Moving Target
20 January 2026 308 comments
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Manchester City have bolstered their defensive ranks with the £20m acquisition of Marc Guehi (£5.3m) from Crystal Palace.

The 25-year-old has agreed a five-and-a-half-year contract and could make his debut against Wolverhampton Wanderers in Gameweek 23.

His arrival follows City’s capture of Antoine Semenyo (£7.6m) from Bournemouth earlier this month.

Following his transfer, we assess Guehi’s Fantasy Premier League (FPL) appeal.

FPL HISTORY

SeasonPointsPoints per startStartsMinsGoalsAssistsClean sheetsBonusYellow cards
2025/261055.3201,80024784
2024/251163.4343,0513211117
2023/24662.8232,03101662
2022/23952.6373,32810928
2021/221233.4363,218211184

Guehi has started 150 Premier League matches for Palace since his transfer from Chelsea in 2021, with 20 coming this season.

Throughout the years, he has played in both a back three and a back four, scoring eight goals and providing eight assists.

In FPL, Guehi has played a crucial role in 2025/26, with his ownership currently at 38.1%, making him the most popular defender in the game.

With an average of 5.3 points per start, he’s kept seven clean sheets, banked 16 defensive contribution (DefCon) points and claimed eight bonus, as well as chipping in with six attacking returns, which has helped propel him to fifth in the FPL defender standings.

THE MOVE IN QUOTES

“[He’s a] top central defender, played for the national team. I will say my personal thanks to the club. He is the perfect age for many years, he can play right or left. And him especially because he wanted to choose us. The problem we have at the back in the next few months so it’s really important that he is here.” – Pep Guardiola on Marc Guehi

“It is clear Marc has been one of the best defenders in English football for quite some time now, so we are absolutely delighted to bring him to Manchester City. I feel we have signed a huge talent who will help us improve. He is only 25, but he has shown already he is a leader, a brilliant professional and someone desperate to improve. He is strong, has exceptional defensive qualities, is an intelligent reader of the game, and brings passion and energy every time he steps onto the pitch. I am so pleased it was us he chose to join.  Marc is entering the prime years of his career. I am sure every City fan is excited to see how good he can be in a sky blue shirt.” – Hugo Viana on Marc Guehi

“First and foremost, it’s such an honour, such a big club to come and play for. For me, I have always just been obsessed with getting better and wanting to improve and that’s something I am constantly striving for and this is the perfect place for me to do that. I have heard so much about the club and the fans, the players speak for themselves, the manager. It’s definitely the right environment for me to improve and just get better. Hopefully I can bring what I have to the table to help every single person here too.” – Marc Guehi

WHERE DOES GUEHI FIT IN AT CITY?

3pm team news: Foden ill, Odobert debuts + Gundogan a sub

Guehi’s arrival will help alleviate City’s injury crisis at the back, with centre-halves Ruben Dias (£5.6m), Josko Gvardiol (£6.0m) and John Stones (£5.4m) all currently sidelined.

In Saturday’s defeat at Manchester United, Pep Guardiola was compelled to use an inexperienced centre-back duo: Abdukodir Khusanov (5.4m) and Max Alleyne (£4.5m).

And City’s defensive vulnerabilities were clear to see, so Guehi will add some much-needed experience and quality.

Given that Dias is expected to be out for around three to four more weeks, coupled with Stones’ persistent fitness issues and Gvardiol’s likely return only in the final part of the season, Guehi should partner Khusanov at the back.

A POTENTIAL MAN CITY BACK FOUR IN GAMEWEEK 23

Graphic via FotMob line-up builder

CLEAN SHEET POTENTIAL

Only Arsenal (11) have kept more clean sheets than Man City this season, who are tied in second with Chelsea and Everton, with nine shut-outs apiece.

Additionally, no top-flight team except Arsenal have conceded fewer goals, while only Mikel Arteta’s side, Newcastle United and Liverpool can better the Cityzens 22.34 non-penalty expected goals conceded (NPxGC):

There has been a clear deterioration in the above since Dias and Gvardiol’s injuries, but City are near the top across most defensive metrics, as is often the case.

DEFCON POTENTIAL

Playing as a left-sided centre-back in Oliver Glasner’s 3-4-2-1, Guehi has racked up ­­­168 DefCons this season, placing him among the top 20 defenders in FPL.

Above: FPL defenders sorted by defensive contributions (Tot) in 2025/26

16 DefCon points have come about because of this.

However, Guehi’s DefCon returns thus far are partly attributed to the stylistic characteristics of Palace.

