[sbu_large_image] Scout Betting
26 December 2015 1567 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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Weighed down by a fuzz of alcohol and mincemeat, we rouse ourselves ahead of another Gameweek deadline to stagger before Paddy Power’s door and assess their Boxing Day reckoning.

Before we assess their thinking on where goals or will and won’t be scored, here’s news of a couple of Boxing Day offers available for new Paddy customers.

They’ve prepared a twin set of enhanced bets, with new accounts qualifying for huge odds in this weekend’s acca. This features four home sides with Paddy offering a big 22/1 on wins for Chelsea (vs Watford), Man City (vs Sunderland), Liverpool (vs Leicester) and Spurs (vs Norwich). Later on today, you can also grab odds of 7/1 on an Arsenal away win over Southampton at St Mary’s.

Be sure to check the teams and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 18

Player Team Odds
Aguero MCI 1.40
Bony MCI 1.66
Kane TOT 1.66
Costa CHE 1.83
Lukaku EVE 2.00
Benteke LIV 2.10
Iheanacho MCI 2.10
Toure MCI 2.29
Remy CHE 2.40
Vardy LEI 2.40
Sterling MCI 2.40
Giroud ARS 2.40
Gomis SWA 2.70
Mahrez LEI 3.00
Walcott ARS 3.10

Sergio Aguero (1.40) is restored to the top of the Anytime Goalscorer rankings having been afforded the shortest odds by Paddy ahead of Manchester City’s home tie against Sunderland. Although the Argentine marksman is highly unlikely to last the distance at the Etihad, his five-goal haul in 20 minutes against Newcastle United will be fresh in the minds of non-owners today. In light of the fact that the Sky Blues rank top for home goals (25) and the Black Cats rank top for away goals conceded (25), Wilfried Bony (1.66), Kelechi Iheanacho (2.10), Yaya Toure (2.29) and Raheem Sterling (2.40) also feature in Paddy’s reckoning.

Harry Kane, along with Leicester’s Riyad Mahrez (3.00), has been pushing Aguero all the way in our Captain Poll and Paddy’s odds certainly appear to reinforce the argument that the Spurs striker he is best placed to rival the Argentine. Kane is pitched at 1.66 as Tottenham Hotspur prepare to host Norwich City at White Hart Lane. The Lilywhites frontman places second among forwards for shots on target (13) at home and is pitted against a Canaries rearguard that’s yet record a clean sheet on their travels.

Chelsea’s much-improved performance against Sunderland last Gameweek has prompted Paddy to price Diego Costa (1.83) for the Stamford Bridge meeting with in-form Watford. It’s unlikely that Fantasy managers will be encouraged by Paddy’s confidence – the Hornets go into today’s tie off the back of four consecutive victories and have shipped just ten goals in eight games on their travels.

Romelu Lukaku looks a far stronger proposition: he comes in at 2.00 for Everton’s trip to Newcastle. The blossoming Belgian has scored in seven successive starts and squares up to a Magpies defence that ranks joint-second for goals conceded (32) throughout the season, which bodes well for his attacking prospects. Lukaku’s record is also superb against the Magpies – he’s scored or assisted nine goals in his last six appearances against them.

Despite drawing blanks in his last six league appearances, Christian Benteke (2.10) boasts the sixth-shortest odds before Liverpool’s home clash against Leicester City. The Belgian’s case is bolstered in the knowledge that the visitors lay claim to just three shut-outs, although Benteke’s start is far from assured.

