The Knee Jerk

The Knee Jerk – Boxing Day

Boxing Day confirms the arrival of one heavy-hitting Gunners midfield asset, only for their star middle man to suffer an injury that threatens to trigger a wave of transfer activity. While thousands of Fantasy managers will be occupied by that particular pairing, a certain Saints striker remains largely ignored as he goes on providing ample points for a paltry sum.

The Game Changer

Theo Walcott’s impact on his return from injury has been almost instant. His brace at Upton Park turned the game Arsenal’s way and confirmed that Walcott is back amongst the top-level Fantasy assets available.

In truth, we’ve been crying out for Walcott’s arrival in our season. His record of 14 goals and 13 assists last season pointed towards great things this campaign but, derailed by injury, Walcott’s Fantasy potential has been tempered as the midfield has failed to keep pace with the output of our forwards. Until now.

Four goals in his three league starts suggest that Walcott can compete with the very top midfield assets, surpassing the scoring rate of his much-vaunted team-mates Mesut Ozil and Aaron Ramsey through sheer goal power. With David Silva and Eden Hazard also showing some consistency, focus is back on the expensive midfield targets.

Owned by just 5% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers, a state of alert was declared with Walcott’s previous brace, mentioned in this article. Today’s returns will heighten that initial interest into a frenzy which is likely to accelerate significantly as January wildcards are laid down.

The Underused

The Gameweek drew focus on our Fantasy forward lines, as we contemplated the gamble of overlooking the devastating form of Luis Suarez. The likes of Wayne Rooney and Romelu Lukaku tempted the armband with so many Fantasy managers boasting one or both in their squads. Indeed, despite the recent injury to Sergio Aguero, few have considered dismantling their “template” strike force – it’s meant that Southampton’s Jay Rodriguez has struggled to get the Fantasy recognition he deserves.

Rodriguez notched a brace and an assist in Southampton’s fine 3-0 win at Cardiff to take him to eight league goals from his last 12 starts. That kind of strike rate, for an FPL fee of just 6.0, allows him to top the “value” rankings on 13.6, ahead of Luis Suarez.

Just as there is no doubt about the established pool of players that make up the typical forward line, there can be little argument on which player offers the best value for those who choose to risk plunging the price brackets.

Right now only 6% have dared cheapen their forward line and take up the Rodriguez option. With further heavy-hitting midfield options opening up, it will interesting to see how the January wildcard changes that particular statistic.

The Selection Poser

Aaron Ramsey’s rise to near essential status has been slowed of late thanks to a harsh fixture list and the potential return of Theo Walcott. Today’s events not only underlined Walcott’s appeal as an explosive alternative to Ramsey, it also saw the Welshman suffer an injury that could signal the first significant bout of sales.

Arsene Wenger has announced that Ramsey’s thigh injury suffered in the second-half at West Ham today, will rule him out for the rest of the Christmas programme. While some will wait for scans and further details, the news will mean Ramsey will sit out matches with Newcastle and Cardiff in the next four days. A Gameweek 21 return on January 13 could be on the cards, although the nature and severity of the injury is not yet clear.

Significantly, the injury comes off the back of a spell that has seen Ramsey return goals in just one of his last eight league matches. While a pair of assists has calmed any panic, that dip in form, coupled with today’s injury, will likely prove the catalyst for sales.

Having risen to 7.6 form an initial value of 5.5, Ramsey has a long way to fall, with thousands set to sacrifice funds when the decision to sell on is made. Again, the January wildcard will bring the Ramsey situation into focus. There’s little doubt that if Ramsey goes into the New Year sidelined, as expected, we will see a lot of movement away from the season’s stand-out midfielder, heading in the direction of Walcott. Current transfer statistics in the FPL already confirm such a trend, with Walcott and Ramsey topping the transfers in and out tables just a few hours after the final whistle.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

6,689 Comments Post a Comment
  1. BOOM XHAKALACA
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Is Ozil & Ramsey -> Walcott & Cabaye worth a hit?