To gain a clearer understanding of what to expect, we should look at the DefCon output of City centre-backs Dias and Gvardiol in 2025/26, with a particular focus on Gvardiol, since this is the role we expect Guehi to assume.

As expected, there is a decline, with Gvardiol’s average of 6.91 DefCons per 90 minutes being lower than Guehi’s current rate of 8.40.

Gvardiol has had a few run-outs at left-back, of course, but even left-sided centre-back Alleyne’s average of 7.33 over his last two matches indicates that we’ll see a drop-off.

ATTACKING THREAT

Guehi has already delivered a career-high six attacking returns this season, with two goals and four assists in 20 matches.

It’s the joint-second-most of any FPL defender in 2025/26.

Using the Eye Test feature in our Premium Members Area, we can see that two out of Guehi’s four assists were ‘Fantasy assists’.

In the match against West Ham United, Jean-Philippe Mateta (£7.5m) nodded in the rebound after goalkeeper Alphonse Areola (£4.3m) had pushed Guehi’s header on to the crossbar.

The second Fantasy assist was recorded when Guehi won a penalty, having been brought down by Bournemouth defender Bafode Diakite (£4.3m) following a corner.

So, both ‘Fantasy assists’ arrived from dead-ball situations, highlighting Guehi’s set-piece threat.

Indeed, Guehi’s first ‘Opta assist’ of 2025/26 followed a similar theme, with a long throw launched into the box by Jefferson Lerma (£4.9m) flicked on by Guehi for Eddie Nketiah (£5.4m) to convert at the far post.

Guehi also scored against Fulham in December, heading in from a corner.

Looking at the underlying stats, Guehi ranks joint-eighth among Fantasy defenders for headed shots, with nine, so his aerial threat from corners and free-kicks is clear.

But Guehi is also assured in possession. For example, his perfectly weighted open-play cross to assist Daniel Munoz (£5.8m) against Burnley in Gameweek 14 was superb. There was his top-corner goal from the edge of the box at Villa Park earlier this season, too.

Furthermore, Guehi has created nine big chances since the start of last season, an impressive tally for a centre-back.

That said, it is worth noting that Guehi has six attacking returns from 3.48 expected goal involvement (xGI), so there has been an element of overperformance.  

FINAL THOUGHTS

Netherlands v England team news: Guehi + Malen come in

It all appears pretty promising from a Fantasy perspective, particularly if Guehi can act as a magnet for Rayan Cherki (£6.8m) and Phil Foden’s (£8.6m) set-piece deliveries, while also helping to reinforce Man City’s backline and increase their clean sheet tally.

Guehi could make his debut for City when they host Wolves in Gameweek 23.

For those who already own him, Guehi is naturally a player to hold given that aforementioned fixture, but a City defender probably isn’t a priority for the rest of us, with away trips to Tottenham Hotspur and Liverpool to follow.

The next decent fixture swing in City’s favour is in Gameweek 26, so that gives us ample time to assess Guehi’s influence.

Additionally, there may need to be some adaptation to City’s playing style, with increased possession and playing higher up the pitch.

But you’d think Guehi will quickly nail down a place in City’s starting XI, particularly in light of their defensive disaster-class against Bodo/Glimt on Tuesday.

If we see improvement, Guehi can certainly carry appeal when City’s fixtures fall kindly, especially if he drops to £5.2m overnight, as predicted.  


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308 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Winnerr
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    9 hours, 19 mins ago

    wow fbref no more stats, can they terminate agreement with scout too?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      8 hours, 55 mins ago

      Shouldn't be an issue here.

  2. Pep Roulette
    • 8 Years
    9 hours, 11 mins ago

    Being a United fan, Saka to Bruno is on!

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      7 hours, 29 mins ago

      Catch up. Did it before the derby!

  3. Stevie B
    • 15 Years
    8 hours, 20 mins ago

    Ekitike -> Thiago that I can do a week later Saka -> Palmer.

    Yes or No?

    Thank you and good luck!

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      7 hours, 29 mins ago

      Palmer looks done, wouldn`t touch him with yours.

  4. Price Changes
    rainy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 10 Years
    8 hours, 6 mins ago

    Price changes 21st January

    Up: Bruno G. 7.3

    Down: Cherki 6.7

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      7 hours, 57 mins ago

      Cheers Rainy!

