Moving Target
20 January 2026 187 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

Manchester City have bolstered their defensive ranks with the £20m acquisition of Marc Guehi (£5.3m) from Crystal Palace.

The 25-year-old has agreed a five-and-a-half-year contract and could make his debut against Wolverhampton Wanderers in Gameweek 23.

His arrival follows City’s capture of Antoine Semenyo (£7.6m) from Bournemouth earlier this month.

Following his transfer, we assess Guehi’s Fantasy Premier League (FPL) appeal.

FPL HISTORY

SeasonPointsPoints per startStartsMinsGoalsAssistsClean sheetsBonusYellow cards
2025/261055.3201,80024784
2024/251163.4343,0513211117
2023/24662.8232,03101662
2022/23952.6373,32810928
2021/221233.4363,218211184

Guehi has started 150 Premier League matches for Palace since his transfer from Chelsea in 2021, with 20 coming this season.

Throughout the years, he has played in both a back three and a back four, scoring eight goals and providing eight assists.

In FPL, Guehi has played a crucial role in 2025/26, with his ownership currently at 38.1%, making him the most popular defender in the game.

With an average of 5.3 points per start, he’s kept seven clean sheets, banked 16 defensive contribution (DefCon) points and claimed eight bonus, as well as chipping in with six attacking returns, which has helped propel him to fifth in the FPL defender standings.

THE MOVE IN QUOTES

“[He’s a] top central defender, played for the national team. I will say my personal thanks to the club. He is the perfect age for many years, he can play right or left. And him especially because he wanted to choose us. The problem we have at the back in the next few months so it’s really important that he is here.” – Pep Guardiola on Marc Guehi

“It is clear Marc has been one of the best defenders in English football for quite some time now, so we are absolutely delighted to bring him to Manchester City. I feel we have signed a huge talent who will help us improve. He is only 25, but he has shown already he is a leader, a brilliant professional and someone desperate to improve. He is strong, has exceptional defensive qualities, is an intelligent reader of the game, and brings passion and energy every time he steps onto the pitch. I am so pleased it was us he chose to join.  Marc is entering the prime years of his career. I am sure every City fan is excited to see how good he can be in a sky blue shirt.” – Hugo Viana on Marc Guehi

“First and foremost, it’s such an honour, such a big club to come and play for. For me, I have always just been obsessed with getting better and wanting to improve and that’s something I am constantly striving for and this is the perfect place for me to do that. I have heard so much about the club and the fans, the players speak for themselves, the manager. It’s definitely the right environment for me to improve and just get better. Hopefully I can bring what I have to the table to help every single person here too.” – Marc Guehi

WHERE DOES GUEHI FIT IN AT CITY?

3pm team news: Foden ill, Odobert debuts + Gundogan a sub

Guehi’s arrival will help alleviate City’s injury crisis at the back, with centre-halves Ruben Dias (£5.6m), Josko Gvardiol (£6.0m) and John Stones (£5.4m) all currently sidelined.

In Saturday’s defeat at Manchester United, Pep Guardiola was compelled to use an inexperienced centre-back duo: Abdukodir Khusanov (5.4m) and Max Alleyne (£4.5m).

And City’s defensive vulnerabilities were clear to see, so Guehi will add some much-needed experience and quality.

Given that Dias is expected to be out for around three to four more weeks, coupled with Stones’ persistent fitness issues and Gvardiol’s likely return only in the final part of the season, Guehi should partner Khusanov at the back.

A POTENTIAL MAN CITY BACK FOUR IN GAMEWEEK 23

Graphic via FotMob line-up builder

CLEAN SHEET POTENTIAL

Only Arsenal (11) have kept more clean sheets than Man City this season, who are tied in second with Chelsea and Everton, with nine shut-outs apiece.

Additionally, no top-flight team except Arsenal have conceded fewer goals, while only Mikel Arteta’s side, Newcastle United and Liverpool can better the Cityzens 22.34 non-penalty expected goals conceded (NPxGC):

There has been a clear deterioration in the above since Dias and Gvardiol’s injuries, but City are near the top across most defensive metrics, as is often the case.

DEFCON POTENTIAL

Playing as a left-sided centre-back in Oliver Glasner’s 3-4-2-1, Guehi has racked up ­­­168 DefCons this season, placing him among the top 20 defenders in FPL.

Above: FPL defenders sorted by defensive contributions (Tot) in 2025/26

16 DefCon points have come about because of this.

However, Guehi’s DefCon returns thus far are partly attributed to the stylistic characteristics of Palace.