Olivier Giroud (2.40) netted in all but two of his previous nine league outings yet sneaks in at the bottom of the top ten. The France international will certainly fancy his chances against a Southampton back line that’s conceded in six of their last seven match-ups at St Mary’s. Theo Walcott is also out at just 3.00 for an anytime goal – the top midfield option behind the City continent.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 18

Team Odds
Manchester City 1.83
Chelsea 2.00
Tottenham Hotspur 2.10
Swansea City 2.20
Manchester United 2.50
Arsenal 2.80
Aston Villa 2.87
West Ham 3.00

Man City are without a clean sheet in five Gameweeks but that hasn’t deterred Paddy from pinpointing them as the team most likely to claim a Boxing Day shut-out. On a similar note, Chelsea are also rated highly (2.00) but will do well to silence a Watford attack that ranks joint-top for goals (nine) over the last four Gameweeks.

Tottenham looks stronger bet (2.10) – they match up against a Norwich side that’s drawn blanks in two of their previous three away fixtures, while, on the surface, Swansea City look a decent option out at 2.20. However, the Swans lock horns with a West Brom outfit that’s only failed to score once in the last eight Gameweeks. Meanwhile, Manchester United are priced out at 2.50 as they prepare to engage Mark Hughes’ Stoke City who charts joint-bottom for goals (14) this season.

Arsenal (2.80) represent good value ahead of their trip to the south coast, given that Southampton have notched just two goals in their last five outings. Finally Aston Villa are tipped at 2.87 by virtue of the fact that West Ham United have drawn blanks in their last trio of match-ups. With the Hammers out at 3.00, the Villa Park clash is ranked the most likely to end in a 0-0 stalemate.

1,567 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. SweeSwee
    10 years, 10 months ago

    If Liverpool v Leicester gets postponed my Christmas will be ruined.

    1. The Farke Side Gallery
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Why on earth would it be postponed?

      1. SweeSwee
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Apparently some northerners are complaining about puddles or something.

  2. OneForTheTeam
    10 years, 10 months ago

    HELP!! HELP!! HELP!! HELP!! HELP!! HELP!! HELP!! HELP!! HELP!!
    HELP!!

    Hart
    Ivanovic Kolarov Alderweireld
    Ozil Mahrez Barkley Alli
    Lukaku Aguero(c) Vardy

    Bench: Gomes, Bellerin, Morrisson, Ward

    On a wildcard.. can change anything. Suggestions?
    Feeling sumthin from Kun. bad idea?

    1. Slash
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I personally think you've got too much invested in defence. I'd bolster the MF and have 1 bench warmer there otherwise you'll have a lot of money sitting on your bench each week..

  3. Camp No No
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Explaining Manchester City's home/away form oddity:

    City have ever since they became rich been a team that's remarkably stronger at home than away, but this season has been outright ridiculous:

    25 goals in 9 home matches, 8 goals in 8 home matches (whoscored.com). That's almost 3/match at home and only 1/match away. A close look to shot stats would explain this neatly, but I don't go to that here because then this post would be deleted. Let's just say that this difference is not due to luck in conversion, they've really been significantly worse away from home than at home.

    However, let us look at their fixtures.

    Away:

    wba
    eve
    cpl
    tot
    mun
    avl (Garde)
    sto
    ars

    Home:

    CHE
    WAT
    WHA
    NEW
    BOU
    NOR
    LIV
    SOU
    SWA

    The phenomenon likely is not completely explained away by fixtures, but to a significant extent surely.

    Considering Chelsea early fixture easy, they've had 6 of the weakest defences at home (CHE, WHA BOU, NEW, NOR SWA) and those BOU and NEW matches alone have 11 of their 25 home goals (and could have something like that against WHA as well, with their 27 shots and 18 SiB, 4 in 6-yards, 8 SoT and 6 of those inside the box).

    Meanwhile, no wonder they've had difficulties in scoring away from home recently, having played 4 of the toughest defences (tot, man, stop, ars) and a Villa that newly found defensive rigour just for that match, the main striker's absence not helping their cause (and they were perhaps also unlucky not to score in some, including Villa match). When they played Sunderland, another weakling, away in the Cup, they scored 4, and they scored 6 in their first 3 (easier) away fixtures.