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      7 hours, 25 mins ago

      He who rises, like Bruno G, touches the clouds; he who descends, like Cherki, touches the roots. Both see truth.

      1. Athletico Timbo
        • 2 Years
        6 hours, 32 mins ago

        Lipstick, powder and paint. Is you is or is you ain’t.

  5. Philosopher's Stones
    • 5 Years
    7 hours, 46 mins ago

    To keep or sell O'Reilly and Foden before Wolves.....is the question..

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      7 hours, 27 mins ago

      Itching to get rid of O`Reilly, just don`t know for who. Chalobah or go cheap is my thinking.

  6. Cheeseoid
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 hours, 45 mins ago

    Does Crelin still do his spreadsheet? And if so would anyone have a link?

    Cheers in advance

      1. Bolivian Seaman
        • 15 Years
        6 hours, 32 mins ago

        its behind a paywall?

        1. Athletico Timbo
          • 2 Years
          6 hours, 31 mins ago

          Is it? He posts it free at some point I believe.

          1. Bolivian Seaman
            • 15 Years
            6 hours, 20 mins ago

            oh yeah, he has posted it on january 13th, thanks again

      2. Cheeseoid
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        5 hours, 13 mins ago

        Thanks very much

  7. Defcons are for Kinnear
    • 12 Years
    6 hours, 16 mins ago

    Iliman Ndiaye. A penalty taking defcon set and forget midfielder. Will give you an average of 5 points

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      5 hours, 16 mins ago

      Yes,

      1. The Knights Template
        • 12 Years
        3 hours, 25 mins ago

        Please

  8. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    5 hours, 40 mins ago

    Will you capt rice or enzo this week?
    Or even saka

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      5 hours, 14 mins ago

      Rice seems to have more scope for a big score than Saka so far this year (unless I have forgotten something). Having said that Haaland is either going to score a hattie or be given a rest after 60 quiet minutes. Enzo is a stats monster but not much of one in terms of the only numbers that actually matter.

      1. Letsgo!
        • 9 Years
        5 hours, 13 mins ago

        Yeah but i really dont think haaland gonna score a hattie

      2. Letsgo!
        • 9 Years
        5 hours, 12 mins ago

        Btw will you sell foden for wirtz or there is still chance for foden to start given sub off at 70 mins. But form is a problem

        1. Fulchester's New Centr…
          • 8 Years
          3 hours, 51 mins ago

          I already dumped Foden, not worth keeping. Whether Wirtz is the best place to go is another issue.

          1. Letsgo!
            • 9 Years
            2 hours, 58 mins ago

            So who did you dump it for?

            1. Fulchester's New Centr…
              • 8 Years
              2 hours, 56 mins ago

              Saka & Foden > Bruno & Rice last week, came off pretty well if I don`t say so myself.

  9. Little Frank
    • 14 Years
    5 hours, 12 mins ago

    Have the exact amount to do Cherki to Bruno this week. Was going to hold with City playing Wolves, but Cherki playing 90 minutes in the CL has me worried he'll be benched again.
    Worth the move or roll?

    1. The-Red-1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 hours, 15 mins ago

      I guess after this week the prices for both might move in opposite directions. I probably would unless you are planning to WC soon, in which case you can get Bruno in later

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      3 hours, 50 mins ago

      Do it

  10. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    4 hours, 56 mins ago

    Best option this gw? 1ft, 1.6m itb.

    a. saka > brunoF
    b. keane > mukiele
    c. save ft

    sanchez
    gabriel konate vdv
    saka wirtz rice brunoG
    haaland thiago dcl

    dubravka anderson diouf keane

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      3 hours, 56 mins ago

      Keane switch is an eventually move

      1. SpaceCadet
        • 12 Years
        3 hours, 50 mins ago

        Could get away with saving this gw?

        1. RamaJama
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          3 hours, 41 mins ago

          Yes

    2. Jebiga
      • 13 Years
      3 hours, 39 mins ago

      Tripple pool, omg what a mistake

      1. SpaceCadet
        • 12 Years
        3 hours, 37 mins ago

        Triple? Look again.

    3. tisza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 hour, 16 mins ago

      I'd roll the ft. Another week of info on the likes of Chelsea & utd with their new management . Plus another week to look at the 3/4 teams with fixture swings from GW 24.

  11. HurriKane
    • 13 Years
    4 hours, 45 mins ago

    Anyonelse doubting Haaland (C)? He looks gassed out and need a rest i think

    Absolute scenes when Haaland and Foden are benched for wolves.