To gain a clearer understanding of what to expect, we should look at the DefCon output of City centre-backs Dias and Gvardiol in 2025/26, with a particular focus on Gvardiol, since this is the role we expect Guehi to assume.

As expected, there is a decline, with Gvardiol’s average of 6.91 DefCons per 90 minutes being lower than Guehi’s current rate of 8.40.

Gvardiol has had a few run-outs at left-back, of course, but even left-sided centre-back Alleyne’s average of 7.33 over his last two matches indicates that we’ll see a drop-off.

ATTACKING THREAT

Guehi has already delivered a career-high six attacking returns this season, with two goals and four assists in 20 matches.

It’s the joint-second-most of any FPL defender in 2025/26.

Using the Eye Test feature in our Premium Members Area, we can see that two out of Guehi’s four assists were ‘Fantasy assists’.

In the match against West Ham United, Jean-Philippe Mateta (£7.5m) nodded in the rebound after goalkeeper Alphonse Areola (£4.3m) had pushed Guehi’s header on to the crossbar.

The second Fantasy assist was recorded when Guehi won a penalty, having been brought down by Bournemouth defender Bafode Diakite (£4.3m) following a corner.

So, both ‘Fantasy assists’ arrived from dead-ball situations, highlighting Guehi’s set-piece threat.

Indeed, Guehi’s first ‘Opta assist’ of 2025/26 followed a similar theme, with a long throw launched into the box by Jefferson Lerma (£4.9m) flicked on by Guehi for Eddie Nketiah (£5.4m) to convert at the far post.

Guehi also scored against Fulham in December, heading in from a corner.

Looking at the underlying stats, Guehi ranks joint-eighth among Fantasy defenders for headed shots, with nine, so his aerial threat from corners and free-kicks is clear.

But Guehi is also assured in possession. For example, his perfectly weighted open-play cross to assist Daniel Munoz (£5.8m) against Burnley in Gameweek 14 was superb. There was his top-corner goal from the edge of the box at Villa Park earlier this season, too.

Furthermore, Guehi has created nine big chances since the start of last season, an impressive tally for a centre-back.

That said, it is worth noting that Guehi has six attacking returns from 3.48 expected goal involvement (xGI), so there has been an element of overperformance.  

FINAL THOUGHTS

Netherlands v England team news: Guehi + Malen come in

It all appears pretty promising from a Fantasy perspective, particularly if Guehi can act as a magnet for Rayan Cherki (£6.8m) and Phil Foden’s (£8.6m) set-piece deliveries, while also helping to reinforce Man City’s backline and increase their clean sheet tally.

Guehi could make his debut for City when they host Wolves in Gameweek 23.

For those who already own him, Guehi is naturally a player to hold given that aforementioned fixture, but a City defender probably isn’t a priority for the rest of us, with away trips to Tottenham Hotspur and Liverpool to follow.

The next decent fixture swing in City’s favour is in Gameweek 26, so that gives us ample time to assess Guehi’s influence.

Additionally, there may need to be some adaptation to City’s playing style, with increased possession and playing higher up the pitch.

But you’d think Guehi will quickly nail down a place in City’s starting XI, particularly in light of their defensive disaster-class against Bodo/Glimt on Tuesday.

If we see improvement, Guehi can certainly carry appeal when City’s fixtures fall kindly, especially if he drops to £5.2m overnight, as predicted.  


Introducing The Eye Test 2
187 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
    • 9 Years
    1 hour, 26 mins ago

    Bus team good to go? Thinking about BB, but next week might be better.

    Roefs
    Gabriel Chalobah Tarkowski Mukiele
    Palmer(V) Bruno Rice Enzo
    Haaland Thiago(C)

    Dubravka Rogers DCL Alderere
    0FT 1.9ITB

    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      1 hour, 23 mins ago

      I have the same bench and 100% on BB. Just got to decide who to bring in for Dub. Can afford anyone

  2. MikeS
    • 11 Years
    1 hour, 25 mins ago

    Jesus Christ! A brace, and it's not a leg brace.. yet

  3. JBG
    • 7 Years
    1 hour, 22 mins ago

    Starboy, racking up the assists and goals lately. What's that, like 1 goal the last 16 matches or something like that?

  4. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    1 hour, 22 mins ago

    Pep badly needs to Guehi to fix that defence. City well below their previous high standards since start of last season.

