you get more right than they get wrong, over time the skill balances out against the luck. That's why some people have great histories.

It is what it is.

Variance

Still skill over the season, can’t guess week to week due to Variance

The thing is across a whole season, there is an element of skill/logic in doing well.

But I find that the swings in luck create the largest variances, whereas the ‘skill’ aspect when it works only creates small gains.
And when that happens continuously during the season it starts to affect your judgment and skill, which then just worsens your position.

I think the most important thing over everything is to get a good start, because if you don’t you can’t really catch-up without taking big risks, which then just emphasises more of the large negative variances in luck.

If you're going talk percentages, it's best to start with some empirical evidence rather than an arbitrary statement. Where do you get the 50% from?

Sounds like you're just bad

I think 60% skill, 40% luck.

The top 10k managers will perform consistently and get repeated top 10k

Top 100-1k is more differentiated due to luck and variance

The point of the game is the roll the dice which have the highest probability of succeeding.

expected goals, assists, points etc. all are derived from looking to the past data and assuming that it is an indicator for the future, a mere guess on events that have not yet come to pass. In a sense, it has no difference than divination. All events happen as they happen. The only thing you can control in the FPL game are your own decisions before the deadline and then up until the next deadline. Games happen in between your decisions and there is nothing you can do about it. We should all know this. Given we all know, is there really 'luck' in this game? Am I 'unlucky' that Haaland blanked on a week that I Tc'd him, or was it a logical decision for me to Tc him before the events of that gameweek happened. If I label my decisions good, bad, lucky, unlucky based on the results of the game, I will be all over the place. But if I focus on my decision making process and try to improve on that, without focusing on the results of it, I might be at peace after every decision made regardless of the outcome.Would love to write an article about this topic in the future maybe can be featured on the site.

Around easter I think.

trossard and havertz with odegaard deeper is working too well. if same line up and can perform vs porto midweek think trossard is worth a punt

Anytime now.

Yes it's the hindsight talking.

it was the logical decision. sometimes it backfires nothing you can do

Yeah credit to Chelsea for conceding only 1.71 Xg to only haaland! Obviously you should've known haaland won't score from his 1.71 Xg

Correct. Who you selling him for? I need to take a hit, probably gonna sell Jota and Darwin but not sure who for.

Yep agreed. But when its your wild card "spaffed" it is frustrating but its only a fantasy game. Far worse things happen in life !

See my Kiwor Q

...

Areola
Trashier Gabriel Taylor
KDB Saka Foden ******
Haaland Watkins Solanke
Turner Palmer Udogie Doughty

A

Don't troll.

Was a bit odd here all week. Just one conversation and no one making counter points. Felt very wrong the whole time

Everyone sold Solanke except me

bournemouth struggle against park the bus teams, there'll be a much better dgw tc option later on than those fixtures for solanke

Or because they scored 7 on these two opponents in the reverse fixture…

Chelsea performed at a top level but still should have conceded 3 or 4

"was the play", when GW28 is still in the future. Right.

Hope your TC Solanke works out

Always the way with content creators, just play your own game.

Haaland should do well vs Brentford but felt bench boost this week and solanke TC in GW28 was the play for me with my squad and stuck by it.

If one never listens to content creators to begin with one never has to avoid their noise

I was pushing Walker all week and ended up being a sheep and going Ake. My fault completely but still rankles

GW ain’t over yet

Yep

Tuesday for me!

Come back on Tuesday evening

Always the way

Casuals...

Price Locked
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