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    1. BenjaniMwaruwari
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Yes, nice to increase teamvalue before Wildcard, I would do it

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  2. FF Dirtbag
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    How long is Ramsey meant to be out for?

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    1. The ghost of a Pug's g…
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Prob around3 weeks

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      1. Woy of the Wovers
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Based on...?

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        1. The ghost of a Pug's g…
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          Research on tonight injuries

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    2. Namtab Nomolos
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Out until 2014!

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  3. Scottys Army
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Damn suarez and theo both are perfect for (C) for new years day.

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    1. SW6
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Luis for sure

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      1. TD Champ
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Only a madman wouldn't go with Suarez

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  4. The ghost of a Pug's g…
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Last time

    A) Ramsey to lallana
    B) Ramsey to cabaye
    C) Ramsey n Lukaku to 4.5 midfield (help) and Rooney

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    1. Les Bleus
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      I might do A as a matter of fact if that helps

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  5. Aaron Ramsey exit strategy?
    @ocprodigy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Let's see if it works this time...Ramsey replacements!

    Let's look at all the "viable" options that people seem to be contemplating - not using members stats for obvious reasons: (Note, I consider anyone 10% or under a "differential")

    1) Walcott (£9.2 million)

    Advantages:
    - Impressive form (very explosive)
    - Direct replacement into Arsenal's midfield
    - Fixtures (GW23 arguably the next "difficult" fixture)
    - Differential (less than 6% at time of posting)

    Disadvantages:
    - Hefty price tag
    - Not fixed on set pieces/penalties

    2) Cabaye (£6.6 million & rising)

    Advantages
    - Strong form (Offensive returns in 4/5 of his last starts)
    - Similar price tag
    - Consistent returns (in 60% of games hes featured in)
    - Set pieces (although no longer on penalties)

    Disadvantages:
    - Fixtures (Arsenal, Man City in the next 3)
    - HBA may affect his returns if he continues to start
    - Very quickly rising in popularity (no more "differential" status)

    3) Lallana (£6.9 million & rising)

    Advantages:
    - Seems "instrumental" to Southampton's goals
    - Similar price tag
    - Set pieces

    Disadvantages:
    - Inconsistent on returns (in under 50% of fixtures)
    - Fixtures (Everton, Chelsea, Arsenal in next 5)

    4) David Silva (£9.3 million)

    Advantages:
    - Consistent returns (in an incredible 80% of games hes featured in)
    - Differential (less than 6% at time of posting)
    - Fixtures (GW23 the next "difficult" fixture)

    Disadvantages:
    - Hefty price tag
    - Not fixed on set pieces/penalties

    Just for a little bit of fun, here's three differentials that could make a difference over the next few weeks:

    5) Jesus Navas (£8.1 million)

    Advantages:
    - Cheaper route into City midfield
    - Up turn in form (returns in last 3 GWs, despite lack of gametime)
    - Differential (less than 2.5% at time of posting)
    - Fixtures (same as DS)

    Disadvantages:
    - Not necessarily "nailed on" (especially when Aguero returns)
    - Price tag (Not "hefty", but higher than Ramsey's range)
    - Not on set pieces/penalties

    6) Moussa Sissoko (£5.5 million)

    Advantages:
    - Up turn in form (returns in 3/5 GWs, and a 10pter before)
    - Nailed on
    - Price (£££)
    - Differential (less than 2% at time of posting)

    Disadvantages:
    - Not on set pieces/penalties
    - Fixtures (Arsenal, Man City in the next 3)

    7) Pete Whittingham (£5.2 million)

    Advantages:
    - Key player
    - Nailed on
    - Price (£££)
    - Differential (less than 8% at time of posting)
    - Set pieces & penalties

    Disadvantages:
    - Newly promoted team
    - Fixtures (Arsenal, Man City, Man Utd in next 5 fixtures)

    Charlie Adam was also interesting, but I really got tired of reading numbers...
    P.S. it's not the most in depth, it's not meant to be, just a list of names and some pros/cons...