    20/21 --- 71% win 2.3 points per game
    21/22 --- 76% win 2.5 points per game
    22/23 --- 74% win 2.3 points per game
    23/24 --- 74% win 2.4 points per game
    24/25 --- 55% win 1.9 points per game
    25/26 --- 59% win 2.0 points per game

    1. JBG
      • 7 Years
      1 hour ago

      Tbf Pep and City need to buy players to add to the academy players they've got, like Donnarumma, Dias, Gvardiol, Ake, Stones, Nunes, Rodri, Bilva, Haaland, Semenyo etc. They've barely bought players lately

  5. F4L
    • 11 Years
    1 hour, 21 mins ago

    looks like salah might even get to start tomorrow

    return of the king

    1. jacob1989
      • 3 Years
      1 hour, 16 mins ago

      If he finds form could drop out of form Haaland.

  6. Stranger Mings
    • 5 Years
    1 hour, 15 mins ago

    Saka & foden out gw24 to bruno f & palmer?

    1. Not again Shirley
      • 9 Years
      7 mins ago

      Wait for Bruno as arsenal away as tough as it gets.

  7. Flynny
    • 10 Years
    1 hour, 15 mins ago

    What to do with foden and cherki?

    Thinking of selling cherki. Looking for a low owned player below 7.5m

    Thinking ndiaye who hopefully starts on monday v Leeds with grealish injured. Thoughts?

    1. jacob1989
      • 3 Years
      29 mins ago

      Cherki still looks ok. I would sell foden. Everton don't score enough goals imo.

      1. Craigsimpson
        • 1 Year
        6 mins ago

        He looks ok but he also looks knackered and just played 90 mins. I'm not sure he starts against wolves

    2. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      22 mins ago

      I'm probably selling Cherki for Bruno tonight. I think he will be on the bench vs Wolves. It'll be Semen, Doki, and Foden starting again.

    3. MikeS
      • 11 Years
      9 mins ago

      I have both, selling foden after wolves to mbuemo ( have Bruno already)

      1. Flynny
        • 10 Years
        just now

        I have cash for foden to bruno but not cherki to bruno.

        Quite a tricky one. Obviously impossible to know with people.

        Don't think I want to do foden to bruno before wolves

        Feel more comfortable losing cherki

  8. jacob1989
    • 3 Years
    1 hour, 13 mins ago

    Nuno mendes in my team already with 10 balls recovered! Thats like ss many pts as an assist..

  9. The-Red-1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 hour, 12 mins ago

    Haaland to be benched / rested this weekend?
    Who's the best alternative captain? Guimares maybe

    1. JBG
      • 7 Years
      53 mins ago

      Semenyo or Thiago could be good options

    2. jacob1989
      • 3 Years
      47 mins ago

      He won't be rested.

    3. MikeS
      • 11 Years
      35 mins ago

      Robots don't rest

  10. Brosstan
    • 11 Years
    1 hour, 11 mins ago

    Palmer probably very likely rested against Cypriote fishermen tomorrow?

    1. Not sure, we’re all focused on Salford v Swindon at the moment!

      1. Palmer scores, right on tome!

    2. jacob1989
      • 3 Years
      45 mins ago

      The cypriot fisherman have a respectable 6 pts from 6 pts. Better than 2 spanish teams

      1. Brosstan
        • 11 Years
        4 mins ago

        Cypriotic fishermen > Spanish ham curers

  11. The Knights Template
    • 12 Years
    1 hour, 11 mins ago

    Graydon brace for Salford, who are now 2-0 up over Swindon Town. Winner takes on moppish Man City!

  12. The Knights Template
    • 12 Years
    1 hour, 8 mins ago

    Swindon claw one back, Palmer goal! 2-1 to Salford!

    1. JBG
      • 7 Years
      51 mins ago

      Another pen goal for C.Palmer I presume

    2. Captain Mal
      • 1 Year
      47 mins ago

      I know Chelsea is a full-time selling club nowadays, but I didn't thing they'd be selling to Swindon. Arsenal weren't interested?

      1. Captain Mal
        • 1 Year
        22 mins ago

        think*

    3. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      45 mins ago

      When is his knighting ceremony?

  13. Pep Roulette
    • 8 Years
    1 hour, 5 mins ago

    Saka to Rice?

    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      1 hour, 2 mins ago

      No, but you seem determined to sell Saka, so just do it and stop tormenting yourself

      1. Pep Roulette
        • 8 Years
        1 min ago

        Do you think Saka starts against United if he plays full 90 here?

    2. MikeS
      • 11 Years
      51 mins ago

      Yes

  14. The Knights Template
    • 12 Years
    1 hour, 3 mins ago

    Swindon again! Nominative deterministic Ball scores! 2-2!