    1. Jax
      10 years, 10 months ago

      8 goals in 8 away games i think you mean

      1. Camp No No
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Yup. Darn typo. Could some of the mods fix that perhaps?

        1. Jax
          10 years, 10 months ago

          hardly a typo

          1. Camp No No
            10 years, 10 months ago

            Ok, you're right, it's not a _typo_ in the strict sense.

            What I meant is that it's a blatant mistake in write-up and you do get my drift regardless.

          2. Camp No No
            10 years, 10 months ago

            You know, it's not as if I was comparing their actual 9 home matches this season to some hypothetical 8 home matches that are separate from them.

  4. Tatty Bojangles
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Play 3 from Kolarov (SUN), Dier (NOR), Evans (swa), Bellerin (sou), Simpson (liv) ?

    1. juicewagz
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Kolarov Dier Bellerin

      1. Trae44
        10 years, 10 months ago

        What he said

    2. Ha.
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Mr Orange, we meet again.

      I would play Kol, Dier and Bellerin.

      1. Tatty Bojangles
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Thank you Mr Grey, your advice is most helpful.

  5. some witty pun
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Play who?
    A) Ighalo
    B) Wijnaldum

    1. Ha.
      10 years, 10 months ago

      A

    2. XABI 15
      10 years, 10 months ago

      B

    3. SweeSwee
      10 years, 10 months ago

      A

    4. Jonny HOW SON?
      10 years, 10 months ago

      B

    5. Slash
      10 years, 10 months ago

      A

  6. juicewagz
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Start one:

    A) Wollscheid

    B) Moreno

    1. Ha.
      10 years, 10 months ago

      A unless you're playing Butland

  7. Diva
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Summary of league game postponed so far:

    Accrington v Carlisle
    Morecambe v Mansfield
    Blackpool v Oldham
    Hartlepool v Notts County
    Rochdale v Crewe
    Bury v Barnsley
    Wigan v Sheffield United
    Blackburn v Middlesborough

    1. SweeSwee
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Top tier stuff

    2. Puyol Pants Up
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Hulk

    3. The Farke Side Gallery
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Why are games being postponed? Just logged in to this worrying news

      1. Ha.
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Wet wet wet

      2. Diva
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Heavy rain in northern England causing some pitches to be waterlogged.

    4. Hip_Priest
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Annoying as Carlisle fan, we're doing well in the league this year but due to the flooding up here we've already had Monday's game postponed and we're still in the FA Cup. Fixture pile up could derail the playoff campaign.. we do have Ibhere though.

  8. Art Vandelay
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Lloris' birthday today. Pen save incoming. Will probably be on pens too..

    1. KOLASINA(C)
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Good for Toby

      1. Ha.
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Toby (c)?

  9. Gazpilicueta
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Captain choice, little help please!

    Mahrez

    Kdb

    Lukaku

    Kane

    1. Lizard Lips
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Kane

    2. R Whites
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Got the same dilemma. Currently on Kane but thinking Mahrez....

    3. SweeSwee
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Mahrez

    4. Ha.
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Kane

      1. Gazpilicueta
        10 years, 10 months ago

        I captained him twice for the last two weeks.....I'm bitter

        1. Ha.
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Third time lucky 😉

          I captained him the week before last. He'll come good.

  10. Puyol Pants Up
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Repost.

    Any EPL games in danger of being called off?

      10 years, 10 months ago

      Repost.

      Ban.

      1. Puyol Pants Up
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Someone's a bit salty.

          10 years, 10 months ago

          Rain in my eyes.

      2. THE Wild Rover
        10 years, 10 months ago

        You should be banned for telling everyone there is no chance. Of course there is a chance 🙄

          10 years, 10 months ago

          I bet even Championship games will all be fine, let alone Prem.

          1. THE Wild Rover
            10 years, 10 months ago

            Lol, Blackburn is already off. Fail 😛

          2. Puyol Pants Up
            10 years, 10 months ago

            A post was linked last page showing all the league games in England that have been called off so far....