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    1. Namtab Nomolos
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Still only needed Walcott. But maybe if you called it Özil replacements it'd work too 😉

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    2. The ghost of a Pug's g…
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      None...they all come out as poor options.

      But I say Walcott. Today he was ace

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    3. Carrick Doesn't Deserv…
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      henderson, sterling, wilshere all good options too. some considering ki...

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      1. @ocprodigy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Henderson & Sterling didn't come to mind, but they'd both be good alternatives.

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    4. Les Bleus
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      I see Wally (for those who don't have him), Lallana and Cabaye as true replacements that could really pay off.

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    5. DRIZ ✅
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      already have wally and dont want cabaye as dont like teams facing each other

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    6. Wild Rover
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Waaly or Silva would have sufficed 😉

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    7. Nice to Finally Michu
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      You didn't include my Ramsey replacement: CHRISTIAN ERIKSEN, pretty good post and list of options. Thanks.

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      1. @ocprodigy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Very punty, he stung me earlier in the season...big time.

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    8. Pinky and Brain
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Sterling is nice option IMO.

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    9. Woy of the Wovers
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      You call them "viable" options? None of them are.

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      1. @ocprodigy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Why would you say that?

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    10. Messiah Hazard
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Why isnt Fernandinho in the options?

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    11. chriscosta
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      what about eriksen ???

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      1. Gung Ho
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        After scoring his first league goal, in an attacking team, he prob is becoming a viable option

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  6. Ricky - it doesn\'t ta…
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    a -4 hit has just got me to this team, thoughts?

    marshall - speroni
    chester - coleman - clyne - vlaar - molsson
    hazard - yaya - wally - cabaye - sterling
    suarez - lukaku - rooney

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    1. Hy liverpool
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      good to go

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    2. Woy of the Wovers
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      No Ramsey!!!

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  7. Van Dal
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    55 see me a green arrow?

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    1. Rafabio
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Yip

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  8. The Blind Badger
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    This week I will be using my FT for Ramsey to Silva / Toure.

    However with Walcotts form and Ozils impending rest do you think Wally in for Ozil is worth a -4? Kasami would be my replacement if Ozil is rested.

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  9. Vasty Deep
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    best replacement for Ramsey under 8.5?

    I already have hazard, silva and Walcott...

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    1. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Go with Jesus young man

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    2. hammersp2000
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Cabaye or lallana I would say

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  10. pundit of punts
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Ben Arfa anyone?

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    1. LWO23
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      I have had no luck w him. Cabaye more consistent.

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    2. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      HBA seems to go on runs though

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    3. HabitualLineSteppers
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      " Ben Arfa anyone? "

      I was actually shocked that his name hasn't come up sooner tonight -

      I know I am basing my opinion on less than 2 hours of football but his last two appearances have been impressive.

      7.5% ownership =- emmmmmm !

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  11. Jimbo123
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Do we think Zabaleta will start on Sat?

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    1. Les Bleus
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      There was a quote apparently saying he was going to be rested on Saturday.

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    2. Del Monte
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      already been confirmed he will be rested

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    3. Big_Andy_GAWA
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      He won't, apparently.

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  12. LWO23
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Ozil to Silva or Bannnan to Cabaye?

    Seems funny logic, but I think Ozil having the far more difficult fixture than Silva might actually be a reason to keep. Silva could get a rest. Ozil probably has to play in a tough fixture. Am I overthinking this?

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  13. JS27
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Any chance of Jaask returning to the starting lineup at the weekend?

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  14. Ady87
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Anyone taken an early cup exit thanks to a dormant team? Who got beat by the 'worst' team?

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    1. Namtab Nomolos
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      My opponent got beaten by someone who doesn't even have Suarez.