  15. The Knights Template
    • 12 Years
    1 hour, 2 mins ago

    Salford bring bearded Grant on to settle the team.

    1. Bearded Cooper on too.

    2. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      44 mins ago

      Strength and intimidation

    3. Captain Mal
      • 1 Year
      42 mins ago

      Having a Hollywood icon and a former U. S. President on your bench is the definition of squad depth.

  16. The Bandit
    • 15 Years
    1 hour ago

    Dubravka Rogers DCL Alderete

    Going to play BB, but can’t decide who to sell, Dub or Alderete. Got 1ft and £4.4m itb.

    1. JBG
      • 7 Years
      58 mins ago

      Alderete probably, Dubravka and Burnley kind of figured out to defend properly again

      1. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        54 mins ago

        I was going that way originally, but it gives me a massive benching headache after this week. Back 5 would be Gab, Timber, Tark, Chalobah and whoever I bring in.

        1. JBG
          • 7 Years
          29 mins ago

          Just bench whichever striker you have, defenders will probably outscore them, considering how the seasons gone so far.

  17. It’s all Swindon at the moment, Manager Ian Holloway, inexplicably wearing a yellow Andy Capp cap, must have let fly at half-time!

    1. Captain Mal
      • 1 Year
      57 mins ago

      Talk about a handy-cap

    2. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      51 mins ago

      Really strange bloke

  18. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 11 Years
    59 mins ago

    Which Chelsea attack are you planning on bringing for the nice run, if any?

    1. Captain Mal
      • 1 Year
      15 mins ago

      Maybe Enzo from 24 onwards.

    2. jacob1989
      • 3 Years
      15 mins ago

      No one right now. Happy with chalobah.. if palmer scores non penalty goals can consider. Not sure anyone else worth it

    3. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      14 mins ago

      Already have Enzo. Probably Palmer punt to double up even though he is heavy risk of reduced minutes and bench in the best games.

    4. Qaiss
      • 10 Years
      10 mins ago

      Not planning to bring in any. They’re not essential and other players have great fixtures at the time

    5. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      9 mins ago

      Cheers all.

  19. CYN
    • 7 Years
    56 mins ago

    Appreciate any input here...

    Raya
    Virgil, Gabriel, Tark, Mukiele, Alderete
    Saka, Foden, Bruno G
    Haaland, Ekitike

    Dubravka, Stach, Tavernier, Guiu

    1FT

    A. Tavernier -> Enzo
    B. Roll and play 532 as above

    If B, my moves in GW24 could be Foden -> Bruno F and Virgil -> Chalobah or Tavernier -> Enzo.

    Bonus question

    WC24 - Y or N?

  20. Captain Garbutt (bearded) scores free a free-kick just outside the penalty area! Beards have restored order for Salford, who now lead 3-2!

  21. We’ve seen 4 goals in 15mins, and there’s 20mins remaining!

    1. Captain Mal
      • 1 Year
      10 mins ago

      Definitely not a game for the dungeons

    2. "We"

  22. Graydon fluffs an easy hattrick!

    1. He’ll lose bps for that!

    2. BECKS TO THE FUTURE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      29 mins ago

      Knights of Graydonia

      1. Captain Mal
        • 1 Year
        just now

        An a-muse-ing tune to inspire the team

  23. The Bandit
    • 15 Years
    52 mins ago

    17yo sprog coming on for Spuds after Bergvall injured. They really are down to the bare bones.

  24. The Bandit
    • 15 Years
    47 mins ago

    Xavi giving Spence a lesson in how to not bottle a tackle

  25. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    45 mins ago

    Foden owners happy?

    1. Not for about a month now, no

    2. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      just now

      Nope, keeping for Wolves and then he is gone

  26. Swindon with a corner, Palmer 7ft tall, here we go!

    1. Nope

  27. JBG
    • 7 Years
    40 mins ago

    It's seems like Arteta has understood that Rice is the 2nd most important player for the team after Gabriel and not Saka anymore. Considering how he rests each player. Just a theory

    1. Saka is not as exciting as he used to be, too predictable now.

      1. JBG
        • 7 Years
        19 mins ago

        That as well

  28. Goalmouth scramble and it’s Swindon with a third!

  29. CONTROVERSY, the young linesman raises his flag for a foul! Does not count, Palmer butchers Butcher!

  30. Amartey Partey
    • 6 Years
    37 mins ago

    Did Timber come off to be rested or with an injury?

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 mins ago

      rested

      1. Amartey Partey
        • 6 Years
        2 mins ago

        Thanks!