    Can easily be the following lineup

    Doku Marmoush Semenyo
    Bernardo Rodri Rjeinders
    O'Reily Guehi Khusanov Nunes
    Donnarumma

    1. The-Red-1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 hours, 19 mins ago

      I am considering backing against, although no standout alternative in my team - Guimares, Palmer or Enzo would be my options!

    2. Jebiga
      • 13 Years
      3 hours, 42 mins ago

      Not that realistic to happen

  12. Kaneyonero
    • 9 Years
    4 hours, 38 mins ago

    Haaland Foden to start and bag a hattie each

    1. HurriKane
      • 13 Years
      4 hours, 31 mins ago

      Would really like that but wishfull thinking at the moment.

      Wolves unbeaten in last 4 conceding only 2 goals

      Also strong chance that one of haaland or foden gets benched

      1. Jebiga
        • 13 Years
        3 hours, 41 mins ago

        Why would they bench foden and Haaland?
        Foden isn't benched from long time ago and Haaland is the best player

        1. WVA
          • 9 Years
          2 hours, 18 mins ago

          Pep been saying Haaland needs a rest and Foden been rubbish but they need to win!

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 hours, 41 mins ago

      Hope they both start

  13. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 hours, 42 mins ago

    Play Senesi or Rodon over Timber?

    Pope
    Gabriel, Timber, Chalobah
    Rogers, Wilson, Saka, Foden
    Haaland, Raul, Ekitike

    Subs: Dub, Senesi, Rodon, King

    2 FTs, 0.5 in the bank

    1. Jebiga
      • 13 Years
      3 hours, 40 mins ago

      Tinder was exceptional against Inter. Yout think he will be benched?
      I think he's a must and bringing new dimension to Arsenal gameplay...

      1. My heart goes Salalalalah
        • 9 Years
        3 hours, 30 mins ago

        Autocorrect to Tinder 😆 I wanne see the rest of your search history 😉

    2. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      3 hours, 36 mins ago

      Play Timber imo

  14. Miguel Sanchez
    • 9 Years
    3 hours, 12 mins ago

    Captain options outside of Haaland this GW:

    A) Thiago (NFO)
    B) Rice (MAN)
    C) Palmer (cpa)

    1. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      2 hours, 55 mins ago

      B

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      2 hours, 53 mins ago

      Thiago, could blank, but has shown he can hit a monster score too. Rice could do ok, Arsenal should win, but doubt it will be a goal fest. As much of a shambles as Palace are, Palmer doesn`t look right at all.

    3. Onz
      • 8 Years
      2 hours, 49 mins ago

      Semenyo

  15. WVA
    • 9 Years
    3 hours ago

    Foden has now blanked for eight games in a row, are we really holding for his possible benching v Wolves?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      2 hours, 52 mins ago

      We are not.

    2. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      2 hours, 49 mins ago

      I don't know what to do. I also have saka and Bowen and Def needs to be sorted. I have no Chelsea attack no Bruno and no villa. He could come off the bench and get a goal. I think I'll keep one last GW. If bruno had a nice fixture I would sell for him.

      1. Geriatric Unathletic
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        1 hour, 22 mins ago

        Sounds like a perfect reason to use the W.C a week earlier than most.

    3. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      2 hours, 25 mins ago

      Casuals are

    4. Conners
      • 7 Years
      1 hour, 50 mins ago

      Fixture-wise at least, there's no obvious replacement this GW.

      Also, I'm WCing next week, so I'm not using up a transfer to sell Foden ahead of Wolves at home the week before.

  16. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 12 Years
    2 hours, 6 mins ago

    Should I start DCL, Andersen or O’Reilly ahead of any of my current Xl?

    Raya

    Timber Gabriel Guehi

    Bruno Gruno Foden Rogers Anderson

    Thiago Haaland

    1. Sir Michael Taker
      • 11 Years
      1 hour, 21 mins ago

      Hes going back to play at Everton so depends how much you believe in narratives as Leeds are much better at home but you just know he wants to score there so badly

      1. Sir Michael Taker
        • 11 Years
        1 hour, 19 mins ago

        Didnt really answer your question. I'd roll the dice and accept the inevitable Anderson 4pt on the bench in the hope of a DCL return

  17. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    6 mins ago

    On Foden and Cherki, I suspect that Pep sees Foden as one of his senior players and as such will start him. My main concern is the early sub likelihood. We're basically seeing Wolte/Wissa syndrome.