            1. Puyol Pants Up
              10 years, 10 months ago

              And when I say last page I mean a few posts above 🙄

        1. Puyol Pants Up
          10 years, 10 months ago

          People like him make me appreciate the DZ more.

    1. SweeSwee
      10 years, 10 months ago

      The Estonian Primera Ligue is on winter break

      1. Puyol Pants Up
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers for that.

    2. Give The Todd Some Love
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Do people not read anything other than their post?

      1. Puyol Pants Up
        10 years, 10 months ago

        I do read every post..

        But when all the "casuals" come in its hard to keep up with replies, etc..

      2. Puyol Pants Up
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Link me a direct answer, then I'll give you some credit.

  11. snowman
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Arnart or Hoola out for Wally?

  12. Martial Law
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Ramsey or Alli?

    1. Ha.
      10 years, 10 months ago

      To play or buy? Ramsey in both instances unless you are short on funds

      1. Martial Law
        10 years, 10 months ago

        To buy in order to play (FT)

        Feel Alli will do more against NOR than Ramsey against Southampton

        1. Andy1
          10 years, 10 months ago

          You've answered your question then.
          Personally, I disagree though

        2. Ha.
          10 years, 10 months ago

          I'd go Ramsey as there is a bigger upside potential. I'm playing three Arsenal players, but have the armband on Kane.

          1. Martial Law
            10 years, 10 months ago

            Yep that's what I was trying to articulate in my mind.

            Looks like Rambo it is!

            Thanks guys

        3. Robe Wan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          10 years, 10 months ago

          But then what?

          Ramsey

    2. Gazpilicueta
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Ramsey. I want to play both but can't choose who to take out for alli

  13. Milner4eva
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Would be amazing if Liverpool vs Leicester gets called off, fingers crossed, need something to shake up FPL

    1. Jazz!
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Evans and Gosling off the bench then...

      1. Tatty Bojangles
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Same.

    2. SweeSwee
      10 years, 10 months ago

      No it wouldn't.

    3. GreennRed
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Why would it shake up FPL?

    4. Andy1
      10 years, 10 months ago

      As long as it's the only one to be called off

  14. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Hope a couple of the non-televised games are called off. Good for us with bench boost in the bank

  15. OPTA FPL
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Mahrez should have blanked last week if they didnt have pens, form?

    1. Camp No No
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Well, his shot accuracy and conversion rates are unsustainable to say the least.

      1. Camp No No
        10 years, 10 months ago

        ...and his shot numbers are not top of the table stuff.

        1. OPTA FPL
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Your captain ?

          1. Camp No No
            10 years, 10 months ago

            Probably Kane.

    2. Trae44
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Are you seriously saying that like you're suggesting he doesn't have any form?

      1. OPTA FPL
        10 years, 10 months ago

        No, but people keep saying his away form (never blank)

        1. Trae44
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Don't see the problem in that, even if he would have blanked if it wasn't for the pens, still part of the game

        2. Camp No No
          10 years, 10 months ago

          You see my post above about City's fixtures. I had similar on Leicester's fixtures, pointing out the fact that they've played all the bottom table clubs away and all the big ones at home, which for a massive part explains the oddity that they've been stronger away than at home.

    3. KOLASINA(C)
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Goal is a goal.

  16. Cristi@no R7
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Bench One.

    Barkley Mahrez KDB Ozil Alli
    Vardy Kane Lukaku

    1. Runci
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Exactly the same dilemma. I think I'm gonna bench Barkley but it's really hard.

      1. Cristi@no R7
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Yeah. I'm thinking Vardy but if he gets double digit's then rank goes down...

        1. Runci
          10 years, 10 months ago

          I was so happy when he was injured. Now it's hard.

          1. Cristi@no R7
            10 years, 10 months ago

            Then who's Final pick?

