New Players Analysis

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Haaland	MCI	B, Vs
No Change	Mateta	CRY	B
No Change	Thiago	BRE	A
No Change	Welbeck	BHA	B
No Change	Woltemade	NEW	B

FPL GW15 Scout Picks

Verbruggen

Tarkowski
Muñoz
Thiaw

Foden
Bruno Guimarães
Bruno Fernandes
Minteh

Woltemade
Haaland
Thiago

Dubravka
O’Reilly
Andersen
Damsgaard

GW15 Captain Poll

Price Change Predictions

Risers

Fallers

Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Woltemade	NEW	7.4m	134.0%	Very Likely
Van Hecke	BHA	4.4m	105.6%	Very Likely
Lammens	MUN	5.0m	100.7%	Very Likely
Casemiro	MUN	5.5m	95.8%	Maybe
J.Timber	ARS	6.4m	90.1%	Maybe
Raya	ARS	5.9m	78.8%	Unlikely
Guéhi	CRY	5.1m	74.3%	Unlikely
Truffert	BOU	4.5m	89.2%	Unlikely
Roefs	SUN	4.7m	85.3%	Unlikely
Cullen	BUR	5.0m	84.5%	Unlikely
Mitchell	CRY	5.0m	83.4%	Unlikely
Tavernier	BOU	5.5m	85.2%	Unlikely
Szoboszlai	LIV	6.6m	82.9%	Unlikely
Petrović	BOU	4.5m	81.0%	Unlikely
Foden	MCI	8.3m	66.2%	Unlikely
Matheus N.	MCI	5.3m	75.5%	Unlikely
J.Palhinha	TOT	5.5m	77.8%	Unlikely
Rogers	AVL	6.9m	77.2%	Unlikely
Neto	CHE	7.2m	61.8%	Unlikely
Dúbravka	BUR	4.0m	71.2%	Unlikely
Gvardiol	MCI	5.8m	68.5%	Unlikely
De Ligt	MUN	5.0m	72.2%	Unlikely
Saka	ARS	10.1m	62.2%	Unlikely
Amad	MUN	6.3m	65.2%	Unlikely
Sánchez	CHE	4.8m	62.7%	Unlikely
King	FUL	4.5m	62.3%	Unlikely
O.Dango	BRE	6.0m	55.9%	Unlikely
Ballard	SUN	4.6m	55.3%	Unlikely
Schade	BRE	7.0m	54.8%	Unlikely
Lacroix	CRY	5.1m	47.5%	Unlikely
Donnarumma	MCI	5.7m	53.6%	Unlikely
Chalobah	CHE	5.2m	48.3%	Unlikely
Burn	NEW	5.1m	37.8%	Unlikely
Sessegnon	FUL	5.4m	48.0%	Unlikely
Barnes	NEW	6.4m	38.2%	Unlikely
Gusto	CHE	4.9m	45.9%	Unlikely
Livramento	NEW	4.9m	39.1%	Unlikely
Verbruggen	BHA	4.4m	38.1%	Unlikely
Kroupi.Jr	BOU	4.6m	44.0%	Unlikely
Anderson	NFO	5.4m	41.9%	Unlikely