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    2. Les Bleus
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      I went through despite my opponent having Remy and Cabaye

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    3. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      If yaya did anything I would have been bounced

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    4. BT31 - WE ARE ALL TINKERMEN…
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Beaten by this fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/1305759/event-history/18/

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  15. czechmade
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    was it welbeck's or defender's assist for rooney goal ? 🙂 just asking...

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    1. Ricky - it doesn\'t ta…
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      defo defender

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      1. czechmade
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        thanks

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  16. BT31 - WE ARE ALL TINKERMEN…
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Wow, people make some weird transfers in, look at page 16 on all players!

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  17. The Gambler.
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Worth a 4 pointer? Only have Nasri.

    Terry > Zaba
    Nasri > Silva

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    1. Drypp
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Contemplating the same myself...I think yes, but not sure.

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  18. berbatron
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Is Negredo injured? Best midfielder for 8.2 mil or less?

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    1. Schürrle Class
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      I have Negredo also. Wait until tomorrow and then make your decision.

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  19. Cilly Bonnolly
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Ramsey, Ozil and Lukaku to Silva, Walcott and Rodriguez for a -8? My knee is twitching at the moment, if not quite jerking.

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    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Good trannies but not for a -8.

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  20. DRIZ ✅
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Negredo or Yaya for Palace??

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    1. berbatron
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      I dont know whether to captain Negredo or Silva... a bit scared Negredo could be rested for Dzeko? If I had yaya would probs captain him as virtually no chance of being rested. But if both were guaranteed to start then prefer Negredo

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  21. Del Monte
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    I expect Zaba, Navas and Negredo to be replaced by Kolarov, Milner and Dzeko at the weekend

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    1. LOCO ABREU
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      kolarov played 90 mins today

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  22. Andy1
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Nasri/Oscar & Ramsey --> silva/yaya & cabaye?

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  23. There's Always One!
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    68pts with suarez cap. Thats my getting out of jail card used me thinks!

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    1. Hy liverpool
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      the same

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  24. Louis
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Who officially takes penalties for Newcastle!??

    I thought it was Cabaye but it is obviously not anymore. I can't stop thinking of the hatrick I would have if he took those two penalties.

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  25. Ludo
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Out in the first round of the cup - opponent captained Rooney and also had Jay Rodriguez - fair enough!

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  26. It’s A Joke
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Any City injury concerns?

    A) Lukaku & RavMo to Fernandinho & Dzeko
    B) Lukaku & Hazard to Silva & Negredo
    C) Lukaku & Ramsey to Silva & Dzeko

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    1. The ghost of a Pug's g…
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Negredo limped off. Dzeko could start

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      1. It’s A Joke
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers, my mask wearing friend. Dzeko punt it is. See ya Lukaloo

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  27. BOOM XHAKALACA
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    How do you pick between Cabaye and Lallana?

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    1. Pinky and Brain
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      I have had Lallana since GW10 and it has been very frustrating with only 2 big scores.

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    2. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Go for sterling?

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      1. BOOM XHAKALACA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Already have him.

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  28. LOCO ABREU
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    howard
    terry-chester-evans(olsson-williams)
    ozil-mirallas-wally-hazard(jwp)
    lukaku-negredo-suarez

    what do you think?

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    1. LOCO ABREU
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      play 10,9,8 maybe? 🙂

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    2. Ady87
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Needs Silva.

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    3. Hy liverpool
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      ozil >silva
      lukaku >rooney
      $???

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  29. Ady87
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Barfa back In the picture with attacking returns in his last 2, both starts. Differential?

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    1. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Yes but fixtures

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    2. Woy of the Wovers
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      I wouldn't

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  30. TD Champ
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Is it worth doing Ramsey (6.9 selling price) --> Sterling in this gameweek. This would also free up some funds to get rid of one of my two injured defenderes (Vlaar and Flanagan)??

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    1. Drypp
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      I'm considering the same myself. How nailed on is Sterling? When will Sturridge be back?

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