      2. Perthite
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Ditto

  17. sergioaguero67
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Captain?
    A. Kane
    B. Lukaku
    C. Mahrez

    Please help.
    Thanks.

    1. Andy1
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I've gone for kane

    2. Cristi@no R7
      10 years, 10 months ago

      B

    3. some witty pun
      10 years, 10 months ago

      kane

  18. hitch
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Is there a reason people are ditching Moreno? What's wrong with him?

    1. Andy1
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Nothing. Liverpool defence.is poor though

    2. King H
      10 years, 10 months ago

      He plays for Liverpoo

    3. SweeSwee
      10 years, 10 months ago

      People expected him to get a few clean sheets in between a few goals. That hasn't happened.

    4. Camp No No
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Because Liverpool has conceded anomalously many goals from extremely few shots and Moreno had a goal wrongly disallowed, Moreno hasn't delivered points from easy fixtures.

  19. Slam
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Ha, that would be quite something.
    A cancellation on Boxing day... Because of rain

  20. Lizard Lips
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Wonder what two changes ronka made

    1. KOLASINA(C)
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Jerome and Mata in? 😉

  21. Team Zissou
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Lukaku would equal Dixie Dean's Everton scoring record of 9 straight games if he scored today.

    Food for (c) thought..

    1. Jax
      10 years, 10 months ago

      doesn't mean he'll do it

      1. Team Zissou
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Motivation though

      2. Slam
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Means he has extra reason to perform

    2. Puyol Pants Up
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Sounds like a Male stripper 😆

  22. kingofmercia
    10 years, 10 months ago

    would you be happy to double up on WBA defence today?

    1. KOLASINA(C)
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I'm hoping that Myhill will keep his CS for once

      1. Jax
        10 years, 10 months ago

        swansea will win so no

    2. Puyol Pants Up
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Not really.

      1. kingofmercia
        10 years, 10 months ago

        might ditch Dawson for Cresswell

  23. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Worth using an AOA for this?

    Hazard Stanilas Ozil Mahrez Alli
    Lukaku Aguero (C) Vardy

    1. Trae44
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Nah Stanislas might be injured

  24. Gazpilicueta
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Bench alli or all out attack and bench kolarov, bellerin or wollschied

    1. Tatty Bojangles
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Play AOA and bench Wollschied.

      1. Gazpilicueta
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Sure?

        1. Ha.
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Lynx

        2. Tatty Bojangles
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Just for a bit of AOA Boxing Day fun.

          1. Gazpilicueta
            10 years, 10 months ago

            I think I like that idea

  25. kingofmercia
    10 years, 10 months ago

    happy birthday Aaron (c)

    1. Jazz!
      10 years, 10 months ago

      🙂

  26. King H
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Kane or Aguero ????

  27. #WinterIsNotComing
    10 years, 10 months ago

    KBD to Alli and Ighalo to Aguero done

    Gonna captain Aguero!!!

    1. #WinterIsNotComing
      10 years, 10 months ago

      2FTs 🙂 no hits

    2. Ha.
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Controversial. Hope it works for you, but also hoping KDB punishes you 😛

      1. #WinterIsNotComing
        10 years, 10 months ago

        I will take my chances.. Just like I did with when he punished everyone else but not me 😛

  28. Lord_Bendtner
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Myhill
    Bellerin - Dier - Nyom
    Mahrez (C) - Ozil - Deulofeu - KDB
    Kane - Lukaku - Vardy

    Hennessey - Hazard - Moreno - Simpson

    2 FT 0.0 Itb

    G2G?

  29. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Mahrez seemed to do well in the rain last week.

    1. KOLASINA(C)
      10 years, 10 months ago

      And didn't slip on the pens

  30. Jafooli
    10 years, 10 months ago

    No preamble today? Xmas ruined 🙁

    1. Jafooli
      10 years, 10 months ago

      That you Daniel?

      1. Puyol Pants Up
        10 years, 10 months ago

        😆