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Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Mbeumo	MUN	8.6m	101.3%	Very Likely
Caicedo	CHE	5.9m	112.5%	Very Likely
Strand Larsen	WOL	6.3m	96.2%	Likely
Vicario	TOT	5.0m	96.7%	Maybe
Rodney	CRY	4.5m	99.3%	Maybe
Pinnock	BRE	4.3m	96.1%	Maybe
Dixon	EVE	3.9m	94.5%	Maybe
Tel	TOT	6.3m	94.5%	Maybe
Lewis	MCI	4.8m	92.3%	Unlikely
Okafor	LEE	5.5m	94.3%	Unlikely
Maguire	MUN	4.4m	92.1%	Unlikely
J.Araujo	BOU	3.9m	93.3%	Unlikely
Coppola	BHA	4.3m	94.8%	Unlikely
Kerkez	LIV	5.7m	90.7%	Unlikely
Mainoo	MUN	4.7m	90.7%	Unlikely
Welch	EVE	3.9m	91.9%	Unlikely
Ortega Moreno	MCI	4.8m	90.5%	Unlikely
George	CHE	4.9m	90.8%	Unlikely
Travers	EVE	4.4m	90.8%	Unlikely
Dasilva	BRE	5.0m	77.6%	Unlikely
Georginio	BHA	5.7m	80.6%	Unlikely
Kelleher	BRE	4.5m	88.8%	Unlikely
Darlow	LEE	4.0m	86.6%	Unlikely
Boateng	BUR	4.8m	89.4%	Unlikely
Arrizabalaga	ARS	4.2m	84.1%	Unlikely
Mac Allister	LIV	6.3m	84.1%	Unlikely
Abbott	NFO	3.9m	84.8%	Unlikely
Cox	BRE	4.0m	84.0%	Unlikely
McGill	BHA	4.0m	83.2%	Unlikely
Baleba	BHA	4.7m	82.3%	Unlikely
M.Bizot	AVL	4.3m	85.3%	Unlikely
Neave	NEW	4.4m	82.7%	Unlikely
Colwill	CHE	4.8m	83.1%	Unlikely
Young	AVL	4.4m	80.8%	Unlikely
Knight	BHA	4.5m	83.4%	Unlikely
Akinmboni	BOU	3.9m	81.2%	Unlikely
Sonne	BUR	3.9m	81.2%	Unlikely
Gannon-Doak	BOU	4.9m	80.6%	Unlikely
Matete	SUN	4.4m	81.6%	Unlikely
Gruev	LEE	4.8m	81.0%	Unlikely

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FPL Fixture Ticker

Watchlists

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Raya Martin	ARS	C, Vs
No Change	Alisson	LIV	C, Vs
No Change	Donnarumma	MCI	C, Vs, Sus
Up	Ramsdale	NEW	C
No Change	Sels	NFO	C, Vs
No Change	Dubravka	BUR	C, £

Last updated: 2 Dec, 2025 3:14pm

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	van Dijk	LIV	B, Vs
No Change	Muñoz	CRY	A, Sus
No Change	Jurriën Timber	ARS	C, Vs
No Change	O’Reilly	MCI	A, Vs
No Change	de Ligt	MUN	C, Vs
Up	Thiaw	NEW	A
No Change	Andersen	FUL	A
No Change	Milenkovic	NFO	C, Vs
No Change	van Hecke	BHA	B, £
No Change	Mukiele	SUN	C, £

Last updated: 2 Dec, 2025 2:34pm

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Saka	ARS	A, Vs
No Change	Bruno Fernandes	MUN	A, Vs
No Change	Foden	MCI	A, Vs
No Change	Semenyo	BOU	C
Up	Gakpo	LIV	A, Vs
No Change	Minteh	BHA	A
Up	Anderson	NFO	A, Vs, £
No Change	Fernández	CHE	B
Up	Bruno Guimarães	NEW	B

Last updated: 2 Dec, 2025 2:44pm

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Haaland	MCI	B, Vs
No Change	Mateta	CRY	B
No Change	Thiago	BRE	A
No Change	Welbeck	BHA	B
No Change	Woltemade	NEW	B

GW15 Chip Poll

Community Submissions

10 July 2015 28 comments

thepuntmaster

Last year I put together a “Points Per Appearance” analysis spreadsheet and it went down well so here is another one. I will try to update it weekly or as and when a new batch of transfers arrive.

For the new signings and the promoted clubs’ popular players I have worked out how many points per appearance they would have averaged if the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) points system was applied to their respective leagues.

I know it is not the most accurate but it is still interesting to read. It gives you an idea of how many points each player could manage if they hit the ground running come August. Bear in mind that some leagues are easier than others and bonus points have not been taken into account (which do make a difference).

Goalkeepers are not included due to complication with saves, but defenders, midfielders and forwards are. Information about the new arrivals’ transfer and price are on the spreadsheet to give a little more data for you when analysing. In terms of points goals, assists, clean sheets and yellow cards are taken into account. Red cards are ignored as I thought they were unnecessary and didn’t transfer from season to season.

I have assumed each appearance is over 60 mins, resulting in two FPL points. I have counted every substitute appearance as half so it is fairer (obviously rounding up so no .5s).

The number of clean sheets that defenders and midfielders have is in relation to their new club. I worked out the number of clean sheets per match that each Premier League team managed during the 2014-15 campaign and multiplied that by their new signing’s number of appearances.

The value column allows you to compare which player is better value for money. I would advise only using this figure between similarly priced players as otherwise it is unfair. The higher the number the better the value. To obtain this number I multiplied the points per appearance by 100 and divided it by the price.

I hope you all find it useful and feel free to comment any thoughts or updates you would like!

Click the link here to check it out.

28 Comments Login to Post a Comment

J0E
10 years, 5 months ago
Great research. Thanks so much for this.
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internal error
10 years, 5 months ago
i was looking at a highlight reel of Depay. He could be immense in this league. He has a lot going for him. When to buy him is what im struggling with
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Detweiler
10 years, 5 months ago
Great article - Fuchs a very interesting prospect. Just wish he was 4.5...
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1. thepuntmaster
  10 years, 5 months ago
  Yeah the FPL have obviously seen his potential too!
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Ziegler1988
10 years, 5 months ago
Cheers Puntmaster! I'm on Callum Wilson right now and nice to see he does well in this analysis. Adam Matthews also with a nice low number of yellows from a physical league
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1. thepuntmaster
  10 years, 5 months ago
  Adam Matthews certainly does look good. I am tempted with Jerome if he can nail down game time then he has the physicality to finally cut it at the top level!
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Dinamo Drachma
10 years, 5 months ago
Great one Puntmaster!
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kirwy
10 years, 5 months ago
Superb post. Thanks mate!
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FPL Daniel
10 years, 5 months ago
Well done mate, that is great effort
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1. FPL Daniel
  10 years, 5 months ago
  Man I just checked this out. WOW what a great input. Love it. Please update it until the transfer deadline pass. I vote for article of the month already. Jonty please count my vote for when the time will come for voting.
  
  Cheers,
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  1. thepuntmaster
    10 years, 5 months ago
    Haha thanks man. Will be keeping it updated each week and add a few new features too 🙂
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    1. FPL Daniel
      10 years, 5 months ago
      Love it. 😉 Hi5
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Granville
10 years, 5 months ago
Can't access Google Drive here.
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1. FPL Daniel
  10 years, 5 months ago
  Click open with Google sheets . You might have to have gmail 🙁
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2. thepuntmaster
  10 years, 5 months ago
  If this is a recurring problem I could make them into photos on imgur?
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  1. FPL Daniel
    10 years, 5 months ago
    Please keep what your are doing. Google sheets are wonderful. Please update it. This has never been done till now and I really wonder why...
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    1. thepuntmaster
      10 years, 5 months ago
      yea i'll keep it going on google sheets but will add images if necessary... I did it last year but it must've slipped your attention 😉
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Leeroy357
10 years, 5 months ago
Myhill 4.5 Butland 4.5
Azpi 6 Pieters 5 Toby 5 Naughton 5 Dawson 5
Hazard 11.5 Firmino 8.5 Ozil 8.5 Puncheon 6 Yaya 8.5
Rooney 10.5 Murray 6 Bojan 5.5
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FPL P0ker PlAyer
10 years, 5 months ago
Thx for repeating this trick from last year TPM. If memory serves me well, this approach flagged up the high potential of Pelle, Tadic and Janmaat amongst others, which contributed to my owning the first two named for that 8-0 thrashing of Sunderland.

Will you be attempting to handicap the respective leagues again like last year? Not sure where one realistically begins with that calculation though!
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1. thepuntmaster
  10 years, 5 months ago
  I might try and start the handicap thing. I found a way of doing it last year and could just use that again. It's so subject to opinion though! I'll have a look at it 🙂
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Mathematically Safe
10 years, 5 months ago
Great idea, really useful way of trying to find an advantage. Hadn't even considered Matthews until now. Much appreciated.
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rattan64
10 years, 4 months ago
Can we add Dmitri Payet into this? Bossed Ligue 1 last season, created the most chances in the top 5 European leagues...
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Redhulkster
10 years, 4 months ago
Great work Punt Master..
how about Payet.. ?
Darmian also if possible
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1. thepuntmaster
  10 years, 4 months ago
  Sorry - there will be an update out next week for evveryone
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Sterling Chap
10 years, 4 months ago
Glad to see this back! Based on the spreadsheet last year, I picked Costa from the outset 😀
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